Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation

saldo_zichtrek[t] = + 34.5166727272727 + 4.21449393939394crisis[t] + e[t]

Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
Variable	Parameter	S.D.	T-STAT H0: parameter = 0	2-tail p-value	1-tail p-value
(Intercept)	34.5166727272727	0.287777	119.9426	0	0
crisis	4.21449393939394	0.917581	4.593	2.3e-05	1.2e-05

Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R	0.513210100478173
R-squared	0.263384607232816
Adjusted R-squared	0.250899600575745
F-TEST (value)	21.0960726307380
F-TEST (DF numerator)	1
F-TEST (DF denominator)	59
p-value	2.34371282262780e-05
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation	2.13420768826542
Sum Squared Residuals	268.735704942424

Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or Index	Actuals	Interpolation Forecast	Residuals Prediction Error
1	29.837	34.5166727272727	-4.67967272727266
2	29.571	34.5166727272727	-4.94567272727273
3	30.167	34.5166727272727	-4.34967272727273
4	30.524	34.5166727272727	-3.99267272727273
5	30.996	34.5166727272727	-3.52067272727273
6	31.033	34.5166727272727	-3.48367272727273
7	31.198	34.5166727272727	-3.31867272727273
8	30.937	34.5166727272727	-3.57967272727273
9	31.649	34.5166727272727	-2.86767272727273
10	33.115	34.5166727272727	-1.40167272727273
11	34.106	34.5166727272727	-0.410672727272726
12	33.926	34.5166727272727	-0.590672727272726
13	33.382	34.5166727272727	-1.13467272727273
14	32.851	34.5166727272727	-1.66567272727273
15	32.948	34.5166727272727	-1.56867272727273
16	36.112	34.5166727272727	1.59532727272727
17	36.113	34.5166727272727	1.59632727272727
18	35.21	34.5166727272727	0.693327272727273
19	35.193	34.5166727272727	0.67632727272727
20	34.383	34.5166727272727	-0.133672727272725
21	35.349	34.5166727272727	0.832327272727269
22	37.058	34.5166727272727	2.54132727272727
23	38.076	34.5166727272727	3.55932727272727
24	36.63	34.5166727272727	2.11332727272727
25	36.045	34.5166727272727	1.52832727272727
26	35.638	34.5166727272727	1.12132727272727
27	35.114	34.5166727272727	0.597327272727269
28	35.465	34.5166727272727	0.948327272727276
29	35.254	34.5166727272727	0.73732727272727
30	35.299	34.5166727272727	0.782327272727272
31	35.916	34.5166727272727	1.39932727272727
32	36.683	34.5166727272727	2.16632727272727
33	37.288	34.5166727272727	2.77132727272727
34	38.536	34.5166727272727	4.01932727272727
35	38.977	34.5166727272727	4.46032727272727
36	36.407	34.5166727272727	1.89032727272727
37	34.955	34.5166727272727	0.438327272727270
38	34.951	34.5166727272727	0.434327272727273
39	32.68	34.5166727272727	-1.83667272727273
40	34.791	34.5166727272727	0.274327272727269
41	34.178	34.5166727272727	-0.338672727272731
42	35.213	34.5166727272727	0.696327272727273
43	34.871	34.5166727272727	0.354327272727274
44	35.299	34.5166727272727	0.782327272727272
45	35.443	34.5166727272727	0.92632727272727
46	37.108	34.5166727272727	2.59132727272727
47	36.419	34.5166727272727	1.90232727272727
48	34.471	34.5166727272727	-0.0456727272727315
49	33.868	34.5166727272727	-0.648672727272726
50	34.385	34.5166727272727	-0.13167272727273
51	33.643	34.5166727272727	-0.873672727272727
52	34.627	34.5166727272727	0.110327272727274
53	32.919	34.5166727272727	-1.59767272727273
54	35.5	34.5166727272727	0.983327272727272
55	36.11	34.5166727272727	1.59332727272727
56	37.086	38.7311666666667	-1.64516666666667
57	37.711	38.7311666666667	-1.02016666666667
58	40.427	38.7311666666667	1.69583333333333
59	39.884	38.7311666666667	1.15283333333333
60	38.512	38.7311666666667	-0.219166666666666
61	38.767	38.7311666666667	0.0358333333333365

Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-values	Alternative Hypothesis
breakpoint index	greater	2-sided	less
5	0.0626829249541198	0.125365849908240	0.93731707504588
6	0.0425476041584414	0.0850952083168828	0.957452395841559
7	0.0335711086672994	0.0671422173345989	0.9664288913327
8	0.0214191998969079	0.0428383997938157	0.978580800103092
9	0.0314467435808462	0.0628934871616924	0.968553256419154
10	0.195929313880225	0.39185862776045	0.804070686119775
11	0.548227536309479	0.903544927381042	0.451772463690521
12	0.705799848517888	0.588400302964225	0.294200151482112
13	0.749661470500532	0.500677058998937	0.250338529499468
14	0.766007026929998	0.467985946140004	0.233992973070002
15	0.788132348790623	0.423735302418754	0.211867651209377
16	0.952303259761956	0.0953934804760876	0.0476967402380438
17	0.984868633872509	0.0302627322549829	0.0151313661274914
18	0.988424289531949	0.0231514209361024	0.0115757104680512
19	0.98979121083946	0.0204175783210785	0.0102087891605392
20	0.988277652861986	0.0234446942760281	0.0117223471380140
21	0.988634663265912	0.0227306734681756	0.0113653367340878
22	0.99562199029027	0.00875601941945832	0.00437800970972916
23	0.99934114998921	0.00131770002158000	0.000658850010790001
24	0.99948844091538	0.00102311816923886	0.000511559084619431
25	0.99937896943544	0.00124206112911999	0.000621030564559994
26	0.999081993547636	0.00183601290472694	0.00091800645236347
27	0.99848833046609	0.00302333906782059	0.00151166953391029
28	0.997648640820287	0.00470271835942593	0.00235135917971297
29	0.996241276135172	0.00751744772965543	0.00375872386482772
30	0.994088222102705	0.0118235557945894	0.00591177789729468
31	0.991808248211715	0.0163835035765698	0.00819175178828492
32	0.991450428436195	0.0170991431276096	0.00854957156380479
33	0.993668281443066	0.0126634371138674	0.00633171855693368
34	0.998773609428611	0.00245278114277755	0.00122639057138877
35	0.99995832955128	8.33408974416619e-05	4.16704487208309e-05
36	0.999956403416268	8.71931674632327e-05	4.35965837316164e-05
37	0.999897893580323	0.000204212839354634	0.000102106419677317
38	0.999768535888144	0.000462928223711566	0.000231464111855783
39	0.999868165313213	0.000263669373573840	0.000131834686786920
40	0.99969404446581	0.000611911068378223	0.000305955534189112
41	0.999413214068093	0.00117357186381343	0.000586785931906717
42	0.998745920588225	0.00250815882354923	0.00125407941177462
43	0.997353017491479	0.00529396501704243	0.00264698250852122
44	0.994798578598467	0.0104028428030652	0.0052014214015326
45	0.99045595115564	0.0190880976887180	0.00954404884435901
46	0.995017729196032	0.00996454160793606	0.00498227080396803
47	0.99615164102922	0.0076967179415577	0.00384835897077885
48	0.99150163676243	0.0169967264751391	0.00849836323756957
49	0.983814096790247	0.0323718064195052	0.0161859032097526
50	0.967449251517028	0.065101496965944	0.032550748482972
51	0.949798582060281	0.100402835879438	0.0502014179397191
52	0.906582440518672	0.186835118962657	0.0934175594813285
53	0.948127105495879	0.103745789008243	0.0518728945041213
54	0.897294372831929	0.205411254336142	0.102705627168071
55	0.803048279296365	0.39390344140727	0.196951720703635
56	0.804979680346282	0.390040639307436	0.195020319653718

Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description	# significant tests	% significant tests	OK/NOK
1% type I error level	20	0.384615384615385	NOK
5% type I error level	34	0.653846153846154	NOK
10% type I error level	39	0.75	NOK