Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 142970 | NA | NA | -2919.26851851852 | NA |
2 | 142524 | NA | NA | -2054.94907407407 | NA |
3 | 146142 | NA | NA | 520.787037037037 | NA |
4 | 146522 | NA | NA | 833.24537037036 | NA |
5 | 148128 | NA | NA | 1785.99537037038 | NA |
6 | 148798 | NA | NA | 2533.32870370371 | NA |
7 | 150181 | 153217.856481481 | 151122.916666667 | 2094.93981481482 | -3036.85648148149 |
8 | 152388 | 153945.814814815 | 152249.583333333 | 1696.23148148148 | -1557.81481481480 |
9 | 155694 | 153569.009259259 | 153495.458333333 | 73.5509259259181 | 2124.99074074076 |
10 | 160662 | 153660.300925926 | 154435.583333333 | -775.28240740741 | 7001.69907407407 |
11 | 155520 | 153463.148148148 | 154887.333333333 | -1424.18518518519 | 2056.85185185185 |
12 | 158262 | 152506.648148148 | 154871.041666667 | -2364.39351851853 | 5755.35185185185 |
13 | 154338 | 151458.523148148 | 154377.791666667 | -2919.26851851852 | 2879.47685185185 |
14 | 158196 | 151468.967592593 | 153523.916666667 | -2054.94907407407 | 6727.03240740742 |
15 | 160371 | 152955.995370370 | 152435.208333333 | 520.787037037037 | 7415.00462962964 |
16 | 154856 | 151762.912037037 | 150929.666666667 | 833.24537037036 | 3093.08796296295 |
17 | 150636 | 150938.953703704 | 149152.958333333 | 1785.99537037038 | -302.953703703708 |
18 | 145899 | 149606.287037037 | 147072.958333333 | 2533.32870370371 | -3707.28703703702 |
19 | 141242 | 146667.064814815 | 144572.125 | 2094.93981481482 | -5425.06481481483 |
20 | 140834 | 143347.273148148 | 141651.041666667 | 1696.23148148148 | -2513.27314814818 |
21 | 141119 | 138440.342592593 | 138366.791666667 | 73.5509259259181 | 2678.65740740739 |
22 | 139104 | 134540.175925926 | 135315.458333333 | -775.28240740741 | 4563.82407407407 |
23 | 134437 | 131308.523148148 | 132732.708333333 | -1424.18518518519 | 3128.47685185185 |
24 | 129425 | 128247.731481481 | 130612.125 | -2364.39351851853 | 1177.26851851851 |
25 | 123155 | 126080.814814815 | 129000.083333333 | -2919.26851851852 | -2925.81481481482 |
26 | 119273 | 125592.842592593 | 127647.791666667 | -2054.94907407407 | -6319.8425925926 |
27 | 120472 | 126637.578703704 | 126116.791666667 | 520.787037037037 | -6165.57870370371 |
28 | 121523 | 125181.453703704 | 124348.208333333 | 833.24537037036 | -3658.45370370371 |
29 | 121983 | 124452.703703704 | 122666.708333333 | 1785.99537037038 | -2469.70370370372 |
30 | 123658 | 123792.162037037 | 121258.833333333 | 2533.32870370371 | -134.162037037036 |
31 | 124794 | 122477.689814815 | 120382.75 | 2094.93981481482 | 2316.31018518520 |
32 | 124827 | 121757.773148148 | 120061.541666667 | 1696.23148148148 | 3069.22685185188 |
33 | 120382 | 119987.884259259 | 119914.333333333 | 73.5509259259181 | 394.115740740759 |
34 | 117395 | 119027.342592593 | 119802.625 | -775.28240740741 | -1632.34259259255 |
35 | 115790 | 118403.356481481 | 119827.541666667 | -1424.18518518519 | -2613.35648148146 |
36 | 114283 | 117601.689814815 | 119966.083333333 | -2364.39351851853 | -3318.6898148148 |
37 | 117271 | 117094.398148148 | 120013.666666667 | -2919.26851851852 | 176.601851851854 |
38 | 117448 | 117724.925925926 | 119779.875 | -2054.94907407407 | -276.925925925912 |
39 | 118764 | 119883.162037037 | 119362.375 | 520.787037037037 | -1119.16203703704 |
40 | 120550 | 119854.370370370 | 119021.125 | 833.24537037036 | 695.62962962965 |
41 | 123554 | 120651.078703704 | 118865.083333333 | 1785.99537037038 | 2902.92129629632 |
42 | 125412 | 121440.287037037 | 118906.958333333 | 2533.32870370371 | 3971.71296296298 |
43 | 124182 | 120942.981481481 | 118848.041666667 | 2094.93981481482 | 3239.01851851853 |
44 | 119828 | 120253.689814815 | 118557.458333333 | 1696.23148148148 | -425.689814814803 |
45 | 115361 | 118303.509259259 | 118229.958333333 | 73.5509259259181 | -2942.50925925924 |
46 | 114226 | 117027.217592593 | 117802.5 | -775.28240740741 | -2801.2175925926 |
47 | 115214 | 115598.856481481 | 117023.041666667 | -1424.18518518519 | -384.856481481489 |
48 | 115864 | 113592.314814815 | 115956.708333333 | -2364.39351851853 | 2271.68518518518 |
49 | 114276 | NA | 115047.25 | NA | NA |
50 | 113469 | NA | 114614.333333333 | NA | NA |
51 | 114883 | NA | 114789.125 | NA | NA |
52 | 114172 | NA | 115308.208333333 | NA | NA |
53 | 111225 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
54 | 112149 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
55 | 115618 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
56 | 118002 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
57 | 121382 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
58 | 120663 | NA | NA | NA | NA |