Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 235.1 | 224.392088459883 | 34.7571165430428 | 211.050794997075 | -10.7079115401174 |
2 | 280.7 | 291.343263111335 | 55.6531160470148 | 214.40362084165 | 10.6432631113348 |
3 | 264.6 | 281.534435697704 | 29.9091176160701 | 217.756446686226 | 16.9344356977037 |
4 | 240.7 | 261.124840223657 | -1.27961317709589 | 221.554772953439 | 20.4248402236572 |
5 | 201.4 | 194.595229875759 | -17.1483290964096 | 225.353099220651 | -6.8047701242414 |
6 | 240.8 | 234.21582880757 | 17.7312168954763 | 229.652954296954 | -6.5841711924302 |
7 | 241.1 | 226.856431921839 | 21.3907587049043 | 233.952809373257 | -14.2435680781612 |
8 | 223.8 | 221.797763805374 | -12.7230282173497 | 238.525264411976 | -2.00223619462585 |
9 | 206.1 | 195.739073848652 | -26.6367932993464 | 243.097719450694 | -10.3609261513477 |
10 | 174.7 | 144.273239933416 | -45.0898974409874 | 250.216657507572 | -30.4267600665843 |
11 | 203.3 | 178.907411965097 | -29.6430075295462 | 257.335595564449 | -24.3925880349031 |
12 | 220.5 | 197.44482852256 | -26.9206309512702 | 270.47580242871 | -23.0551714774397 |
13 | 299.5 | 280.626874163987 | 34.7571165430428 | 283.61600929297 | -18.8731258360131 |
14 | 347.4 | 339.838740989598 | 55.6531160470148 | 299.308142963388 | -7.56125901040235 |
15 | 338.3 | 331.690605750125 | 29.9091176160701 | 315.000276633805 | -6.60939424987481 |
16 | 327.7 | 326.123654499891 | -1.27961317709589 | 330.555958677205 | -1.57634550010891 |
17 | 351.6 | 374.236688375805 | -17.1483290964096 | 346.111640720605 | 22.6366883758048 |
18 | 396.6 | 415.902301829653 | 17.7312168954763 | 359.566481274871 | 19.3023018296528 |
19 | 438.8 | 483.187919465959 | 21.3907587049043 | 373.021321829137 | 44.3879194659586 |
20 | 395.6 | 421.334687976975 | -12.7230282173497 | 382.588340240375 | 25.734687976975 |
21 | 363.5 | 361.481434647734 | -26.6367932993464 | 392.155358651612 | -2.01856535226591 |
22 | 378.8 | 407.429894500637 | -45.0898974409874 | 395.26000294035 | 28.6298945006371 |
23 | 357 | 345.278360300458 | -29.6430075295462 | 398.364647229088 | -11.7216396995419 |
24 | 369 | 370.64246354837 | -26.9206309512702 | 394.2781674029 | 1.64246354837002 |
25 | 464.8 | 504.651195880245 | 34.7571165430428 | 390.191687576712 | 39.8511958802451 |
26 | 479.1 | 521.840857418968 | 55.6531160470148 | 380.706026534018 | 42.7408574189675 |
27 | 431.3 | 461.470516892607 | 29.9091176160701 | 371.220365491323 | 30.1705168926065 |
28 | 366.5 | 375.526027937952 | -1.27961317709589 | 358.753585239144 | 9.02602793795216 |
29 | 326.3 | 323.461524109446 | -17.1483290964096 | 346.286804986964 | -2.83847589055438 |
30 | 355.1 | 360.74562032753 | 17.7312168954763 | 331.723162776993 | 5.64562032753025 |
31 | 331.6 | 324.649720728073 | 21.3907587049043 | 317.159520567023 | -6.95027927192723 |
32 | 261.3 | 234.101752828413 | -12.7230282173497 | 301.221275388937 | -27.1982471715871 |
33 | 249 | 239.353763088496 | -26.6367932993464 | 285.28303021085 | -9.64623691150405 |
34 | 205.5 | 185.225634346892 | -45.0898974409874 | 270.864263094095 | -20.2743656531081 |
35 | 235.6 | 244.397511552206 | -29.6430075295462 | 256.44549597734 | 8.79751155220578 |
36 | 240.9 | 263.618377157507 | -26.9206309512702 | 245.102253793763 | 22.7183771575073 |
37 | 264.9 | 261.283871846772 | 34.7571165430428 | 233.759011610185 | -3.6161281532282 |
38 | 253.8 | 226.00587559524 | 55.6531160470148 | 225.941008357745 | -27.7941244047597 |
39 | 232.3 | 216.567877278626 | 29.9091176160701 | 218.123005105304 | -15.7321227213745 |
40 | 193.8 | 175.33746336204 | -1.27961317709589 | 213.542149815055 | -18.4625366379596 |
41 | 177 | 162.187034571603 | -17.1483290964096 | 208.961294524807 | -14.812965428397 |
42 | 213.2 | 202.315105561102 | 17.7312168954763 | 206.353677543422 | -10.8848944388979 |
43 | 207.2 | 189.263180733059 | 21.3907587049043 | 203.746060562037 | -17.936819266941 |
44 | 180.6 | 171.712537474943 | -12.7230282173497 | 202.210490742407 | -8.88746252505703 |
45 | 188.6 | 203.16187237657 | -26.6367932993464 | 200.674920922777 | 14.5618723765698 |
46 | 175.4 | 196.272780458553 | -45.0898974409874 | 199.617116982434 | 20.8727804585534 |
47 | 199 | 229.083694487455 | -29.6430075295462 | 198.559313042091 | 30.0836944874548 |
48 | 179.6 | 188.468421307424 | -26.9206309512702 | 197.652209643847 | 8.86842130742355 |
49 | 225.8 | 220.097777211355 | 34.7571165430428 | 196.745106245602 | -5.7022227886446 |
50 | 234 | 216.760443035066 | 55.6531160470148 | 195.586440917919 | -17.2395569649341 |
51 | 200.2 | 176.063106793693 | 29.9091176160701 | 194.427775590237 | -24.1368932063068 |
52 | 183.6 | 174.888694786976 | -1.27961317709589 | 193.59091839012 | -8.71130521302396 |
53 | 178.2 | 180.794267906407 | -17.1483290964096 | 192.754061190003 | 2.59426790640657 |
54 | 203.2 | 196.853614489859 | 17.7312168954763 | 191.815168614664 | -6.34638551014055 |
55 | 208.5 | 204.73296525577 | 21.3907587049043 | 190.876276039326 | -3.76703474422982 |
56 | 191.8 | 206.12777925121 | -12.7230282173497 | 190.19524896614 | 14.3277792512102 |
57 | 172.8 | 182.722571406393 | -26.6367932993464 | 189.514221892953 | 9.92257140639299 |
58 | 148 | 152.008987492797 | -45.0898974409874 | 189.080909948191 | 4.00898749279668 |
59 | 159.4 | 159.795409526118 | -29.6430075295462 | 188.647598003428 | 0.3954095261183 |
60 | 154.5 | 147.600210148601 | -26.9206309512702 | 188.320420802669 | -6.89978985139933 |