Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 8027.7 | NA | NA | 0.998620064834709 | NA |
2 | 8059.6 | NA | NA | 1.00018982747866 | NA |
3 | 8059.5 | 8028.39014401839 | 8024.2375 | 1.00051751260084 | 1.00387498059057 |
4 | 7988.9 | 8012.96085559406 | 8007.575 | 1.00067259508579 | 0.996997257814224 |
5 | 7950.2 | 7986.81348553828 | 7997.85 | 0.998620064834709 | 0.995415758036096 |
6 | 8003.8 | 8006.6320903223 | 8005.1125 | 1.00018982747866 | 0.999646281945973 |
7 | 8037.5 | 8045.21134469899 | 8041.05 | 1.00051751260084 | 0.999041498803624 |
8 | 8069 | 8102.48352763193 | 8097.0375 | 1.00067259508579 | 0.995867498216104 |
9 | 8157.6 | 8152.32227853382 | 8163.5875 | 0.998620064834709 | 1.0006473887177 |
10 | 8244.3 | 8245.13985705743 | 8243.575 | 1.00018982747866 | 0.99989813913748 |
11 | 8329.4 | 8325.74394876336 | 8321.4375 | 1.00051751260084 | 1.00043912607199 |
12 | 8417 | 8391.7029244266 | 8386.0625 | 1.00067259508579 | 1.00301453421328 |
13 | 8432.5 | 8429.88872555463 | 8441.5375 | 0.998620064834709 | 1.00030976380951 |
14 | 8486.4 | 8496.712603414 | 8495.1 | 1.00018982747866 | 0.998786283131448 |
15 | 8531.1 | 8564.80510193042 | 8560.375 | 1.00051751260084 | 0.996064697149638 |
16 | 8643.8 | 8648.22534417683 | 8642.4125 | 1.00067259508579 | 0.999488294534345 |
17 | 8727.9 | 8722.1224047777 | 8734.175 | 0.998620064834709 | 1.00066240703285 |
18 | 8847.3 | 8827.42536986982 | 8825.75 | 1.00018982747866 | 1.0022514639657 |
19 | 8904.3 | 8912.4599246214 | 8907.85 | 1.00051751260084 | 0.999084436318321 |
20 | 9003.2 | 8975.73297614097 | 8969.7 | 1.00067259508579 | 1.00306014271281 |
21 | 9025.3 | 9008.97601840146 | 9021.425 | 0.998620064834709 | 1.00181196859279 |
22 | 9044.7 | 9072.83444641456 | 9071.1125 | 1.00018982747866 | 0.996899045542964 |
23 | 9120.7 | 9126.20798471966 | 9121.4875 | 1.00051751260084 | 0.999396465133286 |
24 | 9184.3 | 9200.70919233114 | 9194.525 | 1.00067259508579 | 0.998216529618737 |
25 | 9247.2 | 9273.03612904538 | 9285.85 | 0.998620064834709 | 0.997213843590617 |
26 | 9407.1 | 9384.68113224956 | 9382.9 | 1.00018982747866 | 1.00238887900766 |
27 | 9488.9 | 9491.20927978535 | 9486.3 | 1.00051751260084 | 0.999756692775675 |
28 | 9592.5 | 9595.43700587016 | 9588.9875 | 1.00067259508579 | 0.999693916403352 |
29 | 9666.2 | 9681.39683905792 | 9694.775 | 0.998620064834709 | 0.998430305119133 |
30 | 9809.6 | 9804.16074589411 | 9802.3 | 1.00018982747866 | 1.00055479038409 |
31 | 9932.7 | 9914.12803236173 | 9909 | 1.00051751260084 | 1.00187328301366 |
32 | 10008.9 | 10018.4713454427 | 10011.7375 | 1.00067259508579 | 0.99904463015238 |
33 | 10103.4 | 10095.387269686 | 10109.3375 | 0.998620064834709 | 1.00079370212355 |
34 | 10194.3 | 10223.1277622521 | 10221.1875 | 1.00018982747866 | 0.997180142621466 |
35 | 10328.8 | 10351.1040559901 | 10345.75 | 1.00051751260084 | 0.99784524859672 |
36 | 10507.6 | 10476.2290240647 | 10469.1875 | 1.00067259508579 | 1.00299449122993 |
37 | 10601.2 | 10577.1715199655 | 10591.7875 | 0.998620064834709 | 1.00227173020587 |
38 | 10684 | 10718.546788548 | 10716.5125 | 1.00018982747866 | 0.996776914890658 |
39 | 10819.9 | 10840.6822878436 | 10835.075 | 1.00051751260084 | 0.99808293543785 |
40 | 11014.3 | 10969.4855629973 | 10962.1125 | 1.00067259508579 | 1.00408537271372 |
41 | 11043 | 11074.6216225121 | 11089.925 | 0.998620064834709 | 0.997144676938869 |
42 | 11258.5 | 11188.073400685 | 11185.95 | 1.00018982747866 | 1.00629479239122 |
43 | 11267.9 | 11263.5760274821 | 11257.75 | 1.00051751260084 | 1.00038388985055 |
44 | 11334.5 | 11311.2277626266 | 11303.625 | 1.00067259508579 | 1.00205744573992 |
45 | 11297.2 | 11311.1198193665 | 11326.75 | 0.998620064834709 | 0.998769368586945 |
46 | 11371.3 | 11343.6279236036 | 11341.475 | 1.00018982747866 | 1.00243943794549 |
47 | 11340.1 | 11375.6464953623 | 11369.7625 | 1.00051751260084 | 0.996875210971367 |
48 | 11380.1 | 11420.9640210852 | 11413.2875 | 1.00067259508579 | 0.996422016476917 |
49 | 11477.9 | 11450.4398011618 | 11466.2625 | 0.998620064834709 | 1.00239817852546 |
50 | 11538.8 | 11527.8253827066 | 11525.6375 | 1.00018982747866 | 1.00095201106271 |
51 | 11596.4 | 11579.9521714354 | 11573.9625 | 1.00051751260084 | 1.00142037102754 |
52 | 11598.8 | 11627.7530128596 | 11619.9375 | 1.00067259508579 | 0.99751000792435 |
53 | 11645.8 | 11671.1847664935 | 11687.3125 | 0.998620064834709 | 0.997825005172878 |
54 | 11738.7 | 11787.4371548016 | 11785.2 | 1.00018982747866 | 0.995865330676932 |
55 | 11935.5 | 11907.0838786492 | 11900.925 | 1.00051751260084 | 1.00238648871885 |
56 | 12042.8 | 12028.622454451 | 12020.5375 | 1.00067259508579 | 1.00117865080583 |
57 | 12127.6 | 12109.1920096808 | 12125.925 | 0.998620064834709 | 1.00152016668862 |
58 | 12213.8 | 12220.181786033 | 12217.8625 | 1.00018982747866 | 0.999477766685898 |
59 | 12303.5 | 12320.9854671432 | 12314.6125 | 1.00051751260084 | 0.998580838587153 |
60 | 12410.3 | 12420.4858426866 | 12412.1375 | 1.00067259508579 | 0.999179915921518 |
61 | 12534.1 | 12489.0545995931 | 12506.3125 | 0.998620064834709 | 1.00360679025363 |
62 | 12587.5 | 12598.4660811583 | 12596.075 | 1.00018982747866 | 0.99912957013277 |
63 | 12683.2 | 12692.6652166055 | 12686.1 | 1.00051751260084 | 0.999254276667351 |
64 | 12748.7 | 12789.2962360129 | 12780.7 | 1.00067259508579 | 0.996825764665722 |
65 | 12915.9 | 12845.1625147132 | 12862.9125 | 0.998620064834709 | 1.00550693579827 |
66 | 12962.5 | 12939.7058455484 | 12937.25 | 1.00018982747866 | 1.00176156666339 |
67 | 12965.9 | 13005.9772756765 | 12999.25 | 1.00051751260084 | 0.99691854946176 |
68 | 13060.7 | 13061.21650532 | 13052.4375 | 1.00067259508579 | 0.999960455037261 |
69 | 13099.9 | 13108.9105565868 | 13127.025 | 0.998620064834709 | 0.999312638792679 |
70 | 13204 | 13215.2456406459 | 13212.7375 | 1.00018982747866 | 0.999149040362043 |
71 | 13321.1 | 13294.3014098702 | 13287.425 | 1.00051751260084 | 1.00201579528729 |
72 | 13391.2 | 13356.1897695364 | 13347.2125 | 1.00067259508579 | 1.00262127381144 |
73 | 13366.9 | 13355.6071608535 | 13374.0625 | 0.998620064834709 | 1.00084555041269 |
74 | 13415.3 | 13345.8704321146 | 13343.3375 | 1.00018982747866 | 1.00520232593584 |
75 | 13324.6 | 13263.8481580804 | 13256.9875 | 1.00051751260084 | 1.00458025764435 |
76 | 13141.9 | 13146.4112683841 | 13137.575 | 1.00067259508579 | 0.999656844115702 |
77 | 12925.4 | 13011.4202727574 | 13029.4 | 0.998620064834709 | 0.993388863709409 |
78 | 12901.5 | 12989.5528060753 | 12987.0875 | 1.00018982747866 | 0.9932212596238 |
79 | 12973 | NA | NA | 1.00051751260084 | NA |
80 | 13155 | NA | NA | 1.00067259508579 | NA |