Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 562674 | NA | NA | 1.07101513549776 | NA |
2 | 599000 | NA | NA | 1.10765958618702 | NA |
3 | 668516 | NA | NA | 1.18961626296922 | NA |
4 | 597798 | NA | NA | 1.08633471176227 | NA |
5 | 579889 | NA | NA | 1.05292839450835 | NA |
6 | 668233 | NA | NA | 1.12578443852490 | NA |
7 | 499232 | 509447.962776025 | 557211.916666667 | 0.914280451544587 | 0.979946994546102 |
8 | 215187 | 214645.824668014 | 561891.958333333 | 0.382005510996615 | 1.00252124788741 |
9 | 555813 | 541779.669720832 | 565389.833333333 | 0.958240912339536 | 1.02590228290847 |
10 | 586935 | 605460.938230776 | 568199.208333333 | 1.06557863747600 | 0.969401926596766 |
11 | 546136 | 574234.159405255 | 570902.125 | 1.00583643720936 | 0.951068464066373 |
12 | 571111 | 596268.021093624 | 572938.25 | 1.04071952098437 | 0.957809206256806 |
13 | 634712 | 614064.921414938 | 573348.5 | 1.07101513549776 | 1.03362360862022 |
14 | 639283 | 635406.752449496 | 573648.041666667 | 1.10765958618702 | 1.00610041919693 |
15 | 712182 | 682917.357405491 | 574065.25 | 1.18961626296922 | 1.04285239242665 |
16 | 621557 | 624555.32616663 | 574919.791666667 | 1.08633471176227 | 0.995199262513646 |
17 | 621000 | 609553.97952203 | 578913.041666667 | 1.05292839450835 | 1.01877769789469 |
18 | 675989 | 657108.790568807 | 583689.708333333 | 1.12578443852490 | 1.02873224297433 |
19 | 501322 | 535426.289431194 | 585625.875 | 0.914280451544587 | 0.93630441742518 |
20 | 220286 | 224209.396303399 | 586927.125 | 0.382005510996615 | 0.982501195899525 |
21 | 560727 | 563211.44640599 | 587755.583333333 | 0.958240912339536 | 0.995588785665058 |
22 | 602530 | 629269.250526123 | 590542.291666667 | 1.06557863747600 | 0.957507457254957 |
23 | 626379 | 601074.779002632 | 597587 | 1.00583643720936 | 1.04209829106348 |
24 | 605508 | 627735.910343121 | 603174.916666667 | 1.04071952098437 | 0.964590347665515 |
25 | 646783 | 653099.228294551 | 609794.583333333 | 1.07101513549776 | 0.99032883822104 |
26 | 658442 | 682133.325940313 | 615833 | 1.10765958618702 | 0.965268775121557 |
27 | 712906 | 736065.397080068 | 618741.875 | 1.18961626296922 | 0.968536223585649 |
28 | 687714 | 680330.14925766 | 626262 | 1.08633471176227 | 1.01085333459115 |
29 | 723916 | 669783.019208483 | 636114.5 | 1.05292839450835 | 1.08082166797165 |
30 | 707183 | 723391.460232783 | 642566.583333333 | 1.12578443852490 | 0.977593791019365 |
31 | 629000 | 590368.944601258 | 645719.75 | 0.914280451544587 | 1.06543544634590 |
32 | 237530 | 248564.412327329 | 650682.791666667 | 0.382005510996615 | 0.955607433002928 |
33 | 613296 | 630997.76788523 | 658495.958333333 | 0.958240912339536 | 0.97194638588888 |
34 | 730444 | 707869.527562265 | 664305.291666667 | 1.06557863747600 | 1.03189072499769 |
35 | 734925 | 668972.091302388 | 665090.333333333 | 1.00583643720936 | 1.09858843075084 |
36 | 651812 | 694778.10789204 | 667594 | 1.04071952098437 | 0.938158517944097 |
37 | 676155 | 717168.380089532 | 669615.541666667 | 1.07101513549776 | 0.94281206306891 |
38 | 748183 | 739804.914564658 | 667899.166666667 | 1.10765958618702 | 1.01132472259970 |
39 | 810681 | 794398.924477584 | 667777.458333333 | 1.18961626296922 | 1.02049609462037 |
40 | 729363 | 723838.261839256 | 666312.375 | 1.08633471176227 | 1.00763255889058 |
41 | 701108 | 698380.378915264 | 663274.333333333 | 1.05292839450835 | 1.00390563819816 |
42 | 790079 | 747647.095760706 | 664112.125 | 1.12578443852490 | 1.05675392104094 |
43 | 594621 | 611963.601251421 | 669339.041666667 | 0.914280451544587 | 0.971660730775562 |
44 | 230716 | 257230.207344287 | 673367.791666667 | 0.382005510996615 | 0.896924208015743 |
45 | 617189 | 646379.131596467 | 674547.625 | 0.958240912339536 | 0.954840541456882 |
46 | 691389 | 720579.793949189 | 676233.333333333 | 1.06557863747600 | 0.959489852207475 |
47 | 701067 | 682909.170525618 | 678946.541666667 | 1.00583643720936 | 1.02658893782376 |
48 | 705777 | 706024.209762424 | 678400.083333333 | 1.04071952098437 | 0.99964985653607 |
49 | 747636 | 728605.036711422 | 680293.875 | 1.07101513549776 | 1.02611972513184 |
50 | 773392 | 758012.715147365 | 684337.25 | 1.10765958618702 | 1.02028895366174 |
51 | 813788 | 817754.462299081 | 687410.291666667 | 1.18961626296922 | 0.99514956813818 |
52 | 766713 | 750377.962014964 | 690742.875 | 1.08633471176227 | 1.02176908013286 |
53 | 728875 | 727746.244733987 | 691164.041666667 | 1.05292839450835 | 1.00155102863695 |
54 | 749197 | 780891.088061182 | 693641.75 | 1.12578443852490 | 0.959412921282182 |
55 | 680954 | 638525.73406992 | 698391.541666667 | 0.914280451544587 | 1.06644722940083 |
56 | 241424 | 267787.884654456 | 701005.291666667 | 0.382005510996615 | 0.901549374840184 |
57 | 680234 | 675373.625048742 | 704805.666666667 | 0.958240912339536 | 1.00719657204693 |
58 | 708326 | 755770.350855394 | 709258.166666667 | 1.06557863747600 | 0.937223852719684 |
59 | 694238 | 715610.757132763 | 711458.375 | 1.00583643720936 | 0.970133544081426 |
60 | 772071 | 744512.706173855 | 715382.666666667 | 1.04071952098437 | 1.03701520954259 |
61 | 795337 | 769876.604957829 | 718828.875 | 1.07101513549776 | 1.03307074780324 |
62 | 788421 | 798981.397194286 | 721323.958333333 | 1.10765958618702 | 0.986782674501097 |
63 | 889968 | 862864.31445212 | 725329.958333333 | 1.18961626296922 | 1.03141129502509 |
64 | 797393 | 797318.12279864 | 733952.541666667 | 1.08633471176227 | 1.00009391132500 |
65 | 751000 | 785003.832747104 | 745543.416666667 | 1.05292839450835 | 0.956683227102078 |
66 | 821255 | 846152.671239416 | 751611.625 | 1.12578443852490 | 0.970575438587287 |
67 | 691605 | 690048.027975737 | 754744.375 | 0.914280451544587 | 1.00225632414142 |
68 | 290655 | 290008.158381559 | 759172.708333333 | 0.382005510996615 | 1.00223042559234 |
69 | 727147 | 731884.764906234 | 763779.5 | 0.958240912339536 | 0.993526624499635 |
70 | 868355 | 816482.226514908 | 766233.666666667 | 1.06557863747600 | 1.06353203021517 |
71 | 812390 | 774738.4329956 | 770242.958333333 | 1.00583643720936 | 1.04859906957090 |
72 | 799556 | 807659.533919043 | 776058.791666667 | 1.04071952098437 | 0.989966646119161 |
73 | 843038 | 831840.007119529 | 776683.708333333 | 1.07101513549776 | 1.01346171473436 |
74 | 847000 | 862358.54034708 | 778541.125 | 1.10765958618702 | 0.982190075672124 |
75 | 941952 | 930859.508598717 | 782487.208333333 | 1.18961626296922 | 1.01191639694155 |
76 | 804309 | 849755.589863298 | 782222.625 | 1.08633471176227 | 0.946518045417496 |
77 | 840307 | 819153.064518046 | 777976.041666667 | 1.05292839450835 | 1.02582415472547 |
78 | 871528 | 876689.667949774 | 778736.708333333 | 1.12578443852490 | 0.99411232031302 |
79 | 656330 | 713281.722810388 | 780156.375 | 0.914280451544587 | 0.920155359391527 |
80 | 370508 | 297135.489870563 | 777830.375 | 0.382005510996615 | 1.24693283916169 |
81 | 742000 | 745586.691638482 | 778078.541666667 | 0.958240912339536 | 0.995189437152372 |
82 | 847152 | 829352.285298343 | 778311.666666667 | 1.06557863747600 | 1.02146218804383 |
83 | 731675 | 780835.18483019 | 776304.333333333 | 1.00583643720936 | 0.93704153477551 |
84 | 898527 | 803565.386686804 | 772124.833333333 | 1.04071952098437 | 1.11817534065863 |
85 | 778139 | 825063.605105973 | 770356.625 | 1.07101513549776 | 0.94312607559517 |
86 | 856075 | 850547.058502257 | 767877.666666667 | 1.10765958618702 | 1.00649927766193 |
87 | 938833 | 912365.684607253 | 766941.166666667 | 1.18961626296922 | 1.02900954720161 |
88 | 813023 | 835456.392372103 | 769059.833333333 | 1.08633471176227 | 0.973148338349046 |
89 | 783417 | 812448.71845408 | 771608.708333333 | 1.05292839450835 | 0.96426639885737 |
90 | 828110 | 866685.149998397 | 769850 | 1.12578443852490 | 0.955491160776819 |
91 | 657311 | 704869.999801008 | 770956 | 0.914280451544587 | 0.932527984146815 |
92 | 310032 | 296372.959119925 | 775834.25 | 0.382005510996615 | 1.04608733846919 |
93 | 780000 | 741616.859245478 | 773935.708333333 | 0.958240912339536 | 1.05175602506336 |
94 | 860000 | 825418.035771452 | 774619.541666667 | 1.06557863747600 | 1.04189630312140 |
95 | 780000 | 783903.530791748 | 779354.875 | 1.00583643720936 | 0.9950203939153 |
96 | 807993 | 817948.000376868 | 785944.708333333 | 1.04071952098437 | 0.987829299206941 |
97 | 895217 | 854328.558175882 | 797681.125 | 1.07101513549776 | 1.04786032426614 |
98 | 856075 | 891181.550421528 | 804562.666666667 | 1.10765958618702 | 0.960606735625392 |
99 | 893268 | 957190.772367344 | 804621.458333333 | 1.18961626296922 | 0.933218357079176 |
100 | 875000 | 876416.733206992 | 806764.916666667 | 1.08633471176227 | 0.99838349365854 |
101 | 835088 | 851296.423825432 | 808503.625 | 1.05292839450835 | 0.980960305515443 |
102 | 934595 | 913659.584572603 | 811575.958333333 | 1.12578443852490 | 1.02291380266885 |
103 | 832500 | 743981.888952578 | 813734.875 | 0.914280451544587 | 1.11897885198797 |
104 | 3e+05 | 312708.708537362 | 818597.375 | 0.382005510996615 | 0.959359275292316 |
105 | 791443 | 793214.499044836 | 827781.916666667 | 0.958240912339536 | 0.997766683479728 |
106 | 9e+05 | 889935.714332931 | 835166.625 | 1.06557863747600 | 1.01130900300435 |
107 | 781729 | 845501.20566556 | 840595.125 | 1.00583643720936 | 0.924574672113733 |
108 | 880000 | 879543.592312715 | 845130.291666667 | 1.04071952098437 | 1.00051891423151 |
109 | 875024 | 908351.186369218 | 848121.708333333 | 1.07101513549776 | 0.963310240720408 |
110 | 992968 | 941512.725120694 | 850001.875 | 1.10765958618702 | 1.05465170412084 |
111 | 976804 | 1016314.79977160 | 854321.541666667 | 1.18961626296922 | 0.961123463143032 |
112 | 968697 | 931336.158240401 | 857319.708333333 | 1.08633471176227 | 1.040115313283 |
113 | 871675 | 907122.424070166 | 861523.375 | 1.05292839450835 | 0.960923219259516 |
114 | 1006852 | 979306.326751867 | 869887.958333333 | 1.12578443852490 | 1.02812773949852 |
115 | 832037 | NA | NA | 0.914280451544587 | NA |
116 | 345587 | NA | NA | 0.382005510996615 | NA |
117 | 849528 | NA | NA | 0.958240912339536 | NA |
118 | 913871 | NA | NA | 1.06557863747600 | NA |
119 | 868746 | NA | NA | 1.00583643720936 | NA |
120 | 993733 | NA | NA | 1.04071952098437 | NA |