Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 1.1591 | NA | NA | 1.01126246991022 | NA |
2 | 1.1203 | NA | NA | 0.999236931664656 | NA |
3 | 1.0886 | NA | NA | 1.00123179446176 | NA |
4 | 1.0701 | NA | NA | 0.998851866664662 | NA |
5 | 1.063 | NA | NA | 1.00363953527856 | NA |
6 | 1.0377 | NA | NA | 1.00603022503051 | NA |
7 | 1.037 | 1.06608269146686 | 1.06061666666667 | 1.00515362898961 | 0.97272004160686 |
8 | 1.0605 | 1.04864657522087 | 1.04882916666667 | 0.999825909259966 | 1.01130354597938 |
9 | 1.0497 | 1.03059518515307 | 1.03794583333333 | 0.992918081132754 | 1.01853765195312 |
10 | 1.0706 | 1.0163090695351 | 1.02755 | 0.989060454026665 | 1.05341970478502 |
11 | 1.0328 | 1.00282908279445 | 1.0157875 | 0.987242984181682 | 1.02988636620114 |
12 | 1.011 | 1.01118555721858 | 1.00560833333333 | 1.00554611939895 | 0.999816495382815 |
13 | 1.0131 | 1.00911353716166 | 0.997875 | 1.01126246991022 | 1.00395046017275 |
14 | 0.9834 | 0.986521641709224 | 0.987275 | 0.999236931664656 | 0.996835708840796 |
15 | 0.9643 | 0.97446553115648 | 0.973266666666667 | 1.00123179446176 | 0.989568095708407 |
16 | 0.9449 | 0.955572447658638 | 0.956670833333333 | 0.998851866664662 | 0.988831356863848 |
17 | 0.9059 | 0.943605163743319 | 0.940183333333333 | 1.00363953527856 | 0.960041376211062 |
18 | 0.9505 | 0.933684076473002 | 0.9280875 | 1.00603022503051 | 1.01801029272184 |
19 | 0.9386 | 0.924988438937567 | 0.920245833333333 | 1.00515362898961 | 1.01471538506802 |
20 | 0.9045 | 0.914319964311796 | 0.914479166666667 | 0.999825909259966 | 0.989259816371627 |
21 | 0.8695 | 0.903083817742268 | 0.909525 | 0.992918081132754 | 0.962812070062081 |
22 | 0.8525 | 0.895107953064582 | 0.905008333333333 | 0.989060454026665 | 0.952399090055333 |
23 | 0.8552 | 0.890048912388996 | 0.90155 | 0.987242984181682 | 0.960846070475546 |
24 | 0.8983 | 0.901183001531833 | 0.8962125 | 1.00554611939895 | 0.996800870048667 |
25 | 0.9376 | 0.898949131845817 | 0.8889375 | 1.01126246991022 | 1.04299561208188 |
26 | 0.9205 | 0.884920063195004 | 0.885595833333333 | 0.999236931664656 | 1.04020695007924 |
27 | 0.9083 | 0.888305363443903 | 0.8872125 | 1.00123179446176 | 1.02250874235249 |
28 | 0.8925 | 0.890122679095436 | 0.891145833333333 | 0.998851866664662 | 1.00267077893912 |
29 | 0.8753 | 0.897968837707923 | 0.8947125 | 1.00363953527856 | 0.97475542941358 |
30 | 0.853 | 0.901197683789725 | 0.895795833333333 | 1.00603022503051 | 0.946518189453125 |
31 | 0.8615 | 0.897836726534485 | 0.893233333333333 | 1.00515362898961 | 0.959528580798049 |
32 | 0.9014 | 0.888736918858607 | 0.888891666666667 | 0.999825909259966 | 1.01424840228046 |
33 | 0.9114 | 0.879224823684382 | 0.885495833333333 | 0.992918081132754 | 1.03659493618571 |
34 | 0.905 | 0.874234656399394 | 0.883904166666667 | 0.989060454026665 | 1.03519117364589 |
35 | 0.8883 | 0.874076143607423 | 0.885370833333333 | 0.987242984181682 | 1.01627301751295 |
36 | 0.8912 | 0.896348000607723 | 0.891404166666667 | 1.00554611939895 | 0.99425669427027 |
37 | 0.8832 | 0.91134973788309 | 0.9012 | 1.01126246991022 | 0.969112036013224 |
38 | 0.8707 | 0.909201520634456 | 0.909895833333333 | 0.999236931664656 | 0.957653479717468 |
39 | 0.8766 | 0.91710329293211 | 0.915975 | 1.00123179446176 | 0.955835625883956 |
40 | 0.886 | 0.920974716127041 | 0.922033333333333 | 0.998851866664662 | 0.962024238543573 |
41 | 0.917 | 0.933301131181125 | 0.929916666666667 | 1.00363953527856 | 0.9825338996852 |
42 | 0.9561 | 0.945634877187843 | 0.939966666666667 | 1.00603022503051 | 1.01106676907188 |
43 | 0.9935 | 0.957676872580333 | 0.952766666666667 | 1.00515362898961 | 1.03740627809372 |
44 | 0.9781 | 0.968714659716827 | 0.968883333333333 | 0.999825909259966 | 1.0096884466329 |
45 | 0.9806 | 0.979021365155567 | 0.986004166666667 | 0.992918081132754 | 1.00161246209799 |
46 | 0.9812 | 0.99183806546839 | 1.00280833333333 | 0.989060454026665 | 0.989274392828061 |
47 | 1.0013 | 1.00806558412305 | 1.02109166666667 | 0.987242984181682 | 0.993288547660385 |
48 | 1.0194 | 1.04560456293051 | 1.0398375 | 1.00554611939895 | 0.974938362111711 |
49 | 1.0622 | 1.06647740076732 | 1.0546 | 1.01126246991022 | 0.995989225121657 |
50 | 1.0785 | 1.06546968628516 | 1.06628333333333 | 0.999236931664656 | 1.01222964283505 |
51 | 1.0797 | 1.07942382581008 | 1.07809583333333 | 1.00123179446176 | 1.0002558533389 |
52 | 1.0862 | 1.09085444735003 | 1.09210833333333 | 0.998851866664662 | 0.995733209539237 |
53 | 1.1556 | 1.1111335113383 | 1.10710416666667 | 1.00363953527856 | 1.04001903300365 |
54 | 1.1674 | 1.1297132576128 | 1.12294166666667 | 1.00603022503051 | 1.03335956459149 |
55 | 1.1365 | 1.14598402869129 | 1.14010833333333 | 1.00515362898961 | 0.991724117916263 |
56 | 1.1155 | 1.15603620975797 | 1.1562375 | 0.999825909259966 | 0.964935172950632 |
57 | 1.1267 | 1.16178034946406 | 1.17006666666667 | 0.992918081132754 | 0.969804662748645 |
58 | 1.1714 | 1.16794440039306 | 1.1808625 | 0.989060454026665 | 1.00295870214864 |
59 | 1.171 | 1.1722605464422 | 1.18740833333333 | 0.987242984181682 | 0.99892468748008 |
60 | 1.2298 | 1.19783167608102 | 1.191225 | 1.00554611939895 | 1.0266884943497 |
61 | 1.2638 | 1.21042639976541 | 1.19694583333333 | 1.01126246991022 | 1.04409487453754 |
62 | 1.264 | 1.20409715660477 | 1.20501666666667 | 0.999236931664656 | 1.04974917768607 |
63 | 1.2261 | 1.21481539521617 | 1.21332083333333 | 1.00123179446176 | 1.00928915193886 |
64 | 1.1989 | 1.21921107409922 | 1.2206125 | 0.998851866664662 | 0.983340805763082 |
65 | 1.2 | 1.23375317156095 | 1.22927916666667 | 1.00363953527856 | 0.972641876560893 |
66 | 1.2146 | 1.24673133995427 | 1.23925833333333 | 1.00603022503051 | 0.974227534895012 |
67 | 1.2266 | 1.25231671821803 | 1.24589583333333 | 1.00515362898961 | 0.979464685056169 |
68 | 1.2191 | 1.24925331203131 | 1.24947083333333 | 0.999825909259966 | 0.975862932088387 |
69 | 1.2224 | 1.24598807706146 | 1.254875 | 0.992918081132754 | 0.981068777867366 |
70 | 1.2507 | 1.24888663529947 | 1.2627 | 0.989060454026665 | 1.00145198503153 |
71 | 1.2997 | 1.25338312515489 | 1.26957916666667 | 0.987242984181682 | 1.03695348526364 |
72 | 1.3406 | 1.27957838581265 | 1.27252083333333 | 1.00554611939895 | 1.04768884412548 |
73 | 1.3123 | 1.28594242470596 | 1.27162083333333 | 1.01126246991022 | 1.020496699376 |
74 | 1.3013 | 1.27014671778781 | 1.27111666666667 | 0.999236931664656 | 1.02452730993665 |
75 | 1.3185 | 1.27315800623929 | 1.27159166666667 | 1.00123179446176 | 1.03561379933874 |
76 | 1.2943 | 1.26815481556579 | 1.2696125 | 0.998851866664662 | 1.02061671344326 |
77 | 1.2697 | 1.26715345892875 | 1.26255833333333 | 1.00363953527856 | 1.00200965483171 |
78 | 1.2155 | 1.25863183915786 | 1.2510875 | 1.00603022503051 | 0.965731171089145 |
79 | 1.2041 | 1.24688888862149 | 1.24049583333333 | 1.00515362898961 | 0.965683479087864 |
80 | 1.2295 | 1.23165637602833 | 1.23187083333333 | 0.999825909259966 | 0.998249206458634 |
81 | 1.2234 | 1.21392096019955 | 1.22257916666667 | 0.992918081132754 | 1.00780861366698 |
82 | 1.2022 | 1.2016754829606 | 1.21496666666667 | 0.989060454026665 | 1.00043648809253 |
83 | 1.1789 | 1.19699921022082 | 1.21246666666667 | 0.987242984181682 | 0.98487951364857 |
84 | 1.1861 | 1.22160446225381 | 1.21486666666667 | 1.00554611939895 | 0.970936204515574 |
85 | 1.2126 | 1.23337784423875 | 1.21964166666667 | 1.01126246991022 | 0.98315370724729 |
86 | 1.194 | 1.223519824464 | 1.22445416666667 | 0.999236931664656 | 0.975873031336508 |
87 | 1.2028 | 1.23014675706887 | 1.22863333333333 | 1.00123179446176 | 0.977769516594893 |
88 | 1.2273 | 1.23173001749475 | 1.23314583333333 | 0.998851866664662 | 0.996403418418136 |
89 | 1.2767 | 1.24471793348387 | 1.24020416666667 | 1.00363953527856 | 1.02569422811047 |
90 | 1.2661 | 1.25792342620773 | 1.25038333333333 | 1.00603022503051 | 1.00650005685713 |
91 | 1.2681 | 1.26608732293519 | 1.25959583333333 | 1.00515362898961 | 1.00158968266118 |
92 | 1.281 | 1.26773759352875 | 1.26795833333333 | 0.999825909259966 | 1.0104614760491 |
93 | 1.2722 | 1.26873417543675 | 1.27778333333333 | 0.992918081132754 | 1.00273171845636 |
94 | 1.2617 | 1.2739345912977 | 1.288025 | 0.989060454026665 | 0.990396217057555 |
95 | 1.2888 | 1.27978364795689 | 1.29632083333333 | 0.987242984181682 | 1.00704521585153 |
96 | 1.3205 | 1.30984113423106 | 1.30261666666667 | 1.00554611939895 | 1.0081375256055 |
97 | 1.2993 | 1.324892884172 | 1.3101375 | 1.01126246991022 | 0.980683054096108 |
98 | 1.308 | 1.31688602526642 | 1.31789166666667 | 0.999236931664656 | 0.993252244236837 |
99 | 1.3246 | 1.32787532380662 | 1.32624166666667 | 1.00123179446176 | 0.997533410141826 |
100 | 1.3513 | 1.33638888370732 | 1.337925 | 0.998851866664662 | 1.01115776737929 |
101 | 1.3518 | 1.35705865213272 | 1.3521375 | 1.00363953527856 | 0.996124963261937 |
102 | 1.3421 | 1.37349114830811 | 1.36525833333333 | 1.00603022503051 | 0.97714499409277 |
103 | 1.3726 | 1.38523153309143 | 1.37812916666667 | 1.00515362898961 | 0.990881283893938 |
104 | 1.3626 | 1.3921117706994 | 1.39235416666667 | 0.999825909259966 | 0.978800717499446 |
105 | 1.391 | 1.39884781565185 | 1.408825 | 0.992918081132754 | 0.99438980025987 |
106 | 1.4233 | 1.41201979393549 | 1.4276375 | 0.989060454026665 | 1.00798870250471 |
107 | 1.4683 | 1.42701859851028 | 1.44545833333333 | 0.987242984181682 | 1.02892842569313 |
108 | 1.4559 | 1.47097571008925 | 1.4628625 | 1.00554611939895 | 0.989751217517838 |
109 | 1.4728 | 1.49692548467823 | 1.48025416666667 | 1.01126246991022 | 0.98388330954001 |
110 | 1.4759 | 1.49312227560156 | 1.4942625 | 0.999236931664656 | 0.988465595964256 |
111 | 1.552 | 1.50344966256378 | 1.5016 | 1.00123179446176 | 1.03229262584916 |
112 | 1.5754 | 1.49764935569755 | 1.49937083333333 | 0.998851866664662 | 1.05191511885386 |
113 | 1.5554 | 1.49267544433724 | 1.4872625 | 1.00363953527856 | 1.04202156329477 |
114 | 1.5562 | 1.48371014304541 | 1.47481666666667 | 1.00603022503051 | 1.04885715535098 |
115 | 1.5759 | 1.47181295380852 | 1.46426666666667 | 1.00515362898961 | 1.07072029494111 |
116 | 1.4955 | 1.4496559177186 | 1.44990833333333 | 0.999825909259966 | 1.03162411281261 |
117 | 1.4342 | 1.42130431292014 | 1.43144166666667 | 0.992918081132754 | 1.00907313582506 |
118 | 1.3266 | 1.39507389148984 | 1.41050416666667 | 0.989060454026665 | 0.950917372973907 |
119 | 1.2744 | 1.37415173670735 | 1.39190833333333 | 0.987242984181682 | 0.927408499336201 |
120 | 1.3511 | 1.38514815902305 | 1.37750833333333 | 1.00554611939895 | 0.975419121195624 |
121 | 1.3244 | 1.37947577598541 | 1.3641125 | 1.01126246991022 | 0.960074850936717 |
122 | 1.2797 | 1.35326241306623 | 1.35429583333333 | 0.999236931664656 | 0.945640688490305 |
123 | 1.305 | 1.35406170703094 | 1.35239583333333 | 1.00123179446176 | 0.963767007975938 |
124 | 1.3199 | 1.35828454900116 | 1.35984583333333 | 0.998851866664662 | 0.971740421379754 |
125 | 1.3646 | 1.38034727118258 | 1.37534166666667 | 1.00363953527856 | 0.98859180474991 |
126 | 1.4014 | 1.39718316010758 | 1.38880833333333 | 1.00603022503051 | 1.0030181009998 |
127 | 1.4092 | NA | NA | 1.00515362898961 | NA |
128 | 1.4266 | NA | NA | 0.999825909259966 | NA |
129 | 1.4575 | NA | NA | 0.992918081132754 | NA |
130 | 1.4821 | NA | NA | 0.989060454026665 | NA |
131 | 1.4908 | NA | NA | 0.987242984181682 | NA |
132 | 1.4579 | NA | NA | 1.00554611939895 | NA |