| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.692095688349756 |
| beta | 0.00660408012385285 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 95.2 | 98.8 | -3.59999999999999 |
| 4 | 77.1 | 99.0920011625756 | -21.9920011625756 |
| 5 | 70.9 | 86.5544597619951 | -15.6544597619951 |
| 6 | 64.8 | 78.3315522987742 | -13.5315522987742 |
| 7 | 70.1 | 71.5160518753103 | -1.41605187531029 |
| 8 | 77.3 | 73.0791647720042 | 4.22083522799579 |
| 9 | 79.5 | 78.5628349118503 | 0.937165088149698 |
| 10 | 100.6 | 81.7781745645975 | 18.8218254354025 |
| 11 | 100.7 | 97.4574386089515 | 3.24256139104848 |
| 12 | 107.1 | 102.36918181121 | 4.73081818878975 |
| 13 | 95.9 | 108.332564065946 | -12.4325640659457 |
| 14 | 82.8 | 102.360418498854 | -19.5604184988543 |
| 15 | 83.3 | 91.3657116795303 | -8.06571167953032 |
| 16 | 80 | 88.2895763002296 | -8.28957630022958 |
| 17 | 80.4 | 85.0206163856606 | -4.62061638566061 |
| 18 | 67.5 | 84.2698085635544 | -16.7698085635544 |
| 19 | 75.7 | 75.0339482024756 | 0.666051797524403 |
| 20 | 71.1 | 77.868415913199 | -6.76841591319905 |
| 21 | 89.3 | 75.5265844795528 | 13.7734155204472 |
| 22 | 101.1 | 87.4646195476795 | 13.6353804523205 |
| 23 | 105.2 | 99.369443765327 | 5.83055623467301 |
| 24 | 114.1 | 105.899232256831 | 8.20076774316915 |
| 25 | 96.3 | 114.106916797041 | -17.806916797041 |
| 26 | 84.4 | 104.233405722965 | -19.8334057229651 |
| 27 | 91.2 | 92.8667187382124 | -1.66671873821244 |
| 28 | 81.9 | 94.0654994902402 | -12.1654994902402 |
| 29 | 80.5 | 87.942515045174 | -7.44251504517402 |
| 30 | 70.4 | 85.0542705992548 | -14.6542705992548 |
| 31 | 74.8 | 77.1078216081807 | -2.30782160818067 |
| 32 | 75.9 | 77.6957484730114 | -1.79574847301137 |
| 33 | 86.3 | 78.6298711993946 | 7.67012880060541 |
| 34 | 98.7 | 86.1503442887578 | 12.5496557112422 |
| 35 | 100.9 | 97.1052770655435 | 3.79472293445649 |
| 36 | 113.8 | 102.018302986517 | 11.7816970134831 |
| 37 | 89.8 | 112.512929307377 | -22.7129293073771 |
| 38 | 84.4 | 99.030160507817 | -14.630160507817 |
| 39 | 87.2 | 91.0745717225363 | -3.87457172253626 |
| 40 | 85.6 | 90.5451702291255 | -4.94517022912547 |
| 41 | 72 | 89.2522094564416 | -17.2522094564416 |
| 42 | 69.2 | 79.3627459942252 | -10.1627459942252 |
| 43 | 77.5 | 74.3334192172755 | 3.16658078272445 |
| 44 | 78.1 | 78.543735380746 | -0.443735380746062 |
| 45 | 94.3 | 80.2533391323942 | 14.0466608676058 |
| 46 | 97.7 | 92.055886096061 | 5.644113903939 |
| 47 | 100.2 | 98.0688638345937 | 2.13113616540629 |
| 48 | 116.4 | 101.660265515998 | 14.7397344840024 |
| 49 | 97.1 | 114.045393976544 | -16.9453939765436 |
| 50 | 93 | 104.423930088605 | -11.4239300886054 |
| 51 | 96 | 98.5716327033767 | -2.57163270337665 |
| 52 | 80.5 | 98.8342181236054 | -18.3342181236054 |
| 53 | 76.1 | 88.1037867445584 | -12.0037867445584 |
| 54 | 69.9 | 81.6997544558886 | -11.7997544558886 |
| 55 | 73.6 | 75.3829994233139 | -1.7829994233139 |
| 56 | 92.6 | 75.9906478841345 | 16.6093521158655 |
| 57 | 94.2 | 89.4034791684281 | 4.79652083157185 |
| 58 | 93.5 | 94.6626240973995 | -1.16262409739949 |
| 59 | 108.5 | 95.7921565606936 | 12.7078434393064 |
| 60 | 109.4 | 106.579462974512 | 2.82053702548848 |
| 61 | 105.1 | 110.536698952661 | -5.43669895266105 |
| 62 | 92.5 | 108.754288235334 | -16.2542882353335 |
| 63 | 97.1 | 99.4107778671714 | -2.3107778671714 |
| 64 | 81.4 | 99.7069491359856 | -18.3069491359856 |
| 65 | 79.1 | 88.8485644840035 | -9.74856448400347 |
| 66 | 72.1 | 83.8688436201983 | -11.7688436201983 |
| 67 | 78.7 | 77.4371049485696 | 1.26289505143036 |
| 68 | 87.1 | 80.0303486813362 | 7.0696513186638 |
| 69 | 91.4 | 86.6747363297819 | 4.7252636702181 |
| 70 | 109.9 | 91.7181809467305 | 18.1818190532695 |
| 71 | 116.3 | 106.157952353389 | 10.1420476466112 |
| 72 | 113 | 115.079788438814 | -2.07978843881365 |
| 73 | 100 | 115.533438469583 | -15.533438469583 |
| 74 | 84.8 | 106.604877327391 | -21.8048773273913 |
| 75 | 94.3 | 93.2362178121113 | 1.06378218788868 |
| 76 | 87.1 | 95.6997211274747 | -8.59972112747467 |
| 77 | 90.3 | 91.4358491022902 | -1.13584910229025 |
| 78 | 72.4 | 92.332499149321 | -19.9324991493209 |
| 79 | 84.9 | 80.128964158924 | 4.77103584107599 |
| 80 | 92.7 | 85.0444459830097 | 7.65555401699032 |
| 81 | 92.2 | 91.991281298761 | 0.208718701239064 |
| 82 | 114.9 | 93.7851479818846 | 21.1148520181154 |
| 83 | 112.5 | 110.144568105642 | 2.35543189435806 |
| 84 | 118.3 | 113.531440313264 | 4.76855968673645 |
| 85 | 106 | 118.610223304411 | -12.6102233044106 |
| 86 | 91.2 | 111.603588533639 | -20.403588533639 |
| 87 | 96.6 | 99.1099415182966 | -2.50994151829657 |
| 88 | 96.3 | 98.988938373423 | -2.68893837342294 |
| 89 | 88.2 | 98.7317620662473 | -10.5317620662473 |
| 90 | 70.2 | 92.9984642418397 | -22.7984642418397 |
| 91 | 86.5 | 78.6712308082087 | 7.82876919179128 |
| 92 | 88.2 | 85.5767561860945 | 2.6232438139055 |
| 93 | 102.8 | 88.8915498377994 | 13.9084501622006 |
| 94 | 119.1 | 100.080356877847 | 19.0196431221527 |
| 95 | 119.2 | 114.893530761949 | 4.30646923805097 |
| 96 | 125.1 | 119.543463825712 | 5.55653617428784 |
| 97 | 106.1 | 125.083959838148 | -18.9839598381483 |
| 98 | 102.1 | 113.55331523226 | -11.4533152322596 |
| 99 | 105.2 | 107.182248131724 | -1.98224813172445 |
| 100 | 101 | 107.357005562455 | -6.35700556245465 |
| 101 | 84.3 | 104.474956556131 | -20.1749565561306 |
| 102 | 87.5 | 91.937350471546 | -4.43735047154603 |
| 103 | 92.7 | 90.271392103247 | 2.42860789675298 |
| 104 | 94.4 | 93.368434247784 | 1.03156575221597 |
| 105 | 113 | 95.5033044791985 | 17.4966955208015 |
| 106 | 113.9 | 109.113591397071 | 4.7864086029288 |
| 107 | 122.9 | 113.949020565624 | 8.95097943437591 |
| 108 | 132.7 | 121.70764309275 | 10.9923569072501 |
| 109 | 106.9 | 130.929336442375 | -24.0293364423748 |
| 110 | 96.6 | 115.802837010147 | -19.2028370101472 |
| 111 | 127.3 | 103.92896747451 | 23.3710325254902 |
| 112 | 98.2 | 121.627110416383 | -23.427110416383 |
| 113 | 100.2 | 106.829383157166 | -6.62938315716565 |
| 114 | 89.4 | 103.626989882339 | -14.2269898823395 |
| 115 | 95.3 | 95.1012990834074 | 0.198700916592628 |
| 116 | 104.2 | 96.5604748812962 | 7.63952511870382 |
| 117 | 106.4 | 103.204330663813 | 3.19566933618673 |
| 118 | 116.2 | 106.787219322844 | 9.41278067715614 |
| 119 | 135.9 | 114.715966511585 | 21.1840334884147 |
| 120 | 134 | 130.888371934092 | 3.11162806590849 |
| 121 | 104.6 | 134.56716566513 | -29.96716566513 |
| 122 | 107.1 | 115.215299292158 | -8.1152992921581 |
| 123 | 123.5 | 110.949923181951 | 12.5500768180488 |
| 124 | 98.8 | 121.044326851863 | -22.2443268518629 |
| 125 | 98.6 | 106.956002610945 | -8.35600261094477 |
| 126 | 90.6 | 102.441535287287 | -11.8415352872869 |
| 127 | 89.1 | 95.4606222497712 | -6.3606222497712 |
| 128 | 105.2 | 92.2439532814389 | 12.9560467185611 |
| 129 | 114 | 102.455485243997 | 11.5445147560033 |
| 130 | 122.1 | 111.742868019771 | 10.3571319802294 |
| 131 | 138 | 120.255807177009 | 17.7441928229905 |
| 132 | 142.2 | 133.962401883477 | 8.23759811652278 |
| 133 | 116.4 | 141.127174604853 | -24.7271746048533 |
| 134 | 112.6 | 125.364150864714 | -12.7641508647144 |
| 135 | 123.8 | 117.82234373994 | 5.97765626005982 |
| 136 | 103.6 | 123.278982324845 | -19.6789823248452 |
| 137 | 113.9 | 110.888826121169 | 3.01117387883144 |
| 138 | 98.6 | 114.216192232126 | -15.6161922321261 |
| 139 | 95 | 104.580262339349 | -9.58026233934862 |
| 140 | 116 | 99.077985422948 | 16.922014577052 |
| 141 | 113.9 | 111.995164788794 | 1.90483521120638 |
| 142 | 127.5 | 114.527725409667 | 12.9722745903328 |
| 143 | 131.4 | 124.779304902544 | 6.62069509745628 |
| 144 | 145.9 | 130.665244529851 | 15.2347554701489 |
| 145 | 131.5 | 142.582571017325 | -11.0825710173245 |
| 146 | 131 | 136.235134701089 | -5.23513470108867 |
| 147 | 130.5 | 133.910755850637 | -3.41075585063689 |
| 148 | 118.9 | 132.833432346923 | -13.9334323469233 |
| 149 | 114.3 | 124.409724892723 | -10.1097248927229 |
| 150 | 85.7 | 118.586180812622 | -32.8861808126219 |
| 151 | 104.6 | 96.8488383952368 | 7.75116160476317 |
| 152 | 105.1 | 103.271853339401 | 1.82814666059924 |
| 153 | 117.3 | 105.603931007046 | 11.6960689929541 |
| 154 | 142.5 | 114.819013874543 | 27.6809861254573 |
| 155 | 140 | 135.22370921621 | 4.77629078379002 |
| 156 | 159.8 | 139.797994448108 | 20.0020055518917 |
| 157 | 131.2 | 155.001353497324 | -23.8013534973243 |
| 158 | 125.4 | 139.779808828946 | -14.3798088289459 |
| 159 | 126.5 | 131.013149452571 | -4.5131494525705 |
| 160 | 119.4 | 129.054534438178 | -9.6545344381775 |
| 161 | 113.5 | 123.493461493336 | -9.99346149333589 |
| 162 | 98.7 | 117.652141926422 | -18.9521419264224 |
| 163 | 114.5 | 105.523934549022 | 8.97606545097764 |
| 164 | 113.8 | 112.765745582697 | 1.0342544173034 |
| 165 | 133.1 | 114.515790662792 | 18.5842093372077 |
| 166 | 143.4 | 128.497025890062 | 14.9029741099377 |
| 167 | 137.3 | 139.99861044752 | -2.69861044751971 |
| 168 | 165.2 | 139.305879806279 | 25.8941201937212 |
| 169 | 126.9 | 158.520407859741 | -31.6204078597406 |
| 170 | 124 | 137.784853042653 | -13.7848530426527 |
| 171 | 135.7 | 129.330203001086 | 6.36979699891427 |
| 172 | 130 | 134.853613500403 | -4.85361350040318 |
| 173 | 109.4 | 132.587165789909 | -23.1871657899093 |
| 174 | 117.8 | 117.526165043667 | 0.273834956333403 |
| 175 | 120.3 | 118.703673363485 | 1.59632663651495 |
| 176 | 121 | 120.803768731964 | 0.196231268036215 |
| 177 | 132.3 | 121.935761038141 | 10.3642389618593 |
| 178 | 142.9 | 130.152358992882 | 12.7476410071175 |
| 179 | 147.4 | 140.076764300693 | 7.32323569930679 |
| 180 | 175.9 | 146.280434069749 | 29.619565930251 |
| 181 | 132.6 | 168.050678686013 | -35.4506786860133 |
| 182 | 123.7 | 144.624054728263 | -20.9240547282634 |
| 183 | 153.3 | 131.155607934651 | 22.1443920653487 |
| 184 | 134 | 147.595861855532 | -13.5958618555325 |
| 185 | 119.6 | 139.238298138121 | -19.6382981381209 |
| 186 | 116.2 | 126.609030429378 | -10.4090304293778 |
| 187 | 118.6 | 120.319723017557 | -1.71972301755677 |
| 188 | 130.7 | 120.036387538942 | 10.6636124610583 |
| 189 | 129.3 | 128.372244850122 | 0.92775514987818 |
| 190 | 144.4 | 129.974197742912 | 14.4258022570878 |
| 191 | 163.2 | 140.98402621043 | 22.2159737895696 |
| 192 | 179.4 | 157.48694036719 | 21.9130596328096 |
| 193 | 128.1 | 173.880365986003 | -45.780365986003 |
| 194 | 138.4 | 143.214217328353 | -4.81421732835315 |
| 195 | 152.7 | 140.878559396629 | 11.8214406033707 |
| 196 | 120 | 150.110400323397 | -30.110400323397 |
| 197 | 140.5 | 130.183770676972 | 10.3162293230281 |
| 198 | 116.2 | 138.283389032399 | -22.0833890323988 |
| 199 | 121.4 | 123.858435658984 | -2.45843565898443 |
| 200 | 127.8 | 123.004591237206 | 4.79540876279408 |
| 201 | 143.6 | 127.193019424558 | 16.4069805754425 |
| 202 | 157.6 | 139.492757052431 | 18.1072429475692 |
| 203 | 166.2 | 153.052000904498 | 13.1479990955023 |
| 204 | 182.3 | 163.239068441866 | 19.0609315581339 |
| 205 | 153.1 | 177.605571991485 | -24.5055719914846 |
| 206 | 147.6 | 161.707879753494 | -14.1078797534936 |
| 207 | 157.7 | 152.941903225719 | 4.75809677428092 |
| 208 | 137.2 | 157.254735329941 | -20.0547353299413 |
| 209 | 151.5 | 144.30305003517 | 7.19694996483005 |
| 210 | 98.7 | 150.245033411245 | -51.5450334112451 |
| 211 | 145.8 | 115.296348783392 | 30.5036512166083 |
| 212 | 151.7 | 137.272626698764 | 14.4273733012359 |
| 213 | 129.4 | 148.188524535582 | -18.7885245355823 |
| 214 | 174.1 | 136.029966824136 | 38.0700331758638 |
| 215 | 197 | 163.396976752491 | 33.6030232475094 |
| 216 | 193.9 | 187.82597620858 | 6.07402379141982 |
| 217 | 164.1 | 193.230036106043 | -29.1300361060432 |
| 218 | 142.8 | 174.13637457984 | -31.3363745798401 |
| 219 | 157.9 | 153.372487939843 | 4.52751206015702 |
| 220 | 159.2 | 157.450536308205 | 1.7494636917954 |
| 221 | 162.2 | 159.61390557443 | 2.58609442557028 |
| 222 | 123.1 | 162.368123510639 | -39.2681235106388 |
| 223 | 130 | 135.97573661399 | -5.97573661399016 |
| 224 | 150.1 | 132.597554110684 | 17.5024458893157 |
| 225 | 169.4 | 145.548518136659 | 23.8514818633411 |
| 226 | 179.7 | 163.002639489315 | 16.6973605106846 |
| 227 | 182.1 | 175.581742180505 | 6.5182578194954 |
| 228 | 194.3 | 181.145724498018 | 13.1542755019818 |
| 229 | 161.4 | 191.362589701477 | -29.9625897014765 |
| 230 | 169.4 | 171.601509730669 | -2.20150973066885 |
| 231 | 168.8 | 171.043691169297 | -2.24369116929702 |
| 232 | 158.1 | 170.44642387701 | -12.34642387701 |
| 233 | 158.5 | 162.800667588457 | -4.30066758845695 |
| 234 | 135.3 | 160.703687667277 | -25.4036876672769 |
| 235 | 149.3 | 143.885287036698 | 5.41471296330158 |
| 236 | 143.4 | 148.420917391311 | -5.02091739131143 |
| 237 | 142.2 | 145.711144089202 | -3.51114408920165 |
| 238 | 188.4 | 144.030230150249 | 44.369769849751 |
| 239 | 166.2 | 175.69028922993 | -9.49028922993045 |
| 240 | 199.2 | 170.030656804782 | 29.169343195218 |
| 241 | 182.7 | 191.260512309649 | -8.56051230964914 |
| 242 | 145.2 | 186.338570345901 | -41.1385703459013 |
| 243 | 182.1 | 158.68146465261 | 23.4185353473903 |
| 244 | 158.7 | 175.811091516544 | -17.1110915165441 |
| 245 | 141.6 | 164.81212947504 | -23.2121294750403 |
| 246 | 132.6 | 149.484570723555 | -16.8845707235545 |
| 247 | 139.6 | 138.459114547748 | 1.14088545225184 |
| 248 | 147 | 139.914213465984 | 7.08578653401574 |
| 249 | 166.6 | 145.516139478913 | 21.0838605210872 |
| 250 | 157 | 160.902439204 | -3.9024392040001 |
| 251 | 180.4 | 158.9779919168 | 21.4220080832001 |
| 252 | 210.2 | 174.678398023391 | 35.5216019766089 |
| 253 | 159.8 | 200.299429272246 | -40.4994292722465 |
| 254 | 157.8 | 173.121523635608 | -15.3215236356079 |
| 255 | 168.2 | 163.299108527341 | 4.90089147265925 |
| 256 | 158.4 | 167.494940009497 | -9.09494000949675 |
| 257 | 152 | 161.962747031505 | -9.96274703150465 |
| 258 | 142.2 | 155.78441227195 | -13.5844122719497 |
| 259 | 137.2 | 147.037448947812 | -9.83744894781205 |
| 260 | 152.6 | 140.838779195763 | 11.7612208042366 |
| 261 | 166.8 | 149.642212140333 | 17.1577878596668 |
| 262 | 165.6 | 162.259008211233 | 3.34099178876684 |
| 263 | 198.6 | 165.328529816747 | 33.2714701832533 |
| 264 | 201.5 | 189.264878893498 | 12.235121106502 |
| 265 | 170.7 | 198.69798399771 | -27.9979839977104 |
| 266 | 164.4 | 180.157961394208 | -15.7579613942079 |
| 267 | 179.7 | 170.017181448881 | 9.68281855111911 |
| 268 | 157 | 177.528112438666 | -20.5281124386664 |
| 269 | 168 | 164.036361421846 | 3.96363857815396 |
| 270 | 139.3 | 167.513362109891 | -28.2133621098914 |
| 271 | 138.6 | 148.59184580242 | -9.99184580241956 |
| 272 | 153.4 | 142.235693082778 | 11.1643069172216 |
| 273 | 138.9 | 150.572650641937 | -11.6726506419365 |
| 274 | 172.1 | 143.050896675928 | 29.0491033240716 |
| 275 | 198.4 | 163.845266492204 | 34.5547335077958 |
| 276 | 217.8 | 188.607996998869 | 29.1920030011308 |
| 277 | 173.7 | 209.792631429637 | -36.0926314296375 |
| 278 | 153.8 | 185.629084875386 | -31.8290848753863 |
| 279 | 175.6 | 164.270840730409 | 11.3291592695909 |
| 280 | 147.1 | 172.834012957674 | -25.7340129576745 |
| 281 | 160.3 | 155.628302185131 | 4.67169781486925 |
| 282 | 135.2 | 159.487605460222 | -24.287605460222 |
| 283 | 148.8 | 143.193289526464 | 5.60671047353594 |
| 284 | 151 | 147.614327098011 | 3.38567290198887 |
| 285 | 148.2 | 150.513668886689 | -2.31366888668947 |
| 286 | 182.2 | 149.457945813849 | 32.7420541861508 |
| 287 | 189.2 | 172.813790177798 | 16.3862098222021 |
| 288 | 183.1 | 184.924720896207 | -1.82472089620714 |
| 289 | 170 | 184.423604813189 | -14.4236048131894 |
| 290 | 158.4 | 175.136930166282 | -16.7369301662818 |
| 291 | 176.1 | 164.172714276852 | 11.9272857231477 |
| 292 | 156.2 | 173.101394127074 | -16.9013941270738 |
| 293 | 153.2 | 162.000618504158 | -8.80061850415797 |
| 294 | 117.9 | 156.466130167844 | -38.5661301678444 |
| 295 | 149.8 | 130.154787057261 | 19.6452129427389 |
| 296 | 156.6 | 144.221055024774 | 12.3789449752262 |
| 297 | 166.7 | 153.314950153017 | 13.3850498469828 |
| 298 | 156.8 | 163.166344575116 | -6.3663445751155 |
| 299 | 158.6 | 159.318785711706 | -0.718785711705863 |
| 300 | 210.8 | 159.376592665584 | 51.4234073344163 |
| 301 | 203.6 | 195.756825281135 | 7.84317471886499 |
| 302 | 175.2 | 202.011215254903 | -26.8112152549029 |
| 303 | 168.7 | 184.158906520206 | -15.4589065202063 |
| 304 | 155.9 | 174.092824379365 | -18.1928243793649 |
| 305 | 147.3 | 162.051456345284 | -14.7514563452844 |
| 306 | 137 | 152.32442046632 | -15.3244204663195 |
| 307 | 141.1 | 142.130795944769 | -1.03079594476912 |
| 308 | 167.4 | 141.825015912444 | 25.5749840875558 |
| 309 | 160.2 | 160.049875964267 | 0.150124035732915 |
| 310 | 191.9 | 160.678986162559 | 31.2210138374411 |
| 311 | 174.4 | 182.954825720645 | -8.55482572064454 |
| 312 | 208.2 | 177.662877059889 | 30.537122940111 |
| 313 | 159.4 | 199.565872181665 | -40.165872181665 |
| 314 | 161.1 | 172.352044866497 | -11.2520448664972 |
| 315 | 172.1 | 165.09792355045 | 7.00207644955003 |
| 316 | 158.4 | 170.509404970242 | -12.1094049702423 |
| 317 | 114.6 | 162.638564584453 | -48.0385645844534 |
| 318 | 159.6 | 129.68174002001 | 29.9182599799899 |
| 319 | 159.7 | 150.815243669971 | 8.88475633002872 |
| 320 | 159.4 | 157.432159292218 | 1.96784070778153 |
| 321 | 160.7 | 159.270901757346 | 1.42909824265416 |
| 322 | 165.5 | 160.743314800798 | 4.75668519920214 |
| 323 | 205 | 164.540477598279 | 40.4595224017213 |
| 324 | 205.2 | 193.232346619183 | 11.967653380817 |
| 325 | 141.6 | 202.259815956995 | -60.6598159569953 |
| 326 | 148.1 | 160.744871796246 | -12.6448717962464 |
| 327 | 184.9 | 152.403068114211 | 32.4969318857892 |
| 328 | 132.5 | 175.452244401376 | -42.9522444013756 |
| 329 | 137.3 | 146.08705118373 | -8.78705118372963 |
| 330 | 135.5 | 140.327278300892 | -4.82727830089229 |
| 331 | 121.7 | 137.285983331578 | -15.5859833315779 |
| 332 | 166.1 | 126.727396839744 | 39.372603160256 |
| 333 | 146.8 | 154.385369697134 | -7.58536969713441 |
| 334 | 162.8 | 149.50926189547 | 13.2907381045297 |
| 335 | 186.8 | 159.142165676474 | 27.6578343235258 |
| 336 | 185.5 | 178.84488923398 | 6.65511076601987 |
| 337 | 151.5 | 184.042136591556 | -32.5421365915565 |
| 338 | 158.1 | 161.962399166111 | -3.86239916611137 |
| 339 | 143 | 159.714130660295 | -16.7141306602946 |
| 340 | 151.2 | 148.494839668313 | 2.70516033168684 |
| 341 | 147.6 | 150.727920598313 | -3.12792059831304 |
| 342 | 130.7 | 148.909654719756 | -18.2096547197563 |
| 343 | 137.5 | 136.570155626612 | 0.929844373387567 |
| 344 | 146.1 | 137.481271331195 | 8.6187286688054 |
| 345 | 133.6 | 143.753223943408 | -10.1532239434078 |
| 346 | 167.9 | 136.986782203169 | 30.9132177968312 |
| 347 | 181.9 | 158.783541392428 | 23.1164586075718 |
| 348 | 202 | 175.289854529583 | 26.7101454704166 |
| 349 | 166.5 | 194.405425719867 | -27.9054257198672 |
| 350 | 151.3 | 175.59424948842 | -24.29424948842 |
| 351 | 146.2 | 159.17131211452 | -12.9713121145199 |
| 352 | 148.3 | 150.525643479058 | -2.22564347905833 |
| 353 | 144.7 | 149.306833125295 | -4.60683312529517 |
| 354 | 123.6 | 146.418955437623 | -22.818955437623 |
| 355 | 151.6 | 130.822248840471 | 20.7777511595291 |
| 356 | 133.9 | 145.493602845563 | -11.5936028455628 |
| 357 | 137.4 | 137.707891954476 | -0.30789195447619 |
| 358 | 181.6 | 137.731565643055 | 43.8684343569454 |
| 359 | 182 | 168.529991794372 | 13.4700082056281 |
| 360 | 190 | 178.351365039207 | 11.6486349607925 |
| 361 | 161.2 | 186.965415610461 | -25.765415610461 |
| 362 | 155.5 | 169.567598262192 | -14.0675982621921 |
| 363 | 141.9 | 160.201491720093 | -18.301491720093 |
| 364 | 164.6 | 147.82147595927 | 16.7785240407299 |
| 365 | 136.2 | 159.796876704917 | -23.5968767049165 |
| 366 | 126.8 | 143.720783487663 | -16.9207834876631 |
| 367 | 152.5 | 132.187846531023 | 20.312153468977 |
| 368 | 126.6 | 146.516504560189 | -19.9165045601887 |
| 369 | 150.1 | 132.912050340568 | 17.1879496594316 |
| 370 | 186.3 | 145.065989099487 | 41.2340109005129 |
| 371 | 147.5 | 174.050569618882 | -26.5505696188823 |
| 372 | 200.4 | 156.000380720357 | 44.3996192796432 |
| 373 | 177.2 | 187.257447004798 | -10.0574470047981 |
| 374 | 127.4 | 180.779043389347 | -53.3790433893468 |
| 375 | 177.1 | 144.073972491915 | 33.026027508085 |
| 376 | 154.4 | 167.320429204435 | -12.9204292044354 |
| 377 | 135.2 | 158.708486502026 | -23.5084865020264 |
| 378 | 126.4 | 142.661145805666 | -16.2611458056664 |
| 379 | 147.3 | 131.55533426371 | 15.7446657362904 |
| 380 | 140.6 | 142.672570333218 | -2.07257033321787 |
| 381 | 152.3 | 141.449101135967 | 10.8508988640327 |
| 382 | 151.2 | 149.219504967917 | 1.98049503208281 |
| 383 | 172.2 | 150.859792714125 | 21.3402072858747 |
| 384 | 215.3 | 165.9963925721 | 49.3036074279001 |
| 385 | 154.1 | 200.711690898475 | -46.6116908984753 |
| 386 | 159.3 | 168.831378830645 | -9.53137883064531 |
| 387 | 160.4 | 162.5706262197 | -2.17062621970007 |
| 388 | 151.9 | 161.394297569392 | -9.49429756939188 |
| 389 | 148.4 | 155.105892392814 | -6.70589239281375 |
| 390 | 139.6 | 150.71668009318 | -11.1166800931797 |
| 391 | 148.2 | 143.223970130229 | 4.97602986977088 |
| 392 | 153.5 | 146.891699064191 | 6.60830093580873 |
| 393 | 145.1 | 151.719320031396 | -6.61932003139617 |
| 394 | 183.7 | 147.361906929365 | 36.3380930706347 |
| 395 | 210.5 | 172.901223118474 | 37.5987768815262 |
| 396 | 203.3 | 199.484904189279 | 3.81509581072117 |
| 397 | 153.3 | 202.704482742586 | -49.404482742586 |
| 398 | 144.3 | 168.865209578552 | -24.5652095785524 |
| 399 | 169.6 | 152.104811165786 | 17.495188834214 |
| 400 | 143.7 | 164.534197623724 | -20.834197623724 |
| 401 | 160.1 | 150.340755039591 | 9.75924496040935 |
| 402 | 135.6 | 157.365508305187 | -21.7655083051874 |
| 403 | 141.8 | 142.472633121758 | -0.672633121757826 |
| 404 | 159.9 | 142.174971533483 | 17.7250284665168 |
| 405 | 145.7 | 154.691267202879 | -8.99126720287902 |
| 406 | 183.5 | 148.676233847002 | 34.8237661529983 |
| 407 | 198.2 | 173.14456359572 | 25.0554364042797 |
| 408 | 186.8 | 190.966794208152 | -4.16679420815231 |
| 409 | 172 | 188.545400029396 | -16.5454000293963 |
| 410 | 150.6 | 177.48120281233 | -26.8812028123301 |
| 411 | 163.3 | 159.140776339328 | 4.15922366067244 |
| 412 | 153.7 | 162.302305570826 | -8.60230557082582 |
| 413 | 152.9 | 156.592317270224 | -3.69231727022361 |
| 414 | 135.5 | 154.263634392523 | -18.763634392523 |
| 415 | 148.5 | 141.418395810257 | 7.0816041897431 |
| 416 | 148.4 | 146.492902987431 | 1.90709701256858 |
| 417 | 133.6 | 147.994872741168 | -14.3948727411678 |
| 418 | 194.1 | 138.148525514207 | 55.9514744857927 |
| 419 | 208.6 | 177.244316802016 | 31.3556831979844 |
| 420 | 197.3 | 199.46078301006 | -2.16078301005965 |
| 421 | 164.4 | 198.470771272308 | -34.0707712723079 |
| 422 | 148.1 | 175.240268488972 | -27.1402684889723 |
| 423 | 152 | 156.682287985916 | -4.68228798591628 |
| 424 | 144.1 | 153.645977833298 | -9.54597783329828 |
| 425 | 155 | 147.199897532903 | 7.80010246709713 |
| 426 | 124.5 | 152.79461619848 | -28.2946161984796 |
| 427 | 153 | 133.279010763682 | 19.7209892363178 |
| 428 | 146 | 147.084936669348 | -1.08493666934805 |
| 429 | 138 | 146.486212091954 | -8.4862120919542 |
| 430 | 190 | 140.726309155338 | 49.2736908446618 |
| 431 | 192 | 175.166999060768 | 16.8330009392316 |
| 432 | 192 | 187.23256520185 | 4.76743479814951 |
| 433 | 147 | 190.969395340696 | -43.9693953406962 |
| 434 | 133 | 160.774706523277 | -27.7747065232767 |
| 435 | 163 | 141.661343398782 | 21.3386566012181 |
| 436 | 150 | 156.636658778686 | -6.6366587786859 |
| 437 | 129 | 152.220045123787 | -23.2200451237868 |
| 438 | 131 | 136.220010457054 | -5.220010457054 |
| 439 | 145 | 132.653863304438 | 12.3461366955621 |
| 440 | 137 | 141.301600793165 | -4.30160079316514 |
| 441 | 138 | 138.407849810361 | -0.407849810361029 |
| 442 | 168 | 138.207082953334 | 29.7929170466664 |
| 443 | 176 | 159.044309779474 | 16.9556902205265 |
| 444 | 188 | 171.074445885589 | 16.9255541144107 |
| 445 | 139 | 183.161085797558 | -44.1610857975582 |
| 446 | 143 | 152.768080506326 | -9.7680805063259 |
| 447 | 150 | 146.133679356835 | 3.86632064316524 |
| 448 | 154 | 148.953260075383 | 5.04673992461707 |
| 449 | 137 | 152.612870798053 | -15.6128707980529 |
| 450 | 129 | 141.90269296468 | -12.9026929646801 |
| 451 | 128 | 133.00924376144 | -5.00924376144016 |
| 452 | 140 | 129.555921191026 | 10.4440788089738 |
| 453 | 143 | 136.845512827263 | 6.15448717273685 |
| 454 | 151 | 141.194426627182 | 9.80557337281817 |
| 455 | 177 | 148.115059340653 | 28.884940659347 |
| 456 | 184 | 168.372462998976 | 15.6275370010243 |
| 457 | 151 | 179.525902832719 | -28.5259028327189 |
| 458 | 134 | 159.990555260488 | -25.9905552604882 |
| 459 | 164 | 142.091116940256 | 21.9088830597443 |
| 460 | 126 | 157.442811310041 | -31.4428113100413 |
| 461 | 131 | 135.726313785692 | -4.72631378569176 |
| 462 | 125 | 132.478586654223 | -7.47858665422297 |
| 463 | 127 | 127.291841294962 | -0.291841294961515 |
| 464 | 143 | 127.077677506128 | 15.9223224938722 |
| 465 | 143 | 138.158042014699 | 4.84195798530078 |
| 466 | 160 | 141.591864942856 | 18.4081350571438 |
| 467 | 190 | 154.498917771346 | 35.5010822286543 |
| 468 | 182 | 179.398188850885 | 2.60181114911515 |
| 469 | 138 | 181.53990824855 | -43.5399082485496 |
| 470 | 136 | 151.548136682199 | -15.5481366821986 |
| 471 | 152 | 140.858284351627 | 11.1417156483732 |
| 472 | 127 | 148.691288684298 | -21.6912886842977 |
| 473 | 151 | 133.701568877451 | 17.2984311225493 |
| 474 | 130 | 145.77553120615 | -15.7755312061502 |
| 475 | 119 | 134.887042293947 | -15.8870422939469 |
| 476 | 153 | 123.848762843355 | 29.1512371566447 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 477 | 144.114522670131 | 106.814625507445 | 181.414419832817 |
| 478 | 144.204836950732 | 98.7457030935747 | 189.663970807889 |
| 479 | 144.295151231332 | 91.8482948734323 | 196.742007589232 |
| 480 | 144.385465511933 | 85.7019062218673 | 203.069024801999 |
| 481 | 144.475779792534 | 80.0874800116721 | 208.864079573395 |
| 482 | 144.566094073134 | 74.873842529377 | 214.258345616891 |
| 483 | 144.656408353735 | 69.9751617726205 | 219.337654934849 |
| 484 | 144.746722634336 | 65.3316908334446 | 224.161754435226 |
| 485 | 144.837036914936 | 60.8998931073578 | 228.774180722515 |
| 486 | 144.927351195537 | 56.6469047474374 | 233.207797643636 |
| 487 | 145.017665476137 | 52.5472120886077 | 237.488118863667 |
| 488 | 145.107979756738 | 48.580549382328 | 241.635410131148 |
