Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 98.68 | NA | NA | 1.00472057551597 | NA |
2 | 99.21 | NA | NA | 1.00430403525994 | NA |
3 | 99.36 | NA | NA | 1.00295517833578 | NA |
4 | 100.72 | NA | NA | 1.00124353497398 | NA |
5 | 102.27 | NA | NA | 1.00489217356943 | NA |
6 | 102.62 | NA | NA | 0.997071104290244 | NA |
7 | 102.97 | 102.206696253114 | 102.01 | 1.00192820559861 | 1.00746823618088 |
8 | 102.88 | 102.219052672659 | 102.4275 | 0.997964928097036 | 1.00646598955928 |
9 | 102.9 | 102.403215962149 | 102.8 | 0.996140233094833 | 1.00485125426173 |
10 | 103.01 | 102.285474463165 | 103.104583333333 | 0.992055553267503 | 1.00708336682835 |
11 | 103.02 | 102.806409929945 | 103.290416666667 | 0.995314117685442 | 1.00207759487176 |
12 | 103.73 | 103.553341833884 | 103.4075 | 1.00141036031124 | 1.00170596296544 |
13 | 104.18 | 103.996533603793 | 103.507916666667 | 1.00472057551597 | 1.00176415876424 |
14 | 103.73 | 104.051338033121 | 103.605416666667 | 1.00430403525994 | 0.996911735695137 |
15 | 103.78 | 104.006869891411 | 103.700416666667 | 1.00295517833578 | 0.997818702825611 |
16 | 103.61 | 103.937422626424 | 103.808333333333 | 1.00124353497398 | 0.996849810028476 |
17 | 103.84 | 104.453935686746 | 103.945416666667 | 1.00489217356943 | 0.994122426477183 |
18 | 103.86 | 103.759789021671 | 104.064583333333 | 0.997071104290244 | 1.00096579782278 |
19 | 104.14 | 104.341220801125 | 104.140416666667 | 1.00192820559861 | 0.99807151191466 |
20 | 104.05 | 104.024953373795 | 104.237083333333 | 0.997964928097036 | 1.00024077517358 |
21 | 104.01 | 103.961345310081 | 104.364166666667 | 0.996140233094833 | 1.0004680075058 |
22 | 104.49 | 103.692126566403 | 104.5225 | 0.992055553267503 | 1.00769463854217 |
23 | 104.83 | 104.251274257452 | 104.742083333333 | 0.995314117685442 | 1.00555125821406 |
24 | 104.78 | 105.119297284821 | 104.97125 | 1.00141036031124 | 0.99677226452626 |
25 | 104.95 | 105.693255475695 | 105.196666666667 | 1.00472057551597 | 0.992967806012314 |
26 | 105.28 | 105.890051337676 | 105.43625 | 1.00430403525994 | 0.994238822911413 |
27 | 105.28 | 105.993139042507 | 105.680833333333 | 1.00295517833578 | 0.993271837696769 |
28 | 105.91 | 106.033359092969 | 105.901666666667 | 1.00124353497398 | 0.998836601103421 |
29 | 106.81 | 106.624084076584 | 106.105 | 1.00489217356943 | 1.00174365787079 |
30 | 106.39 | 105.999044543389 | 106.310416666667 | 0.997071104290244 | 1.00368829226994 |
31 | 107.02 | 106.721635229593 | 106.51625 | 1.00192820559861 | 1.00279572899877 |
32 | 106.92 | 106.540240811319 | 106.7575 | 0.997964928097036 | 1.00356446715146 |
33 | 107.01 | 106.611908446974 | 107.025 | 0.996140233094833 | 1.00373402520248 |
34 | 106.79 | 106.405398504589 | 107.2575 | 0.992055553267503 | 1.00361449231727 |
35 | 107.41 | 106.96101694285 | 107.464583333333 | 0.995314117685442 | 1.00419763265143 |
36 | 107.13 | 107.879434590429 | 107.7275 | 1.00141036031124 | 0.993053035610782 |
37 | 107.54 | 108.514845758602 | 108.005 | 1.00472057551597 | 0.991016475655588 |
38 | 108.48 | 108.722188717109 | 108.25625 | 1.00430403525994 | 0.997772407638525 |
39 | 108.5 | 108.810189399658 | 108.489583333333 | 1.00295517833578 | 0.997149261467432 |
40 | 108.27 | 108.815981750585 | 108.680833333333 | 1.00124353497398 | 0.99498252240341 |
41 | 109.42 | 109.271556248867 | 108.739583333333 | 1.00489217356943 | 1.00135848482651 |
42 | 110.09 | 108.411956615772 | 108.730416666667 | 0.997071104290244 | 1.01547839773961 |
43 | 109.98 | 108.90375136737 | 108.694166666667 | 1.00192820559861 | 1.00988256712113 |
44 | 109.99 | 108.434295081103 | 108.655416666667 | 0.997964928097036 | 1.01434698236137 |
45 | 109.54 | 108.359719497625 | 108.779583333333 | 0.996140233094833 | 1.01089224398002 |
46 | 108.85 | 108.171257389405 | 109.0375 | 0.992055553267503 | 1.00627470389987 |
47 | 106.76 | 108.727284787526 | 109.239166666667 | 0.995314117685442 | 0.981906245599982 |
48 | 107.56 | 109.315206694525 | 109.16125 | 1.00141036031124 | 0.98394361820648 |
49 | 106.24 | 109.409884337958 | 108.895833333333 | 1.00472057551597 | 0.97102744091963 |
50 | 108.85 | 109.050679828642 | 108.583333333333 | 1.00430403525994 | 0.998159756280683 |
51 | 111.11 | 108.564047482974 | 108.244166666667 | 1.00295517833578 | 1.02345115695346 |
52 | 111.85 | 108.014986922605 | 107.880833333333 | 1.00124353497398 | 1.03550445347128 |
53 | 110.68 | 108.210138890534 | 107.683333333333 | 1.00489217356943 | 1.0228246736839 |
54 | 106.96 | 107.425271668818 | 107.740833333333 | 0.997071104290244 | 0.995668880687105 |
55 | 106.74 | 108.186537760195 | 107.978333333333 | 1.00192820559861 | 0.986629225870953 |
56 | 105.73 | 107.862544341048 | 108.0825 | 0.997964928097036 | 0.980229055840691 |
57 | 105.66 | 107.279737461578 | 107.695416666667 | 0.996140233094833 | 0.984901739136353 |
58 | 104.01 | 106.113155472856 | 106.962916666667 | 0.992055553267503 | 0.980180068498729 |
59 | 106.86 | 105.68535601535 | 106.182916666667 | 0.995314117685442 | 1.01111453874915 |
60 | 108.84 | 105.734330147779 | 105.585416666667 | 1.00141036031124 | 1.02937238877743 |
61 | 110.66 | 105.584410746681 | 105.088333333333 | 1.00472057551597 | 1.04807138873462 |
62 | 106.93 | 105.06359280866 | 104.613333333333 | 1.00430403525994 | 1.01776454756063 |
63 | 103.74 | 104.454856537734 | 104.147083333333 | 1.00295517833578 | 0.993156311143118 |
64 | 101.64 | 103.854820034788 | 103.725833333333 | 1.00124353497398 | 0.978673883079798 |
65 | 102.17 | 103.747161524669 | 103.242083333333 | 1.00489217356943 | 0.98479802722801 |
66 | 101.13 | 102.250057191258 | 102.550416666667 | 0.997071104290244 | 0.98904590156695 |
67 | 100.64 | NA | NA | 1.00192820559861 | NA |
68 | 100.43 | NA | NA | 0.997964928097036 | NA |
69 | 99.77 | NA | NA | 0.996140233094833 | NA |
70 | 99.79 | NA | NA | 0.992055553267503 | NA |
71 | 99.47 | NA | NA | 0.995314117685442 | NA |
72 | 99.63 | NA | NA | 1.00141036031124 | NA |