Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Tprod[t] = + 104.239014386218 -0.949163093002725Rente[t] -0.429150643259583M1[t] -0.389285793353394M2[t] -0.376879098097416M3[t] -0.35979416242337M4[t] -0.266505879121328M5[t] -0.169285793353391M6[t] -0.0816924886093766M7[t] -0.0635908147953803M8[t] -0.103455664701495M9[t] -0.0986422741895337M10[t] -0.037490385955704M11[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)104.2390143862180.460177226.519600
Rente-0.9491630930027250.101565-9.345400
M1-0.4291506432595830.49181-0.87260.387320.19366
M2-0.3892857933533940.491987-0.79130.4327720.216386
M3-0.3768790980974160.49195-0.76610.4474520.223726
M4-0.359794162423370.492035-0.73120.4682640.234132
M5-0.2665058791213280.492105-0.54160.5906770.295339
M6-0.1692857933533910.491987-0.34410.7323160.366158
M7-0.08169248860937660.492025-0.1660.8688430.434421
M8-0.06359081479538030.492015-0.12920.8977150.448857
M9-0.1034556647014950.491833-0.21030.8343060.417153
M10-0.09864227418953370.491773-0.20060.8418890.420944
M11-0.0374903859557040.491592-0.07630.9395330.469767


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.811936829502331
R-squared0.659241415102298
Adjusted R-squared0.572239223213523
F-TEST (value)7.57729662656181
F-TEST (DF numerator)12
F-TEST (DF denominator)47
p-value1.54445368716338e-07
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation0.77708225964867
Sum Squared Residuals28.3812713982522


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
1101.2100.9623744639510.237625536049289
2101.1100.8029150643260.297084935674034
3100.7100.6634556647010.0365443352985084
4100.1100.547657767355-0.447657767355165
599.9100.413146908337-0.513146908336542
699.7100.168668280624-0.4686682806235
799.5100.123378752347-0.623378752347136
899.2100.141480426161-0.94148042616113
99999.8643248030043-0.864324803004337
109999.6793055749158-0.679305574915753
1199.399.6929993084995-0.39299930849945
1299.599.7304896944551-0.230489694455151
1399.799.30133905119560.398660948804435
1410099.34120390110170.658796098898244
15100.499.35361059635771.04638940364227
16100.699.37069553203181.22930446796821
17100.799.62534154114431.07465845885572
18100.799.79849467435240.901505325647562
19100.699.88608797909650.713912020903539
20100.599.91368128384050.586318716159522
21100.6100.3104314567160.289568543284378
22100.5100.581010513268-0.081010513268341
23100.4100.983861114983-0.583861114983145
24100.3101.154234333959-0.85423433395924
25100.4100.725083690700-0.325083690699647
26100.4100.764948540606-0.364948540605836
27100.4100.777355235862-0.377355235861815
28100.4100.794440171536-0.394440171535861
29100.4100.887728454838-0.487728454837904
30100.5100.984948540606-0.484948540605845
31100.6101.072541845350-0.472541845349865
32100.6101.090643519164-0.490643519163862
33100.5101.050778669258-0.550778669257742
34100.5101.055592059770-0.555592059769703
35100.7101.116743948004-0.41674394800353
36101.1101.533899571160-0.433899571160332
37101.5101.1996652372010.300334762798985
38101.9101.2395300871070.660469912892802
39102.1101.4417694009640.658230599036267
40102.1101.5063124912880.593687508712085
41102.1101.599600774590.500399225410042
42102.4102.0764860975590.323513902441028
43102.8102.2589957116030.541004288396733
44103.1102.2770973854170.822902614582734
45103.1102.2372325355110.862767464488848
46102.9102.2420459260230.657954073976898
47102.4102.3031978142570.0968021857430683
48101.9102.340688200213-0.440688200212636
49101.3101.911537556953-0.61153755695306
50100.7101.951402406859-1.25140240685924
51100.6101.963809102115-1.36380910211523
52101101.980894037789-0.980894037789271
53101.5102.074182321091-0.574182321091314
54101.9102.171402406859-0.271402406859245
55102.1102.258995711603-0.158995711603270
56102.3102.2770973854170.0229026145827360
57102.5102.2372325355110.262767464488854
58102.9102.2420459260230.657954073976898
59103.6102.3031978142571.29680218574306
60104.3102.3406882002131.95931179978736


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
160.3105351729267220.6210703458534440.689464827073278
170.3670707223317680.7341414446635360.632929277668232
180.408036097844930.816072195689860.59196390215507
190.4502055154402600.9004110308805190.54979448455974
200.5254032456780410.9491935086439180.474596754321959
210.5847768979282570.8304462041434860.415223102071743
220.5596333624056630.8807332751886750.440366637594337
230.4728482710277720.9456965420555440.527151728972228
240.3939850904250490.7879701808500970.606014909574951
250.3055184837602960.6110369675205920.694481516239704
260.2367171656078750.4734343312157490.763282834392125
270.1801540299602530.3603080599205050.819845970039747
280.1252560226989810.2505120453979620.874743977301019
290.08224957348475730.1644991469695150.917750426515243
300.05042438563514330.1008487712702870.949575614364857
310.02973464679669310.05946929359338620.970265353203307
320.01835768987870990.03671537975741970.98164231012129
330.01233617454752520.02467234909505050.987663825452475
340.01090663993233430.02181327986466860.989093360067666
350.02050226244934180.04100452489868360.979497737550658
360.1775266221759920.3550532443519850.822473377824008
370.1858739244410090.3717478488820180.814126075558991
380.1595892181216500.3191784362433010.84041078187835
390.1356631228653820.2713262457307640.864336877134618
400.1073659586275570.2147319172551130.892634041372443
410.07966888073666140.1593377614733230.920331119263339
420.04994172037049340.09988344074098680.950058279629507
430.03920182939234450.0784036587846890.960798170607656
440.03424093803349640.06848187606699270.965759061966504


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level40.137931034482759NOK
10% type I error level80.275862068965517NOK