| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 115.43 | NA | NA | 1.00015303552513 | NA |
| 2 | 115.55 | NA | NA | 1.00757339872484 | NA |
| 3 | 117.14 | NA | NA | 1.00530865578045 | NA |
| 4 | 119.09 | NA | NA | 1.00816801399895 | NA |
| 5 | 119.55 | NA | NA | 1.00663331242086 | NA |
| 6 | 119.8 | NA | NA | 1.001783088595 | NA |
| 7 | 121.32 | 118.672468665004 | 118.99875 | 0.997258111240696 | 1.0223095665303 |
| 8 | 121.48 | 119.023074289024 | 119.32 | 0.997511517675361 | 1.02064243194567 |
| 9 | 119.63 | 118.900460302236 | 119.485416666667 | 0.995104370217312 | 1.00613571802758 |
| 10 | 118.61 | 118.142061443786 | 119.372083333333 | 0.989695899952485 | 1.00396081252092 |
| 11 | 118.82 | 118.417713777583 | 119.095833333333 | 0.994306101760485 | 1.00339717943865 |
| 12 | 119.93 | 118.265568570995 | 118.680416666667 | 0.996504494108435 | 1.01407367714134 |
| 13 | 118.7 | 118.19266824275 | 118.174583333333 | 1.00015303552513 | 1.00429241309797 |
| 14 | 119.99 | 118.54730769372 | 117.65625 | 1.00757339872484 | 1.01216976019403 |
| 15 | 116.67 | 117.908882329029 | 117.28625 | 1.00530865578045 | 0.989492883788244 |
| 16 | 116.84 | 118.126206060246 | 117.169166666667 | 1.00816801399895 | 0.98911159425886 |
| 17 | 115.17 | 118.239568307501 | 117.460416666667 | 1.00663331242086 | 0.974039415472846 |
| 18 | 114.21 | 118.266754752943 | 118.05625 | 1.001783088595 | 0.96569826608147 |
| 19 | 114.77 | 118.561939224341 | 118.887916666667 | 0.997258111240696 | 0.968017230072746 |
| 20 | 115.59 | 119.845605661307 | 120.144583333333 | 0.997511517675361 | 0.964490932831248 |
| 21 | 116.64 | 121.440049580395 | 122.0375 | 0.995104370217312 | 0.960473916167026 |
| 22 | 118.79 | 123.130128779547 | 124.412083333333 | 0.989695899952485 | 0.964751691380771 |
| 23 | 125.63 | 126.41069195311 | 127.134583333333 | 0.994306101760485 | 0.993824162014715 |
| 24 | 127.42 | 129.947092503181 | 130.402916666667 | 0.996504494108435 | 0.980552912308375 |
| 25 | 131.17 | 134.005087734403 | 133.984583333333 | 1.00015303552513 | 0.978843432123848 |
| 26 | 137.68 | 138.451500363279 | 137.410833333333 | 1.00757339872484 | 0.99442764895104 |
| 27 | 144.41 | 141.493004515032 | 140.745833333333 | 1.00530865578045 | 1.02061582828752 |
| 28 | 146.09 | 145.149309535476 | 143.973333333333 | 1.00816801399895 | 1.00648084698119 |
| 29 | 151.26 | 147.499462685748 | 146.5275 | 1.00663331242086 | 1.02549526110657 |
| 30 | 156.56 | 148.753101186991 | 148.488333333333 | 1.001783088595 | 1.05248225919805 |
| 31 | 158.38 | 149.700492699406 | 150.112083333333 | 0.997258111240696 | 1.05797914986173 |
| 32 | 154.21 | 150.70985890758 | 151.085833333333 | 0.997511517675361 | 1.02322436712363 |
| 33 | 158.06 | 150.19151722372 | 150.930416666667 | 0.995104370217312 | 1.05238966169148 |
| 34 | 154.83 | 148.456034486039 | 150.001666666667 | 0.989695899952485 | 1.04293503821537 |
| 35 | 150.89 | 147.758029663699 | 148.604166666667 | 0.994306101760485 | 1.02119661681622 |
| 36 | 149.22 | 145.816426571858 | 146.327916666667 | 0.996504494108435 | 1.02334149524961 |
| 37 | 148.34 | 143.44361527674 | 143.421666666667 | 1.00015303552513 | 1.03413456021597 |
| 38 | 143.88 | 141.834428049498 | 140.768333333333 | 1.00757339872484 | 1.01442225261266 |
| 39 | 134.48 | 138.907266876644 | 138.17375 | 1.00530865578045 | 0.968127895853172 |
| 40 | 133.73 | 136.534093785849 | 135.427916666667 | 1.00816801399895 | 0.979462318106077 |
| 41 | 130.08 | 133.964858369702 | 133.082083333333 | 1.00663331242086 | 0.971000914590741 |
| 42 | 123.11 | 131.307883518349 | 131.074166666667 | 1.001783088595 | 0.937567468923497 |
| 43 | 122.08 | 128.96583446986 | 129.320416666667 | 0.997258111240696 | 0.946607297210417 |
| 44 | 126.83 | 127.627858018371 | 127.94625 | 0.997511517675361 | 0.99374855904691 |
| 45 | 123.17 | 126.720322144861 | 127.34375 | 0.995104370217312 | 0.971983008843662 |
| 46 | 123.82 | 126.131793969444 | 127.445 | 0.989695899952485 | 0.981671600024935 |
| 47 | 125.6 | 127.189979360365 | 127.918333333333 | 0.994306101760485 | 0.987499177463815 |
| 48 | 126.32 | 128.46022475593 | 128.910833333333 | 0.996504494108435 | 0.983339397389375 |
| 49 | 129.15 | 130.23659444263 | 130.216666666667 | 1.00015303552513 | 0.991656765540588 |
| 50 | 130.09 | 132.357780412241 | 131.362916666667 | 1.00757339872484 | 0.982866285569475 |
| 51 | 133.81 | 133.325709444029 | 132.621666666667 | 1.00530865578045 | 1.00363238686665 |
| 52 | 136.83 | 135.262541878193 | 134.166666666667 | 1.00816801399895 | 1.01158826457083 |
| 53 | 138.34 | 136.571619218325 | 135.671666666667 | 1.00663331242086 | 1.01294837676961 |
| 54 | 138.67 | 137.473441019031 | 137.22875 | 1.001783088595 | 1.00870392835226 |
| 55 | 137.86 | 138.452252253037 | 138.832916666667 | 0.997258111240696 | 0.995722335726583 |
| 56 | 138.56 | 140.167824684948 | 140.5175 | 0.997511517675361 | 0.988529288454313 |
| 57 | 141.65 | 141.699130677557 | 142.39625 | 0.995104370217312 | 0.999653274672033 |
| 58 | 142.42 | 142.803221404144 | 144.29 | 0.989695899952485 | 0.997316437259777 |
| 59 | 143.12 | 145.341037248003 | 146.173333333333 | 0.994306101760485 | 0.984718443668372 |
| 60 | 146.17 | 147.746738818987 | 148.265 | 0.996504494108435 | 0.989328097313073 |
| 61 | 147.8 | 150.55386989846 | 150.530833333333 | 1.00015303552513 | 0.981708408423393 |
| 62 | 151.87 | 153.909355588716 | 152.7525 | 1.00757339872484 | 0.98674963207457 |
| 63 | 157.12 | 155.754564433098 | 154.932083333333 | 1.00530865578045 | 1.00876658460619 |
| 64 | 158.97 | 158.337827438605 | 157.055 | 1.00816801399895 | 1.00399255548482 |
| 65 | 161.4 | 160.253926184667 | 159.197916666667 | 1.00663331242086 | 1.007151611462 |
| 66 | 165.81 | 161.579263997969 | 161.291666666667 | 1.001783088595 | 1.02618365684649 |
| 67 | 165.1 | NA | NA | 0.997258111240696 | NA |
| 68 | 164.64 | NA | NA | 0.997511517675361 | NA |
| 69 | 167.88 | NA | NA | 0.995104370217312 | NA |
| 70 | 167.14 | NA | NA | 0.989695899952485 | NA |
| 71 | 169.83 | NA | NA | 0.994306101760485 | NA |
| 72 | 169.71 | NA | NA | 0.996504494108435 | NA |
