| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0.135378673676589 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 1.07 | 1.09 | -0.02 |
| 4 | 1.06 | 1.08729242652647 | -0.0272924265264682 |
| 5 | 1.08 | 1.0735976140219 | 0.00640238597810083 |
| 6 | 1.11 | 1.09446436054398 | 0.01553563945602 |
| 7 | 1.09 | 1.12656755480825 | -0.0365675548082538 |
| 8 | 1.1 | 1.10161708773872 | -0.00161708773871649 |
| 9 | 1.11 | 1.11139816854543 | -0.00139816854543029 |
| 10 | 1.12 | 1.12120888634217 | -0.00120888634217353 |
| 11 | 1.13 | 1.13104522891254 | -0.00104522891254466 |
| 12 | 1.13 | 1.14090372720868 | -0.0109037272086756 |
| 13 | 1.13 | 1.13942759508103 | -0.00942759508103386 |
| 14 | 1.18 | 1.138151299763 | 0.0418487002369965 |
| 15 | 1.21 | 1.19381672129618 | 0.0161832787038227 |
| 16 | 1.22 | 1.22600759210284 | -0.0060075921028393 |
| 17 | 1.22 | 1.23519429225197 | -0.015194292251967 |
| 18 | 1.24 | 1.23313730911944 | 0.00686269088055869 |
| 19 | 1.24 | 1.2540663711087 | -0.0140663711087037 |
| 20 | 1.25 | 1.25216208444456 | -0.00216208444456467 |
| 21 | 1.25 | 1.26186938432008 | -0.0118693843200828 |
| 22 | 1.26 | 1.26026252281347 | -0.000262522813472277 |
| 23 | 1.26 | 1.27022698282317 | -0.0102269828231745 |
| 24 | 1.26 | 1.26884246745286 | -0.00884246745285999 |
| 25 | 1.26 | 1.26764538593706 | -0.00764538593706332 |
| 26 | 1.3 | 1.26661036372916 | 0.0333896362708419 |
| 27 | 1.32 | 1.31113060840205 | 0.00886939159795164 |
| 28 | 1.34 | 1.3323313348729 | 0.00766866512710274 |
| 29 | 1.35 | 1.35336950858667 | -0.00336950858667451 |
| 30 | 1.35 | 1.36291334898327 | -0.0129133489832685 |
| 31 | 1.34 | 1.36116515692519 | -0.0211651569251907 |
| 32 | 1.33 | 1.3482998460525 | -0.0182998460525015 |
| 33 | 1.32 | 1.33582243716543 | -0.0158224371654281 |
| 34 | 1.32 | 1.32368041660764 | -0.0036804166076414 |
| 35 | 1.33 | 1.32318216668872 | 0.0068178333112785 |
| 36 | 1.31 | 1.33410515591975 | -0.0241051559197505 |
| 37 | 1.33 | 1.31084183188257 | 0.0191581681174327 |
| 38 | 1.34 | 1.33343543927238 | 0.00656456072762146 |
| 39 | 1.34 | 1.34432414079695 | -0.0043241407969532 |
| 40 | 1.33 | 1.34373874435107 | -0.0137387443510708 |
| 41 | 1.3 | 1.33187881136284 | -0.0318788113628412 |
| 42 | 1.28 | 1.29756310016215 | -0.0175631001621537 |
| 43 | 1.27 | 1.27518543095655 | -0.00518543095655222 |
| 44 | 1.28 | 1.26448343419121 | 0.0155165658087875 |
| 45 | 1.27 | 1.27658404629042 | -0.00658404629042164 |
| 46 | 1.29 | 1.2656927068362 | 0.0243072931638009 |
| 47 | 1.28 | 1.28898339594538 | -0.00898339594538267 |
| 48 | 1.29 | 1.27776723571718 | 0.0122327642828151 |
| 49 | 1.28 | 1.28942329112119 | -0.00942329112119089 |
| 50 | 1.28 | 1.27814757846754 | 0.00185242153246423 |
| 51 | 1.28 | 1.27839835683769 | 0.00160164316230937 |
| 52 | 1.25 | 1.27861518516471 | -0.0286151851647072 |
| 53 | 1.24 | 1.2447412993501 | -0.00474129935009926 |
| 54 | 1.24 | 1.23409942853258 | 0.00590057146742096 |
| 55 | 1.25 | 1.23489824007177 | 0.0151017599282275 |
| 56 | 1.25 | 1.24694269630104 | 0.00305730369896184 |
| 57 | 1.26 | 1.24735659002083 | 0.0126434099791699 |
| 58 | 1.26 | 1.25906823809456 | 0.000931761905440531 |
| 59 | 1.26 | 1.2591943787855 | 0.000805621214499563 |
| 60 | 1.28 | 1.25930344271701 | 0.0206965572829949 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 1.28210531519165 | 1.25186698945347 | 1.31234364092983 |
| 62 | 1.2842106303833 | 1.2384608856192 | 1.32996037514739 |
| 63 | 1.28631594557495 | 1.22657011785798 | 1.34606177329192 |
| 64 | 1.28842126076659 | 1.21509018811484 | 1.36175233341835 |
| 65 | 1.29052657595824 | 1.20363468031784 | 1.37741847159865 |
| 66 | 1.29263189114989 | 1.19202699372061 | 1.39323678857918 |
| 67 | 1.29473720634154 | 1.18017546179054 | 1.40929895089254 |
| 68 | 1.29684252153319 | 1.1680292425849 | 1.42565580048147 |
| 69 | 1.29894783672484 | 1.15555933137915 | 1.44233634207052 |
| 70 | 1.30105315191648 | 1.14274927725721 | 1.45935702657576 |
| 71 | 1.30315846710813 | 1.12959022071493 | 1.47672671350134 |
| 72 | 1.30526378229978 | 1.11607806069565 | 1.49444950390392 |
