Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Totale_werkloosheid[t] = + 1.0631373518042 + 0.00873358040788804S_t[t] + 0.559429956874879s[t] -9.26671245417641e-05t + 0.991591664899729Jonger_dan_25[t] + 0.00772196663939016Jonger_dan_25_s[t] + 1.00287188593283Vanaf_25[t] -0.00338824381708286Vanaf_25_s[t] -0.0936569913157868Belgie[t] -0.0172056942539791Belgie_s[t] -0.169613905663898Euroraad[t] -0.651252503842849Euroraad_s[t] + 0.121091973648387`EU-27`[t] + 0.587652217252215`EU-27_s`[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 1.0631373518042 | 1.05511 | 1.0076 | 0.3155 | 0.15775 |
S_t | 0.00873358040788804 | 0.007867 | 1.1101 | 0.26898 | 0.13449 |
s | 0.559429956874879 | 1.362208 | 0.4107 | 0.681979 | 0.34099 |
t | -9.26671245417641e-05 | 0.005869 | -0.0158 | 0.987426 | 0.493713 |
Jonger_dan_25 | 0.991591664899729 | 0.004367 | 227.0451 | 0 | 0 |
Jonger_dan_25_s | 0.00772196663939016 | 0.008536 | 0.9046 | 0.367341 | 0.18367 |
Vanaf_25 | 1.00287188593283 | 0.004621 | 217.0392 | 0 | 0 |
Vanaf_25_s | -0.00338824381708286 | 0.006093 | -0.5561 | 0.579086 | 0.289543 |
Belgie | -0.0936569913157868 | 0.169963 | -0.551 | 0.582541 | 0.291271 |
Belgie_s | -0.0172056942539791 | 0.24038 | -0.0716 | 0.943048 | 0.471524 |
Euroraad | -0.169613905663898 | 0.546775 | -0.3102 | 0.756896 | 0.378448 |
Euroraad_s | -0.651252503842849 | 0.767361 | -0.8487 | 0.397601 | 0.198801 |
`EU-27` | 0.121091973648387 | 0.520992 | 0.2324 | 0.81657 | 0.408285 |
`EU-27_s` | 0.587652217252215 | 0.720163 | 0.816 | 0.415982 | 0.207991 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.999943132217885 |
R-squared | 0.999886267669715 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.99987498125526 |
F-TEST (value) | 88592.0211056611 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 13 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 131 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 0.506631776838051 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 33.6245242065726 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 501 | 501.977461935308 | -0.977461935308176 |
2 | 485 | 484.814390189897 | 0.185609810103049 |
3 | 464 | 463.846831003649 | 0.153168996350524 |
4 | 460 | 459.880515881194 | 0.119484118806095 |
5 | 467 | 466.989801467352 | 0.010198532647855 |
6 | 460 | 460.013653186112 | -0.0136531861121218 |
7 | 448 | 448.11142708784 | -0.1114270878403 |
8 | 443 | 443.100987285161 | -0.100987285160818 |
9 | 436 | 436.312023754901 | -0.312023754901457 |
10 | 431 | 431.329497799311 | -0.329497799310527 |
11 | 484 | 484.150659632863 | -0.1506596328631 |
12 | 510 | 509.042709553861 | 0.957290446138538 |
13 | 513 | 513.01472711204 | -0.0147271120404201 |
14 | 503 | 503.049427367555 | -0.0494273675549814 |
15 | 471 | 471.12584377376 | -0.125843773759875 |
16 | 471 | 471.041821809265 | -0.0418218092654609 |
17 | 476 | 476.119051316098 | -0.119051316097909 |
18 | 475 | 474.118022755019 | 0.881977244980972 |
19 | 470 | 470.129239131569 | -0.129239131569265 |
20 | 461 | 461.143081354814 | -0.143081354813747 |
21 | 455 | 455.205376411975 | -0.205376411974878 |
22 | 456 | 455.20528374485 | 0.794716255149667 |
23 | 517 | 516.919735793806 | 0.0802642061942993 |
24 | 525 | 525.821407668712 | -0.821407668712504 |
25 | 523 | 522.797652475125 | 0.202347524875408 |
26 | 519 | 518.939127118479 | 0.0608728815212293 |
27 | 509 | 508.861288796287 | 0.138711203713358 |
28 | 512 | 511.868720657071 | 0.131279342929486 |
29 | 519 | 518.840532316766 | 0.159467683233809 |
30 | 517 | 516.757713078617 | 0.242286921383079 |
31 | 510 | 509.770818549973 | 0.229181450026834 |
32 | 509 | 509.769053237006 | -0.769053237006072 |
33 | 501 | 500.094548611104 | 0.905451388896453 |
34 | 507 | 507.063757091843 | -0.0637570918431566 |
35 | 569 | 569.793384397163 | -0.793384397162957 |
36 | 580 | 579.748730211668 | 0.251269788331698 |
37 | 578 | 577.727846904013 | 0.272153095986776 |
38 | 565 | 565.786202315583 | -0.78620231558272 |
39 | 547 | 547.712664867041 | -0.712664867041217 |
40 | 555 | 554.777649436245 | 0.222350563755449 |
41 | 562 | 561.74946109594 | 0.250538904059776 |
42 | 561 | 560.759128398838 | 0.240871601162281 |
43 | 555 | 555.793713712693 | -0.793713712692692 |
44 | 544 | 543.783041639185 | 0.216958360815336 |
45 | 537 | 537.128932873421 | -0.128932873420526 |
46 | 543 | 543.087818290997 | -0.0878182909972307 |
47 | 594 | 593.779360831696 | 0.220639168303972 |
48 | 611 | 610.698471138737 | 0.301528861263011 |
49 | 613 | 612.715402464511 | 0.284597535488783 |
50 | 611 | 610.657842850182 | 0.342157149817799 |
51 | 594 | 593.617047849427 | 0.382952150572624 |
52 | 595 | 595.625336089249 | -0.625336089248751 |
53 | 591 | 590.719495485787 | 0.280504514212803 |
54 | 589 | 589.718076520128 | -0.718076520127709 |
55 | 584 | 583.719579365043 | 0.280420634957275 |
56 | 573 | 572.734750267936 | 0.26524973206402 |
57 | 567 | 567.158868796691 | -0.158868796691404 |
58 | 569 | 569.162605379531 | -0.162605379531005 |
59 | 621 | 620.884287927226 | 0.115712072774368 |
60 | 629 | 628.8217807725 | 0.178219227499522 |
61 | 628 | 627.818816219443 | 0.181183780556905 |
62 | 612 | 611.783781916573 | 0.216218083427389 |
63 | 595 | 595.742596511237 | -0.742596511237159 |
64 | 597 | 596.76278334138 | 0.237216658619962 |
65 | 593 | 592.77480571354 | 0.225194286459535 |
66 | 590 | 589.79654794349 | 0.203452056509584 |
67 | 580 | 579.822584720937 | 0.17741527906332 |
68 | 574 | 573.905834185649 | 0.0941658143508994 |
69 | 573 | 573.203272289672 | -0.203272289671478 |
70 | 573 | 573.215482992979 | -0.215482992978537 |
71 | 620 | 620.012985483103 | -0.012985483102544 |
72 | 626 | 625.98117420364 | 0.0188257963604697 |
73 | 620 | 619.979982635153 | 0.0200173648473557 |
74 | 588 | 586.988058881016 | 1.01194111898445 |
75 | 566 | 565.938539007121 | 0.0614609928789889 |
76 | 557 | 558.056885988883 | -1.05688598888303 |
77 | 561 | 561.004145620708 | -0.00414562070755639 |
78 | 549 | 549.031215113922 | -0.0312151139222915 |
79 | 532 | 532.060866396558 | -0.0608663965582643 |
80 | 526 | 526.073241442181 | -0.073241442180643 |
81 | 511 | 511.306559521443 | -0.306559521442632 |
82 | 499 | 499.329283963483 | -0.32928396348333 |
83 | 555 | 555.159061454834 | -0.159061454834414 |
84 | 565 | 564.13586583317 | 0.864134166830087 |
85 | 542 | 542.154490894055 | -0.154490894054761 |
86 | 527 | 527.091600227194 | -0.0916002271935157 |
87 | 510 | 510.181549692092 | -0.181549692092478 |
88 | 514 | 514.117420765325 | -0.117420765325399 |
89 | 517 | 517.135598873513 | -0.135598873512985 |
90 | 508 | 507.18346816692 | 0.816531833080087 |
91 | 493 | 493.211444422599 | -0.211444422599496 |
92 | 490 | 490.139887789738 | -0.139887789738179 |
93 | 469 | 469.380458029688 | -0.380458029687633 |
94 | 478 | 477.355281894593 | 0.644718105406683 |
95 | 528 | 529.158669487753 | -1.15866948775296 |
96 | 534 | 533.110725587894 | 0.889274412105801 |
97 | 518 | 518.113504492241 | -0.113504492241294 |
98 | 506 | 506.09143145909 | -0.0914314590901474 |
99 | 502 | 502.080393402496 | -0.0803934024957967 |
100 | 516 | 515.965867931018 | 0.0341320689824674 |
101 | 528 | 527.971951476374 | 0.0280485236260784 |
102 | 533 | 532.92220139754 | 0.07779860245977 |
103 | 536 | 535.813865894519 | 0.186134105481417 |
104 | 537 | 536.892908926281 | 0.107091073719262 |
105 | 524 | 523.183889392854 | 0.816110607145613 |
106 | 536 | 536.173901663756 | -0.173901663755984 |
107 | 587 | 586.963884008248 | 0.0361159917520472 |
108 | 597 | 595.924700486554 | 1.07529951344645 |
109 | 581 | 580.899237779301 | 0.100762220698857 |
110 | 564 | 564.826874068585 | -0.826874068584499 |
111 | 558 | 556.900454058935 | 1.09954594106529 |
112 | 575 | 574.806117589064 | 0.193882410935963 |
113 | 580 | 580.931236656108 | -0.931236656108059 |
114 | 575 | 574.93239947987 | 0.0676005201301813 |
115 | 563 | 563.947570382763 | -0.947570382763066 |
116 | 552 | 550.881857371051 | 1.11814262894924 |
117 | 537 | 537.114921821288 | -0.114921821287827 |
118 | 545 | 545.120095992761 | -0.120095992761304 |
119 | 601 | 600.97434844808 | 0.025651551919881 |
120 | 604 | 604.92742769762 | -0.927427697619857 |
121 | 586 | 586.918847445935 | -0.918847445935181 |
122 | 564 | 563.980337356848 | 0.019662643152099 |
123 | 549 | 548.020772618006 | 0.979227381993769 |
124 | 551 | 551.061633295038 | -0.0616332950376637 |
125 | 556 | 556.111993435855 | -0.111993435854683 |
126 | 548 | 548.229704432583 | -0.22970443258317 |
127 | 540 | 540.183368100714 | -0.183368100713952 |
128 | 531 | 531.186250008705 | -0.186250008705085 |
129 | 521 | 520.313015088012 | 0.686984911988427 |
130 | 519 | 518.290217258455 | 0.709782741545032 |
131 | 572 | 572.105776651312 | -0.105776651311831 |
132 | 581 | 582.050589103082 | -1.05058910308234 |
133 | 563 | 563.024919073132 | -0.0249190731317081 |
134 | 548 | 548.077363216336 | -0.0773632163360862 |
135 | 539 | 539.080459192177 | -0.0804591921768508 |
136 | 541 | 541.017407038451 | -0.0174070384512693 |
137 | 562 | 561.003658519306 | 0.996341480694122 |
138 | 559 | 559.002289937074 | -0.00228993707374305 |
139 | 546 | 545.996365075895 | 0.00363492410548168 |
140 | 536 | 536.835073701984 | -0.835073701984302 |
141 | 528 | 527.130311610874 | 0.869688389126159 |
142 | 530 | 531.114293852213 | -1.11429385221287 |
143 | 582 | 581.96361497317 | 0.0363850268296009 |
144 | 599 | 598.898456611003 | 0.101543388996809 |
145 | 584 | 583.849604485353 | 0.150395514647158 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
17 | 3.51612460305068e-40 | 7.03224920610135e-40 | 1 |
18 | 0.0681280843981644 | 0.136256168796329 | 0.931871915601836 |
19 | 0.172509266232346 | 0.345018532464692 | 0.827490733767654 |
20 | 0.137908494391674 | 0.275816988783347 | 0.862091505608326 |
21 | 0.0772782967478564 | 0.154556593495713 | 0.922721703252144 |
22 | 0.203105232182982 | 0.406210464365963 | 0.796894767817018 |
23 | 0.133011423475729 | 0.266022846951458 | 0.866988576524271 |
24 | 0.107357404336585 | 0.21471480867317 | 0.892642595663415 |
25 | 0.290708596759379 | 0.581417193518759 | 0.709291403240621 |
26 | 0.218990626662657 | 0.437981253325314 | 0.781009373337343 |
27 | 0.15860380663255 | 0.317207613265101 | 0.84139619336745 |
28 | 0.112582872825987 | 0.225165745651973 | 0.887417127174013 |
29 | 0.083092834607879 | 0.166185669215758 | 0.916907165392121 |
30 | 0.0575336777131736 | 0.115067355426347 | 0.942466322286826 |
31 | 0.0395520022609024 | 0.0791040045218047 | 0.960447997739098 |
32 | 0.0929404606813747 | 0.185880921362749 | 0.907059539318625 |
33 | 0.0723314229232393 | 0.144662845846479 | 0.927668577076761 |
34 | 0.107667861603827 | 0.215335723207653 | 0.892332138396173 |
35 | 0.132551350525189 | 0.265102701050378 | 0.867448649474811 |
36 | 0.134510113548262 | 0.269020227096525 | 0.865489886451738 |
37 | 0.145729560778138 | 0.291459121556277 | 0.854270439221862 |
38 | 0.145483426553755 | 0.29096685310751 | 0.854516573446245 |
39 | 0.123555673338328 | 0.247111346676657 | 0.876444326661672 |
40 | 0.129056658563648 | 0.258113317127295 | 0.870943341436352 |
41 | 0.103714115067243 | 0.207428230134487 | 0.896285884932757 |
42 | 0.0819201288796639 | 0.163840257759328 | 0.918079871120336 |
43 | 0.113764527215152 | 0.227529054430304 | 0.886235472784848 |
44 | 0.140876078206227 | 0.281752156412454 | 0.859123921793773 |
45 | 0.238907811710027 | 0.477815623420053 | 0.761092188289973 |
46 | 0.209460560676883 | 0.418921121353766 | 0.790539439323117 |
47 | 0.170809322511374 | 0.341618645022748 | 0.829190677488626 |
48 | 0.135566104695524 | 0.271132209391048 | 0.864433895304476 |
49 | 0.106257533565114 | 0.212515067130227 | 0.893742466434886 |
50 | 0.120630556734583 | 0.241261113469166 | 0.879369443265417 |
51 | 0.121668236998904 | 0.243336473997808 | 0.878331763001096 |
52 | 0.126637214260907 | 0.253274428521814 | 0.873362785739093 |
53 | 0.113739484545095 | 0.227478969090189 | 0.886260515454905 |
54 | 0.127560175082864 | 0.255120350165729 | 0.872439824917136 |
55 | 0.121846356488687 | 0.243692712977374 | 0.878153643511313 |
56 | 0.111825542971216 | 0.223651085942433 | 0.888174457028784 |
57 | 0.123238147585678 | 0.246476295171356 | 0.876761852414322 |
58 | 0.113862529124023 | 0.227725058248046 | 0.886137470875977 |
59 | 0.0904481858634972 | 0.180896371726994 | 0.909551814136503 |
60 | 0.0704641596756533 | 0.140928319351307 | 0.929535840324347 |
61 | 0.0548381307417994 | 0.109676261483599 | 0.945161869258201 |
62 | 0.0470364813262818 | 0.0940729626525637 | 0.952963518673718 |
63 | 0.0547716192463724 | 0.109543238492745 | 0.945228380753628 |
64 | 0.0500453049143119 | 0.100090609828624 | 0.949954695085688 |
65 | 0.0392373188744006 | 0.0784746377488012 | 0.960762681125599 |
66 | 0.0294329593654231 | 0.0588659187308462 | 0.970567040634577 |
67 | 0.0217641953361102 | 0.0435283906722205 | 0.97823580466389 |
68 | 0.0160705199774897 | 0.0321410399549793 | 0.98392948002251 |
69 | 0.0127419759560358 | 0.0254839519120716 | 0.987258024043964 |
70 | 0.00975981393267807 | 0.0195196278653561 | 0.990240186067322 |
71 | 0.00684030691742691 | 0.0136806138348538 | 0.993159693082573 |
72 | 0.0048385633202404 | 0.00967712664048081 | 0.99516143667976 |
73 | 0.00345798946630585 | 0.0069159789326117 | 0.996542010533694 |
74 | 0.00806271934640939 | 0.0161254386928188 | 0.991937280653591 |
75 | 0.00693973854433733 | 0.0138794770886747 | 0.993060261455663 |
76 | 0.0215711343528112 | 0.0431422687056224 | 0.978428865647189 |
77 | 0.0157653401880855 | 0.031530680376171 | 0.984234659811914 |
78 | 0.01131273481704 | 0.0226254696340801 | 0.98868726518296 |
79 | 0.00795066632731535 | 0.0159013326546307 | 0.992049333672685 |
80 | 0.00550191776149783 | 0.0110038355229957 | 0.994498082238502 |
81 | 0.00397286948599864 | 0.00794573897199728 | 0.996027130514001 |
82 | 0.00357448992713454 | 0.00714897985426907 | 0.996425510072866 |
83 | 0.00283397652332854 | 0.00566795304665708 | 0.997166023476671 |
84 | 0.00386315118526074 | 0.00772630237052148 | 0.996136848814739 |
85 | 0.00355735399718782 | 0.00711470799437564 | 0.996442646002812 |
86 | 0.00250189641420044 | 0.00500379282840088 | 0.9974981035858 |
87 | 0.00169785909749658 | 0.00339571819499315 | 0.998302140902503 |
88 | 0.00112160382500993 | 0.00224320765001986 | 0.99887839617499 |
89 | 0.00072797474189271 | 0.00145594948378542 | 0.999272025258107 |
90 | 0.00187876641163609 | 0.00375753282327218 | 0.998121233588364 |
91 | 0.00124581736915486 | 0.00249163473830972 | 0.998754182630845 |
92 | 0.000792333840174976 | 0.00158466768034995 | 0.999207666159825 |
93 | 0.000921360300413247 | 0.00184272060082649 | 0.999078639699587 |
94 | 0.000813138898049672 | 0.00162627779609934 | 0.99918686110195 |
95 | 0.00717901703870407 | 0.0143580340774081 | 0.992820982961296 |
96 | 0.00982681323975537 | 0.0196536264795107 | 0.990173186760245 |
97 | 0.00771625189512262 | 0.0154325037902452 | 0.992283748104877 |
98 | 0.00535307271903433 | 0.0107061454380687 | 0.994646927280966 |
99 | 0.00383191098888445 | 0.0076638219777689 | 0.996168089011116 |
100 | 0.00258955271944885 | 0.00517910543889769 | 0.997410447280551 |
101 | 0.00171362286927081 | 0.00342724573854163 | 0.998286377130729 |
102 | 0.00111203334041281 | 0.00222406668082562 | 0.998887966659587 |
103 | 0.000707689666721142 | 0.00141537933344228 | 0.999292310333279 |
104 | 0.000426510617133181 | 0.000853021234266362 | 0.999573489382867 |
105 | 0.000268385086217348 | 0.000536770172434696 | 0.999731614913783 |
106 | 0.00072344204268249 | 0.00144688408536498 | 0.999276557957318 |
107 | 0.00105151247157384 | 0.00210302494314768 | 0.998948487528426 |
108 | 0.000988900750705305 | 0.00197780150141061 | 0.999011099249295 |
109 | 0.000734328910480583 | 0.00146865782096117 | 0.999265671089519 |
110 | 0.00295023325431571 | 0.00590046650863141 | 0.997049766745684 |
111 | 0.00650654983688398 | 0.013013099673768 | 0.993493450163116 |
112 | 0.00519311223141769 | 0.0103862244628354 | 0.994806887768582 |
113 | 0.00828842476230135 | 0.0165768495246027 | 0.991711575237699 |
114 | 0.00524621168034959 | 0.0104924233606992 | 0.99475378831965 |
115 | 0.0500633694967673 | 0.100126738993535 | 0.949936630503233 |
116 | 0.0683669775246403 | 0.136733955049281 | 0.93163302247536 |
117 | 0.0510401606677927 | 0.102080321335585 | 0.948959839332207 |
118 | 0.0444991496195543 | 0.0889982992391086 | 0.955500850380446 |
119 | 0.0784097372019072 | 0.156819474403814 | 0.921590262798093 |
120 | 0.0713981992070735 | 0.142796398414147 | 0.928601800792926 |
121 | 0.0571770931810877 | 0.114354186362175 | 0.942822906818912 |
122 | 0.105213273950736 | 0.210426547901471 | 0.894786726049264 |
123 | 0.115333275668044 | 0.230666551336088 | 0.884666724331956 |
124 | 0.0887367426083173 | 0.177473485216635 | 0.911263257391683 |
125 | 0.0588109918228659 | 0.117621983645732 | 0.941189008177134 |
126 | 0.0332033049581829 | 0.0664066099163657 | 0.966796695041817 |
127 | 0.0185189650601905 | 0.0370379301203809 | 0.98148103493981 |
128 | 0.0148506278914623 | 0.0297012557829247 | 0.985149372108538 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 29 | 0.258928571428571 | NOK |
5% type I error level | 51 | 0.455357142857143 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 57 | 0.508928571428571 | NOK |