| Goodness of Fit | |
| Correlation | 0.9165 |
| R-squared | 0.84 |
| RMSE | 7.1948 |
| Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
| # | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
| 1 | 119 | 120 | -1 |
| 2 | 143 | 140.5 | 2.5 |
| 3 | 141 | 140.5 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 137 | 129.653846153846 | 7.34615384615384 |
| 5 | 141 | 140.5 | 0.5 |
| 6 | 109 | 119.44 | -10.44 |
| 7 | 105 | 119.44 | -14.44 |
| 8 | 111 | 102.4 | 8.59999999999999 |
| 9 | 153 | 140.5 | 12.5 |
| 10 | 99 | 92.5625 | 6.4375 |
| 11 | 134 | 126.1 | 7.90000000000001 |
| 12 | 122 | 119.44 | 2.56 |
| 13 | 124 | 126.1 | -2.09999999999999 |
| 14 | 119 | 121.142857142857 | -2.14285714285714 |
| 15 | 91 | 92.8 | -1.8 |
| 16 | 122 | 126.1 | -4.09999999999999 |
| 17 | 136 | 129.653846153846 | 6.34615384615384 |
| 18 | 131 | 129.653846153846 | 1.34615384615384 |
| 19 | 129 | 129.653846153846 | -0.65384615384616 |
| 20 | 135 | 140.5 | -5.5 |
| 21 | 120 | 113.615384615385 | 6.38461538461539 |
| 22 | 119 | 126.1 | -7.09999999999999 |
| 23 | 119 | 119.44 | -0.439999999999998 |
| 24 | 125 | 129.653846153846 | -4.65384615384616 |
| 25 | 118 | 119.44 | -1.44 |
| 26 | 138 | 126.1 | 11.9 |
| 27 | 123 | 120 | 3 |
| 28 | 114 | 119.44 | -5.44 |
| 29 | 134 | 129.653846153846 | 4.34615384615384 |
| 30 | 97 | 92.5625 | 4.4375 |
| 31 | 130 | 126.1 | 3.90000000000001 |
| 32 | 112 | 111.730769230769 | 0.269230769230774 |
| 33 | 126 | 120 | 6 |
| 34 | 107 | 102.142857142857 | 4.85714285714286 |
| 35 | 106 | 111.730769230769 | -5.73076923076923 |
| 36 | 110 | 119.44 | -9.44 |
| 37 | 137 | 140.5 | -3.5 |
| 38 | 130 | 126.1 | 3.90000000000001 |
| 39 | 105 | 102.4 | 2.59999999999999 |
| 40 | 106 | 102.4 | 3.59999999999999 |
| 41 | 144 | 128.714285714286 | 15.2857142857143 |
| 42 | 129 | 129.653846153846 | -0.65384615384616 |
| 43 | 140 | 128.714285714286 | 11.2857142857143 |
| 44 | 112 | 111.730769230769 | 0.269230769230774 |
| 45 | 108 | 113.615384615385 | -5.61538461538461 |
| 46 | 113 | 116.4 | -3.40000000000001 |
| 47 | 116 | 121.142857142857 | -5.14285714285714 |
| 48 | 116 | 113.615384615385 | 2.38461538461539 |
| 49 | 135 | 129.653846153846 | 5.34615384615384 |
| 50 | 95 | 92.8 | 2.2 |
| 51 | 101 | 102.4 | -1.40000000000001 |
| 52 | 122 | 126.1 | -4.09999999999999 |
| 53 | 123 | 120 | 3 |
| 54 | 126 | 121.142857142857 | 4.85714285714286 |
| 55 | 121 | 121.142857142857 | -0.142857142857139 |
| 56 | 106 | 102.4 | 3.59999999999999 |
| 57 | 100 | 111.730769230769 | -11.7307692307692 |
| 58 | 126 | 129.653846153846 | -3.65384615384616 |
| 59 | 132 | 129.653846153846 | 2.34615384615384 |
| 60 | 87 | 78.375 | 8.625 |
| 61 | 117 | 120 | -3 |
| 62 | 100 | 92.5625 | 7.4375 |
| 63 | 128 | 129.653846153846 | -1.65384615384616 |
| 64 | 140 | 140.5 | -0.5 |
| 65 | 117 | 120 | -3 |
| 66 | 132 | 129.653846153846 | 2.34615384615384 |
| 67 | 107 | 113.615384615385 | -6.61538461538461 |
| 68 | 133 | 140.5 | -7.5 |
| 69 | 80 | 78.375 | 1.625 |
| 70 | 133 | 129.653846153846 | 3.34615384615384 |
| 71 | 119 | 119.44 | -0.439999999999998 |
| 72 | 132 | 129.653846153846 | 2.34615384615384 |
| 73 | 142 | 140.5 | 1.5 |
| 74 | 69 | 78.375 | -9.375 |
| 75 | 141 | 140.5 | 0.5 |
| 76 | 125 | 120 | 5 |
| 77 | 95 | 92.5625 | 2.4375 |
| 78 | 119 | 111.730769230769 | 7.26923076923077 |
| 79 | 136 | 140.5 | -4.5 |
| 80 | 108 | 113.615384615385 | -5.61538461538461 |
| 81 | 112 | 120 | -8 |
| 82 | 115 | 120 | -5 |
| 83 | 100 | 102.142857142857 | -2.14285714285714 |
| 84 | 82 | 78.375 | 3.625 |
| 85 | 122 | 121.142857142857 | 0.857142857142861 |
| 86 | 142 | 140.5 | 1.5 |
| 87 | 147 | 140.5 | 6.5 |
| 88 | 132 | 136.454545454545 | -4.45454545454547 |
| 89 | 98 | 102.4 | -4.40000000000001 |
| 90 | 67 | 92.5625 | -25.5625 |
| 91 | 130 | 119.44 | 10.56 |
| 92 | 91 | 92.5625 | -1.5625 |
| 93 | 124 | 116.4 | 7.59999999999999 |
| 94 | 122 | 126.1 | -4.09999999999999 |
| 95 | 96 | 111.730769230769 | -15.7307692307692 |
| 96 | 127 | 129.653846153846 | -2.65384615384616 |
| 97 | 124 | 129.653846153846 | -5.65384615384616 |
| 98 | 127 | 128.714285714286 | -1.71428571428572 |
| 99 | 144 | 136.454545454545 | 7.54545454545453 |
| 100 | 134 | 129.653846153846 | 4.34615384615384 |
| 101 | 108 | 113.615384615385 | -5.61538461538461 |
| 102 | 130 | 120 | 10 |
| 103 | 151 | 140.5 | 10.5 |
| 104 | 113 | 119.44 | -6.44 |
| 105 | 81 | 78.375 | 2.625 |
| 106 | 101 | 102.4 | -1.40000000000001 |
| 107 | 109 | 102.4 | 6.59999999999999 |
| 108 | 126 | 126.1 | -0.0999999999999943 |
| 109 | 134 | 140.5 | -6.5 |
| 110 | 128 | 129.653846153846 | -1.65384615384616 |
| 111 | 128 | 119.44 | 8.56 |
| 112 | 125 | 119.44 | 5.56 |
| 113 | 88 | 78.375 | 9.625 |
| 114 | 117 | 113.615384615385 | 3.38461538461539 |
| 115 | 112 | 113.615384615385 | -1.61538461538461 |
| 116 | 97 | 111.730769230769 | -14.7307692307692 |
| 117 | 99 | 113.615384615385 | -14.6153846153846 |
| 118 | 96 | 102.142857142857 | -6.14285714285714 |
| 119 | 105 | 102.4 | 2.59999999999999 |
| 120 | 121 | 120 | 1 |
| 121 | 95 | 128.714285714286 | -33.7142857142857 |
| 122 | 131 | 128.714285714286 | 2.28571428571428 |
| 123 | 122 | 126.1 | -4.09999999999999 |
| 124 | 97 | 102.142857142857 | -5.14285714285714 |
| 125 | 106 | 92.8 | 13.2 |
| 126 | 119 | 119.44 | -0.439999999999998 |
| 127 | 124 | 120 | 4 |
| 128 | 126 | 129.653846153846 | -3.65384615384616 |
| 129 | 99 | 92.5625 | 6.4375 |
| 130 | 126 | 116.4 | 9.59999999999999 |
| 131 | 151 | 140.5 | 10.5 |
| 132 | 118 | 119.44 | -1.44 |
| 133 | 95 | 92.8 | 2.2 |
| 134 | 138 | 140.5 | -2.5 |
| 135 | 101 | 102.142857142857 | -1.14285714285714 |
| 136 | 121 | 121.142857142857 | -0.142857142857139 |
| 137 | 134 | 129.653846153846 | 4.34615384615384 |
| 138 | 130 | 128.714285714286 | 1.28571428571428 |
| 139 | 121 | 119.44 | 1.56 |
| 140 | 130 | 111.730769230769 | 18.2692307692308 |
| 141 | 131 | 140.5 | -9.5 |
| 142 | 117 | 111.730769230769 | 5.26923076923077 |
| 143 | 86 | 92.5625 | -6.5625 |
| 144 | 126 | 126.1 | -0.0999999999999943 |
| 145 | 122 | 126.1 | -4.09999999999999 |
| 146 | 110 | 111.730769230769 | -1.73076923076923 |
| 147 | 129 | 129.653846153846 | -0.65384615384616 |
| 148 | 87 | 92.5625 | -5.5625 |
| 149 | 150 | 136.454545454545 | 13.5454545454545 |
| 150 | 109 | 111.730769230769 | -2.73076923076923 |
| 151 | 137 | 140.5 | -3.5 |
| 152 | 111 | 111.730769230769 | -0.730769230769226 |
| 153 | 138 | 136.454545454545 | 1.54545454545453 |
| 154 | 123 | 121.142857142857 | 1.85714285714286 |
| 155 | 82 | 92.8 | -10.8 |
| 156 | 120 | 119.44 | 0.560000000000002 |
| 157 | 118 | 119.44 | -1.44 |
| 158 | 99 | 92.5625 | 6.4375 |
| 159 | 69 | 78.375 | -9.375 |
| 160 | 126 | 119.44 | 6.56 |
| 161 | 119 | 126.1 | -7.09999999999999 |
| 162 | 116 | 116.4 | -0.400000000000006 |
| 163 | 101 | 111.730769230769 | -10.7307692307692 |
| 164 | 132 | 111.730769230769 | 20.2692307692308 |
| 165 | 85 | 92.5625 | -7.5625 |
| 166 | 128 | 126.1 | 1.90000000000001 |
| 167 | 82 | 78.375 | 3.625 |
| 168 | 128 | 111.730769230769 | 16.2692307692308 |
| 169 | 143 | 136.454545454545 | 6.54545454545453 |
| 170 | 125 | 126.1 | -1.09999999999999 |
| 171 | 147 | 136.454545454545 | 10.5454545454545 |
| 172 | 111 | 111.730769230769 | -0.730769230769226 |
| 173 | 108 | 113.615384615385 | -5.61538461538461 |
| 174 | 122 | 129.653846153846 | -7.65384615384616 |
| 175 | 84 | 92.5625 | -8.5625 |
| 176 | 117 | 119.44 | -2.44 |
| 177 | 120 | 116.4 | 3.59999999999999 |
| 178 | 77 | 78.375 | -1.375 |
| 179 | 100 | 102.4 | -2.40000000000001 |
| 180 | 134 | 128.714285714286 | 5.28571428571428 |
| 181 | 123 | 136.454545454545 | -13.4545454545455 |
| 182 | 123 | 111.730769230769 | 11.2692307692308 |
| 183 | 123 | 120 | 3 |
| 184 | 128 | 126.1 | 1.90000000000001 |
| 185 | 108 | 111.730769230769 | -3.73076923076923 |
| 186 | 118 | 120 | -2 |
| 187 | 107 | 111.730769230769 | -4.73076923076923 |
| 188 | 105 | 102.4 | 2.59999999999999 |
| 189 | 111 | 111.730769230769 | -0.730769230769226 |
| 190 | 112 | 102.142857142857 | 9.85714285714286 |
| 191 | 121 | 119.44 | 1.56 |
| 192 | 92 | 92.5625 | -0.5625 |
| 193 | 97 | 102.4 | -5.40000000000001 |
| 194 | 99 | 92.5625 | 6.4375 |
| 195 | 111 | 116.4 | -5.40000000000001 |
| 196 | 93 | 92.8 | 0.200000000000003 |
| 197 | 121 | 119.44 | 1.56 |
| 198 | 86 | 78.375 | 7.625 |
| 199 | 125 | 129.653846153846 | -4.65384615384616 |
| 200 | 96 | 92.5625 | 3.4375 |
| 201 | 126 | 113.615384615385 | 12.3846153846154 |
| 202 | 108 | 111.730769230769 | -3.73076923076923 |
| 203 | 99 | 92.8 | 6.2 |
| 204 | 137 | 140.5 | -3.5 |
| 205 | 105 | 92.5625 | 12.4375 |
| 206 | 69 | 78.375 | -9.375 |
| 207 | 82 | 78.375 | 3.625 |
| 208 | 115 | 116.4 | -1.40000000000001 |
| 209 | 96 | 102.4 | -6.40000000000001 |
| 210 | 91 | 78.375 | 12.625 |
| 211 | 128 | 126.1 | 1.90000000000001 |
| 212 | 91 | 92.8 | -1.8 |
| 213 | 92 | 111.730769230769 | -19.7307692307692 |
| 214 | 78 | 78.375 | -0.375 |
| 215 | 116 | 120 | -4 |
| 216 | 125 | 129.653846153846 | -4.65384615384616 |
| 217 | 113 | 111.730769230769 | 1.26923076923077 |
| 218 | 130 | 126.1 | 3.90000000000001 |
| 219 | 131 | 129.653846153846 | 1.34615384615384 |
| 220 | 111 | 116.4 | -5.40000000000001 |
| 221 | 126 | 119.44 | 6.56 |
| 222 | 122 | 120 | 2 |
| 223 | 130 | 136.454545454545 | -6.45454545454547 |
| 224 | 114 | 116.4 | -2.40000000000001 |
| 225 | 102 | 102.142857142857 | -0.142857142857139 |
| 226 | 121 | 119.44 | 1.56 |
| 227 | 122 | 119.44 | 2.56 |
| 228 | 81 | 78.375 | 2.625 |
| 229 | 129 | 136.454545454545 | -7.45454545454547 |
| 230 | 124 | 119.44 | 4.56 |
| 231 | 89 | 92.8 | -3.8 |
| 232 | 139 | 136.454545454545 | 2.54545454545453 |
| 233 | 99 | 102.4 | -3.40000000000001 |
| 234 | 127 | 129.653846153846 | -2.65384615384616 |
| 235 | 123 | 111.730769230769 | 11.2692307692308 |
| 236 | 87 | 92.8 | -5.8 |
| 237 | 129 | 113.615384615385 | 15.3846153846154 |
| 238 | 97 | 102.4 | -5.40000000000001 |
| 239 | 119 | 113.615384615385 | 5.38461538461539 |
| 240 | 126 | 136.454545454545 | -10.4545454545455 |
| 241 | 104 | 111.730769230769 | -7.73076923076923 |
| 242 | 109 | 120 | -11 |
| 243 | 127 | 126.1 | 0.900000000000006 |
| 244 | 52 | 78.375 | -26.375 |
| 245 | 125 | 111.730769230769 | 13.2692307692308 |
| 246 | 114 | 116.4 | -2.40000000000001 |
