Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 6.61069613518961e-05 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 2.6 | 4.2 | -1.6 |
3 | 2 | 4.19989422886184 | -2.19989422886184 |
4 | 2.8 | 4.19974880053907 | -1.39974880053907 |
5 | 4.8 | 4.19965626739921 | 0.600343732600788 |
6 | 4.9 | 4.19969595429914 | 0.700304045700859 |
7 | 5.6 | 4.19974224927163 | 1.40025775072837 |
8 | 2.7 | 4.19983481605664 | -1.49983481605664 |
9 | 1.9 | 4.19973566653442 | -2.29973566653442 |
10 | 6.8 | 4.19958363799759 | 2.60041636200241 |
11 | 4.6 | 4.19975554362153 | 0.400244456378468 |
12 | 4 | 4.19978200256634 | -0.199782002566341 |
13 | 2.8 | 4.19976879558522 | -1.39976879558522 |
14 | 9 | 4.19967626112355 | 4.80032373887645 |
15 | 3.8 | 4.19999359593943 | -0.399993595939431 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
16 | 4.19996715357824 | 0.286989074759388 | 8.1129452323971 |
17 | 4.19996715357824 | 0.286989066209276 | 8.11294524094721 |
18 | 4.19996715357824 | 0.286989057659164 | 8.11294524949732 |
19 | 4.19996715357824 | 0.286989049109052 | 8.11294525804743 |
20 | 4.19996715357824 | 0.28698904055894 | 8.11294526659755 |
21 | 4.19996715357824 | 0.286989032008828 | 8.11294527514766 |
22 | 4.19996715357824 | 0.286989023458716 | 8.11294528369777 |
23 | 4.19996715357824 | 0.286989014908603 | 8.11294529224788 |
24 | 4.19996715357824 | 0.286989006358492 | 8.11294530079799 |
25 | 4.19996715357824 | 0.28698899780838 | 8.11294530934811 |
26 | 4.19996715357824 | 0.286988989258268 | 8.11294531789822 |
27 | 4.19996715357824 | 0.286988980708156 | 8.11294532644833 |