Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 0.043962719081542 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 264.6 | 326.3 | -61.6999999999999 |
4 | 240.7 | 307.487500232669 | -66.7875002326689 |
5 | 201.4 | 280.651340121782 | -79.2513401217816 |
6 | 240.8 | 237.867235719172 | 2.93276428082802 |
7 | 241.1 | 277.396168011382 | -36.2961680113824 |
8 | 223.8 | 276.100489773362 | -52.3004897733616 |
9 | 206.1 | 256.501218033628 | -50.4012180336282 |
10 | 174.7 | 236.585443443848 | -61.8854434438483 |
11 | 203.3 | 202.46479107849 | 0.835208921510315 |
12 | 220.5 | 231.10150913368 | -10.6015091336805 |
13 | 299.5 | 247.835437965796 | 51.6645620342039 |
14 | 347.4 | 329.106752592977 | 18.2932474070233 |
15 | 338.3 | 377.810973489821 | -39.5109734898207 |
16 | 327.7 | 366.97396366165 | -39.2739636616496 |
17 | 351.6 | 354.647373429974 | -3.04737342997373 |
18 | 396.6 | 378.413402607935 | 18.1865973920648 |
19 | 438.8 | 424.212934880132 | 14.5870651198683 |
20 | 395.6 | 467.054221926221 | -71.4542219262206 |
21 | 363.5 | 420.712900040488 | -57.2129000404881 |
22 | 378.8 | 386.097665388168 | -7.29766538816773 |
23 | 357 | 401.076840174757 | -44.0768401747566 |
24 | 369 | 377.339102432152 | -8.33910243215178 |
25 | 464.8 | 388.972492814535 | 75.8275071854652 |
26 | 479.1 | 488.106076211583 | -9.00607621158309 |
27 | 431.3 | 502.010144613066 | -70.7101446130663 |
28 | 366.5 | 451.101534389227 | -84.6015343892269 |
29 | 326.3 | 382.582220899006 | -56.2822208990058 |
30 | 355.1 | 339.907901432338 | 15.1920985676624 |
31 | 331.6 | 369.375787393927 | -37.7757873939268 |
32 | 261.3 | 344.215061064644 | -82.9150610646436 |
33 | 249 | 270.26988952743 | -21.2698895274298 |
34 | 205.5 | 257.03480734924 | -51.5348073492399 |
35 | 235.6 | 211.269197090824 | 24.3308029091761 |
36 | 240.9 | 242.438845344148 | -1.53884534414837 |
37 | 264.9 | 247.671193518574 | 17.2288064814263 |
38 | 253.8 | 272.428618698027 | -18.6286186980268 |
39 | 232.3 | 260.509653967328 | -28.2096539673283 |
40 | 193.8 | 237.769480874575 | -43.9694808745752 |
41 | 177 | 197.336462938725 | -20.336462938725 |
42 | 213.2 | 179.642416731438 | 33.5575832685624 |
43 | 207.2 | 217.317699337729 | -10.1176993377289 |
44 | 180.6 | 210.872897763993 | -30.2728977639928 |
45 | 188.6 | 182.94201886381 | 5.65798113618985 |
46 | 175.4 | 191.190759099069 | -15.7907590990691 |
47 | 199 | 177.296554392712 | 21.7034456072875 |
48 | 179.6 | 201.850696875047 | -22.2506968750472 |
49 | 225.8 | 181.472495738961 | 44.3275042610391 |
50 | 234 | 229.621253356375 | 4.37874664362516 |
51 | 200.2 | 238.013754964998 | -37.8137549649978 |
52 | 183.6 | 202.551359478053 | -18.9513594780533 |
53 | 178.2 | 185.118206185106 | -6.91820618510633 |
54 | 203.2 | 179.414063030042 | 23.7859369699577 |
55 | 208.5 | 205.459757495144 | 3.0402425048562 |
56 | 191.8 | 210.893414822325 | -19.0934148223246 |
57 | 172.8 | 193.354016390183 | -20.5540163901834 |
58 | 148 | 173.450405941624 | -25.4504059416244 |
59 | 159.4 | 147.531536894702 | 11.8684631052985 |
60 | 154.5 | 159.453306804129 | -4.9533068041294 |
61 | 213.2 | 154.335545968575 | 58.8644540314252 |
62 | 196.4 | 215.623387425047 | -19.2233874250466 |
63 | 182.8 | 197.978275043884 | -15.1782750438837 |
64 | 176.4 | 183.710996801987 | -7.31099680198705 |
65 | 153.6 | 176.989585503375 | -23.3895855033752 |
66 | 173.2 | 153.161315726457 | 20.0386842735434 |
67 | 171 | 173.642270773938 | -2.64227077393812 |
68 | 151.2 | 171.326109366166 | -20.1261093661661 |
69 | 161.9 | 150.641310873897 | 11.258689126103 |
70 | 157.2 | 161.836273461174 | -4.63627346117426 |
71 | 201.7 | 156.932450273415 | 44.7675497265846 |
72 | 236.4 | 203.400553486014 | 32.9994465139858 |
73 | 356.1 | 239.551298882955 | 116.548701117045 |
74 | 398.3 | 364.375096689482 | 33.9249033105178 |
75 | 403.7 | 408.066527683591 | -4.36652768359102 |
76 | 384.6 | 413.274563253675 | -28.6745632536754 |
77 | 365.8 | 392.913951484568 | -27.1139514845682 |
78 | 368.1 | 372.921948452262 | -4.82194845226161 |
79 | 367.9 | 375.009962487029 | -7.10996248702924 |
80 | 347 | 374.497389203532 | -27.4973892035316 |
81 | 343.3 | 352.388529206501 | -9.08852920650088 |
82 | 292.9 | 348.288972750131 | -55.3889727501311 |
83 | 311.5 | 295.453922900902 | 16.0460770990981 |
84 | 300.9 | 314.75935208077 | -13.8593520807703 |
85 | 366.9 | 303.550057278591 | 63.3499427214088 |
86 | 356.9 | 372.335093014284 | -15.4350930142843 |
87 | 329.7 | 361.6565243561 | -31.9565243560999 |
88 | 316.2 | 333.05162865301 | -16.8516286530102 |
89 | 269 | 318.810785236471 | -49.8107852364714 |
90 | 289.3 | 269.420967677889 | 19.8790323221106 |
91 | 266.2 | 290.594903991479 | -24.3949039914793 |
92 | 253.6 | 266.422437680281 | -12.8224376802807 |
93 | 233.8 | 253.258728454602 | -19.4587284546019 |
94 | 228.4 | 232.603269841868 | -4.20326984186826 |
95 | 253.6 | 227.018482670586 | 26.5815173294137 |
96 | 260.1 | 253.3870784497 | 6.7129215502996 |
97 | 306.6 | 260.182196734033 | 46.4178032659673 |
98 | 309.2 | 308.722849579397 | 0.477150420603266 |
99 | 309.5 | 311.343826409297 | -1.84382640929732 |
100 | 271 | 311.56276678683 | -40.5627667868303 |
101 | 279.9 | 271.279517265411 | 8.62048273458925 |
102 | 317.9 | 280.558497126219 | 37.3415028737812 |
103 | 298.4 | 320.200131127141 | -21.8001311271414 |
104 | 246.7 | 299.741738086458 | -53.0417380864581 |
105 | 227.3 | 245.709879055366 | -18.4098790553664 |
106 | 209.1 | 225.50053071413 | -16.4005307141302 |
107 | 259.9 | 206.579518789557 | 53.3204812104433 |
108 | 266 | 259.723632126304 | 6.27636787369602 |
109 | 320.6 | 266.099558323988 | 54.5004416760123 |
110 | 308.5 | 323.09554593121 | -14.5955459312103 |
111 | 282.2 | 310.353886045595 | -28.1538860455947 |
112 | 262.7 | 282.816164662318 | -20.1161646623185 |
113 | 263.5 | 262.431803366271 | 1.06819663372909 |
114 | 313.1 | 263.278764194803 | 49.8212358051966 |
115 | 284.3 | 315.069041188803 | -30.7690411888025 |
116 | 252.6 | 284.916350474611 | -32.3163504746108 |
117 | 250.3 | 251.795635836955 | -1.49563583695482 |
118 | 246.5 | 249.429883618807 | -2.92988361880651 |
119 | 312.7 | 245.501077968331 | 67.1989220316687 |
120 | 333.2 | 314.655325300192 | 18.544674699808 |
121 | 446.4 | 335.970599624478 | 110.429400375522 |
122 | 511.6 | 454.02537633153 | 57.5746236684697 |
123 | 515.5 | 521.756513338093 | -6.25651333809287 |
124 | 506.4 | 525.38145999978 | -18.9814599997803 |
125 | 483.2 | 515.446983406052 | -32.2469834060525 |
126 | 522.3 | 490.829318333345 | 31.4706816666549 |
127 | 509.8 | 531.312855070761 | -21.5128550707607 |
128 | 460.7 | 517.867091466643 | -57.1670914666431 |
129 | 405.8 | 466.253870683786 | -60.4538706837862 |
130 | 375 | 408.696154149523 | -33.6961541495231 |
131 | 378.5 | 376.414779590519 | 2.08522040948077 |
132 | 406.8 | 380.006451549604 | 26.7935484503957 |
133 | 467.8 | 409.484368793327 | 58.3156312066732 |
134 | 469.8 | 473.048082506129 | -3.24808250612853 |
135 | 429.8 | 474.905287967358 | -45.1052879673579 |
136 | 355.8 | 432.922336863357 | -77.1223368633569 |
137 | 332.7 | 355.531829232921 | -22.8318292329212 |
138 | 378 | 331.428079938236 | 46.5719200617635 |
139 | 360.5 | 378.775508177 | -18.2755081769998 |
140 | 334.7 | 360.472067144942 | -25.772067144942 |
141 | 319.5 | 333.539056996898 | -14.0390569968982 |
142 | 323.1 | 317.721861877974 | 5.3781381220262 |
143 | 363.6 | 321.558299453414 | 42.0417005465858 |
144 | 352.1 | 363.906566924254 | -11.8065669242541 |
145 | 411.9 | 351.887518139246 | 60.0124818607543 |
146 | 388.6 | 414.325830020676 | -25.7258300206761 |
147 | 416.4 | 389.894852582338 | 26.5051474176623 |
148 | 360.7 | 418.860090932475 | -58.1600909324752 |
149 | 338 | 360.603215193054 | -22.6032151930538 |
150 | 417.2 | 336.909516393182 | 80.290483606818 |
151 | 388.4 | 419.63930436891 | -31.2393043689097 |
152 | 371.1 | 389.465939606636 | -18.3659396066365 |
153 | 331.5 | 371.358522963041 | -39.8585229630414 |
154 | 353.7 | 330.006233915012 | 23.693766084988 |
155 | 396.7 | 353.24787629739 | 43.4521237026099 |
156 | 447 | 398.158149805224 | 48.8418501947756 |
157 | 533.5 | 450.60537034476 | 82.89462965524 |
158 | 565.4 | 540.749643661662 | 24.6503563383382 |
159 | 542.3 | 573.733340352624 | -31.4333403526241 |
160 | 488.7 | 549.251445240907 | -60.5514452409071 |
161 | 467.1 | 492.9894390638 | -25.8894390637997 |
162 | 531.3 | 470.251268927059 | 61.0487310729407 |
163 | 496.1 | 537.135137141503 | -41.0351371415035 |
164 | 444 | 500.131120934879 | -56.1311209348791 |
165 | 403.4 | 445.563444233487 | -42.163444233487 |
166 | 386.3 | 403.10982457914 | -16.8098245791398 |
167 | 394.1 | 385.270818983357 | 8.82918101664285 |
168 | 404.1 | 393.458973788112 | 10.6410262118881 |
169 | 462.1 | 403.926782234204 | 58.1732177657955 |
170 | 448.1 | 464.484235064912 | -16.3842350649115 |
171 | 432.3 | 449.763939541387 | -17.4639395413869 |
172 | 386.3 | 433.196177273272 | -46.8961772732719 |
173 | 395.2 | 385.134493805809 | 10.0655061941912 |
174 | 421.9 | 394.477000827038 | 27.4229991729625 |
175 | 382.9 | 422.382590436052 | -39.4825904360519 |
176 | 384.2 | 381.6468284041 | 2.55317159589987 |
177 | 345.5 | 383.059072769738 | -37.5590727697376 |
178 | 323.4 | 342.707873804598 | -19.3078738045985 |
179 | 372.6 | 319.759047172465 | 52.840952827535 |
180 | 376 | 371.282079137623 | 4.71792086237701 |
181 | 462.7 | 374.889491767145 | 87.8105082328554 |
182 | 487 | 465.449880472993 | 21.550119527007 |
183 | 444.2 | 490.697282323933 | -46.4972823239326 |
184 | 399.3 | 445.85313536307 | -46.5531353630703 |
185 | 394.9 | 398.906532950739 | -4.00653295073869 |
186 | 455.4 | 394.330394868134 | 61.0696051318656 |
187 | 414 | 457.515180762967 | -43.5151807629672 |
188 | 375.5 | 414.202135095302 | -38.7021350953024 |
189 | 347 | 374.000684002252 | -27.0006840022518 |
190 | 339.4 | 344.313660516451 | -4.91366051645133 |
191 | 385.8 | 336.497642639504 | 49.3023573604955 |
192 | 378.8 | 385.065108326202 | -6.26510832620176 |
193 | 451.8 | 377.789677128842 | 74.0103228711585 |
194 | 446.1 | 454.04337216236 | -7.94337216236045 |
195 | 422.5 | 447.994159923426 | -25.4941599234265 |
196 | 383.1 | 423.273367332493 | -40.1733673324929 |
197 | 352.8 | 382.107236869895 | -29.307236869895 |
198 | 445.3 | 350.518811048328 | 94.7811889516724 |
199 | 367.5 | 447.185649832425 | -79.6856498324245 |
200 | 355.1 | 365.882451994011 | -10.7824519940115 |
201 | 326.2 | 353.008426085989 | -26.8084260859886 |
202 | 319.8 | 322.929854780952 | -3.12985478095197 |
203 | 331.8 | 316.392257854451 | 15.407742145549 |
204 | 340.9 | 329.069624094077 | 11.8303759059234 |
205 | 394.1 | 338.689719586658 | 55.4102804133423 |
206 | 417.2 | 394.325706178699 | 22.874293821301 |
207 | 369.9 | 418.431322332153 | -48.5313223321535 |
208 | 349.2 | 368.997753441809 | -19.7977534418092 |
209 | 321.4 | 347.427390368801 | -26.0273903688014 |
210 | 405.7 | 318.483155517592 | 87.2168444824079 |
211 | 342.9 | 406.617445150751 | -63.7174451507507 |
212 | 316.5 | 341.016253008995 | -24.5162530089947 |
213 | 284.2 | 313.538451865028 | -29.3384518650283 |
214 | 270.9 | 279.948653747399 | -9.0486537473987 |
215 | 288.8 | 266.250850324636 | 22.5491496753644 |
216 | 278.8 | 285.142172257341 | -6.34217225734136 |
217 | 324.4 | 274.863353120025 | 49.5366468799749 |
218 | 310.9 | 322.641118811051 | -11.741118811051 |
219 | 299 | 308.624947303058 | -9.6249473030577 |
220 | 273 | 296.301808448599 | -23.3018084485988 |
221 | 279.3 | 269.277397589681 | 10.0226024103189 |
222 | 359.2 | 276.018018443912 | 83.181981556088 |
223 | 305 | 359.574924531708 | -54.5749245317082 |
224 | 282.1 | 302.975662455624 | -20.8756624556244 |
225 | 250.3 | 279.157911571447 | -28.8579115714467 |
226 | 246.5 | 246.089239311751 | 0.410760688248786 |
227 | 257.9 | 242.307297468498 | 15.5927025315015 |
228 | 266.5 | 254.392795069613 | 12.1072049303871 |
229 | 315.9 | 263.52506071883 | 52.3749392811698 |
230 | 318.4 | 315.227605461361 | 3.17239453863897 |
231 | 295.4 | 317.867072551279 | -22.467072551279 |
232 | 266.4 | 293.879358952123 | -27.4793589521225 |
233 | 245.8 | 263.67129161397 | -17.8712916139695 |
234 | 362.8 | 242.28562104112 | 120.51437895888 |
235 | 324.9 | 364.583760828576 | -39.683760828576 |
236 | 294.2 | 324.93915479917 | -30.7391547991702 |
237 | 289.5 | 292.88777797193 | -3.38777797193023 |
238 | 295.2 | 288.03884204064 | 7.16115795936037 |
239 | 290.3 | 294.053666016306 | -3.75366601630554 |
240 | 272 | 288.988644651705 | -16.9886446517048 |
241 | 307.4 | 269.941777639306 | 37.4582223606942 |
242 | 328.7 | 306.988542946243 | 21.7114570537572 |
243 | 292.9 | 329.243037633548 | -36.3430376335482 |
244 | 249.1 | 291.845298879495 | -42.7452988794946 |
245 | 230.4 | 246.166099312799 | -15.7660993127988 |
246 | 361.5 | 226.772978717699 | 134.727021282301 |
247 | 321.7 | 363.795944907025 | -42.0959449070253 |
248 | 277.2 | 322.145292706606 | -44.9452927066056 |
249 | 260.7 | 275.669375429307 | -14.9693754293075 |
250 | 251 | 258.511280982483 | -7.51128098248267 |
251 | 257.6 | 248.481064646707 | 9.11893535329273 |
252 | 241.8 | 255.481957839967 | -13.6819578399669 |
253 | 287.5 | 239.080461770963 | 48.4195382290371 |
254 | 292.3 | 286.909116328184 | 5.39088367181597 |
255 | 274.7 | 291.946114232649 | -17.2461142326493 |
256 | 254.2 | 273.587928157391 | -19.3879281573912 |
257 | 230 | 252.235582118235 | -22.2355821182347 |
258 | 339 | 227.058045467956 | 111.941954532044 |
259 | 318.2 | 340.979318168487 | -22.7793181684872 |
260 | 287 | 319.177877402977 | -32.1778774029769 |
261 | 295.8 | 286.56325041807 | 9.2367495819305 |
262 | 284 | 295.769323045167 | -11.7693230451665 |
263 | 271 | 283.451911602352 | -12.4519116023519 |
264 | 262.7 | 269.90449171055 | -7.20449171054952 |
265 | 340.6 | 261.287762665353 | 79.3122373346467 |
266 | 379.4 | 342.674544275025 | 36.7254557249749 |
267 | 373.3 | 383.089095168204 | -9.78909516820363 |
268 | 355.2 | 376.558739927261 | -21.3587399272615 |
269 | 338.4 | 357.519751643904 | -19.1197516439036 |
270 | 466.9 | 339.879195373474 | 127.020804626526 |
271 | 451 | 473.963375324781 | -22.9633753247812 |
272 | 422 | 457.053842906214 | -35.0538429062138 |
273 | 429.2 | 426.512780657799 | 2.68721934220059 |
274 | 425.9 | 433.830918126851 | -7.93091812685105 |
275 | 460.7 | 430.182253401182 | 30.5177465988184 |
276 | 463.6 | 466.323896521907 | -2.72389652190714 |
277 | 541.4 | 469.104146624307 | 72.2958533756926 |
278 | 544.2 | 550.082468917023 | -5.88246891702317 |
279 | 517.5 | 552.623859588518 | -35.1238595885184 |
280 | 469.4 | 524.379719216369 | -54.9797192163687 |
281 | 439.4 | 473.862661265277 | -34.4626612652775 |
282 | 549 | 442.34758896927 | 106.65241103073 |
283 | 533 | 556.636318954783 | -23.6363189547828 |
284 | 506.1 | 539.597202104452 | -33.497202104452 |
285 | 484 | 511.224574018316 | -27.2245740183164 |
286 | 457 | 487.927707718634 | -30.9277077186345 |
287 | 481.5 | 459.568041592364 | 21.9319584076359 |
288 | 469.5 | 485.032230118747 | -15.5322301187471 |
289 | 544.7 | 472.349391049327 | 72.3506089506733 |
290 | 541.2 | 550.730120546004 | -9.53012054600367 |
291 | 521.5 | 546.811150533627 | -25.3111505336266 |
292 | 469.7 | 525.998403533086 | -56.2984035330861 |
293 | 434.4 | 471.723372633822 | -37.3233726338217 |
294 | 542.6 | 434.782535687545 | 107.817464312455 |
295 | 517.3 | 547.722484583198 | -30.422484583198 |
296 | 485.7 | 521.085029439704 | -35.3850294397042 |
297 | 465.8 | 487.929407330754 | -22.1294073307544 |
298 | 447 | 467.056538412831 | -20.0565384128315 |
299 | 426.6 | 447.37479844884 | -20.7747984488399 |
300 | 411.6 | 426.061481820658 | -14.461481820658 |
301 | 467.5 | 410.425715757874 | 57.0742842421264 |
302 | 484.5 | 468.83485648279 | 15.6651435172097 |
303 | 451.2 | 486.523538786609 | -35.3235387866094 |
304 | 417.4 | 451.670619973968 | -34.2706199739677 |
305 | 379.9 | 416.363990335302 | -36.4639903353019 |
306 | 484.7 | 377.260934171599 | 107.439065828401 |
307 | 455 | 486.784247640996 | -31.7842476409962 |
308 | 420.8 | 455.686925690737 | -34.886925690737 |
309 | 416.5 | 419.953201576976 | -3.45320157697648 |
310 | 376.3 | 415.501389446116 | -39.2013894461159 |
311 | 405.6 | 373.57798977429 | 32.0220102257098 |
312 | 405.8 | 404.285764414269 | 1.51423558573066 |
313 | 500.8 | 404.552334327948 | 96.2476656720519 |
314 | 514 | 503.783643416143 | 10.2163565838573 |
315 | 475.5 | 517.432782230676 | -41.9327822306757 |
316 | 430.1 | 477.089303105161 | -46.989303105161 |
317 | 414.4 | 429.623525572911 | -15.2235255729114 |
318 | 538 | 413.254257994719 | 124.745742005281 |
319 | 526 | 542.338420007115 | -16.3384200071155 |
320 | 488.5 | 529.620138638106 | -41.1201386381064 |
321 | 520.2 | 490.312385534565 | 29.8876144654348 |
322 | 504.4 | 523.326326333327 | -18.9263263333266 |
323 | 568.5 | 506.694273565489 | 61.805726434511 |
324 | 610.6 | 573.51142135436 | 37.08857864564 |
325 | 818 | 617.241936118492 | 200.758063881508 |
326 | 830.9 | 833.467806484269 | -2.567806484269 |
327 | 835.9 | 846.254918729145 | -10.3549187291453 |
328 | 782 | 850.799688345944 | -68.7996883459437 |
329 | 762.3 | 793.875066974293 | -31.5750669742933 |
330 | 856.9 | 772.786941174922 | 84.1130588250784 |
331 | 820.9 | 871.084779951138 | -50.1847799511378 |
332 | 769.6 | 832.878520567977 | -63.2785205679768 |
333 | 752.2 | 778.796624744351 | -26.5966247443513 |
334 | 724.4 | 760.227364802198 | -35.8273648021983 |
335 | 723.1 | 730.852296427967 | -7.75229642796717 |
336 | 719.5 | 729.211484397868 | -9.71148439786771 |
337 | 817.4 | 725.18454113742 | 92.2154588625805 |
338 | 803.3 | 827.138583450371 | -23.8385834503706 |
339 | 752.5 | 811.99057450284 | -59.49057450284 |
340 | 689 | 758.575207087972 | -69.5752070879721 |
341 | 630.4 | 692.016491803724 | -61.6164918037235 |
342 | 765.5 | 630.707663283766 | 134.792336716234 |
343 | 757.7 | 771.733500917167 | -14.0335009171666 |
344 | 732.2 | 763.316550058615 | -31.1165500586147 |
345 | 702.6 | 736.448581909601 | -33.8485819096011 |
346 | 683.3 | 705.360506211801 | -22.0605062118008 |
347 | 709.5 | 685.090666374415 | 24.4093336255853 |
348 | 702.2 | 712.363767051564 | -10.1637670515639 |
349 | 784.8 | 704.616940215866 | 80.1830597841341 |
350 | 810.9 | 790.742005548254 | 20.1579944517458 |
351 | 755.6 | 817.728205795584 | -62.1282057955835 |
352 | 656.8 | 759.696880937152 | -102.896880937152 |
353 | 615.1 | 656.373254266145 | -41.2732542661452 |
354 | 745.3 | 612.858769783262 | 132.441230216738 |
355 | 694.1 | 748.881246382094 | -54.7812463820939 |
356 | 675.7 | 695.272913836461 | -19.5729138364612 |
357 | 643.7 | 676.012435323862 | -32.3124353238617 |
358 | 622.1 | 642.591892806878 | -20.4918928068782 |
359 | 634.6 | 620.09101347996 | 14.5089865200397 |
360 | 588 | 633.228867978499 | -45.2288679784988 |
361 | 689.7 | 584.640483961184 | 105.059516038816 |
362 | 673.9 | 690.959185951641 | -17.0591859516411 |
363 | 647.9 | 674.409217751889 | -26.5092177518893 |
364 | 568.8 | 647.243800458791 | -78.4438004587915 |
365 | 545.7 | 564.695197695533 | -18.9951976955331 |
366 | 632.6 | 540.760117155346 | 91.8398828446539 |
367 | 643.8 | 631.697648125327 | 12.1023518746726 |
368 | 593.1 | 643.429700421019 | -50.3297004210194 |
369 | 579.7 | 590.517069939952 | -10.817069939952 |
370 | 546 | 576.641522132897 | -30.6415221328966 |
371 | 562.9 | 541.594437503137 | 21.3055624968628 |
372 | 572.5 | 559.431087962061 | 13.068912037939 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
373 | 569.605632870686 | 482.369788627476 | 656.841477113897 |
374 | 566.711265741373 | 440.60014829285 | 692.822383189895 |
375 | 563.816898612059 | 405.984137006351 | 721.649660217767 |
376 | 560.922531482745 | 374.747858224134 | 747.097204741356 |
377 | 558.028164353432 | 345.465431752135 | 770.590896954728 |
378 | 555.133797224118 | 317.423225338389 | 792.844369109847 |
379 | 552.239430094804 | 290.207700307939 | 814.27115988167 |
380 | 549.34506296549 | 263.556214436166 | 835.133911494815 |
381 | 546.450695836177 | 237.291112548973 | 855.61027912338 |
382 | 543.556328706863 | 211.286574192381 | 875.826083221345 |
383 | 540.66196157755 | 185.450323549845 | 895.873599605254 |
384 | 537.767594448236 | 159.712812200788 | 915.822376695684 |