Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 751 | 0 | 76 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 9700 | 9665.38145341098 | 216.659724953349 | 9517.95882163567 | -34.618546589023 |
2 | 9081 | 9165.77198053844 | -524.32627858629 | 9520.55429804785 | 84.771980538444 |
3 | 9084 | 8819.30488240033 | -174.454656860353 | 9523.14977446002 | -264.695117599666 |
4 | 9743 | 9815.13667288808 | 148.134258167628 | 9522.72906894429 | 72.1366728880803 |
5 | 8587 | 8390.3144979431 | -738.622861371663 | 9522.30836342857 | -196.685502056904 |
6 | 9731 | 9725.13807465835 | 217.654813785795 | 9519.20711155585 | -5.86192534164547 |
7 | 9563 | 9776.79463081457 | -166.900490497697 | 9516.10585968313 | 213.794630814566 |
8 | 9998 | 10477.3915983949 | 4.89909322631054 | 9513.70930837883 | 479.391598394863 |
9 | 9437 | 9409.98788403842 | -47.3006411129348 | 9511.31275707452 | -27.0121159615846 |
10 | 10038 | 10051.5200681786 | 519.336152915613 | 9505.14377890576 | 13.52006817863 |
11 | 9918 | 9947.88590851771 | 389.139290745293 | 9498.974800737 | 29.8859085177137 |
12 | 9252 | 8874.86319978722 | 155.781667904092 | 9473.3551323087 | -377.136800212782 |
13 | 9737 | 9809.60481116626 | 216.659724953349 | 9447.73546388039 | 72.6048111662622 |
14 | 9035 | 9183.97766975103 | -524.32627858629 | 9410.34860883526 | 148.977669751028 |
15 | 9133 | 9067.49290307022 | -174.454656860353 | 9372.96175379014 | -65.5070969297849 |
16 | 9487 | 9479.52410990384 | 148.134258167628 | 9346.34163192853 | -7.47589009615876 |
17 | 8700 | 8818.90135130474 | -738.622861371663 | 9319.72151006693 | 118.901351304736 |
18 | 9627 | 9732.83020877481 | 217.654813785795 | 9303.51497743939 | 105.830208774814 |
19 | 8947 | 8773.59204568585 | -166.900490497697 | 9287.30844481185 | -173.407954314154 |
20 | 9283 | 9285.24500345376 | 4.89909322631054 | 9275.85590331993 | 2.245003453756 |
21 | 8829 | 8440.89727928492 | -47.3006411129348 | 9264.40336182801 | -388.102720715078 |
22 | 9947 | 10115.1181643594 | 519.336152915613 | 9259.54568272501 | 168.118164359375 |
23 | 9628 | 9612.1727056327 | 389.139290745293 | 9254.688003622 | -15.8272943673019 |
24 | 9318 | 9223.30241590875 | 155.781667904092 | 9256.91591618715 | -94.6975840912455 |
25 | 9605 | 9734.19644629435 | 216.659724953349 | 9259.1438287523 | 129.196446294349 |
26 | 8640 | 8534.35586053479 | -524.32627858629 | 9269.9704180515 | -105.644139465214 |
27 | 9214 | 9321.65764950965 | -174.454656860353 | 9280.7970073507 | 107.657649509649 |
28 | 9567 | 9693.8923956418 | 148.134258167628 | 9291.97334619057 | 126.892395641802 |
29 | 8547 | 8529.47317634122 | -738.622861371663 | 9303.14968503044 | -17.5268236587763 |
30 | 9185 | 8843.67047554606 | 217.654813785795 | 9308.67471066814 | -341.329524453937 |
31 | 9470 | 9792.70075419185 | -166.900490497697 | 9314.19973630584 | 322.700754191854 |
32 | 9123 | 8918.07357542625 | 4.89909322631054 | 9323.02733134744 | -204.92642457375 |
33 | 9278 | 9271.4457147239 | -47.3006411129348 | 9331.85492638903 | -6.55428527609911 |
34 | 10170 | 10468.1371071333 | 519.336152915613 | 9352.5267399511 | 298.137107133294 |
35 | 9434 | 9105.66215574156 | 389.139290745293 | 9373.19855351315 | -328.337844258442 |
36 | 9655 | 9760.51674400655 | 155.781667904092 | 9393.70158808936 | 105.516744006552 |
37 | 9429 | 9227.13565238109 | 216.659724953349 | 9414.20462266556 | -201.864347618912 |
38 | 8739 | 8573.70419384917 | -524.32627858629 | 9428.62208473712 | -165.295806150829 |
39 | 9552 | 9835.41511005168 | -174.454656860353 | 9443.03954680868 | 283.415110051677 |
40 | 9687 | 9758.56511370315 | 148.134258167628 | 9467.30062812922 | 71.5651137031509 |
41 | 9019 | 9285.0611519219 | -738.622861371663 | 9491.56170944977 | 266.061151921895 |
42 | 9672 | 9605.97213280895 | 217.654813785795 | 9520.37305340526 | -66.0278671910528 |
43 | 9206 | 9029.71609313695 | -166.900490497697 | 9549.18439736075 | -176.283906863049 |
44 | 9069 | 8558.39427184334 | 4.89909322631054 | 9574.70663493034 | -510.605728156655 |
45 | 9788 | 10023.071768613 | -47.3006411129348 | 9600.22887249994 | 235.071768612994 |
46 | 10312 | 10480.8282002468 | 519.336152915613 | 9623.8356468376 | 168.828200246788 |
47 | 10105 | 10173.4182880795 | 389.139290745293 | 9647.44242117526 | 68.4182880794506 |
48 | 9863 | 9890.35914461412 | 155.781667904092 | 9679.85918748179 | 27.3591446141199 |
49 | 9656 | 9383.06432125833 | 216.659724953349 | 9712.27595378832 | -272.935678741671 |
50 | 9295 | 9374.16734837944 | -524.32627858629 | 9740.15893020685 | 79.167348379442 |
51 | 9946 | 10298.412750235 | -174.454656860353 | 9768.04190662537 | 352.412750234978 |
52 | 9701 | 9472.4536957728 | 148.134258167628 | 9781.41204605957 | -228.5463042272 |
53 | 9049 | 9041.8406758779 | -738.622861371663 | 9794.78218549377 | -7.15932412210896 |
54 | 10190 | 10354.4579532181 | 217.654813785795 | 9807.88723299606 | 164.457953218143 |
55 | 9706 | 9757.90820999935 | -166.900490497697 | 9820.99228049835 | 51.9082099993466 |
56 | 9765 | 9692.77073374114 | 4.89909322631054 | 9832.33017303255 | -72.2292662588607 |
57 | 9893 | 9989.63257554619 | -47.3006411129348 | 9843.66806556675 | 96.6325755461876 |
58 | 9994 | 9615.54519313481 | 519.336152915613 | 9853.11865394957 | -378.454806865186 |
59 | 10433 | 10614.2914669223 | 389.139290745293 | 9862.5692423324 | 181.29146692231 |
60 | 10073 | 10111.7158882826 | 155.781667904092 | 9878.50244381331 | 38.7158882825952 |
61 | 10112 | 10112.9046297524 | 216.659724953349 | 9894.43564529423 | 0.904629752420078 |
62 | 9266 | 9136.50938088752 | -524.32627858629 | 9919.81689769877 | -129.490619112479 |
63 | 9820 | 9869.25650675705 | -174.454656860353 | 9945.1981501033 | 49.2565067570467 |
64 | 10097 | 10071.7159847449 | 148.134258167628 | 9974.14975708747 | -25.2840152550998 |
65 | 9115 | 8965.52149730002 | -738.622861371663 | 10003.1013640716 | -149.478502699976 |
66 | 10411 | 10567.8772587978 | 217.654813785795 | 10036.4679274164 | 156.877258797789 |
67 | 9678 | 9453.0659997365 | -166.900490497697 | 10069.8344907612 | -224.934000263493 |
68 | 10408 | 10720.2986443903 | 4.89909322631054 | 10090.8022623834 | 312.298644390328 |
69 | 10153 | 10241.5306071074 | -47.3006411129348 | 10111.7700340055 | 88.5306071074065 |
70 | 10368 | 10087.1032512669 | 519.336152915613 | 10129.5605958175 | -280.89674873307 |
71 | 10581 | 10625.5095516253 | 389.139290745293 | 10147.3511576294 | 44.5095516253241 |
72 | 10597 | 10873.4076819219 | 155.781667904092 | 10164.810650174 | 276.407681921864 |
73 | 10680 | 10961.0701323279 | 216.659724953349 | 10182.2701427187 | 281.070132327946 |
74 | 9738 | 9801.4948913326 | -524.32627858629 | 10198.8313872537 | 63.4948913325898 |
75 | 9556 | 9071.06202507166 | -174.454656860353 | 10215.3926317887 | -484.937974928343 |