Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[360])
348	702.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
349	784.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
350	810.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
351	755.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
352	656.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
353	615.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
354	745.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
355	694.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
356	675.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
357	643.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
358	622.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
359	634.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
360	588	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
361	689.7	682.1709	624.8464	742.5403	0.4034	0.9989	4e-04	0.9989
362	673.9	681.2748	597.5576	771.6611	0.4365	0.4275	0.0025	0.9784
363	647.9	638.1801	532.4099	755.6482	0.4356	0.2756	0.025	0.7988
364	568.8	571.3091	451.0132	709.0478	0.4858	0.1379	0.1119	0.4061
365	545.7	532.4614	398.3753	690.5118	0.4348	0.3261	0.1527	0.2455
366	632.6	650.0103	477.9122	854.762	0.4338	0.841	0.1808	0.7236
367	643.8	617.9507	433.5375	842.837	0.4109	0.4492	0.2534	0.603
368	593.1	585.9433	391.9285	828.4475	0.4769	0.32	0.2341	0.4934
369	579.7	569.0501	364.375	830.613	0.4682	0.4285	0.288	0.4435
370	546	547.0924	334.7229	824.7283	0.4969	0.409	0.2982	0.3864
371	562.9	565.2105	335.9733	869.1838	0.4941	0.5493	0.3273	0.4416
372	572.5	552.7955	315.6381	873.4748	0.4521	0.4754	0.4148	0.4148

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
361	0.0452	0.011	0	56.6867	0	0
362	0.0677	-0.0108	0.0109	54.3871	55.5369	7.4523
363	0.0939	0.0152	0.0124	94.4769	68.5169	8.2775
364	0.123	-0.0044	0.0104	6.2955	52.9616	7.2775
365	0.1514	0.0249	0.0133	175.2596	77.4212	8.7989
366	0.1607	-0.0268	0.0155	303.1185	115.0374	10.7255
367	0.1857	0.0418	0.0193	668.1841	194.0583	13.9305
368	0.2112	0.0122	0.0184	51.2178	176.2033	13.2742
369	0.2345	0.0187	0.0184	113.4213	169.2275	13.0087
370	0.2589	-0.002	0.0168	1.1934	152.4241	12.346
371	0.2744	-0.0041	0.0156	5.3386	139.0527	11.7921
372	0.296	0.0356	0.0173	388.2672	159.8205	12.642