Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[360])
348	702.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
349	784.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
350	810.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
351	755.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
352	656.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
353	615.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
354	745.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
355	694.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
356	675.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
357	643.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
358	622.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
359	634.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
360	588	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
361	689.7	681.369	627.6602	737.2824	0.3851	0.9995	1e-04	0.9995
362	673.9	680.176	601.1864	764.0397	0.4417	0.4119	0.0011	0.9844
363	647.9	637.1722	536.1433	746.9165	0.424	0.2559	0.0172	0.8101
364	568.8	570.0923	453.4934	700.0167	0.4922	0.1202	0.0954	0.3935
365	545.7	531.2292	399.9718	681.0809	0.4249	0.3116	0.1363	0.2289
366	632.6	648.2231	482.6982	838.1059	0.4359	0.855	0.1582	0.7329
367	643.8	616.3527	437.7032	825.5018	0.3985	0.4395	0.2331	0.6048
368	593.1	584.6282	395.3083	810.8718	0.4707	0.3041	0.2151	0.4883
369	579.7	567.5684	366.9867	811.708	0.4612	0.4188	0.2705	0.4349
370	546	545.6735	336.4402	805.2544	0.499	0.3986	0.2819	0.3746
371	562.9	563.7748	338.3257	846.4755	0.4976	0.549	0.3117	0.4333
372	572.5	551.2949	317.2756	849.554	0.4446	0.4696	0.4047	0.4047

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
361	0.0419	0.0122	0	69.4056	0	0
362	0.0629	-0.0092	0.0107	39.3886	54.3971	7.3754
363	0.0879	0.0168	0.0128	115.0849	74.6263	8.6387
364	0.1163	-0.0023	0.0101	1.6701	56.3873	7.5091
365	0.1439	0.0272	0.0136	209.4028	86.9904	9.3269
366	0.1495	-0.0241	0.0153	244.0815	113.1722	10.6382
367	0.1731	0.0445	0.0195	753.3528	204.6266	14.3048
368	0.1974	0.0145	0.0189	71.7711	188.0197	13.712
369	0.2195	0.0214	0.0191	147.1761	183.4815	13.5455
370	0.2427	6e-04	0.0173	0.1066	165.144	12.8508
371	0.2558	-0.0016	0.0159	0.7652	150.2005	12.2556
372	0.276	0.0385	0.0177	449.6544	175.155	13.2346