| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.56728835558198 |
| beta | 0.00329044345405485 |
| gamma | 0.141775664580356 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 257.3 | 237.557772435898 | 19.7422275641025 |
| 14 | 234.5 | 225.085170757819 | 9.41482924218084 |
| 15 | 251.4 | 246.509030273378 | 4.89096972662193 |
| 16 | 243.8 | 242.017353262212 | 1.78264673778784 |
| 17 | 247.4 | 248.378188356430 | -0.97818835642974 |
| 18 | 245.3 | 248.8501746007 | -3.55017460069990 |
| 19 | 262.5 | 267.039809467888 | -4.53980946788755 |
| 20 | 270 | 240.126228519598 | 29.8737714804018 |
| 21 | 259.9 | 278.340834602863 | -18.4408346028631 |
| 22 | 262.2 | 264.708538364076 | -2.50853836407572 |
| 23 | 244.9 | 284.051432412293 | -39.1514324122925 |
| 24 | 249.3 | 261.817491437151 | -12.5174914371513 |
| 25 | 268.2 | 269.847121979575 | -1.64712197957522 |
| 26 | 231.2 | 244.537267798799 | -13.3372677987992 |
| 27 | 264.3 | 252.664369660302 | 11.6356303396983 |
| 28 | 252.7 | 251.708532235106 | 0.991467764894423 |
| 29 | 275.5 | 257.350053710772 | 18.1499462892280 |
| 30 | 261.5 | 268.450011654005 | -6.95001165400538 |
| 31 | 275.5 | 284.578490023896 | -9.078490023896 |
| 32 | 272.3 | 257.121143691683 | 15.1788563083169 |
| 33 | 268.6 | 283.927833540707 | -15.327833540707 |
| 34 | 270.4 | 272.937073146843 | -2.53707314684266 |
| 35 | 267.7 | 289.913911299981 | -22.213911299981 |
| 36 | 275 | 278.852082538726 | -3.85208253872577 |
| 37 | 272.6 | 292.410264189157 | -19.8102641891568 |
| 38 | 248.6 | 255.991490543257 | -7.39149054325674 |
| 39 | 279.4 | 268.946684508204 | 10.4533154917963 |
| 40 | 270.5 | 266.588013831529 | 3.91198616847129 |
| 41 | 292.8 | 274.865279008951 | 17.9347209910488 |
| 42 | 297.8 | 284.229238264021 | 13.5707617359790 |
| 43 | 296.8 | 311.832567130863 | -15.0325671308625 |
| 44 | 290.9 | 282.438799903844 | 8.46120009615629 |
| 45 | 282.8 | 303.503696893897 | -20.7036968938974 |
| 46 | 312.8 | 290.178503509446 | 22.6214964905537 |
| 47 | 303.2 | 320.197877081697 | -16.9978770816970 |
| 48 | 301.4 | 313.20874743637 | -11.8087474363704 |
| 49 | 289.8 | 321.246593885993 | -31.4465938859929 |
| 50 | 279.6 | 278.939202234369 | 0.660797765630718 |
| 51 | 302.2 | 297.522808702423 | 4.67719129757688 |
| 52 | 299.1 | 291.441031083844 | 7.6589689161562 |
| 53 | 319.7 | 302.666095043495 | 17.0339049565046 |
| 54 | 310.9 | 311.211542903907 | -0.311542903907366 |
| 55 | 315.2 | 329.119163536892 | -13.9191635368923 |
| 56 | 338.5 | 301.734708712811 | 36.7652912871891 |
| 57 | 315.6 | 337.056209103157 | -21.4562091031574 |
| 58 | 321.2 | 325.949862379204 | -4.74986237920444 |
| 59 | 318.5 | 337.947946941497 | -19.4479469414969 |
| 60 | 342.7 | 329.819423175319 | 12.8805768246813 |
| 61 | 261.4 | 350.636738749326 | -89.2367387493262 |
| 62 | 287 | 277.385766862085 | 9.61423313791533 |
| 63 | 331.5 | 301.182035707635 | 30.3179642923650 |
| 64 | 326.9 | 309.763843030774 | 17.1361569692256 |
| 65 | 338.6 | 326.892976177338 | 11.7070238226624 |
| 66 | 337 | 331.295132239439 | 5.70486776056094 |
| 67 | 358.4 | 351.73491699302 | 6.66508300698024 |
| 68 | 344.5 | 339.129402148305 | 5.37059785169464 |
| 69 | 345.7 | 353.00303238076 | -7.30303238076004 |
| 70 | 344.1 | 350.910682747007 | -6.81068274700698 |
| 71 | 317.4 | 360.79430741056 | -43.3943074105602 |
| 72 | 354.5 | 340.976200161900 | 13.5237998380996 |
| 73 | 345.2 | 355.806536499326 | -10.6065364993258 |
| 74 | 314.1 | 333.285462770539 | -19.1854627705391 |
| 75 | 352.5 | 342.019965687668 | 10.4800343123325 |
| 76 | 361.2 | 338.5080730894 | 22.6919269106000 |
| 77 | 365.9 | 358.435038061148 | 7.4649619388515 |
| 78 | 332.5 | 360.033757884085 | -27.5337578840845 |
| 79 | 364 | 361.585776623250 | 2.41422337674959 |
| 80 | 359.1 | 346.390661777921 | 12.7093382220788 |
| 81 | 345.6 | 363.564948275256 | -17.9649482752561 |
| 82 | 366.9 | 355.349496641824 | 11.5505033581755 |
| 83 | 370.2 | 373.33422449328 | -3.13422449327976 |
| 84 | 359.9 | 379.851502751993 | -19.9515027519928 |
| 85 | 366.6 | 374.153354617583 | -7.55335461758278 |
| 86 | 336.3 | 352.785727075196 | -16.4857270751961 |
| 87 | 368.5 | 364.824427836903 | 3.67557216309729 |
| 88 | 374.2 | 358.141667506324 | 16.0583324936758 |
| 89 | 384.3 | 373.298995040858 | 11.0010049591422 |
| 90 | 358.9 | 374.690837569953 | -15.7908375699535 |
| 91 | 407.7 | 384.697913611557 | 23.0020863884425 |
| 92 | 433.3 | 381.808255320142 | 51.4917446798577 |
| 93 | 404.7 | 419.168553363316 | -14.4685533633158 |
| 94 | 392.7 | 414.820815196142 | -22.1208151961422 |
| 95 | 409.7 | 412.814001789436 | -3.11400178943649 |
| 96 | 416.5 | 418.321767913885 | -1.82176791388520 |
| 97 | 414.3 | 423.71357193791 | -9.41357193791015 |
| 98 | 404.3 | 400.783772756779 | 3.51622724322141 |
| 99 | 421.4 | 425.484631548477 | -4.08463154847738 |
| 100 | 372.6 | 415.223197183808 | -42.6231971838078 |
| 101 | 404.7 | 396.735324515948 | 7.96467548405184 |
| 102 | 420.2 | 394.70980464499 | 25.4901953550099 |
| 103 | 438.4 | 430.540791356939 | 7.85920864306127 |
| 104 | 449.1 | 420.806065536465 | 28.2939344635352 |
| 105 | 445.8 | 440.914210797593 | 4.88578920240667 |
| 106 | 413.8 | 447.066868323186 | -33.2668683231865 |
| 107 | 420.5 | 439.872606172274 | -19.3726061722741 |
| 108 | 442.3 | 436.17553026715 | 6.12446973285006 |
| 109 | 438.9 | 445.563432193392 | -6.66343219339183 |
| 110 | 394.5 | 424.94613749682 | -30.4461374968199 |
| 111 | 416.8 | 429.810014882748 | -13.0100148827476 |
| 112 | 402.9 | 412.000160881785 | -9.10016088178475 |
| 113 | 424.5 | 415.574664903969 | 8.92533509603135 |
| 114 | 432.3 | 415.112749203171 | 17.1872507968288 |
| 115 | 484.1 | 445.079926084866 | 39.0200739151341 |
| 116 | 492.7 | 454.262170639299 | 38.4378293607006 |
| 117 | 496.3 | 478.693866992866 | 17.6061330071336 |
| 118 | 471.9 | 489.750863195874 | -17.8508631958742 |
| 119 | 491.2 | 492.211906420162 | -1.01190642016206 |
| 120 | 512.9 | 500.586708696578 | 12.3132913034216 |
| 121 | 482.4 | 512.804370196989 | -30.404370196989 |
| 122 | 407.9 | 477.319206441372 | -69.4192064413721 |
| 123 | 448.5 | 461.130147815319 | -12.6301478153187 |
| 124 | 431.1 | 443.762719961972 | -12.6627199619720 |
| 125 | 498.8 | 446.402473840139 | 52.3975261598605 |
| 126 | 497.1 | 471.17024462995 | 25.9297553700501 |
| 127 | 517.1 | 507.514228056515 | 9.58577194348499 |
| 128 | 487.7 | 499.985959246196 | -12.2859592461957 |
| 129 | 512.5 | 494.29291882859 | 18.2070811714100 |
| 130 | 550.1 | 503.444992915364 | 46.6550070846361 |
| 131 | 532.5 | 543.58229194107 | -11.0822919410704 |
| 132 | 524.1 | 547.092748790128 | -22.9927487901282 |
| 133 | 515.7 | 536.626152295404 | -20.9261522954038 |
| 134 | 461 | 504.107171800283 | -43.1071718002826 |
| 135 | 529.3 | 506.360415009321 | 22.9395849906786 |
| 136 | 467.4 | 509.267576576267 | -41.8675765762673 |
| 137 | 559.8 | 499.374847865712 | 60.425152134288 |
| 138 | 536.5 | 527.131615459607 | 9.36838454039253 |
| 139 | 531.9 | 553.105704086377 | -21.2057040863767 |
| 140 | 546.5 | 526.738375032171 | 19.7616249678289 |
| 141 | 547.4 | 541.12643552457 | 6.27356447543048 |
| 142 | 536.1 | 545.261905000425 | -9.1619050004249 |
| 143 | 482.8 | 550.09658113218 | -67.2965811321795 |
| 144 | 551 | 520.785440630480 | 30.2145593695195 |
| 145 | 532.9 | 540.527627184922 | -7.62762718492252 |
| 146 | 484.1 | 514.114922974416 | -30.0149229744163 |
| 147 | 554.8 | 527.79445866181 | 27.0055413381905 |
| 148 | 537 | 528.987368035366 | 8.0126319646339 |
| 149 | 558 | 553.714627713874 | 4.28537228612606 |
| 150 | 511.4 | 546.435004633779 | -35.0350046337787 |
| 151 | 502.9 | 545.204306642029 | -42.3043066420286 |
| 152 | 558.6 | 509.202263287093 | 49.3977367129074 |
| 153 | 545.1 | 539.451413587181 | 5.64858641281853 |
| 154 | 574.3 | 542.160572783406 | 32.1394272165935 |
| 155 | 542.2 | 566.810830449127 | -24.6108304491273 |
| 156 | 600 | 567.728871065342 | 32.2711289346578 |
| 157 | 588.6 | 586.351962916668 | 2.24803708333229 |
| 158 | 524.4 | 564.222405937411 | -39.8224059374110 |
| 159 | 618.5 | 575.872267440866 | 42.6277325591337 |
| 160 | 580.9 | 584.827354534548 | -3.92735453454804 |
| 161 | 557.2 | 602.595318704834 | -45.3953187048338 |
| 162 | 571.2 | 564.670236567121 | 6.5297634328789 |
| 163 | 597.5 | 586.600420727933 | 10.8995792720668 |
| 164 | 601.7 | 586.532999743681 | 15.1670002563191 |
| 165 | 558.9 | 594.74257589127 | -35.84257589127 |
| 166 | 600.9 | 575.525038873022 | 25.3749611269775 |
| 167 | 601 | 592.82935063359 | 8.17064936641054 |
| 168 | 615.7 | 615.86769795707 | -0.167697957069777 |
| 169 | 578.1 | 614.220375248978 | -36.1203752489783 |
| 170 | 495.9 | 567.645918626944 | -71.7459186269436 |
| 171 | 526.8 | 566.086493877123 | -39.2864938771228 |
| 172 | 522.1 | 525.406031225178 | -3.30603122517789 |
| 173 | 605.1 | 540.673146443217 | 64.4268535567827 |
| 174 | 574.4 | 568.130057599686 | 6.26994240031388 |
| 175 | 609.7 | 590.076097538453 | 19.623902461547 |
| 176 | 580.7 | 595.13113610221 | -14.4311361022104 |
| 177 | 565.1 | 583.276905794592 | -18.1769057945920 |
| 178 | 590.7 | 577.725651439539 | 12.9743485604612 |
| 179 | 571.5 | 586.805824368568 | -15.3058243685676 |
| 180 | 601.3 | 595.836912912886 | 5.46308708711365 |
| 181 | 567.3 | 595.010967598593 | -27.710967598593 |
| 182 | 467.9 | 550.869934879292 | -82.9699348792923 |
| 183 | 588.9 | 544.762045511946 | 44.137954488054 |
| 184 | 579.4 | 553.59782125931 | 25.8021787406894 |
| 185 | 502.6 | 589.570486567377 | -86.9704865673772 |
| 186 | 568.7 | 527.328563469933 | 41.3714365300672 |
| 187 | 616 | 569.826955233452 | 46.1730447665481 |
| 188 | 586.2 | 587.72380710631 | -1.52380710630939 |
| 189 | 575.5 | 582.856053928949 | -7.35605392894865 |
| 190 | 599.9 | 585.268703020248 | 14.6312969797515 |
| 191 | 568.2 | 593.471298519498 | -25.2712985194977 |
| 192 | 516 | 598.022005085621 | -82.0220050856209 |
| 193 | 493.4 | 545.267106780469 | -51.8671067804695 |
| 194 | 496.8 | 483.722943295594 | 13.0770567044059 |
| 195 | 529.9 | 539.768882220189 | -9.86888222018888 |
| 196 | 491.7 | 516.61121076547 | -24.9112107654701 |
| 197 | 543.2 | 516.570587469074 | 26.6294125309261 |
| 198 | 490.8 | 526.532333247061 | -35.7323332470606 |
| 199 | 554.7 | 525.327550052923 | 29.3724499470773 |
| 200 | 625.7 | 530.478480896447 | 95.2215191035527 |
| 201 | 605 | 580.026982260051 | 24.973017739949 |
| 202 | 645.2 | 602.080317356263 | 43.1196826437372 |
| 203 | 645.2 | 624.001176441231 | 21.1988235587688 |
| 204 | 611.8 | 651.524121212993 | -39.7241212129935 |
| 205 | 600.3 | 624.785036865392 | -24.4850368653923 |
| 206 | 549.8 | 582.980483143927 | -33.1804831439266 |
| 207 | 635.5 | 611.512912650987 | 23.9870873490131 |
| 208 | 617.7 | 606.837259912316 | 10.8627400876836 |
| 209 | 643.5 | 630.518210181403 | 12.9817898185967 |
| 210 | 485.7 | 629.152090891993 | -143.452090891993 |
| 211 | 689.5 | 570.872157131942 | 118.627842868058 |
| 212 | 692 | 630.901913922602 | 61.0980860773975 |
| 213 | 677.3 | 656.924862950789 | 20.3751370492105 |
| 214 | 704.7 | 677.616430177423 | 27.0835698225774 |
| 215 | 668.6 | 689.19875030466 | -20.5987503046598 |
| 216 | 717.8 | 689.298259420548 | 28.5017405794515 |
| 217 | 689.8 | 702.350492475866 | -12.5504924758657 |
| 218 | 640.4 | 666.95778952681 | -26.5577895268093 |
| 219 | 675.2 | 702.941643935585 | -27.7416439355854 |
| 220 | 528.1 | 668.206506573379 | -140.106506573379 |
| 221 | 538 | 606.183331308767 | -68.1833313087672 |
| 222 | 527.2 | 548.833746643942 | -21.6337466439423 |
| 223 | 655.6 | 575.622871119992 | 79.9771288800077 |
| 224 | 650.6 | 610.009902175829 | 40.5900978241707 |
| 225 | 623.7 | 621.675065408303 | 2.02493459169716 |
| 226 | 748.4 | 632.108500059479 | 116.291499940521 |
| 227 | 727.4 | 691.278919117615 | 36.1210808823851 |
| 228 | 750.5 | 726.579711946013 | 23.9202880539872 |
| 229 | 678.9 | 734.518484811964 | -55.6184848119641 |
| 230 | 659.5 | 673.758115993793 | -14.2581159937932 |
| 231 | 691.9 | 716.593387914556 | -24.6933879145562 |
| 232 | 639.8 | 676.646406228238 | -36.8464062282378 |
| 233 | 663.8 | 677.75884648375 | -13.9588464837506 |
| 234 | 572.9 | 654.272142156711 | -81.3721421567114 |
| 235 | 592.5 | 653.540721513023 | -61.0407215130231 |
| 236 | 734.8 | 605.385154073174 | 129.414845926826 |
| 237 | 696.1 | 665.110971447153 | 30.9890285528469 |
| 238 | 589.2 | 699.07679141691 | -109.876791416909 |
| 239 | 662.9 | 624.695475477774 | 38.2045245222256 |
| 240 | 661.2 | 660.102773068906 | 1.09722693109393 |
| 241 | 672.1 | 649.845229233851 | 22.2547707661487 |
| 242 | 583.7 | 635.57467044616 | -51.87467044616 |
| 243 | 705.5 | 656.13595379825 | 49.36404620175 |
| 244 | 631 | 657.299194453874 | -26.2991944538736 |
| 245 | 733.3 | 665.662603916444 | 67.6373960835557 |
| 246 | 674.9 | 684.344691497119 | -9.4446914971188 |
| 247 | 695.5 | 725.814292840853 | -30.3142928408531 |
| 248 | 634.1 | 706.98101517663 | -72.8810151766294 |
| 249 | 630.6 | 645.73838947546 | -15.1383894754601 |
| 250 | 635.2 | 644.638594330689 | -9.43859433068872 |
| 251 | 554.1 | 636.250434429669 | -82.150434429669 |
| 252 | 623.9 | 600.811895901754 | 23.0881040982464 |
| 253 | 679.3 | 604.075130462642 | 75.2248695373576 |
| 254 | 565.6 | 615.152713196581 | -49.5527131965810 |
| 255 | 564.1 | 643.092853798095 | -78.992853798095 |
| 256 | 637.2 | 566.410184883384 | 70.7898151166165 |
| 257 | 650.8 | 635.406360585951 | 15.3936394140492 |
| 258 | 602.7 | 619.417304626103 | -16.7173046261029 |
| 259 | 587.5 | 655.162315752674 | -67.6623157526742 |
| 260 | 619.2 | 612.142228597066 | 7.05777140293378 |
| 261 | 616.5 | 599.551226823392 | 16.9487731766081 |
| 262 | 637.9 | 616.824558846974 | 21.0754411530264 |
| 263 | 557.9 | 621.163672305823 | -63.2636723058231 |
| 264 | 594 | 602.80854139483 | -8.80854139483017 |
| 265 | 668.7 | 591.029121966897 | 77.6708780331026 |
| 266 | 603.3 | 595.697466150021 | 7.60253384997918 |
| 267 | 674.5 | 654.219729471413 | 20.2802705285872 |
| 268 | 573.4 | 643.192428342542 | -69.7924283425418 |
| 269 | 706 | 628.92709174031 | 77.0729082596897 |
| 270 | 693.7 | 645.960758526637 | 47.7392414733634 |
| 271 | 627.5 | 715.26889399586 | -87.7688939958599 |
| 272 | 550.7 | 665.512023941018 | -114.812023941018 |
| 273 | 592.3 | 584.250531837379 | 8.04946816262145 |
| 274 | 660.2 | 596.569975267537 | 63.6300247324631 |
| 275 | 597.3 | 619.796628579658 | -22.4966285796578 |
| 276 | 641 | 627.905830636134 | 13.0941693638657 |
| 277 | 663.6 | 633.894737452163 | 29.7052625478374 |
| 278 | 595.9 | 607.002496686735 | -11.1024966867346 |
| 279 | 638.4 | 655.604753795603 | -17.2047537956025 |
| 280 | 665.4 | 617.630272216476 | 47.7697277835236 |
| 281 | 671.4 | 679.129330365533 | -7.72933036553297 |
| 282 | 637 | 646.160679647056 | -9.1606796470561 |
| 283 | 685.7 | 674.675357028272 | 11.0246429717284 |
| 284 | 705.8 | 679.28663479787 | 26.5133652021298 |
| 285 | 704.8 | 685.981263145661 | 18.8187368543391 |
| 286 | 734.4 | 708.08641283594 | 26.3135871640607 |
| 287 | 674.2 | 705.057203971865 | -30.8572039718649 |
| 288 | 748.6 | 710.788381069565 | 37.8116189304354 |
| 289 | 763.4 | 732.0458130846 | 31.3541869153999 |
| 290 | 658 | 703.816139059586 | -45.8161390595858 |
| 291 | 627.5 | 732.517217166384 | -105.017217166384 |
| 292 | 528.9 | 648.715714748592 | -119.815714748592 |
| 293 | 488.3 | 611.429841411837 | -123.129841411837 |
| 294 | 575.5 | 512.381697864898 | 63.1183021351021 |
| 295 | 735.6 | 582.746330591188 | 152.853669408812 |
| 296 | 685.3 | 668.639109569561 | 16.6608904304389 |
| 297 | 613.6 | 669.12744705585 | -55.52744705585 |
| 298 | 629.5 | 649.232842693205 | -19.7328426932054 |
| 299 | 634.7 | 616.204942516994 | 18.4950574830063 |
| 300 | 652.6 | 653.868123692042 | -1.26812369204208 |
| 301 | 728.3 | 652.209322124394 | 76.0906778756063 |
| 302 | 634.3 | 644.356801052261 | -10.0568010522609 |
| 303 | 690.7 | 689.511524313823 | 1.18847568617673 |
| 304 | 676.3 | 665.049319271907 | 11.2506807280934 |
| 305 | 675.4 | 702.155125889108 | -26.7551258891077 |
| 306 | 595.6 | 669.627634725998 | -74.0276347259983 |
| 307 | 712.4 | 667.862508234494 | 44.5374917655063 |
| 308 | 735.8 | 683.917892824756 | 51.8821071752443 |
| 309 | 544.4 | 699.988216596672 | -155.588216596672 |
| 310 | 567 | 625.369461980383 | -58.3694619803828 |
| 311 | 510 | 572.539774243617 | -62.5397742436173 |
| 312 | 564 | 562.640257820487 | 1.35974217951332 |
| 313 | 630.7 | 566.842775600629 | 63.8572243993708 |
| 314 | 496.7 | 546.367304944784 | -49.6673049447845 |
| 315 | 660.9 | 569.269307466429 | 91.6306925335713 |
| 316 | 601.2 | 596.428018890597 | 4.77198110940321 |
| 317 | 655.2 | 627.211665849609 | 27.9883341503914 |
| 318 | 591.6 | 622.626325633493 | -31.0263256334931 |
| 319 | 606.1 | 652.39623622629 | -46.2962362262904 |
| 320 | 560.7 | 617.070893012999 | -56.3708930129985 |
| 321 | 368.3 | 558.4982075775 | -190.1982075775 |
| 322 | 371.6 | 469.64072107023 | -98.0407210702298 |
| 323 | 413.9 | 393.407036862862 | 20.4929631371378 |
| 324 | 413.9 | 434.043010324258 | -20.1430103242583 |
| 325 | 389 | 429.353102176357 | -40.3531021763567 |
| 326 | 399.2 | 342.073044740622 | 57.1269552593782 |
| 327 | 429.8 | 433.703098457717 | -3.90309845771668 |
| 328 | 395.6 | 400.636233928384 | -5.03623392838369 |
| 329 | 472 | 426.560000595797 | 45.4399994042031 |
| 330 | 486 | 427.566861949428 | 58.4331380505724 |
| 331 | 525 | 506.628799454595 | 18.3712005454047 |
| 332 | 396 | 506.970683500652 | -110.970683500652 |
| 333 | 511 | 408.712422783838 | 102.287577216162 |
| 334 | 525 | 491.476640331395 | 33.5233596686046 |
| 335 | 492 | 497.439359276153 | -5.43935927615337 |
| 336 | 517 | 521.112717149882 | -4.11271714988197 |
| 337 | 525 | 524.548105833253 | 0.451894166747138 |
| 338 | 474 | 466.743966727762 | 7.25603327223848 |
| 339 | 539 | 526.593180321949 | 12.4068196780513 |
| 340 | 468 | 502.99409522082 | -34.9940952208205 |
| 341 | 543 | 515.248679132533 | 27.7513208674675 |
| 342 | 532 | 507.213991838635 | 24.7860081613653 |
| 343 | 565 | 564.863708518686 | 0.136291481313947 |
| 344 | 535 | 547.025362853983 | -12.0253628539826 |
| 345 | 534 | 518.264373732442 | 15.7356262675577 |
| 346 | 546 | 547.832350590095 | -1.83235059009462 |
| 347 | 494 | 531.40412576824 | -37.4041257682402 |
| 348 | 552 | 537.02218734416 | 14.9778126558405 |
| 349 | 511 | 551.599632643034 | -40.5996326430342 |
| 350 | 451 | 470.880424240462 | -19.8804242404617 |
| 351 | 537 | 515.556341734341 | 21.4436582656592 |
| 352 | 494 | 494.097577858952 | -0.0975778589520928 |
| 353 | 549 | 529.984771555382 | 19.0152284446182 |
| 354 | 544 | 516.78289499836 | 27.2171050016401 |
| 355 | 598 | 574.274682405654 | 23.7253175943462 |
| 356 | 583 | 569.091203773653 | 13.9087962263471 |
| 357 | 582 | 556.813031366087 | 25.1869686339135 |
| 358 | 589 | 590.750116568522 | -1.75011656852212 |
| 359 | 578 | 572.271670849227 | 5.72832915077345 |
| 360 | 561 | 605.737695640775 | -44.7376956407754 |
| 361 | 592 | 583.084095236195 | 8.91590476380486 |
| 362 | 504 | 531.872414284569 | -27.8724142845693 |
| 363 | 545 | 574.681657881906 | -29.6816578819062 |
| 364 | 547 | 522.935094041644 | 24.0649059583559 |
| 365 | 585 | 573.783525854808 | 11.2164741451920 |
| 366 | 562 | 556.727728299841 | 5.27227170015851 |
| 367 | 520 | 601.582343250151 | -81.5823432501506 |
| 368 | 581 | 535.886350683091 | 45.113649316909 |
| 369 | 590 | 541.889988682046 | 48.1100113179542 |
| 370 | 562 | 587.109069633081 | -25.1090696330808 |
| 371 | 548 | 555.725103208247 | -7.72510320824733 |
| 372 | 567 | 578.325004989015 | -11.3250049890153 |
| 373 | 542 | 577.841785352247 | -35.8417853522467 |
| 374 | 473 | 498.823363196379 | -25.8233631963786 |
| 375 | 531 | 542.528505312871 | -11.5285053128712 |
| 376 | 462 | 504.255631079634 | -42.2556310796338 |
| 377 | 479 | 516.447547586356 | -37.4475475863564 |
| 378 | 533 | 471.084293054909 | 61.9157069450911 |
| 379 | 552 | 542.513187031727 | 9.48681296827294 |
| 380 | 547 | 536.191675178118 | 10.8083248218818 |
| 381 | 562 | 522.793552957393 | 39.2064470426071 |
| 382 | 524 | 558.328713267186 | -34.328713267186 |
| 383 | 479 | 522.622622420933 | -43.622622420933 |
| 384 | 445 | 524.412026270279 | -79.4120262702793 |
| 385 | 406 | 483.447277443626 | -77.4472774436263 |
| 386 | 475 | 381.010992121496 | 93.989007878504 |
| 387 | 589 | 493.354741323378 | 95.6452586766223 |
| 388 | 495 | 513.98878554003 | -18.9887855400302 |
| 389 | 484 | 539.711646646164 | -55.7116466461637 |
| 390 | 536 | 490.085991959081 | 45.9140080409194 |
| 391 | 555 | 549.193907952483 | 5.80609204751715 |
| 392 | 565 | 540.831573783221 | 24.1684262167786 |
| 393 | 564 | 536.745723062781 | 27.2542769372189 |
| 394 | 573 | 560.958086639299 | 12.0419133607010 |
| 395 | 569 | 551.042670378900 | 17.9573296211005 |
| 396 | 588 | 585.740323915372 | 2.2596760846277 |
| 397 | 546 | 591.550232681781 | -45.5502326817808 |
| 398 | 508 | 518.108297879944 | -10.1082978799441 |
| 399 | 560 | 571.688412621305 | -11.6884126213052 |
| 400 | 558 | 524.388342809846 | 33.611657190154 |
| 401 | 516 | 577.783729792184 | -61.7837297921841 |
| 402 | 549 | 531.022428037625 | 17.9775719623746 |
| 403 | 595 | 571.844088750401 | 23.1559112495987 |
| 404 | 586 | 574.505282080236 | 11.4947179197638 |
| 405 | 597 | 563.450122772055 | 33.5498772279451 |
| 406 | 592 | 590.343438691808 | 1.65656130819173 |
| 407 | 538 | 574.922825773088 | -36.9228257730879 |
| 408 | 590 | 577.445539678708 | 12.5544603212923 |
| 409 | 576 | 586.102687675944 | -10.1026876759443 |
| 410 | 451 | 534.95036037407 | -83.9503603740698 |
| 411 | 538 | 546.412297076069 | -8.41229707606863 |
| 412 | 555 | 503.624413596377 | 51.3755864036229 |
| 413 | 532 | 561.152531385644 | -29.1525313856439 |
| 414 | 530 | 537.764408718264 | -7.76440871826389 |
| 415 | 553 | 564.221258822454 | -11.2212588224543 |
| 416 | 626 | 546.52175836158 | 79.4782416384196 |
| 417 | 601 | 575.369265181392 | 25.6307348186076 |
| 418 | 573 | 595.782136435226 | -22.7821364352257 |
| 419 | 569 | 564.053932491232 | 4.94606750876824 |
| 420 | 562 | 593.364832499196 | -31.3648324991963 |
| 421 | 468 | 575.636244606466 | -107.636244606466 |
| 422 | 483 | 464.360939268914 | 18.6390607310864 |
| 423 | 460 | 538.583342864103 | -78.5833428641025 |
| 424 | 411 | 459.453699975417 | -48.4536999754168 |
| 425 | 458 | 455.02083608086 | 2.97916391913964 |
| 426 | 455 | 450.843993603645 | 4.15600639635494 |
| 427 | 600 | 483.544562085717 | 116.455437914283 |
| 428 | 605 | 543.770597839195 | 61.2294021608045 |
| 429 | 545 | 558.860052510653 | -13.8600525106527 |
| 430 | 549 | 553.724251170765 | -4.72425117076466 |
| 431 | 415 | 533.798875101101 | -118.798875101101 |
| 432 | 568 | 490.309854157889 | 77.6901458421113 |
| 433 | 577 | 529.598098236768 | 47.4019017632316 |
| 434 | 517 | 514.140571706096 | 2.85942829390444 |
| 435 | 558 | 573.537229333313 | -15.5372293333132 |
| 436 | 518 | 532.229242990186 | -14.2292429901864 |
| 437 | 489 | 550.638639497854 | -61.6386394978542 |
| 438 | 502 | 510.028271065346 | -8.02827106534579 |
| 439 | 569 | 542.834645244295 | 26.1653547557055 |
| 440 | 540 | 548.412085242089 | -8.41208524208855 |
| 441 | 550 | 519.218076536147 | 30.7819234638526 |
| 442 | 557 | 539.880869293541 | 17.1191307064587 |
| 443 | 542 | 525.30277306021 | 16.6972269397901 |
| 444 | 542 | 570.940270378328 | -28.9402703783284 |
| 445 | 582 | 547.888111433617 | 34.1118885663834 |
| 446 | 525 | 522.141829885996 | 2.85817011400422 |
| 447 | 584 | 580.392279141445 | 3.60772085855535 |
| 448 | 562 | 550.044082155778 | 11.9559178442217 |
| 449 | 639 | 580.467262477236 | 58.5327375227638 |
| 450 | 613 | 611.609638030475 | 1.39036196952543 |
| 451 | 604 | 652.166417332685 | -48.1664173326847 |
| 452 | 613 | 613.625916880878 | -0.62591688087798 |
| 453 | 625 | 591.438782454608 | 33.5612175453922 |
| 454 | 654 | 613.030637879649 | 40.9693621203512 |
| 455 | 638 | 612.191723073064 | 25.8082769269364 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 456 | 660.450157413051 | 576.618082692342 | 744.282232133761 |
| 457 | 657.98973306556 | 561.530470039328 | 754.448996091793 |
| 458 | 611.217281097347 | 503.532930729197 | 718.901631465496 |
| 459 | 668.129431281383 | 550.220757308338 | 786.038105254428 |
| 460 | 636.477151139006 | 509.103501394086 | 763.850800883926 |
| 461 | 663.183344902744 | 526.945530614078 | 799.42115919141 |
| 462 | 657.714024261582 | 513.102162539662 | 802.325885983502 |
| 463 | 694.538077353688 | 541.961404336201 | 847.114750371174 |
| 464 | 686.424465491514 | 526.231011157285 | 846.617919825743 |
| 465 | 666.877013640742 | 499.367179564691 | 834.386847716793 |
| 466 | 670.009105026937 | 495.445376763564 | 844.57283329031 |
| 467 | 645.046820698663 | 463.660922887495 | 826.432718509832 |
