Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.174781716156648
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
238.68368.897-30.214
344.7263.616145228043-18.896145228043
439.52560.3134445363404-20.7884445363404
545.31556.6800045240515-11.3650045240515
650.3854.6936095292097-4.31360952920972
740.653.9396694528648-13.3396694528648
836.27951.6081391329307-15.3291391329306
942.43848.928885888073-6.490885888073
1038.06447.7943977131786-9.73039771317863
1131.87946.0937021019825-14.2147021019825
1211.37943.6092320739425-32.2302320739425
1370.24937.975976799931832.2730232000682
1439.25343.616711180403-4.36371118040303
1547.0642.85401425148024.20598574851977
1641.69743.5891436587369-1.89214365873693
1738.70843.258431542848-4.55043154284797
1849.26742.46309930853576.80390069146434
1939.01843.6522967479492-4.63429674794921
2032.22842.8423064091635-10.6143064091635
2140.8740.9871197191574-0.117119719157365
2239.38340.9666493336473-1.58364933364725
2334.57140.6898563853221-6.11885638532205
2412.06639.6203921653794-27.5543921653794
2570.93834.804388215061136.1336117849389
2634.07741.1198828937708-7.04288289377081
2745.40939.88891573490725.52008426509276
2840.80940.8537255360895-0.0447255360894729
2937.01340.8459083301357-3.83290833013573
3044.95340.17598603432354.77701396567651
3137.84841.0109207333487-3.16292073334871
3232.74540.4581000195066-7.71310001950658
3343.41239.10999116120934.30200883879066
3434.93139.8619036489742-4.93090364897424
3533.00839.0000718470034-5.99207184700344
368.6237.9527672462502-29.3327672462502
3768.90632.825935847327136.0800641526729
3839.55639.13207137897320.423928621026761
3950.66939.206166350884211.4628336491158
4036.43241.2096600880949-4.77766008809485
4140.89140.37461245868450.516387541315488
4248.42840.46486755935757.96313244064245
4336.22241.8566775133157-5.63467751331571
4433.42540.8718389075491-7.44683890754911
4539.40139.5702676233456-0.169267623345576
4637.96739.5406827376475-1.57368273764748
4734.80139.2656317680754-4.46463176807536
4812.65738.4852957656437-25.8282957656437
4969.11633.97098190632335.145018093677
5041.51940.11368848309231.4053115169077
5151.32140.359311241752110.9616887582479
5238.52942.2752140148937-3.74621401489373
5341.54741.6204443002805-0.0734443002805207
5452.07341.607607579435610.4653924205644
5538.40143.4367668269546-5.03576682695459
5640.89842.5566068587747-1.65860685877475
5740.43942.2667127055689-1.82771270556891
5841.88841.9472619422483-0.0592619422482699
5937.89841.9369040382793-4.03890403827933
608.77141.2309774590769-32.4599774590769
6168.18435.557566892373332.6264331076267
6250.5341.26007086299449.26992913700563
6347.22142.88028498621074.34071501378926
6441.75643.6389626056677-1.88296260566775
6545.63343.30985516999032.32314483000965
6648.13843.71589841025994.42210158974012
6739.48644.4888009151337-5.0028009151337
6839.34143.6144027855966-4.27340278559658
6941.11742.8674901129014-1.75049011290141
7041.62942.5615364468533-0.932536446853256
7129.72242.3985461262936-12.6765461262936
727.05440.1829176394011-33.1289176394011
7356.67634.392588559974322.2834114400257
7434.8738.2873214532867-3.4173214532867
7535.11737.6900361450223-2.57303614502231
7630.16937.2403164718622-7.07131647186222
7730.93636.0043796434234-5.06837964342337
7835.69935.11851955121240.58048044878759
7933.22835.2199769202469-1.99197692024688
8027.73334.8718157755817-7.1388157755817
8133.66633.62408130299940.041918697000618
8235.42933.63140792480021.7975920751998
8327.43833.9455941526532-6.50759415265322
848.1732.8081856786015-24.6381856786015
8563.4128.501881302709434.9081186972906
8638.0434.60318219642183.43681780357817
8745.38935.203875110248910.1851248897511
8837.35336.98404871774940.368951282250571
8937.02437.0485346560394-0.0245346560393784
9050.95737.044246446751513.9127535532485
9137.99439.4759413892528-1.48194138925278
9236.45439.2169251299956-2.76292512999562
9346.0838.73401633416277.34598366583734
9443.37340.01795996613643.35504003386359
9537.39540.6043596210293-3.20935962102934
9610.96340.043422238702-29.080422238702
9776.05834.960696133261741.0973038667383
9850.17942.14375343250158.03524656749853
9957.45243.548167617310713.9038323826893
10047.56845.97830330231151.58969669768849
10150.0546.25615321930213.79384678069794
10250.85646.91924827046783.93675172953218
10341.99247.6073204938381-5.61532049383811
10439.28446.6258651411555-7.34186514115549
10544.52145.3426413519937-0.821641351993655
10643.83245.1990334664269-1.36703346642693
10741.15344.9601010111213-3.80710101112126
10817.144.2946893628158-27.1946893628158


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
10939.541554885635911.400752852366867.682356918905
11039.541554885635910.974154611216968.1089551600549
11139.541554885635910.553833729910168.5292760413616
11239.541554885635910.139520990591468.9435887806804
11339.54155488563599.7309658856080869.3521438856637
11439.54155488563599.32793484612769.7551749251448
11539.54155488563598.930209680711570.1529000905603
11639.54155488563598.5375861942202470.5455235770515
11739.54155488563598.1498729622104470.9332368090613
11839.54155488563597.7668902399665471.3162195313052
11939.54155488563597.3884689885095671.6946407827622
12039.54155488563597.0144500026122972.0686597686595