Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Y[t] = + 100.937861512697 -0.903708260706107X[t] + 1.14037328685191M1[t] + 0.906224956423668M2[t] + 1.38222495642367M3[t] + 0.661557469496567M4[t] + 0.667483304282443M5[t] + 0.721112478211832M6[t] + 1.2433349738542M7[t] -0.0611100174305318M8[t] + 1.31674165214122M9[t] + 1.44651915649886M10[t] -0.0594808435011405M11[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)100.9378615126970.503342200.535500
X-0.9037082607061070.09529-9.483700
M11.140373286851910.6548321.74150.0881430.044071
M20.9062249564236680.6544881.38460.1727030.086352
M31.382224956423670.6544882.11190.0400370.020018
M40.6615574694965670.6532131.01280.3163530.158177
M50.6674833042824430.6530991.0220.3120010.156001
M60.7211124782118320.6526121.1050.27480.1374
M71.24333497385420.6528871.90440.0629940.031497
M8-0.06111001743053180.652387-0.09370.9257680.462884
M91.316741652141220.6522642.01870.0492420.024621
M101.446519156498860.6521222.21820.0314120.015706
M11-0.05948084350114050.652122-0.09120.9277120.463856


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.828776724306222
R-squared0.68687085875175
Adjusted R-squared0.606922992901134
F-TEST (value)8.5914846061704
F-TEST (DF numerator)12
F-TEST (DF denominator)47
p-value2.56587797675678e-08
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation1.03087971742847
Sum Squared Residuals49.9475106148534


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
1100.03100.270818278137-0.24081827813664
2100.25100.2174115998500.0325884001503753
399.699.880074165214-0.280074165214128
4100.1699.52088998256950.639110017430531
5100.4999.88829912163780.60170087836221
699.7299.8515574694966-0.131557469496564
7100.14100.1026674869270.0373325130729031
898.4898.34636836528930.133631634710691
9100.38100.0857033391440.294296660856486
10101.45100.3058516695721.14414833042825
1198.4298.4383683652893-0.0183683652893126
1298.698.49784920879050.102150791209539
13100.0699.45748084350110.602519156498856
1498.6299.1329616870023-0.512961687002286
15100.84100.3319282955670.508071704432827
16100.0299.52088998256950.499110017430531
1797.9599.0749616870023-1.12496168700228
1898.3299.1285908609317-0.808590860931683
1998.2799.650813356574-1.38081335657405
2097.2298.888593321713-1.66859332171298
2199.2899.9049616870023-0.624961687002287
22100.3899.85399753921870.526002460781295
2399.0298.61911001743050.40088998256946
24100.3298.76896168700231.55103831299771
2599.8199.9997057999248-0.189705799924808
26100.6100.1270407737790.472959226220986
27101.19100.7837824259200.406217574079767
28100.4799.79200246078130.677997539218702
29101.7799.70755746949662.06244253050343
30102.32100.1226699477082.1973300522916
31102.39100.5545216172801.83547838271985
32101.1699.25007662599541.90992337400458
33100.63100.6279282955670.00207170443282080
34101.48101.2095599302780.270440069722142
35101.4499.70355993027791.73644006972213
36100.0999.7630407737790.326959226220998
37100.7100.993784886702-0.293784886701526
38100.78100.5788949041320.201105095867939
3999.81100.331928295567-0.521928295567174
4098.4598.9786650261458-0.528665026145798
4198.4998.8038492087905-0.31384920879046
4297.4898.4959950784374-1.01599507843740
4397.9198.9278467480092-1.01784674800916
4496.9496.90043514815950.0395648518404578
4598.5398.5493992959431-0.0193992959431265
4696.8297.7754685395947-0.95546853959466
4795.7695.63687275710040.123127242899625
4895.2795.605982774531-0.335982774530914
4997.3297.19821019173590.121789808264117
5096.6896.873691035237-0.193691035237014
5197.8797.9822868177313-0.112286817731292
5297.4298.707552547934-1.28755254793397
5397.9499.1653325130729-1.2253325130729
5499.5299.761186643426-0.241186643425955
55100.99100.4641507912100.525849208790454
5699.92100.334526538843-0.414526538842747
57101.97101.6220073823440.347992617656106
58101.58102.565122321337-0.985122321337025
5999.54101.782088929902-2.24208892990191
60100.83102.474165555897-1.64416555589733


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
160.0933772562905330.1867545125810660.906622743709467
170.1283431924618340.2566863849236680.871656807538166
180.06098063366795890.1219612673359180.93901936633204
190.056675940537220.113351881074440.94332405946278
200.1675552241613340.3351104483226680.832444775838666
210.1199383747813860.2398767495627720.880061625218614
220.07577573150494250.1515514630098850.924224268495057
230.04325127965566010.08650255931132030.95674872034434
240.05276182257588920.1055236451517780.94723817742411
250.03128982198279410.06257964396558810.968710178017206
260.01781831083967210.03563662167934420.982181689160328
270.009452186295620.018904372591240.99054781370438
280.005915398448744310.01183079689748860.994084601551256
290.04719663893445750.0943932778689150.952803361065543
300.1818546786619410.3637093573238810.81814532133806
310.3011582677323610.6023165354647220.698841732267639
320.4734212657773750.946842531554750.526578734222624
330.396521077707930.793042155415860.60347892229207
340.4936485097615750.987297019523150.506351490238425
350.8316591136015750.336681772796850.168340886398425
360.8990171174049020.2019657651901960.100982882595098
370.8616320255417260.2767359489165490.138367974458274
380.8303578796252220.3392842407495560.169642120374778
390.7515281706927350.496943658614530.248471829307265
400.6913699853318370.6172600293363260.308630014668163
410.6203538826136470.7592922347727050.379646117386353
420.5598482033968050.880303593206390.440151796603195
430.7325492557685530.5349014884628940.267450744231447
440.5916230347702570.8167539304594860.408376965229743


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level30.103448275862069NOK
10% type I error level60.206896551724138NOK