Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.2664 |
R-squared | 0.071 |
RMSE | 20.4489 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 200 | 179.303797468354 | 20.6962025316456 |
2 | 169 | 167.894230769231 | 1.10576923076923 |
3 | 154 | 167.894230769231 | -13.8942307692308 |
4 | 162 | 179.303797468354 | -17.3037974683544 |
5 | 195 | 179.303797468354 | 15.6962025316456 |
6 | 175 | 179.303797468354 | -4.30379746835442 |
7 | 139 | 179.303797468354 | -40.3037974683544 |
8 | 164 | 167.894230769231 | -3.89423076923077 |
9 | 143 | 167.894230769231 | -24.8942307692308 |
10 | 157 | 167.894230769231 | -10.8942307692308 |
11 | 197 | 179.303797468354 | 17.6962025316456 |
12 | 162 | 167.894230769231 | -5.89423076923077 |
13 | 181 | 167.894230769231 | 13.1057692307692 |
14 | 132 | 167.894230769231 | -35.8942307692308 |
15 | 174 | 167.894230769231 | 6.10576923076923 |
16 | 156 | 167.894230769231 | -11.8942307692308 |
17 | 155 | 167.894230769231 | -12.8942307692308 |
18 | 151 | 167.894230769231 | -16.8942307692308 |
19 | 142 | 167.894230769231 | -25.8942307692308 |
20 | 152 | 167.894230769231 | -15.8942307692308 |
21 | 147 | 167.894230769231 | -20.8942307692308 |
22 | 184 | 167.894230769231 | 16.1057692307692 |
23 | 157 | 179.303797468354 | -22.3037974683544 |
24 | 162 | 179.303797468354 | -17.3037974683544 |
25 | 200 | 179.303797468354 | 20.6962025316456 |
26 | 166 | 179.303797468354 | -13.3037974683544 |
27 | 135 | 167.894230769231 | -32.8942307692308 |
28 | 179 | 179.303797468354 | -0.303797468354418 |
29 | 192 | 179.303797468354 | 12.6962025316456 |
30 | 176 | 179.303797468354 | -3.30379746835442 |
31 | 162 | 167.894230769231 | -5.89423076923077 |
32 | 161 | 167.894230769231 | -6.89423076923077 |
33 | 168 | 179.303797468354 | -11.3037974683544 |
34 | 137 | 179.303797468354 | -42.3037974683544 |
35 | 216 | 179.303797468354 | 36.6962025316456 |
36 | 196 | 179.303797468354 | 16.6962025316456 |
37 | 208 | 179.303797468354 | 28.6962025316456 |
38 | 163 | 167.894230769231 | -4.89423076923077 |
39 | 149 | 167.894230769231 | -18.8942307692308 |
40 | 161 | 167.894230769231 | -6.89423076923077 |
41 | 207 | 167.894230769231 | 39.1057692307692 |
42 | 151 | 167.894230769231 | -16.8942307692308 |
43 | 188 | 179.303797468354 | 8.69620253164558 |
44 | 118 | 179.303797468354 | -61.3037974683544 |
45 | 161 | 179.303797468354 | -18.3037974683544 |
46 | 155 | 167.894230769231 | -12.8942307692308 |
47 | 164 | 167.894230769231 | -3.89423076923077 |
48 | 163 | 179.303797468354 | -16.3037974683544 |
49 | 181 | 167.894230769231 | 13.1057692307692 |
50 | 171 | 167.894230769231 | 3.10576923076923 |
51 | 162 | 179.303797468354 | -17.3037974683544 |
52 | 193 | 179.303797468354 | 13.6962025316456 |
53 | 160 | 167.894230769231 | -7.89423076923077 |
54 | 187 | 179.303797468354 | 7.69620253164558 |
55 | 194 | 179.303797468354 | 14.6962025316456 |
56 | 168 | 179.303797468354 | -11.3037974683544 |
57 | 123 | 179.303797468354 | -56.3037974683544 |
58 | 154 | 167.894230769231 | -13.8942307692308 |
59 | 181 | 167.894230769231 | 13.1057692307692 |
60 | 172 | 167.894230769231 | 4.10576923076923 |
61 | 189 | 179.303797468354 | 9.69620253164558 |
62 | 170 | 179.303797468354 | -9.30379746835442 |
63 | 193 | 167.894230769231 | 25.1057692307692 |
64 | 170 | 167.894230769231 | 2.10576923076923 |
65 | 188 | 179.303797468354 | 8.69620253164558 |
66 | 193 | 179.303797468354 | 13.6962025316456 |
67 | 178 | 179.303797468354 | -1.30379746835442 |
68 | 160 | 167.894230769231 | -7.89423076923077 |
69 | 149 | 167.894230769231 | -18.8942307692308 |
70 | 145 | 167.894230769231 | -22.8942307692308 |
71 | 188 | 179.303797468354 | 8.69620253164558 |
72 | 181 | 179.303797468354 | 1.69620253164558 |
73 | 161 | 179.303797468354 | -18.3037974683544 |
74 | 197 | 167.894230769231 | 29.1057692307692 |
75 | 172 | 179.303797468354 | -7.30379746835442 |
76 | 169 | 167.894230769231 | 1.10576923076923 |
77 | 201 | 167.894230769231 | 33.1057692307692 |
78 | 179 | 179.303797468354 | -0.303797468354418 |
79 | 180 | 179.303797468354 | 0.696202531645582 |
80 | 177 | 179.303797468354 | -2.30379746835442 |
81 | 175 | 179.303797468354 | -4.30379746835442 |
82 | 201 | 179.303797468354 | 21.6962025316456 |
83 | 171 | 167.894230769231 | 3.10576923076923 |
84 | 197 | 167.894230769231 | 29.1057692307692 |
85 | 208 | 167.894230769231 | 40.1057692307692 |
86 | 169 | 167.894230769231 | 1.10576923076923 |
87 | 190 | 179.303797468354 | 10.6962025316456 |
88 | 199 | 179.303797468354 | 19.6962025316456 |
89 | 199 | 179.303797468354 | 19.6962025316456 |
90 | 164 | 167.894230769231 | -3.89423076923077 |
91 | 144 | 179.303797468354 | -35.3037974683544 |
92 | 163 | 179.303797468354 | -16.3037974683544 |
93 | 172 | 179.303797468354 | -7.30379746835442 |
94 | 155 | 179.303797468354 | -24.3037974683544 |
95 | 167 | 167.894230769231 | -0.894230769230774 |
96 | 166 | 167.894230769231 | -1.89423076923077 |
97 | 192 | 167.894230769231 | 24.1057692307692 |
98 | 202 | 179.303797468354 | 22.6962025316456 |
99 | 191 | 167.894230769231 | 23.1057692307692 |
100 | 194 | 167.894230769231 | 26.1057692307692 |
101 | 171 | 167.894230769231 | 3.10576923076923 |
102 | 164 | 167.894230769231 | -3.89423076923077 |
103 | 145 | 167.894230769231 | -22.8942307692308 |
104 | 146 | 179.303797468354 | -33.3037974683544 |
105 | 181 | 167.894230769231 | 13.1057692307692 |
106 | 202 | 167.894230769231 | 34.1057692307692 |
107 | 156 | 167.894230769231 | -11.8942307692308 |
108 | 179 | 167.894230769231 | 11.1057692307692 |
109 | 177 | 167.894230769231 | 9.10576923076923 |
110 | 169 | 179.303797468354 | -10.3037974683544 |
111 | 182 | 167.894230769231 | 14.1057692307692 |
112 | 142 | 167.894230769231 | -25.8942307692308 |
113 | 212 | 179.303797468354 | 32.6962025316456 |
114 | 177 | 167.894230769231 | 9.10576923076923 |
115 | 186 | 179.303797468354 | 6.69620253164558 |
116 | 156 | 167.894230769231 | -11.8942307692308 |
117 | 185 | 167.894230769231 | 17.1057692307692 |
118 | 220 | 167.894230769231 | 52.1057692307692 |
119 | 196 | 179.303797468354 | 16.6962025316456 |
120 | 190 | 179.303797468354 | 10.6962025316456 |
121 | 169 | 167.894230769231 | 1.10576923076923 |
122 | 174 | 179.303797468354 | -5.30379746835442 |
123 | 193 | 179.303797468354 | 13.6962025316456 |
124 | 182 | 179.303797468354 | 2.69620253164558 |
125 | 190 | 167.894230769231 | 22.1057692307692 |
126 | 222 | 179.303797468354 | 42.6962025316456 |
127 | 157 | 167.894230769231 | -10.8942307692308 |
128 | 197 | 167.894230769231 | 29.1057692307692 |
129 | 197 | 179.303797468354 | 17.6962025316456 |
130 | 141 | 167.894230769231 | -26.8942307692308 |
131 | 182 | 167.894230769231 | 14.1057692307692 |
132 | 206 | 179.303797468354 | 26.6962025316456 |
133 | 164 | 179.303797468354 | -15.3037974683544 |
134 | 175 | 167.894230769231 | 7.10576923076923 |
135 | 144 | 167.894230769231 | -23.8942307692308 |
136 | 160 | 167.894230769231 | -7.89423076923077 |
137 | 168 | 179.303797468354 | -11.3037974683544 |
138 | 193 | 167.894230769231 | 25.1057692307692 |
139 | 215 | 179.303797468354 | 35.6962025316456 |
140 | 203 | 167.894230769231 | 35.1057692307692 |
141 | 130 | 167.894230769231 | -37.8942307692308 |
142 | 177 | 167.894230769231 | 9.10576923076923 |
143 | 188 | 167.894230769231 | 20.1057692307692 |
144 | 166 | 167.894230769231 | -1.89423076923077 |
145 | 186 | 179.303797468354 | 6.69620253164558 |
146 | 207 | 179.303797468354 | 27.6962025316456 |
147 | 214 | 179.303797468354 | 34.6962025316456 |
148 | 186 | 179.303797468354 | 6.69620253164558 |
149 | 180 | 167.894230769231 | 12.1057692307692 |
150 | 99 | 179.303797468354 | -80.3037974683544 |
151 | 205 | 167.894230769231 | 37.1057692307692 |
152 | 174 | 167.894230769231 | 6.10576923076923 |
153 | 172 | 167.894230769231 | 4.10576923076923 |
154 | 172 | 167.894230769231 | 4.10576923076923 |
155 | 163 | 167.894230769231 | -4.89423076923077 |
156 | 158 | 167.894230769231 | -9.89423076923077 |
157 | 146 | 167.894230769231 | -21.8942307692308 |
158 | 172 | 167.894230769231 | 4.10576923076923 |
159 | 185 | 179.303797468354 | 5.69620253164558 |
160 | 159 | 167.894230769231 | -8.89423076923077 |
161 | 197 | 167.894230769231 | 29.1057692307692 |
162 | 164 | 167.894230769231 | -3.89423076923077 |
163 | 179 | 167.894230769231 | 11.1057692307692 |
164 | 137 | 167.894230769231 | -30.8942307692308 |
165 | 177 | 179.303797468354 | -2.30379746835442 |
166 | 157 | 167.894230769231 | -10.8942307692308 |
167 | 165 | 167.894230769231 | -2.89423076923077 |
168 | 200 | 179.303797468354 | 20.6962025316456 |
169 | 172 | 179.303797468354 | -7.30379746835442 |
170 | 141 | 167.894230769231 | -26.8942307692308 |
171 | 157 | 167.894230769231 | -10.8942307692308 |
172 | 163 | 167.894230769231 | -4.89423076923077 |
173 | 143 | 167.894230769231 | -24.8942307692308 |
174 | 165 | 179.303797468354 | -14.3037974683544 |
175 | 167 | 167.894230769231 | -0.894230769230774 |
176 | 164 | 167.894230769231 | -3.89423076923077 |
177 | 202 | 179.303797468354 | 22.6962025316456 |
178 | 143 | 167.894230769231 | -24.8942307692308 |
179 | 148 | 167.894230769231 | -19.8942307692308 |
180 | 173 | 167.894230769231 | 5.10576923076923 |
181 | 170 | 179.303797468354 | -9.30379746835442 |
182 | 169 | 179.303797468354 | -10.3037974683544 |
183 | 175 | 179.303797468354 | -4.30379746835442 |