Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[63])
51	9946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	9701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	9049	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	10190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	9705.99999999999	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	9764.99999999999	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9993.99999999999	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	10433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10073	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	9266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	9820	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	10097	9920.4433	9373.5258	10499.2718	0.275	0.6331	0.7713	0.6331
65	9115	9112.3374	8601.8512	9653.119	0.4962	2e-04	0.5908	0.0052
66	10411	10156.7269	9579.3273	10768.9296	0.2078	0.9996	0.4576	0.8595
67	9678	9764.6817	9202.0646	10361.6974	0.388	0.0169	0.5764	0.4279
68	10408	9846.2058	9271.865	10456.1238	0.0355	0.7056	0.6029	0.5336
69	10153	9862.3521	9280.5384	10480.6408	0.1784	0.0418	0.4613	0.5534
70	10368	10258.6738	9647.181	10908.9265	0.3709	0.625	0.7875	0.907
71	10581	10358.8215	9735.4695	11022.0861	0.2557	0.4892	0.4132	0.9443
72	10597	10008.2241	9400.7089	10654.9997	0.0372	0.0413	0.4222	0.7158
73	10680	10083.3416	9470.0587	10736.3409	0.0367	0.0616	0.4657	0.7854
74	9738	9302.8042	8732.5791	9910.2643	0.0801	0	0.5473	0.0476
75	9556	9776.5372	9172.9336	10419.8595	0.2508	0.5467	0.4473	0.4473

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
64	0.0298	0.0178	0	31172.2722	0	0
65	0.0303	3e-04	0.009	7.0892	15589.6807	124.8586
66	0.0308	0.025	0.0144	64654.8201	31944.7272	178.7309
67	0.0312	-0.0089	0.013	7513.7167	25836.9745	160.7388
68	0.0316	0.0571	0.0218	315612.7183	83792.1233	289.4687
69	0.032	0.0295	0.0231	84476.1929	83906.1349	289.6656
70	0.0323	0.0107	0.0213	11952.212	73627.003	271.343
71	0.0327	0.0214	0.0213	49363.2691	70594.0363	265.6954
72	0.033	0.0588	0.0255	346657.0149	101267.7006	318.2259
73	0.033	0.0592	0.0289	356001.2314	126741.0537	356.0071
74	0.0333	0.0468	0.0305	189395.342	132436.8981	363.9188
75	0.0336	-0.0226	0.0298	48636.6515	125453.5442	354.1942