Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[63])
51	9946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	9701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	9049	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	10190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	9706	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	9765	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9994	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	10433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10073	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	9266.00000000001	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	9820	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	10097	9681.7034	9047.2925	10365.3926	0.1169	0.3459	0.4779	0.3459
65	9115	9044.4135	8433.2004	9704.7093	0.417	9e-04	0.4946	0.0107
66	10411	10149.4419	9455.905	10899.3436	0.2471	0.9966	0.4578	0.8054
67	9678	9670.4907	9012.7467	10381.4227	0.4917	0.0206	0.461	0.3401
68	10408	9713.7069	9052.74	10428.147	0.0284	0.539	0.444	0.3853
69	10153	9882.5732	9209.0003	10610.7369	0.2333	0.0786	0.4888	0.5669
70	10368	10015.5896	9332.0724	10754.5807	0.175	0.3578	0.5228	0.698
71	10581	10405.5681	9692.8234	11176.3889	0.3278	0.5381	0.4722	0.9317
72	10597	10056.5891	9370.0041	10798.9205	0.0768	0.0831	0.4827	0.7339
73	10680	10077.4587	9389.3117	10821.491	0.0562	0.0856	0.4637	0.7512
74	9738	9265.1119	8637.5303	9943.2169	0.0858	0	0.499	0.0544
75	9556	9826.7859	9157.3799	10550.4131	0.2316	0.595	0.5073	0.5073

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
64	0.036	0.0429	0	172471.253	0	0
65	0.0372	0.0078	0.0253	4982.4489	88726.851	297.8705
66	0.0377	0.0258	0.0255	68412.654	81955.452	286.2786
67	0.0375	8e-04	0.0193	56.389	61480.6862	247.953
68	0.0375	0.0715	0.0297	482042.9653	145593.142	381.5667
69	0.0376	0.0274	0.0293	73130.6615	133516.0619	365.3985
70	0.0376	0.0352	0.0302	124193.0866	132184.2083	363.5715
71	0.0378	0.0169	0.0285	30776.3542	119508.2266	345.6996
72	0.0377	0.0537	0.0313	292043.9632	138678.864	372.3961
73	0.0377	0.0598	0.0342	363056.0673	161116.5843	401.3933
74	0.0373	0.051	0.0357	223623.171	166799.0013	408.4103
75	0.0376	-0.0276	0.035	73325.0166	159009.5025	398.76