Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Y[t] = + 52.9237129088855 -0.456561313045817X[t] + 0.529784539853996Y1[t] + 0.00162859374509381Y2[t] + 0.211227162008023Y3[t] -0.268925741424594Y4[t] + 0.779715739410484M1[t] + 0.72084508465959M2[t] + 1.39416708889035M3[t] -0.251540990310942M4[t] + 1.76147716754322M5[t] + 1.11916991858972M6[t] -0.0997453594323863M7[t] + 0.207964494807340M8[t] + 1.42410413266541M9[t] + 1.02998559517508M10[t] + 1.50184215778441M11[t] -0.00838297611828369t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)52.923712908885513.8803943.81280.000490.000245
X-0.4565613130458170.136277-3.35020.0018340.000917
Y10.5297845398539960.1509243.51030.0011710.000585
Y20.001628593745093810.1698520.00960.99240.4962
Y30.2112271620080230.1657121.27470.2101670.105083
Y4-0.2689257414245940.139164-1.93240.0607850.030393
M10.7797157394104840.6310151.23570.2241720.112086
M20.720845084659590.6040751.19330.2401470.120074
M31.394167088890350.625472.2290.0318050.015902
M4-0.2515409903109420.599557-0.41950.6771810.33859
M51.761477167543220.6549772.68940.0105730.005287
M61.119169918589720.6079611.84090.073460.03673
M7-0.09974535943238630.66993-0.14890.8824280.441214
M80.2079644948073400.6609390.31470.7547480.377374
M91.424104132665410.6611412.1540.0376450.018823
M101.029985595175080.6848131.5040.1408380.070419
M111.501842157784410.6552482.2920.0275350.013767
t-0.008382976118283690.008107-1.03410.307640.15382


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.904112399567176
R-squared0.817419231051118
Adjusted R-squared0.735738360731881
F-TEST (value)10.0074745513406
F-TEST (DF numerator)17
F-TEST (DF denominator)38
p-value2.72499856013297e-09
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation0.871677777536568
Sum Squared Residuals28.8732416183414


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
1100.49100.3278877027810.162112297219314
299.72100.194257532837-0.474257532837242
3100.14100.607920449935-0.467920449934754
498.4898.865910775912-0.385910775912100
5100.3899.92302174666530.456978253334675
6101.45100.6176630419440.832336958055842
798.4299.3141181480133-0.894118148013252
898.698.8576888042644-0.257688804264411
9100.0699.7796139361630.280386063837036
1098.6299.1774660221021-0.5574660221021
11100.84100.0985425541860.741457445814154
12100.0299.97642281553680.043577184463196
1397.9599.3918683819685-1.44186838196845
1498.3299.0828026740398-0.762802674039766
1598.2799.1701693740367-0.900169374036691
1697.2297.5474073418492-0.32740734184915
1799.2899.4478931365246-0.167893136524621
18100.3899.6854728950830.694527104916929
1999.0298.97291869877350.0470813012264834
20100.3299.316686169351.00331383064994
2199.81100.934966827585-1.12496682758545
22100.699.86392963984030.736070360159702
23101.19101.476749011563-0.286749011563036
24100.4799.6860856348430.783914365156985
25101.77100.3352998545581.43470014544176
26102.32101.0503907530801.26960924691957
27102.39101.6524225745900.737577425409654
28101.16100.5045340080560.655465991943504
29100.63101.624219682587-0.99421968258655
30101.48100.7858978811660.694102118834376
31101.4499.72941912004661.71058087995335
32100.09100.227767187345-0.137767187345252
33100.7101.087979438499-0.387979438498780
34100.78100.6780996633450.101900336655159
3599.81100.545300765718-0.735300765718213
3698.4598.6936203162728-0.24362031627277
3798.4998.5044075775133-0.0144075775132797
3897.4898.0471015090648-0.567101509064845
3997.9198.104956193221-0.194956193220964
4096.9496.68596665473720.25403334526283
4198.5398.09028305875370.439716941246282
4296.8298.1862518815735-1.36625188157353
4395.7695.4154901932450.344509806754938
4495.2795.7015135892872-0.431513589287205
4597.3296.08743979775281.23256020224719
4696.6896.9605046747128-0.280504674712759
4797.8797.58940766853290.280592331467096
4897.4298.0038712333474-0.583871233347412
4997.9498.0805364831793-0.140536483179338
5099.5298.98544753097770.534552469022281
51100.99100.1645314082170.825468591782755
5299.92100.116181219445-0.196181219445085
53101.97101.7045823754700.265417624530215
54101.58102.434714300234-0.854714300233616
5599.54100.748053839922-1.20805383992152
56100.83101.006344249753-0.176344249753068


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
210.5934756604220720.8130486791558560.406524339577928
220.4734981616619010.9469963233238020.526501838338099
230.4456635688576830.8913271377153670.554336431142317
240.4168255576490250.833651115298050.583174442350975
250.5830740568024490.8338518863951020.416925943197551
260.583697027416610.8326059451667790.416302972583389
270.4824130615595850.964826123119170.517586938440415
280.4189849656464740.8379699312929490.581015034353526
290.6095565273862770.7808869452274470.390443472613723
300.6145643071786870.7708713856426270.385435692821313
310.7254676824533860.5490646350932270.274532317546614
320.7778115664581330.4443768670837340.222188433541867
330.77817445498910.44365109002180.2218255450109
340.6747353763593630.6505292472812740.325264623640637
350.4959185922456930.9918371844913850.504081407754307


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level00OK
10% type I error level00OK