| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.0815 | -0.1445 | -0.0885 | -0.718 | 0.477 | -0.171 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.6886 ) | (0.3825 ) | (0.5739 ) | (0 ) | (0.0115 ) | (0.3465 ) | (0.0012 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -0.1156 | -0.0599 | -1.3185 | 0.485 | -0.1913 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.4371 ) | (0.6749 ) | (0 ) | (0.0092 ) | (0.2699 ) | (0.0013 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -0.1019 | 0 | -1.2939 | 0.47 | -0.1867 | -1.0003 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.4878 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0108 ) | (0.2846 ) | (0.0012 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2524 | 0.4673 | -0.1609 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0126 ) | (0.3477 ) | (0.0012 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2456 | 0.5 | 0 | -1.0001 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0078 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -33.0103633296844 |
| -42.9288425984687 |
| 32.1389385283013 |
| -167.979167299611 |
| 113.169297820156 |
| -54.7633252111429 |
| -375.83562356303 |
| -358.690205578645 |
| -212.419698408249 |
| 171.877719351263 |
| 5.46202105964608 |
| 238.982539629879 |
| 79.8677714410106 |
| -123.068667823498 |
| 232.929177834545 |
| 145.922739483409 |
| 5.74104303932808 |
| -216.365807530691 |
| 411.329992667999 |
| -142.84030349784 |
| 308.294157882894 |
| 158.820370232653 |
| -178.114038440795 |
| 258.87511922207 |
| -139.409274081713 |
| 22.1920761624398 |
| 283.176690688452 |
| 8.51582140872817 |
| 289.633748970542 |
| 147.518631664387 |
| -351.790680593387 |
| -268.480629356084 |
| 306.520641148151 |
| 54.2052616089381 |
| 303.498992913279 |
| 79.8331707685868 |
| -44.8348627219691 |
| 181.974269926558 |
| 213.826268476131 |
| -201.645896016367 |
| -69.1624571342423 |
| 192.160770668015 |
| 132.017012165289 |
| 106.054865521961 |
| -47.0960552335742 |
| -396.007436349641 |
| 129.786340352233 |
| 107.092974713343 |
| 107.246441643367 |
| -168.898362225517 |
| -62.9174230159119 |
| 128.34948322589 |
| -27.9935063728378 |
| 131.136498582435 |
| -177.99424576412 |
| 308.371321736794 |
| 124.995550180169 |
| -12.4645256718253 |
| 35.2512876061691 |
| 292.662641726643 |
| 204.496918690166 |
| 80.8102836238113 |
| -406.386201103494 |
