Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Popularity[t] = + 0.303577528406635 + 0.0945470254137575FindingFriends[t] + 0.2438215702385KnowingPeople[t] + 0.348903064267891Liked[t] + 0.627086448309147Celebrity[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 0.303577528406635 | 1.425118 | 0.213 | 0.831599 | 0.4158 |
FindingFriends | 0.0945470254137575 | 0.095958 | 0.9853 | 0.326054 | 0.163027 |
KnowingPeople | 0.2438215702385 | 0.061374 | 3.9727 | 0.00011 | 5.5e-05 |
Liked | 0.348903064267891 | 0.096479 | 3.6164 | 0.000407 | 0.000203 |
Celebrity | 0.627086448309147 | 0.156033 | 4.0189 | 9.2e-05 | 4.6e-05 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.706541003093969 |
R-squared | 0.499200189053032 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.485933968895496 |
F-TEST (value) | 37.6294214271329 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 4 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 151 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 2.10551474685275 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 669.412044731376 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 13 | 11.3631900225345 | 1.63680997746547 |
2 | 12 | 11.059886472308 | 0.94011352769195 |
3 | 15 | 13.5198743435474 | 1.48012565645264 |
4 | 12 | 10.8106072098695 | 1.18939279013047 |
5 | 10 | 10.6606294334218 | -0.660629433421754 |
6 | 12 | 9.21298894118337 | 2.78701105881664 |
7 | 15 | 16.7307807258967 | -1.73078072589671 |
8 | 9 | 10.4664586061786 | -1.46645860617862 |
9 | 12 | 12.2446325096978 | -0.244632509697797 |
10 | 11 | 7.98226247396779 | 3.01773752603221 |
11 | 11 | 13.3246193688968 | -2.32461936889679 |
12 | 11 | 12.0695345670648 | -1.06953456706481 |
13 | 15 | 12.2181058802665 | 2.78189411973349 |
14 | 7 | 11.2482772915125 | -4.24827729151253 |
15 | 11 | 11.6322454012062 | -0.63224540120621 |
16 | 11 | 10.9541017466556 | 0.0458982533443773 |
17 | 10 | 12.0695345670648 | -2.06953456706481 |
18 | 14 | 14.3458860796766 | -0.345886079676616 |
19 | 10 | 8.69881917127508 | 1.30118082872492 |
20 | 6 | 9.50608033863283 | -3.50608033863283 |
21 | 11 | 8.65116448090084 | 2.34883551909916 |
22 | 15 | 14.3802478934794 | 0.61975210652063 |
23 | 11 | 11.6253812457601 | -0.625381245760121 |
24 | 12 | 9.49117232522462 | 2.50882767477538 |
25 | 14 | 13.3937239122867 | 0.606276087713301 |
26 | 15 | 14.8335292201536 | 0.166470779846384 |
27 | 9 | 14.6240694637179 | -5.62406946371787 |
28 | 13 | 12.4935308563519 | 0.506469143648086 |
29 | 13 | 13.2151643300748 | -0.215164330074817 |
30 | 16 | 10.7817030882668 | 5.21829691173321 |
31 | 13 | 8.49919065183193 | 4.50080934816807 |
32 | 12 | 13.5878947395298 | -1.58789473952983 |
33 | 14 | 14.4747949188931 | -0.474794918893128 |
34 | 11 | 10.0546119223439 | 0.945388077656128 |
35 | 9 | 10.4664586061786 | -1.46645860617862 |
36 | 16 | 14.2408045856472 | 1.75919541435278 |
37 | 12 | 12.87242218963 | -0.872422189629979 |
38 | 10 | 9.1915390881677 | 0.808460911832304 |
39 | 13 | 13.0553553166344 | -0.0553553166344411 |
40 | 16 | 15.2167940982243 | 0.783205901775738 |
41 | 14 | 12.9060807718097 | 1.0939192281903 |
42 | 15 | 8.0928016601972 | 6.9071983398028 |
43 | 5 | 9.74045158766314 | -4.74045158766314 |
44 | 8 | 10.4769930747943 | -2.47699307479425 |
45 | 11 | 11.2435228309355 | -0.243522830935547 |
46 | 16 | 13.787523258973 | 2.21247674102702 |
47 | 17 | 13.0209935028317 | 3.97900649716831 |
48 | 9 | 8.48428263842372 | 0.515717361576283 |
49 | 9 | 11.9406257278483 | -2.94062572784829 |
50 | 13 | 14.6842546753289 | -1.68425467532887 |
51 | 10 | 10.9555082099017 | -0.955508209901694 |
52 | 6 | 12.4122767075096 | -6.41227670750964 |
53 | 12 | 12.3840758175299 | -0.384075817529943 |
54 | 8 | 10.4328000239989 | -2.4328000239989 |
55 | 14 | 12.3735413489143 | 1.62645865108569 |
56 | 12 | 12.4282688683253 | -0.428268868325295 |
57 | 11 | 10.7755421644437 | 0.224457835556259 |
58 | 16 | 14.4006135990876 | 1.5993864009124 |
59 | 8 | 10.2695293709796 | -2.26952937097964 |
60 | 15 | 15.251155912027 | -0.251155912027017 |
61 | 7 | 9.45681051142187 | -2.45681051142187 |
62 | 16 | 13.9864485467931 | 2.01355145320691 |
63 | 14 | 13.7364660527315 | 0.263533947268463 |
64 | 16 | 13.7531614451702 | 2.24683855482978 |
65 | 9 | 9.93969919132188 | -0.939699191321884 |
66 | 14 | 12.2789943235006 | 1.72100567649945 |
67 | 11 | 13.0448208480188 | -2.04482084801881 |
68 | 13 | 10.4671618378017 | 2.53283816219834 |
69 | 15 | 12.9060807718097 | 2.0939192281903 |
70 | 5 | 5.60121038311099 | -0.601210383110991 |
71 | 15 | 12.4282688683253 | 2.57173113167471 |
72 | 13 | 12.2789943235006 | 0.721005676499448 |
73 | 11 | 12.0457072218777 | -1.04570722187768 |
74 | 11 | 13.9782324466372 | -2.97823244663722 |
75 | 12 | 12.4731651507437 | -0.473165150743683 |
76 | 12 | 13.3937239122867 | -1.3937239122867 |
77 | 12 | 12.2684598548849 | -0.268459854884919 |
78 | 12 | 11.9008062218455 | 0.0991937781544785 |
79 | 14 | 10.7817030882668 | 3.21829691173321 |
80 | 6 | 7.99317785836783 | -1.99317785836783 |
81 | 7 | 9.84007538949251 | -2.84007538949251 |
82 | 14 | 11.9898955550593 | 2.01010444494074 |
83 | 14 | 13.8582429391996 | 0.141757060800385 |
84 | 10 | 11.2533540679281 | -1.25335406792814 |
85 | 13 | 8.72534580070636 | 4.27465419929364 |
86 | 12 | 12.4079031627171 | -0.407903162717064 |
87 | 9 | 9.29154380578147 | -0.291543805781471 |
88 | 12 | 12.0164221844905 | -0.0164221844905458 |
89 | 16 | 15.0073343417885 | 0.992665658211484 |
90 | 10 | 10.2331715045558 | -0.233171504555754 |
91 | 14 | 13.1267782284841 | 0.873221771515887 |
92 | 10 | 13.5093398749317 | -3.50933987493172 |
93 | 16 | 15.311341123638 | 0.68865887636198 |
94 | 15 | 13.4484514316977 | 1.55154856830232 |
95 | 12 | 11.3479010933419 | 0.652098906658098 |
96 | 10 | 9.73499389546312 | 0.26500610453688 |
97 | 8 | 10.2389515125944 | -2.23895151259441 |
98 | 8 | 8.60972983806134 | -0.609729838061339 |
99 | 11 | 12.8424339206198 | -1.8424339206198 |
100 | 13 | 12.4184376313327 | 0.581562368667303 |
101 | 16 | 15.4606156684628 | 0.539384331537237 |
102 | 16 | 14.7186164891316 | 1.28138351086837 |
103 | 14 | 15.8149764249307 | -1.81497642493067 |
104 | 11 | 8.88515481414674 | 2.11484518585326 |
105 | 4 | 6.96753760279542 | -2.96753760279542 |
106 | 14 | 14.5700451759299 | -0.570045175929922 |
107 | 9 | 10.3480842355777 | -1.34808423557774 |
108 | 14 | 15.251155912027 | -1.25115591202702 |
109 | 8 | 10.4531657296071 | -2.45316572960713 |
110 | 8 | 10.9016925957044 | -2.9016925957044 |
111 | 11 | 12.1949817667024 | -1.19498176670243 |
112 | 12 | 13.6426222589408 | -1.64262225894082 |
113 | 11 | 11.4431513503787 | -0.443151350378696 |
114 | 14 | 13.6038869003455 | 0.396113099654519 |
115 | 15 | 14.336054842684 | 0.663945157315982 |
116 | 16 | 13.4042583809023 | 2.59574161909767 |
117 | 16 | 13.4988054063161 | 2.50119459368391 |
118 | 11 | 12.7336821134209 | -1.73368211342087 |
119 | 14 | 13.7426269765546 | 0.257373023445409 |
120 | 14 | 10.9646362152713 | 3.03536378472874 |
121 | 12 | 11.4080863049529 | 0.591913695047095 |
122 | 14 | 12.5670089445344 | 1.4329910554656 |
123 | 8 | 10.2331715045558 | -2.23317150455575 |
124 | 13 | 13.8371740019683 | -0.837174001968348 |
125 | 16 | 13.7426269765546 | 2.25737302344541 |
126 | 12 | 10.9211463960989 | 1.07885360390106 |
127 | 16 | 15.4507844314702 | 0.549215568529835 |
128 | 12 | 13.3937239122867 | -1.3937239122867 |
129 | 11 | 11.5182445753979 | -0.518244575397912 |
130 | 4 | 6.42684120345585 | -2.42684120345585 |
131 | 16 | 15.4507844314702 | 0.549215568529835 |
132 | 15 | 12.5677121761574 | 2.43228782384256 |
133 | 10 | 11.4795092168026 | -1.47950921680258 |
134 | 13 | 13.2107907852822 | -0.210790785282238 |
135 | 15 | 13.2549838360776 | 1.74501616392241 |
136 | 12 | 10.6766215942374 | 1.3233784057626 |
137 | 14 | 13.6480799511408 | 0.351920048859167 |
138 | 7 | 10.6759183626144 | -3.67591836261437 |
139 | 19 | 14.0915300408225 | 4.90846995917752 |
140 | 12 | 12.6826249071794 | -0.682624907179428 |
141 | 12 | 12.2888255604931 | -0.288825560493149 |
142 | 13 | 13.4988054063161 | -0.49880540631609 |
143 | 15 | 12.9424386382336 | 2.05756136176642 |
144 | 8 | 8.28902766377315 | -0.289027663773149 |
145 | 12 | 10.9204431644759 | 1.0795568355241 |
146 | 10 | 10.806233665077 | -0.806233665076951 |
147 | 8 | 11.4087895365759 | -3.40878953657594 |
148 | 10 | 14.3751711170638 | -4.37517111706375 |
149 | 15 | 13.8919015213793 | 1.10809847862067 |
150 | 16 | 14.6142382267253 | 1.38576177327473 |
151 | 13 | 13.1947986244666 | -0.194798624466587 |
152 | 16 | 15.0675195533995 | 0.932480446600481 |
153 | 9 | 10.2331715045558 | -1.23317150455575 |
154 | 14 | 13.1709712792795 | 0.829028720720535 |
155 | 14 | 12.7064522523665 | 1.29354774763345 |
156 | 12 | 10.1644478769502 | 1.83555212304976 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
8 | 0.0602548279129951 | 0.12050965582599 | 0.939745172087005 |
9 | 0.0406954098125639 | 0.0813908196251279 | 0.959304590187436 |
10 | 0.0170194540356913 | 0.0340389080713826 | 0.982980545964309 |
11 | 0.033244624108525 | 0.0664892482170501 | 0.966755375891475 |
12 | 0.0168523905161605 | 0.0337047810323209 | 0.98314760948384 |
13 | 0.340062248849965 | 0.680124497699931 | 0.659937751150035 |
14 | 0.687383501588052 | 0.625232996823897 | 0.312616498411948 |
15 | 0.601209234185372 | 0.797581531629255 | 0.398790765814628 |
16 | 0.510582167235863 | 0.978835665528275 | 0.489417832764137 |
17 | 0.453598746628796 | 0.907197493257591 | 0.546401253371204 |
18 | 0.370723509717003 | 0.741447019434005 | 0.629276490282997 |
19 | 0.30131799965716 | 0.602635999314321 | 0.69868200034284 |
20 | 0.59754628609609 | 0.804907427807821 | 0.40245371390391 |
21 | 0.534862766631689 | 0.930274466736622 | 0.465137233368311 |
22 | 0.502940395116637 | 0.994119209766727 | 0.497059604883363 |
23 | 0.432801804411746 | 0.865603608823493 | 0.567198195588254 |
24 | 0.418583982789439 | 0.837167965578878 | 0.581416017210561 |
25 | 0.383548025270662 | 0.767096050541324 | 0.616451974729338 |
26 | 0.329006450590219 | 0.658012901180437 | 0.670993549409781 |
27 | 0.589952522480592 | 0.820094955038816 | 0.410047477519408 |
28 | 0.531783445122044 | 0.936433109755912 | 0.468216554877956 |
29 | 0.470499450120094 | 0.940998900240188 | 0.529500549879906 |
30 | 0.64591484469755 | 0.7081703106049 | 0.35408515530245 |
31 | 0.777619464550457 | 0.444761070899086 | 0.222380535449543 |
32 | 0.738132289899842 | 0.523735420200316 | 0.261867710100158 |
33 | 0.694547933147884 | 0.610904133704233 | 0.305452066852116 |
34 | 0.650248296469408 | 0.699503407061184 | 0.349751703530592 |
35 | 0.642879525215904 | 0.714240949568192 | 0.357120474784096 |
36 | 0.664526801799946 | 0.670946396400109 | 0.335473198200054 |
37 | 0.623649875754509 | 0.752700248490982 | 0.376350124245491 |
38 | 0.574270482321598 | 0.851459035356803 | 0.425729517678402 |
39 | 0.523417168331546 | 0.953165663336909 | 0.476582831668454 |
40 | 0.5065545935911 | 0.9868908128178 | 0.4934454064089 |
41 | 0.478286475802828 | 0.956572951605655 | 0.521713524197172 |
42 | 0.784717916131569 | 0.430564167736861 | 0.215282083868431 |
43 | 0.946304186779753 | 0.107391626440493 | 0.0536958132202467 |
44 | 0.957428016849002 | 0.0851439663019956 | 0.0425719831509978 |
45 | 0.945018503253557 | 0.109962993492886 | 0.0549814967464428 |
46 | 0.951914749439327 | 0.0961705011213454 | 0.0480852505606727 |
47 | 0.977477395616427 | 0.0450452087671469 | 0.0225226043835734 |
48 | 0.970404632842214 | 0.0591907343155711 | 0.0295953671577855 |
49 | 0.978046431461814 | 0.0439071370763728 | 0.0219535685381864 |
50 | 0.974973738015696 | 0.0500525239686075 | 0.0250262619843037 |
51 | 0.969720419682741 | 0.0605591606345176 | 0.0302795803172588 |
52 | 0.997195094467551 | 0.00560981106489728 | 0.00280490553244864 |
53 | 0.996015186000193 | 0.00796962799961483 | 0.00398481399980742 |
54 | 0.997066458160068 | 0.00586708367986411 | 0.00293354183993206 |
55 | 0.996777054212645 | 0.00644589157470939 | 0.0032229457873547 |
56 | 0.995452163466775 | 0.00909567306645029 | 0.00454783653322515 |
57 | 0.993698309725151 | 0.0126033805496981 | 0.00630169027484904 |
58 | 0.992824492334593 | 0.0143510153308133 | 0.00717550766540666 |
59 | 0.994875541388604 | 0.0102489172227923 | 0.00512445861139614 |
60 | 0.993107836698962 | 0.0137843266020771 | 0.00689216330103853 |
61 | 0.994303559973613 | 0.0113928800527746 | 0.0056964400263873 |
62 | 0.994618210572371 | 0.0107635788552586 | 0.0053817894276293 |
63 | 0.992711696750124 | 0.0145766064997509 | 0.00728830324987547 |
64 | 0.99314526274136 | 0.0137094745172792 | 0.00685473725863961 |
65 | 0.991521033516925 | 0.0169579329661501 | 0.00847896648307504 |
66 | 0.990640031207434 | 0.0187199375851318 | 0.00935996879256589 |
67 | 0.990579267686937 | 0.0188414646261253 | 0.00942073231306266 |
68 | 0.992052782643885 | 0.0158944347122294 | 0.00794721735611471 |
69 | 0.992179411265123 | 0.0156411774697543 | 0.00782058873487717 |
70 | 0.989533972961278 | 0.0209320540774442 | 0.0104660270387221 |
71 | 0.991118815967093 | 0.0177623680658142 | 0.0088811840329071 |
72 | 0.988299003951781 | 0.0234019920964388 | 0.0117009960482194 |
73 | 0.985384729647866 | 0.0292305407042682 | 0.0146152703521341 |
74 | 0.989674735176406 | 0.020650529647187 | 0.0103252648235935 |
75 | 0.986151873286726 | 0.0276962534265481 | 0.013848126713274 |
76 | 0.983957392177819 | 0.032085215644363 | 0.0160426078221815 |
77 | 0.978848235528331 | 0.0423035289433389 | 0.0211517644716694 |
78 | 0.972145436892618 | 0.0557091262147643 | 0.0278545631073821 |
79 | 0.982272778178078 | 0.0354544436438441 | 0.017727221821922 |
80 | 0.981837554459241 | 0.0363248910815189 | 0.0181624455407594 |
81 | 0.985420684797794 | 0.0291586304044125 | 0.0145793152022063 |
82 | 0.986093198605719 | 0.0278136027885624 | 0.0139068013942812 |
83 | 0.981307364452055 | 0.0373852710958895 | 0.0186926355479448 |
84 | 0.977277769911912 | 0.0454444601761766 | 0.0227222300880883 |
85 | 0.993781837032372 | 0.012436325935255 | 0.00621816296762751 |
86 | 0.99153828379201 | 0.01692343241598 | 0.00846171620798999 |
87 | 0.988504688025501 | 0.0229906239489984 | 0.0114953119744992 |
88 | 0.984910222563193 | 0.0301795548736137 | 0.0150897774368068 |
89 | 0.980897193440334 | 0.0382056131193326 | 0.0191028065596663 |
90 | 0.974775366283342 | 0.0504492674333156 | 0.0252246337166578 |
91 | 0.969338911513751 | 0.0613221769724977 | 0.0306610884862488 |
92 | 0.983173081675879 | 0.0336538366482428 | 0.0168269183241214 |
93 | 0.978067041297031 | 0.0438659174059371 | 0.0219329587029686 |
94 | 0.974586217123195 | 0.0508275657536098 | 0.0254137828768049 |
95 | 0.967691233544076 | 0.0646175329118488 | 0.0323087664559244 |
96 | 0.958871060981457 | 0.0822578780370851 | 0.0411289390185426 |
97 | 0.956043405139286 | 0.0879131897214289 | 0.0439565948607145 |
98 | 0.944002390973054 | 0.111995218053891 | 0.0559976090269456 |
99 | 0.941531041688533 | 0.116937916622934 | 0.058468958311467 |
100 | 0.92723553591443 | 0.145528928171139 | 0.0727644640855697 |
101 | 0.909642352011191 | 0.180715295977617 | 0.0903576479888087 |
102 | 0.89362610063478 | 0.212747798730439 | 0.10637389936522 |
103 | 0.904692134088707 | 0.190615731822586 | 0.095307865911293 |
104 | 0.933253048191239 | 0.133493903617523 | 0.0667469518087614 |
105 | 0.933078626236996 | 0.133842747526008 | 0.0669213737630038 |
106 | 0.916329092237754 | 0.167341815524492 | 0.0836709077622459 |
107 | 0.900331296600664 | 0.199337406798671 | 0.0996687033993356 |
108 | 0.896841294673984 | 0.206317410652033 | 0.103158705326016 |
109 | 0.89751900807058 | 0.204961983858839 | 0.10248099192942 |
110 | 0.919562139162954 | 0.160875721674091 | 0.0804378608370456 |
111 | 0.911616270052499 | 0.176767459895001 | 0.0883837299475005 |
112 | 0.938376918856626 | 0.123246162286748 | 0.061623081143374 |
113 | 0.920727306804311 | 0.158545386391377 | 0.0792726931956885 |
114 | 0.898613937833283 | 0.202772124333433 | 0.101386062166717 |
115 | 0.872509371842654 | 0.254981256314691 | 0.127490628157346 |
116 | 0.871197088327875 | 0.257605823344251 | 0.128802911672125 |
117 | 0.877952479314963 | 0.244095041370073 | 0.122047520685037 |
118 | 0.869721702638088 | 0.260556594723824 | 0.130278297361912 |
119 | 0.836816878194584 | 0.326366243610833 | 0.163183121805416 |
120 | 0.884467307369235 | 0.231065385261531 | 0.115532692630766 |
121 | 0.860662772722781 | 0.278674454554439 | 0.139337227277219 |
122 | 0.838725546795745 | 0.32254890640851 | 0.161274453204255 |
123 | 0.831160457721601 | 0.337679084556797 | 0.168839542278399 |
124 | 0.794849771606177 | 0.410300456787647 | 0.205150228393823 |
125 | 0.7948524106691 | 0.410295178661799 | 0.2051475893309 |
126 | 0.778503071816987 | 0.442993856366025 | 0.221496928183013 |
127 | 0.730054198264472 | 0.539891603471057 | 0.269945801735528 |
128 | 0.705009328627946 | 0.589981342744108 | 0.294990671372054 |
129 | 0.722948300389997 | 0.554103399220006 | 0.277051699610003 |
130 | 0.718649310500746 | 0.562701378998508 | 0.281350689499254 |
131 | 0.662536173180311 | 0.674927653639377 | 0.337463826819689 |
132 | 0.651205019909617 | 0.697589960180766 | 0.348794980090383 |
133 | 0.625024074297117 | 0.749951851405766 | 0.374975925702883 |
134 | 0.55383535899927 | 0.89232928200146 | 0.44616464100073 |
135 | 0.529031672819812 | 0.941936654360376 | 0.470968327180188 |
136 | 0.524968980108932 | 0.950062039782136 | 0.475031019891068 |
137 | 0.451837592005814 | 0.903675184011629 | 0.548162407994186 |
138 | 0.521851195782835 | 0.956297608434329 | 0.478148804217165 |
139 | 0.850055444645576 | 0.299889110708848 | 0.149944555354424 |
140 | 0.87775097711501 | 0.244498045769981 | 0.12224902288499 |
141 | 0.844213121210479 | 0.311573757579041 | 0.155786878789521 |
142 | 0.777233315436775 | 0.44553336912645 | 0.222766684563225 |
143 | 0.749312686280594 | 0.501374627438812 | 0.250687313719406 |
144 | 0.65222031704753 | 0.695559365904939 | 0.34777968295247 |
145 | 0.642877004864542 | 0.714245990270915 | 0.357122995135458 |
146 | 0.763918241013173 | 0.472163517973653 | 0.236081758986827 |
147 | 0.731674192977648 | 0.536651614044704 | 0.268325807022352 |
148 | 0.852462448780022 | 0.295075102439956 | 0.147537551219978 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 5 | 0.0354609929078014 | NOK |
5% type I error level | 43 | 0.304964539007092 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 57 | 0.404255319148936 | NOK |