Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 46.85 | NA | NA | 0.866661904355989 | NA |
2 | 48.05 | NA | NA | 0.8666950993582 | NA |
3 | 54.63 | NA | NA | 0.937255593993909 | NA |
4 | 53.22 | NA | NA | 1.00053748045992 | NA |
5 | 49.87 | NA | NA | 1.06599106865283 | NA |
6 | 56.42 | NA | NA | 1.13717455313811 | NA |
7 | 59.03 | 58.4817382182484 | 57.3345833333333 | 1.14715488491501 | 0.897499186693677 |
8 | 64.99 | 59.8104921447999 | 58.6916666666667 | 1.11882547813325 | 0.989709518191973 |
9 | 65.55 | 60.6923630049933 | 59.6175 | 1.07486300499335 | 1.02292977536694 |
10 | 62.27 | 61.6521774692816 | 60.6708333333333 | 0.981344135948257 | 1.04586968241315 |
11 | 58.34 | 63.1829414051674 | 62.2554166666667 | 0.92752473850071 | 1.01033123322177 |
12 | 59.45 | 64.6163887242171 | 63.7404166666667 | 0.875972057550466 | 1.06474769343733 |
13 | 65.54 | 65.8562452376893 | 64.9895833333333 | 0.866661904355989 | 1.16362482406321 |
14 | 61.93 | 66.8362784326915 | 65.9695833333333 | 0.8666950993582 | 1.08315597075219 |
15 | 62.97 | 67.1751722606606 | 66.2379166666666 | 0.937255593993909 | 1.01430598405513 |
16 | 70.16 | 67.0392874804599 | 66.03875 | 1.00053748045992 | 1.06183582560592 |
17 | 70.96 | 67.0184910686528 | 65.9525 | 1.06599106865283 | 1.00931976577367 |
18 | 70.97 | 67.2438412198048 | 66.1066666666667 | 1.13717455313811 | 0.944066122472968 |
19 | 74.46 | 66.8975715515817 | 65.7504166666667 | 1.14715488491501 | 0.98719390136559 |
20 | 73.08 | 66.2971588114666 | 65.1783333333333 | 1.11882547813325 | 1.00215048280260 |
21 | 63.9 | 66.0544463383267 | 64.9795833333333 | 1.07486300499335 | 0.914894086513394 |
22 | 59.14 | 65.6130108026149 | 64.6316666666667 | 0.981344135948257 | 0.932426554428352 |
23 | 59.4 | 64.994608071834 | 64.0670833333333 | 0.92752473850071 | 0.999599407756416 |
24 | 62.09 | 64.4901387242171 | 63.6141666666667 | 0.875972057550466 | 1.11423697113663 |
25 | 54.35 | 64.3245785710227 | 63.4579166666667 | 0.866661904355989 | 0.988243648008665 |
26 | 59.39 | 64.2816950993582 | 63.415 | 0.8666950993582 | 1.08057517923544 |
27 | 60.74 | 64.9776722606606 | 64.0404166666667 | 0.937255593993909 | 1.01195825501121 |
28 | 64.04 | 66.8013708137933 | 65.8008333333333 | 1.00053748045992 | 0.97271713744689 |
29 | 63.53 | 69.4397410686528 | 68.37375 | 1.06599106865283 | 0.871637466371409 |
30 | 67.53 | 72.2142578864714 | 71.0770833333333 | 1.13717455313811 | 0.835487619561568 |
31 | 74.15 | 75.067154884915 | 73.92 | 1.14715488491501 | 0.87443420679483 |
32 | 72.36 | 78.1446588114666 | 77.0258333333333 | 1.11882547813325 | 0.839652924444632 |
33 | 79.63 | 81.4606963383267 | 80.3858333333333 | 1.07486300499335 | 0.92160342903004 |
34 | 85.66 | 85.2463441359482 | 84.265 | 0.981344135948257 | 1.03588015539157 |
35 | 94.63 | 89.7904414051674 | 88.8629166666667 | 0.92752473850071 | 1.14810808366757 |
36 | 91.74 | 95.0897220575505 | 94.21375 | 0.875972057550466 | 1.11161447273794 |
37 | 92.93 | 100.322911904356 | 99.45625 | 0.866661904355989 | 1.07813749552492 |
38 | 95.35 | 104.642111766025 | 103.775416666667 | 0.8666950993582 | 1.06013182144496 |
39 | 105.42 | 107.565172260661 | 106.627916666667 | 0.937255593993909 | 1.05485811150576 |
40 | 112.46 | 108.261370813793 | 107.260833333333 | 1.00053748045992 | 1.04790895171173 |
41 | 125.46 | 106.404741068653 | 105.33875 | 1.06599106865283 | 1.11728394129220 |
42 | 134.02 | 102.855507886471 | 101.718333333333 | 1.13717455313811 | 1.15862593383311 |
43 | 133.48 | 98.6692382182484 | 97.5220833333333 | 1.14715488491501 | 1.19313934916943 |
44 | 116.69 | 94.1784088114666 | 93.0595833333333 | 1.11882547813325 | 1.12075371858432 |
45 | 103.76 | 89.4073630049933 | 88.3325 | 1.07486300499335 | 1.09283935311315 |
46 | 76.72 | 84.319260802615 | 83.3379166666667 | 0.981344135948257 | 0.93809025179045 |
47 | 57.44 | 78.9004414051674 | 77.9729166666667 | 0.92752473850071 | 0.794227919377763 |
48 | 42.04 | 73.4084720575505 | 72.5325 | 0.875972057550466 | 0.661667506711621 |
49 | 41.92 | 67.8362452376893 | 66.9695833333333 | 0.866661904355989 | 0.722260676426735 |
50 | 39.26 | 63.0554450993582 | 62.18875 | 0.8666950993582 | 0.728403672590934 |
51 | 48.06 | 59.7993389273272 | 58.8620833333333 | 0.937255593993909 | 0.87114429345143 |
52 | 49.95 | 58.3963708137933 | 57.3958333333333 | 1.00053748045992 | 0.86980472925898 |
53 | 59.21 | 59.2872410686528 | 58.22125 | 1.06599106865283 | 0.954025470586245 |
54 | 69.7 | 61.5780078864715 | 60.4408333333333 | 1.13717455313811 | 1.01408696815588 |
55 | 64.29 | NA | NA | 1.14715488491501 | NA |
56 | 71.14 | NA | NA | 1.11882547813325 | NA |
57 | 69.47 | NA | NA | 1.07486300499335 | NA |
58 | 75.82 | NA | NA | 0.981344135948257 | NA |
59 | 78.15 | NA | NA | 0.92752473850071 | NA |
60 | 74.6 | NA | NA | 0.875972057550466 | NA |