| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1027 | 0.16 | -1 | -0.6945 |
| (p-val) | (0.4349 ) | (0.2161 ) | (0 ) | (6e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.1767 | -1 | -0.7207 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1709 ) | (0 ) | (8e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7275 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (9e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -3.98983393452878 |
| 13.1132490678514 |
| -5.27714424051414 |
| -7.27752191864714 |
| 4.90433106326222 |
| 1.00231402473829 |
| 61.2214290761142 |
| -64.2320791108607 |
| -14.5136901998899 |
| 34.5325065603621 |
| -2.69774606097119 |
| -50.4222695356216 |
| -5.81117865232775 |
| -19.9087658079921 |
| 16.5962558093818 |
| 36.053015385511 |
| -84.8676759581912 |
| 49.9592540719398 |
| -37.8401236454427 |
| 40.9165880768033 |
| 63.8708275002336 |
| 17.8583819982293 |
| 23.2410218374261 |
| 41.4462454811856 |
| 8.52854584407399 |
| -20.679152417712 |
| -29.8986431449555 |
| -18.9277969109388 |
| -50.0951803207062 |
| -32.7051624376415 |
| -40.9537996994444 |
| 26.2746659893226 |
| 18.749911164946 |
| -14.7115479442265 |
| -19.5882169046035 |
| 2.37006376074556 |
| -27.4601517758742 |
| 34.2801504526341 |
| 20.1746258132109 |
| -85.3606570860836 |
| 32.9922035090541 |
| -5.57589719506197 |
| -28.7130315315181 |
| 46.7919076998891 |
| 11.6214219136606 |
| -4.73093866262047 |
| -0.655205072281534 |
| -12.6650581485381 |
| 10.4660604171218 |
| -30.4138725512568 |
| -30.9936503464389 |
| -2.2188954120994 |
| -31.0154166509392 |
| -5.16942693209479 |
| -22.6726785252358 |
| 37.5588326240282 |
| 6.50825791087253 |
| -3.46028919841033 |
| -6.25042814202802 |
| -1.73328137607369 |
