Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 0 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 11.86 | 11.94 | -0.0799999999999983 |
4 | 12.11 | 11.93 | 0.180000000000001 |
5 | 11.92 | 12.18 | -0.259999999999998 |
6 | 12.61 | 11.99 | 0.620000000000001 |
7 | 13.34 | 12.68 | 0.660000000000002 |
8 | 13.31 | 13.41 | -0.0999999999999979 |
9 | 13.47 | 13.38 | 0.0900000000000016 |
10 | 13.24 | 13.54 | -0.299999999999999 |
11 | 13.18 | 13.31 | -0.129999999999999 |
12 | 13.3 | 13.25 | 0.0500000000000025 |
13 | 13.15 | 13.37 | -0.219999999999999 |
14 | 13.47 | 13.22 | 0.250000000000002 |
15 | 13.65 | 13.54 | 0.110000000000001 |
16 | 13.52 | 13.72 | -0.199999999999999 |
17 | 14.13 | 13.59 | 0.540000000000003 |
18 | 14.84 | 14.2 | 0.640000000000001 |
19 | 15.29 | 14.91 | 0.380000000000001 |
20 | 15.51 | 15.36 | 0.150000000000002 |
21 | 15.43 | 15.58 | -0.149999999999999 |
22 | 15.42 | 15.5 | -0.0799999999999983 |
23 | 15.56 | 15.49 | 0.0700000000000021 |
24 | 15.43 | 15.63 | -0.199999999999999 |
25 | 15.36 | 15.5 | -0.139999999999999 |
26 | 15.18 | 15.43 | -0.249999999999998 |
27 | 15.41 | 15.25 | 0.160000000000002 |
28 | 15.15 | 15.48 | -0.329999999999998 |
29 | 15.21 | 15.22 | -0.00999999999999801 |
30 | 15.09 | 15.28 | -0.19 |
31 | 15.09 | 15.16 | -0.0699999999999985 |
32 | 15.5 | 15.16 | 0.340000000000002 |
33 | 15.41 | 15.57 | -0.159999999999998 |
34 | 15.42 | 15.48 | -0.0599999999999987 |
35 | 15.47 | 15.49 | -0.0199999999999978 |
36 | 15.23 | 15.54 | -0.309999999999999 |
37 | 15.59 | 15.3 | 0.290000000000001 |
38 | 15.22 | 15.66 | -0.439999999999998 |
39 | 15.45 | 15.29 | 0.16 |
40 | 15.02 | 15.52 | -0.499999999999998 |
41 | 15.5 | 15.09 | 0.410000000000002 |
42 | 15.59 | 15.57 | 0.0200000000000014 |
43 | 15.98 | 15.66 | 0.320000000000002 |
44 | 15.76 | 16.05 | -0.289999999999997 |
45 | 15.43 | 15.83 | -0.399999999999999 |
46 | 15.45 | 15.5 | -0.0499999999999989 |
47 | 15.32 | 15.52 | -0.199999999999998 |
48 | 15.4 | 15.39 | 0.0100000000000016 |
49 | 15.42 | 15.47 | -0.0499999999999989 |
50 | 15.54 | 15.49 | 0.0500000000000007 |
51 | 15.6 | 15.61 | -0.00999999999999801 |
52 | 15.67 | 15.67 | 1.77635683940025e-15 |
53 | 15.61 | 15.74 | -0.129999999999999 |
54 | 16.01 | 15.68 | 0.330000000000004 |
55 | 16.06 | 16.08 | -0.0199999999999996 |
56 | 16.15 | 16.13 | 0.0200000000000031 |
57 | 15.87 | 16.22 | -0.35 |
58 | 15.89 | 15.94 | -0.0499999999999972 |
59 | 15.73 | 15.96 | -0.229999999999999 |
60 | 15.78 | 15.8 | -0.0199999999999996 |
61 | 16.07 | 15.85 | 0.220000000000002 |
62 | 16.2 | 16.14 | 0.0599999999999987 |
63 | 16.42 | 16.27 | 0.150000000000006 |
64 | 16.61 | 16.49 | 0.119999999999997 |
65 | 16.89 | 16.68 | 0.210000000000001 |
66 | 17.62 | 16.96 | 0.66 |
67 | 17.83 | 17.69 | 0.140000000000001 |
68 | 17.94 | 17.9 | 0.0400000000000027 |
69 | 18.07 | 18.01 | 0.0600000000000023 |
70 | 17.85 | 18.14 | -0.289999999999999 |
71 | 17.86 | 17.92 | -0.0600000000000023 |
72 | 17.85 | 17.93 | -0.0799999999999983 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
73 | 17.92 | 17.4057797326465 | 18.4342202673535 |
74 | 17.99 | 17.2627827238615 | 18.7172172761385 |
75 | 18.06 | 17.169344370662 | 18.950655629338 |
76 | 18.13 | 17.1015594652929 | 19.1584405347071 |
77 | 18.2 | 17.0501685267894 | 19.3498314732106 |
78 | 18.27 | 17.0104227295863 | 19.5295772704137 |
79 | 18.34 | 16.9795010534734 | 19.7004989465266 |
80 | 18.41 | 16.955565447723 | 19.864434552277 |
81 | 18.48 | 16.9373391979394 | 20.0226608020606 |
82 | 18.55 | 16.9238927361421 | 20.1761072638579 |
83 | 18.62 | 16.9145243135921 | 20.3254756864079 |
84 | 18.69 | 16.908688741324 | 20.4713112586759 |