| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 178600 | NA | NA | 0.989549961917017 | NA |
| 2 | 181600 | NA | NA | 1.02435284582690 | NA |
| 3 | 178500 | NA | NA | 1.00115647167798 | NA |
| 4 | 176700 | NA | NA | 1.0137502335018 | NA |
| 5 | 183500 | NA | NA | 0.997504549732586 | NA |
| 6 | 175900 | NA | NA | 0.995455618382519 | NA |
| 7 | 179800 | 180921.99599193 | 180887.5 | 1.00019070412234 | 0.993798454489856 |
| 8 | 186500 | 179236.566407469 | 181475 | 0.987665333558169 | 1.0405242844031 |
| 9 | 182700 | 179866.608943326 | 182333.333333333 | 0.986471347038353 | 1.01575273517035 |
| 10 | 182800 | 183775.564589190 | 183429.166666667 | 1.00188845606628 | 0.994691543506498 |
| 11 | 178600 | 185814.105741821 | 184258.333333333 | 1.00844343037486 | 0.961175683013838 |
| 12 | 183300 | 184001.078294049 | 185191.666666667 | 0.993571047801193 | 0.996189814208975 |
| 13 | 182900 | 184382.019779030 | 186329.166666667 | 0.989549961917017 | 0.991962232647166 |
| 14 | 191400 | 191545.445895916 | 186991.666666667 | 1.02435284582690 | 0.99924067160545 |
| 15 | 189300 | 187987.984984035 | 187770.833333333 | 1.00115647167798 | 1.00697924931786 |
| 16 | 192200 | 191598.79413184 | 189000 | 1.0137502335018 | 1.00313783743204 |
| 17 | 187900 | 190618.96318494 | 191095.833333333 | 0.997504549732586 | 0.98573613485505 |
| 18 | 193900 | 192371.798252422 | 193250 | 0.995455618382519 | 1.00794400094744 |
| 19 | 189100 | 194795.474550360 | 194758.333333333 | 1.00019070412234 | 0.970761771732598 |
| 20 | 193100 | 193393.102855136 | 195808.333333333 | 0.987665333558169 | 0.998484419295163 |
| 21 | 194800 | 194121.119908031 | 196783.333333333 | 0.986471347038353 | 1.00349719851344 |
| 22 | 200200 | 198436.532329627 | 198062.5 | 1.00188845606628 | 1.00888680954898 |
| 23 | 211500 | 200877.729483045 | 199195.833333333 | 1.00844343037486 | 1.05287928405150 |
| 24 | 202100 | 198573.4536618 | 199858.333333333 | 0.993571047801193 | 1.01775940476015 |
| 25 | 200300 | 198466.614236982 | 200562.5 | 0.989549961917017 | 1.00923775401756 |
| 26 | 199200 | 206308.931286396 | 201404.166666667 | 1.02435284582690 | 0.96554229987975 |
| 27 | 204900 | 202496.410852768 | 202262.5 | 1.00115647167798 | 1.01186978641799 |
| 28 | 207300 | 206243.261046635 | 203445.833333333 | 1.0137502335018 | 1.00512375021614 |
| 29 | 2e+05 | 203524.178297105 | 204033.333333333 | 0.997504549732586 | 0.982684227856404 |
| 30 | 197700 | 203321.810054629 | 204250 | 0.995455618382519 | 0.972350186863284 |
| 31 | 202200 | 204901.568123263 | 204862.5 | 1.00019070412234 | 0.986815288199074 |
| 32 | 200200 | 203179.220201808 | 205716.666666667 | 0.987665333558169 | 0.985336983777924 |
| 33 | 208300 | 203636.458109671 | 206429.166666667 | 0.986471347038353 | 1.02290131115823 |
| 34 | 215100 | 206965.107811891 | 206575 | 1.00188845606628 | 1.03930562148429 |
| 35 | 210700 | 208722.579001836 | 206975 | 1.00844343037486 | 1.00947391991619 |
| 36 | 208100 | 206695.896977575 | 208033.333333333 | 0.993571047801193 | 1.00679308608906 |
| 37 | 209000 | 206729.356418989 | 208912.5 | 0.989549961917017 | 1.01098365331535 |
| 38 | 211000 | 214614.725611309 | 209512.5 | 1.02435284582690 | 0.983157140773949 |
| 39 | 210200 | 209850.739434303 | 209608.333333333 | 1.00115647167798 | 1.00166432849671 |
| 40 | 205500 | 211941.382150776 | 209066.666666667 | 1.0137502335018 | 0.969607718486077 |
| 41 | 211400 | 208054.511460474 | 208575 | 0.997504549732586 | 1.01607986539701 |
| 42 | 211700 | 208323.974537002 | 209275 | 0.995455618382519 | 1.01620565021622 |
| 43 | 209300 | 210919.382193066 | 210879.166666667 | 1.00019070412234 | 0.992322269408207 |
| 44 | 207500 | 211236.923214753 | 213875 | 0.987665333558169 | 0.982309327565076 |
| 45 | 203300 | 213895.76011887 | 216829.166666667 | 0.986471347038353 | 0.950462972650876 |
| 46 | 207100 | 218887.58043908 | 218475 | 1.00188845606628 | 0.946147787757376 |
| 47 | 206900 | 221903.775006361 | 220045.833333333 | 1.00844343037486 | 0.932386120939444 |
| 48 | 228700 | 219815.174687916 | 221237.5 | 0.993571047801193 | 1.04041952665323 |
| 49 | 226900 | 219832.647164707 | 222154.166666667 | 0.989549961917017 | 1.03214878648119 |
| 50 | 265000 | 228516.047356552 | 223083.333333333 | 1.02435284582690 | 1.15965597631103 |
| 51 | 227100 | 224417.566097217 | 224158.333333333 | 1.00115647167798 | 1.01195286959676 |
| 52 | 228100 | 228769.636026906 | 225666.666666667 | 1.0137502335018 | 0.997072880656122 |
| 53 | 226500 | 226948.910139992 | 227516.666666667 | 0.997504549732586 | 0.998021977106145 |
| 54 | 225200 | 227698.029509771 | 228737.5 | 0.995455618382519 | 0.989029200142182 |
| 55 | 217800 | 229297.886381314 | 229254.166666667 | 1.00019070412234 | 0.949856117024152 |
| 56 | 221300 | 225261.770951279 | 228075 | 0.987665333558169 | 0.982412590762521 |
| 57 | 215300 | 223855.010426678 | 226925 | 0.986471347038353 | 0.96178325242588 |
| 58 | 231300 | 227900.402008443 | 227470.833333333 | 1.00188845606628 | 1.01491703376386 |
| 59 | 227100 | 230496.55340268 | 228566.666666667 | 1.00844343037486 | 0.985264190060377 |
| 60 | 237800 | 228409.564251397 | 229887.5 | 0.993571047801193 | 1.04111227031749 |
| 61 | 230200 | 229344.696173634 | 231766.666666667 | 0.989549961917017 | 1.00372933772019 |
| 62 | 233400 | 239557.717407194 | 233862.5 | 1.02435284582690 | 0.974295474702962 |
| 63 | 231100 | 236589.960198702 | 236316.666666667 | 1.00115647167798 | 0.976795464211197 |
| 64 | 237200 | 241707.623381973 | 238429.166666667 | 1.0137502335018 | 0.98135092588764 |
| 65 | 243700 | 240024.532279404 | 240625 | 0.997504549732586 | 1.01531288358607 |
| 66 | 239700 | 241908.158462182 | 243012.5 | 0.995455618382519 | 0.990871914051104 |
| 67 | 248400 | 245059.224893775 | 245012.5 | 1.00019070412234 | 1.01363252131265 |
| 68 | 241000 | 244566.512950118 | 247620.833333333 | 0.987665333558169 | 0.985417002078098 |
| 69 | 254500 | 246761.697164365 | 250145.833333333 | 0.986471347038353 | 1.03135941649194 |
| 70 | 242800 | 253206.434594583 | 252729.166666667 | 1.00188845606628 | 0.95890138174709 |
| 71 | 268300 | 256913.569430875 | 254762.5 | 1.00844343037486 | 1.04432008240884 |
| 72 | 253900 | 254788.875570519 | 256437.5 | 0.993571047801193 | 0.9965113250391 |
| 73 | 262100 | 255996.575147932 | 258700 | 0.989549961917017 | 1.02384182229212 |
| 74 | 264100 | 267646.326067139 | 261283.333333333 | 1.02435284582690 | 0.986749954242788 |
| 75 | 261000 | 263500.211860347 | 263195.833333333 | 1.00115647167798 | 0.99051153757071 |
| 76 | 269300 | 269412.572471716 | 265758.333333333 | 1.0137502335018 | 0.999582155833771 |
| 77 | 260400 | 267659.564575953 | 268329.166666667 | 0.997504549732586 | 0.972877619421317 |
| 78 | 263200 | 268988.699013930 | 270216.666666667 | 0.995455618382519 | 0.97847976872207 |
| 79 | 279200 | 272406.105728987 | 272354.166666667 | 1.00019070412234 | 1.02494031568357 |
| 80 | 272200 | 270883.678817220 | 274266.666666667 | 0.987665333558169 | 1.00485935951744 |
| 81 | 269200 | 272759.327456105 | 276500 | 0.986471347038353 | 0.9869506664014 |
| 82 | 289600 | 279042.633155393 | 278516.666666667 | 1.00188845606628 | 1.03783424319512 |
| 83 | 283200 | 282834.767439135 | 280466.666666667 | 1.00844343037486 | 1.00129132837583 |
| 84 | 284300 | 280460.267518082 | 282275 | 0.993571047801193 | 1.01369082514218 |
| 85 | 283000 | 280417.843583076 | 283379.166666667 | 0.989549961917017 | 1.00920824575188 |
| 86 | 289100 | 291684.472849211 | 284750 | 1.02435284582690 | 0.991139491163293 |
| 87 | 289600 | 287298.535489192 | 286966.666666667 | 1.00115647167798 | 1.00801070742282 |
| 88 | 289100 | 292365.567341919 | 288400 | 1.0137502335018 | 0.988830533733475 |
| 89 | 287400 | 288312.065024375 | 289033.333333333 | 0.997504549732586 | 0.996836535355196 |
| 90 | 279600 | 288429.117694591 | 289745.833333333 | 0.995455618382519 | 0.969388951555368 |
| 91 | 289300 | 290797.112301036 | 290741.666666667 | 1.00019070412234 | 0.994851694746245 |
| 92 | 295000 | 288669.885365714 | 292275 | 0.987665333558169 | 1.02192855907455 |
| 93 | 299600 | 289471.796193846 | 293441.666666667 | 0.986471347038353 | 1.03498856862508 |
| 94 | 293600 | 295264.877073199 | 294708.333333333 | 1.00188845606628 | 0.99436141172732 |
| 95 | 294400 | 298360.594419281 | 295862.5 | 1.00844343037486 | 0.986725477514918 |
| 96 | 290200 | 295281.035647783 | 297191.666666667 | 0.993571047801193 | 0.982792543257523 |
| 97 | 301000 | 296040.363606841 | 299166.666666667 | 0.989549961917017 | 1.01675324382369 |
| 98 | 307900 | 308343.011004471 | 301012.5 | 1.02435284582690 | 0.998563252648317 |
| 99 | 298800 | 302149.023152416 | 301800 | 1.00115647167798 | 0.988915988814148 |
| 100 | 310300 | 306363.768482856 | 302208.333333333 | 1.0137502335018 | 1.01284822789795 |
| 101 | 293900 | 301894.751976567 | 302650 | 0.997504549732586 | 0.973518082297808 |
| 102 | 305000 | 301652.086492106 | 303029.166666667 | 0.995455618382519 | 1.01109859224521 |
| 103 | 311300 | 304141.323278535 | 304083.333333333 | 1.00019070412234 | 1.02353733667065 |
| 104 | 317300 | 301451.920890846 | 305216.666666667 | 0.987665333558169 | 1.05257249335921 |
| 105 | 296200 | 302904.247702685 | 307058.333333333 | 0.986471347038353 | 0.977866775545302 |
| 106 | 306800 | 308974.050780373 | 308391.666666667 | 1.00188845606628 | 0.99296364605739 |
| 107 | 291800 | 311718.268024122 | 309108.333333333 | 1.00844343037486 | 0.936101698016042 |
| 108 | 301900 | 307837.289764371 | 309829.166666667 | 0.993571047801193 | 0.980712896189688 |
| 109 | 314600 | 306480.115705065 | 309716.666666667 | 0.989549961917017 | 1.02649400035710 |
| 110 | 321500 | 316396.985254785 | 308875 | 1.02435284582690 | 1.01612851886407 |
| 111 | 329400 | 308397.908129806 | 308041.666666667 | 1.00115647167798 | 1.06810063011632 |
| 112 | 311700 | 312247.743796473 | 308012.5 | 1.0137502335018 | 0.998245803829314 |
| 113 | 309700 | 308420.094239401 | 309191.666666667 | 0.997504549732586 | 1.00414987798948 |
| 114 | 306500 | 308097.661621133 | 309504.166666667 | 0.995455618382519 | 0.994814431201047 |
| 115 | 307100 | 307583.646285223 | 307525 | 1.00019070412234 | 0.998427594278616 |
| 116 | 301300 | 301661.799774227 | 305429.166666667 | 0.987665333558169 | 0.998800644382227 |
| 117 | 292200 | 298744.626856007 | 302841.666666667 | 0.986471347038353 | 0.978092905218473 |
| 118 | 310100 | 301777.15203763 | 301208.333333333 | 1.00188845606628 | 1.02757945028699 |
| 119 | 316800 | 303377.600485396 | 300837.5 | 1.00844343037486 | 1.04424321206684 |
| 120 | 284400 | 298133.412530846 | 300062.5 | 0.993571047801193 | 0.953935345876656 |
| 121 | 284600 | 296419.691092242 | 299550 | 0.989549961917017 | 0.96012514874201 |
| 122 | 301200 | 305094.958855828 | 297841.666666667 | 1.02435284582690 | 0.987233617787607 |
| 123 | 287600 | 296479.974631539 | 296137.5 | 1.00115647167798 | 0.970048652889373 |
| 124 | 314300 | 298469.188539461 | 294420.833333333 | 1.0137502335018 | 1.05304001909881 |
| 125 | 298200 | 291075.983880926 | 291804.166666667 | 0.997504549732586 | 1.02447476436939 |
| 126 | 299400 | 288487.185938997 | 289804.166666667 | 0.995455618382519 | 1.03782772543426 |
| 127 | 301900 | 287329.784526745 | 287275 | 1.00019070412234 | 1.05070903281834 |
| 128 | 265500 | 280357.035474933 | 283858.333333333 | 0.987665333558169 | 0.947006732148654 |
| 129 | 287100 | 277124.463166749 | 280925 | 0.986471347038353 | 1.03599659416299 |
| 130 | 274000 | 278437.325546519 | 277912.5 | 1.00188845606628 | 0.984063467289059 |
| 131 | 290100 | 277397.576610364 | 275075 | 1.00844343037486 | 1.04579140000014 |
| 132 | 263100 | 271311.134119579 | 273066.666666667 | 0.993571047801193 | 0.96973535882991 |
| 133 | 245200 | 267928.898438715 | 270758.333333333 | 0.989549961917017 | 0.915168171215715 |
| 134 | 258600 | 275708.836591168 | 269154.166666667 | 1.02435284582690 | 0.937945998384745 |
| 135 | 259800 | 269277.718998989 | 268966.666666667 | 1.00115647167798 | 0.964803181510075 |
| 136 | 269800 | 272301.760637196 | 268608.333333333 | 1.0137502335018 | 0.990812543292626 |
| 137 | 274600 | 266612.184798734 | 267279.166666667 | 0.997504549732586 | 1.02996042813008 |
| 138 | 274800 | 266371.480283932 | 267587.5 | 0.995455618382519 | 1.03164197498577 |
| 139 | 271100 | NA | NA | 1.00019070412234 | NA |
| 140 | 257800 | NA | NA | 0.987665333558169 | NA |
| 141 | 290300 | NA | NA | 0.986471347038353 | NA |
| 142 | 262200 | NA | NA | 1.00188845606628 | NA |
| 143 | 270000 | NA | NA | 1.00844343037486 | NA |
| 144 | 290600 | NA | NA | 0.993571047801193 | NA |
