Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.999943005425893 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 62.15 | 62.11 | 0.0399999999999991 |
3 | 62.2 | 62.149997720217 | 0.0500022797829658 |
4 | 62.22 | 62.1999971501414 | 0.0200028498586349 |
5 | 62.02 | 62.2199988599461 | -0.199998859946085 |
6 | 62.02 | 62.0200113988498 | -1.1398849842692e-05 |
7 | 62.02 | 62.0200000006497 | -6.49670539587532e-10 |
8 | 62.07 | 62.02 | 0.0499999999999616 |
9 | 62.31 | 62.0699971502713 | 0.240002849728704 |
10 | 62.71 | 62.3099863211398 | 0.400013678860205 |
11 | 62.77 | 62.7099772013907 | 0.0600227986092676 |
12 | 62.82 | 62.7699965790262 | 0.0500034209738374 |
13 | 62.82 | 62.8199971500763 | 2.84992368193571e-06 |
14 | 62.82 | 62.8199999998376 | 1.62430069394759e-10 |
15 | 62.55 | 62.82 | -0.269999999999996 |
16 | 62.6 | 62.550015388535 | 0.0499846114649927 |
17 | 62.47 | 62.5999971511484 | -0.129997151148359 |
18 | 62.47 | 62.4700074091323 | -7.4091322659342e-06 |
19 | 62.47 | 62.4700000004223 | -4.22282653289585e-10 |
20 | 62.72 | 62.47 | 0.249999999999979 |
21 | 63.13 | 62.7199857513565 | 0.410014248643527 |
22 | 64.09 | 63.1299766314125 | 0.960023368587478 |
23 | 64.31 | 64.089945283877 | 0.22005471612303 |
24 | 64.29 | 64.3099874580752 | -0.019987458075164 |
25 | 64.29 | 64.2900011391767 | -1.13917666055841e-06 |
26 | 64.29 | 64.2900000000649 | -6.4929395193758e-11 |
27 | 64.35 | 64.29 | 0.0599999999999881 |
28 | 64.42 | 64.3499965803256 | 0.0700034196744497 |
29 | 64.24 | 64.4199960101849 | -0.179996010184922 |
30 | 64.23 | 64.2400102587959 | -0.0100102587959299 |
31 | 64.23 | 64.2300005705304 | -5.7053043178712e-07 |
32 | 64.2 | 64.2300000000325 | -0.0300000000325156 |
33 | 65.35 | 64.2000017098372 | 1.14999829016277 |
34 | 65.83 | 65.3499344563372 | 0.480065543662775 |
35 | 66.15 | 65.8299726388688 | 0.32002736113121 |
36 | 66.19 | 66.1499817601769 | 0.0400182398231408 |
37 | 66.19 | 66.1899977191775 | 2.28082252817785e-06 |
38 | 66.56 | 66.18999999987 | 0.370000000130005 |
39 | 66.59 | 66.5599789120076 | 0.0300210879924236 |
40 | 66.48 | 66.5899982889609 | -0.109998288960881 |
41 | 66.4 | 66.4800062693056 | -0.0800062693056276 |
42 | 66.4 | 66.4000045599232 | -4.5599232407767e-06 |
43 | 66.4 | 66.4000000002599 | -2.59888111031614e-10 |
44 | 66.49 | 66.4 | 0.089999999999975 |
45 | 66.65 | 66.4899948704883 | 0.160005129511674 |
46 | 67.69 | 66.6499908805758 | 1.0400091194242 |
47 | 67.91 | 67.6899407251232 | 0.220059274876832 |
48 | 68.14 | 67.9099874578153 | 0.230012542184653 |
49 | 68.14 | 68.1399868905331 | 1.31094668773812e-05 |
50 | 68.16 | 68.1399999992528 | 0.0200000007471601 |
51 | 67.94 | 68.1599988601085 | -0.219998860108475 |
52 | 68 | 67.9400125387413 | 0.0599874612586717 |
53 | 68.1 | 67.9999965810402 | 0.100003418959801 |
54 | 68.12 | 68.0999943003477 | 0.0200056996522875 |
55 | 68.12 | 68.1199988597837 | 1.14021632668937e-06 |
56 | 68.24 | 68.119999999935 | 0.120000000064977 |
57 | 68.42 | 68.2399931606511 | 0.180006839348906 |
58 | 68.97 | 68.4199897405869 | 0.550010259413142 |
59 | 69.13 | 68.9699686523995 | 0.16003134760048 |
60 | 69.2 | 69.1299908790815 | 0.0700091209185132 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
61 | 69.19999600986 | 68.6709152083185 | 69.7290768114014 |
62 | 69.19999600986 | 68.4517840870426 | 69.9482079326774 |
63 | 69.19999600986 | 68.2836359996388 | 70.1163560200811 |
64 | 69.19999600986 | 68.1418796385572 | 70.2581123811627 |
65 | 69.19999600986 | 68.0169893141455 | 70.3830027055744 |
66 | 69.19999600986 | 67.9040795661833 | 70.4959124535366 |
67 | 69.19999600986 | 67.8002481697552 | 70.5997438499648 |
68 | 69.19999600986 | 67.7036041484933 | 70.6963878712266 |
69 | 69.19999600986 | 67.6128340176075 | 70.7871580021124 |
70 | 69.19999600986 | 67.5269814323571 | 70.8730105873628 |
71 | 69.19999600986 | 67.4453244270778 | 70.9546675926422 |
72 | 69.19999600986 | 67.3673021046183 | 71.0326899151016 |