| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.043029055619011 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 880 | 840 | 40 |
| 3 | 930 | 841.72116222476 | 88.2788377752396 |
| 4 | 920 | 845.519717245373 | 74.4802827546272 |
| 5 | 940 | 848.724533474541 | 91.2754665254587 |
| 6 | 880 | 852.652030600316 | 27.3479693996835 |
| 7 | 980 | 853.828787896682 | 126.171212103318 |
| 8 | 860 | 859.257815999794 | 0.742184000205839 |
| 9 | 900 | 859.289751476419 | 40.7102485235814 |
| 10 | 930 | 861.041475024404 | 68.9585249755964 |
| 11 | 870 | 864.008695230983 | 5.99130476901655 |
| 12 | 1000 | 864.26649541712 | 135.73350458288 |
| 13 | 870 | 870.10697993518 | -0.106979935179993 |
| 14 | 860 | 870.1023766896 | -10.1023766895991 |
| 15 | 930 | 869.667680961138 | 60.3323190388619 |
| 16 | 980 | 872.263723672685 | 107.736276327315 |
| 17 | 1010 | 876.899513898958 | 133.100486101042 |
| 18 | 860 | 882.626702118317 | -22.6267021183174 |
| 19 | 1140 | 881.653096494394 | 258.346903505606 |
| 20 | 880 | 892.769519774336 | -12.7695197743355 |
| 21 | 800 | 892.220059397738 | -92.2200593977376 |
| 22 | 900 | 888.251917332724 | 11.7480826672761 |
| 23 | 900 | 888.757426235231 | 11.2425737647691 |
| 24 | 1000 | 889.241183567056 | 110.758816432944 |
| 25 | 890 | 894.007030839645 | -4.00703083964504 |
| 26 | 890 | 893.834612086779 | -3.83461208677886 |
| 27 | 870 | 893.66961235002 | -23.6696123500195 |
| 28 | 1000 | 892.65113128373 | 107.34886871627 |
| 29 | 1050 | 897.27025172636 | 152.72974827364 |
| 30 | 790 | 903.842068559504 | -113.842068559504 |
| 31 | 1160 | 898.943551859674 | 261.056448140326 |
| 32 | 830 | 910.176564286406 | -80.1765642864058 |
| 33 | 730 | 906.726642442385 | -176.726642442385 |
| 34 | 950 | 899.12226191537 | 50.8777380846296 |
| 35 | 980 | 901.311482937183 | 78.6885170628167 |
| 36 | 910 | 904.697375514457 | 5.30262448554322 |
| 37 | 840 | 904.925542438372 | -64.925542438372 |
| 38 | 860 | 902.131857661697 | -42.1318576616968 |
| 39 | 880 | 900.318963615039 | -20.3189636150394 |
| 40 | 1030 | 899.444657799527 | 130.555342200473 |
| 41 | 1060 | 905.06233088043 | 154.93766911957 |
| 42 | 770 | 911.729152462456 | -141.729152462456 |
| 43 | 1140 | 905.630680878314 | 234.369319121686 |
| 44 | 890 | 915.71537134619 | -25.7153713461906 |
| 45 | 740 | 914.608863202272 | -174.608863202272 |
| 46 | 860 | 907.095608715969 | -47.0956087159691 |
| 47 | 1050 | 905.069129149118 | 144.930870850882 |
| 48 | 840 | 911.305367651873 | -71.3053676518728 |
| 49 | 810 | 908.237165021246 | -98.2371650212463 |
| 50 | 830 | 904.010112583693 | -74.010112583693 |
| 51 | 920 | 900.82552733296 | 19.1744726670399 |
| 52 | 1070 | 901.650586783815 | 168.349413216185 |
| 53 | 1040 | 908.894503048522 | 131.105496951478 |
| 54 | 740 | 914.535848768806 | -174.535848768806 |
| 55 | 1250 | 907.025736024621 | 342.974263975379 |
| 56 | 850 | 921.783594705107 | -71.7835947051074 |
| 57 | 790 | 918.694814416009 | -128.694814416009 |
| 58 | 810 | 913.157198088624 | -103.157198088624 |
| 59 | 1080 | 908.718441274567 | 171.281558725433 |
| 60 | 760 | 916.088524991475 | -156.088524991475 |
| 61 | 840 | 909.372183168127 | -69.3721831681272 |
| 62 | 820 | 906.387163640174 | -86.3871636401736 |
| 63 | 900 | 902.670005571132 | -2.67000557113204 |
| 64 | 1010 | 902.555117752909 | 107.444882247091 |
| 65 | 1080 | 907.178369567097 | 172.821630432903 |
| 66 | 780 | 914.614721115162 | -134.614721115162 |
| 67 | 1150 | 908.82237679316 | 241.17762320684 |
| 68 | 820 | 919.200022156188 | -99.2000221561884 |
| 69 | 790 | 914.931538885423 | -124.931538885423 |
| 70 | 820 | 909.555852750153 | -89.5558527501532 |
| 71 | 1130 | 905.702348981159 | 224.297651018841 |
| 72 | 800 | 915.353665082062 | -115.353665082062 |
| 73 | 890 | 910.39010581139 | -20.3901058113894 |
| 74 | 810 | 909.512738814354 | -99.5127388143536 |
| 75 | 950 | 905.230799641111 | 44.7692003588893 |
| 76 | 1090 | 907.157176053372 | 182.842823946628 |
| 77 | 1090 | 915.024730094509 | 174.975269905491 |
| 78 | 850 | 922.553750715223 | -72.5537507152234 |
| 79 | 1200 | 919.43183134033 | 280.56816865967 |
| 80 | 790 | 931.504414674511 | -141.504414674511 |
| 81 | 800 | 925.415613345146 | -125.415613345146 |
| 82 | 850 | 920.019097943025 | -70.0190979430254 |
| 83 | 1230 | 917.006242283242 | 312.993757716758 |
| 84 | 800 | 930.47406809244 | -130.47406809244 |
| 85 | 930 | 924.859892159651 | 5.14010784034861 |
| 86 | 700 | 925.081066145802 | -225.081066145802 |
| 87 | 1030 | 915.396040431827 | 114.603959568173 |
| 88 | 1040 | 920.327340582245 | 119.672659417755 |
| 89 | 1000 | 925.476742100407 | 74.5232578995932 |
| 90 | 830 | 928.683407509478 | -98.6834075094783 |
| 91 | 1190 | 924.43715367908 | 265.56284632092 |
| 92 | 720 | 935.864072163765 | -215.864072163765 |
| 93 | 810 | 926.575644996484 | -116.575644996484 |
| 94 | 870 | 921.559505084109 | -51.5595050841087 |
| 95 | 1190 | 919.340948272156 | 270.659051727844 |
| 96 | 800 | 930.987151662742 | -130.987151662742 |
| 97 | 970 | 925.35089822847 | 44.6491017715299 |
| 98 | 690 | 927.272106911936 | -237.272106911936 |
| 99 | 1010 | 917.062512226782 | 92.9374877732175 |
| 100 | 1030 | 921.061524557267 | 108.938475442733 |
| 101 | 950 | 925.749044276143 | 24.250955723857 |
| 102 | 830 | 926.792539998799 | -96.792539998799 |
| 103 | 1150 | 922.627648411685 | 227.372351588315 |
| 104 | 750 | 932.411265974404 | -182.411265974404 |
| 105 | 840 | 924.562281465257 | -84.5622814652573 |
| 106 | 880 | 920.923646352818 | -40.9236463528183 |
| 107 | 1210 | 919.16274049777 | 290.83725950223 |
| 108 | 830 | 931.677193112972 | -101.677193112972 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 109 | 927.30211951533 | 663.125583421965 | 1191.47865560869 |
| 110 | 927.30211951533 | 662.881135139534 | 1191.72310389112 |
| 111 | 927.30211951533 | 662.636912632672 | 1191.96732639799 |
| 112 | 927.30211951533 | 662.392915276942 | 1192.21132375372 |
| 113 | 927.30211951533 | 662.149142450784 | 1192.45509657987 |
| 114 | 927.30211951533 | 661.905593535492 | 1192.69864549517 |
| 115 | 927.30211951533 | 661.662267915194 | 1192.94197111547 |
| 116 | 927.30211951533 | 661.419164976837 | 1193.18507405382 |
| 117 | 927.30211951533 | 661.176284110171 | 1193.42795492049 |
| 118 | 927.30211951533 | 660.933624707725 | 1193.67061432293 |
| 119 | 927.30211951533 | 660.691186164792 | 1193.91305286587 |
| 120 | 927.30211951533 | 660.448967879416 | 1194.15527115124 |
