Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 0 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 580 | 590 | -10 |
4 | 574 | 580 | -6 |
5 | 573 | 574 | -1 |
6 | 573 | 573 | 0 |
7 | 620 | 573 | 47 |
8 | 626 | 620 | 6 |
9 | 620 | 626 | -6 |
10 | 588 | 620 | -32 |
11 | 566 | 588 | -22 |
12 | 557 | 566 | -9 |
13 | 561 | 557 | 4 |
14 | 549 | 561 | -12 |
15 | 532 | 549 | -17 |
16 | 526 | 532 | -6 |
17 | 511 | 526 | -15 |
18 | 499 | 511 | -12 |
19 | 555 | 499 | 56 |
20 | 565 | 555 | 10 |
21 | 542 | 565 | -23 |
22 | 527 | 542 | -15 |
23 | 510 | 527 | -17 |
24 | 514 | 510 | 4 |
25 | 517 | 514 | 3 |
26 | 508 | 517 | -9 |
27 | 493 | 508 | -15 |
28 | 490 | 493 | -3 |
29 | 469 | 490 | -21 |
30 | 478 | 469 | 9 |
31 | 528 | 478 | 50 |
32 | 534 | 528 | 6 |
33 | 518 | 534 | -16 |
34 | 506 | 518 | -12 |
35 | 502 | 506 | -4 |
36 | 516 | 502 | 14 |
37 | 528 | 516 | 12 |
38 | 533 | 528 | 5 |
39 | 536 | 533 | 3 |
40 | 537 | 536 | 1 |
41 | 524 | 537 | -13 |
42 | 536 | 524 | 12 |
43 | 587 | 536 | 51 |
44 | 597 | 587 | 10 |
45 | 581 | 597 | -16 |
46 | 564 | 581 | -17 |
47 | 558 | 564 | -6 |
48 | 575 | 558 | 17 |
49 | 580 | 575 | 5 |
50 | 575 | 580 | -5 |
51 | 563 | 575 | -12 |
52 | 552 | 563 | -11 |
53 | 537 | 552 | -15 |
54 | 545 | 537 | 8 |
55 | 601 | 545 | 56 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
56 | 601 | 561.658957488336 | 640.341042511664 |
57 | 601 | 545.363364122109 | 656.636635877891 |
58 | 601 | 532.859315547071 | 669.140684452929 |
59 | 601 | 522.317914976672 | 679.682085023328 |
60 | 601 | 513.030754638211 | 688.969245361789 |
61 | 601 | 504.634519897283 | 697.365480102717 |
62 | 601 | 496.913385196118 | 705.086614803882 |
63 | 601 | 489.726728244217 | 712.273271755783 |
64 | 601 | 482.976872465009 | 719.023127534991 |
65 | 601 | 476.592700137631 | 725.407299862369 |
66 | 601 | 470.52052312739 | 731.47947687261 |
67 | 601 | 464.718631094142 | 737.281368905858 |