Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[348])
347329.3-------
348323.5-------
349323.2307.9382210.4924405.3840.37940.37710.37710.3771
350317.4307.9382210.4924405.3840.42450.37940.37940.3771
351330.1307.9382210.4924405.3840.32790.42450.42450.3771
352329.2307.9382210.4924405.3840.33450.32790.32790.3771
353334.9307.9382210.4924405.3840.29380.33450.33450.3771
354315.8307.9382210.4924405.3840.43720.29380.29380.3771
355315.4307.9382210.4924405.3840.44030.43720.43720.3771
356319.6307.9382210.4924405.3840.40730.44030.44030.3771
357317.3307.9382210.4924405.3840.42530.40730.40730.3771
358313.8307.9382210.4924405.3840.45310.42530.42530.3771
359315.8307.9382210.4924405.3840.43720.45310.45310.3771
360311.3307.9382210.4924405.3840.4730.43720.43720.3771


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
3490.16150.04960232.92200
3500.16150.03070.040189.5253161.223612.6974
3510.16150.0720.0508491.1446271.197316.4681
3520.16150.0690.0553452.0634316.413817.788
3530.16150.08760.0618726.9377398.518619.9629
3540.16150.02550.055761.8076342.400118.5041
3550.16150.02420.051255.6782301.439817.362
3560.16150.03790.0496135.9972280.759516.7559
3570.16150.03040.047487.643259.302116.1029
3580.16150.0190.044634.3605236.807915.3886
3590.16150.02550.042961.8076220.898814.8627
3600.16150.01090.040211.3016203.432414.263