Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1431 | 0 | 144 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 14 | 11.580508297768 | -0.727379219885117 | 17.1468709221171 | -2.41949170223199 |
2 | 14 | 14.4418245006432 | -1.62725205786349 | 15.1854275572203 | 0.441824500643179 |
3 | 15 | 18.2198097168096 | -1.44379390913309 | 13.2239841923235 | 3.21980971680957 |
4 | 13 | 14.6082814457897 | 0.119750196569831 | 11.2719683576405 | 1.60828144578966 |
5 | 8 | 6.49675361683452 | 0.183293860207987 | 9.31995252295749 | -1.50324638316548 |
6 | 7 | 6.5860274452595 | 0.0388836862925999 | 7.3750888684479 | -0.413972554740496 |
7 | 3 | -0.0747013013394202 | 0.644476087401124 | 5.4302252139383 | -3.07470130133942 |
8 | 3 | 2.27686300805167 | 0.24926406670111 | 3.47387292524722 | -0.723136991948331 |
9 | 4 | 5.46175807206555 | 1.0207212913783 | 1.51752063655615 | 1.46175807206555 |
10 | 4 | 7.92426057045505 | 0.176216368609357 | -0.100476939064411 | 3.92426057045505 |
11 | 0 | 1.22009380136525 | 0.498380713319718 | -1.71847451468497 | 1.22009380136525 |
12 | -4 | -6.50293426860364 | 0.867438365050751 | -2.36450409644711 | -2.50293426860364 |
13 | -14 | -24.2620871019056 | -0.727379219885117 | -3.01053367820924 | -10.2620871019056 |
14 | -18 | -31.1390803031023 | -1.62725205786349 | -3.23366763903418 | -13.1390803031023 |
15 | -8 | -11.0994044910078 | -1.44379390913309 | -3.45680159985913 | -3.09940449100778 |
16 | -1 | 1.28553887500351 | 0.119750196569831 | -3.40528907157335 | 2.28553887500351 |
17 | 1 | 5.17048268307958 | 0.183293860207987 | -3.35377654328757 | 4.17048268307958 |
18 | 2 | 6.88686135378643 | 0.0388836862925999 | -2.92574504007903 | 4.88686135378643 |
19 | 0 | 1.85323744946937 | 0.644476087401124 | -2.4977135368705 | 1.85323744946937 |
20 | 1 | 3.92604467748331 | 0.24926406670111 | -2.17530874418442 | 2.92604467748331 |
21 | 0 | 0.832182660120038 | 1.0207212913783 | -1.85290395149834 | 0.832182660120038 |
22 | -1 | 0.206176504770027 | 0.176216368609357 | -2.38239287337938 | 1.20617650477003 |
23 | -3 | -3.58649891805929 | 0.498380713319718 | -2.91188179526043 | -0.586498918059288 |
24 | -3 | -2.83554118875559 | 0.867438365050751 | -4.03189717629516 | 0.164458811244408 |
25 | -3 | -0.120708222784996 | -0.727379219885117 | -5.15191255732989 | 2.879291777215 |
26 | -4 | -0.133719330402188 | -1.62725205786349 | -6.23902861173432 | 3.86628066959781 |
27 | -8 | -7.23006142472816 | -1.44379390913309 | -7.32614466613875 | 0.769938575271843 |
28 | -9 | -9.91144556195618 | 0.119750196569831 | -8.20830463461365 | -0.91144556195618 |
29 | -13 | -17.0928292571194 | 0.183293860207987 | -9.09046460308855 | -4.09282925711943 |
30 | -18 | -26.3212965359365 | 0.0388836862925999 | -9.71758715035607 | -8.32129653593653 |
31 | -11 | -12.2997663897775 | 0.644476087401124 | -10.3447096976236 | -1.29976638977755 |
32 | -9 | -7.77751805754542 | 0.24926406670111 | -10.4717460091557 | 1.22248194245458 |
33 | -10 | -10.4219389706905 | 1.0207212913783 | -10.5987823206878 | -0.421938970690501 |
34 | -13 | -16.1462727073433 | 0.176216368609357 | -10.029943661266 | -3.14627270734332 |
35 | -11 | -13.0372757114754 | 0.498380713319718 | -9.46110500184427 | -2.03727571147545 |
36 | -5 | -2.27396478741939 | 0.867438365050751 | -8.59347357763136 | 2.72603521258061 |
37 | -15 | -21.5467786266964 | -0.727379219885117 | -7.72584215341846 | -6.54677862669642 |
38 | -6 | -3.39946947516328 | -1.62725205786349 | -6.97327846697323 | 2.60053052483672 |
39 | -6 | -4.3354913103389 | -1.44379390913309 | -6.220714780528 | 1.6645086896611 |
40 | -3 | -0.574749904073069 | 0.119750196569831 | -5.54500029249676 | 2.42525009592693 |
41 | -1 | 2.68599194425753 | 0.183293860207987 | -4.86928580446552 | 3.68599194425753 |
42 | -3 | -1.63984992755128 | 0.0388836862925999 | -4.39903375874132 | 1.36015007244872 |
43 | -4 | -4.71569437438401 | 0.644476087401124 | -3.92878171301712 | -0.715694374384007 |
44 | -6 | -8.43597776712446 | 0.24926406670111 | -3.81328629957665 | -2.43597776712446 |
45 | 0 | 2.67706959475788 | 1.0207212913783 | -3.69779088613618 | 2.67706959475788 |
46 | -4 | -4.37198566180732 | 0.176216368609357 | -3.80423070680204 | -0.371985661807318 |
47 | -2 | -0.587710185851824 | 0.498380713319718 | -3.91067052746789 | 1.41228981414818 |
48 | -2 | -0.825773413575057 | 0.867438365050751 | -4.04166495147569 | 1.17422658642494 |
49 | -6 | -7.09996140463139 | -0.727379219885117 | -4.17265937548349 | -1.09996140463139 |
50 | -7 | -7.8356629709464 | -1.62725205786349 | -4.53708497119011 | -0.8356629709464 |
51 | -6 | -5.65469552397018 | -1.44379390913309 | -4.90151056689672 | 0.345304476029816 |
52 | -6 | -6.56242537741558 | 0.119750196569831 | -5.55732481915425 | -0.562425377415578 |
53 | -3 | 0.0298452112037957 | 0.183293860207987 | -6.21313907141178 | 3.0298452112038 |
54 | -2 | 2.81341851266539 | 0.0388836862925999 | -6.85230219895799 | 4.81341851266539 |
55 | -5 | -3.15301076089693 | 0.644476087401124 | -7.49146532650419 | 1.84698923910307 |
56 | -11 | -14.4388430460009 | 0.24926406670111 | -7.81042102070022 | -3.43884304600089 |
57 | -11 | -14.8913445764821 | 1.0207212913783 | -8.12937671489624 | -3.89134457648206 |
58 | -11 | -14.0654446425001 | 0.176216368609357 | -8.11077172610928 | -3.06544464250008 |
59 | -10 | -12.4062139759974 | 0.498380713319718 | -8.09216673732232 | -2.4062139759974 |
60 | -14 | -21.027559623482 | 0.867438365050751 | -7.8398787415687 | -7.02755962348205 |
61 | -8 | -7.68503003429979 | -0.727379219885117 | -7.58759074581509 | 0.314969965700207 |
62 | -9 | -9.32436189245707 | -1.62725205786349 | -7.04838604967944 | -0.324361892457067 |
63 | -5 | -2.04702473732312 | -1.44379390913309 | -6.50918135354379 | 2.95297526267688 |
64 | -1 | 3.6687351959894 | 0.119750196569831 | -5.78848539255923 | 4.6687351959894 |
65 | -2 | 0.884495571366679 | 0.183293860207987 | -5.06778943157467 | 2.88449557136668 |
66 | -5 | -5.67419559836793 | 0.0388836862925999 | -4.36468808792467 | -0.674195598367934 |
67 | -4 | -4.98288934312646 | 0.644476087401124 | -3.66158674427467 | -0.982889343126458 |
68 | -6 | -9.02304029846244 | 0.24926406670111 | -3.22622376823867 | -3.02304029846244 |
69 | -2 | -2.22986049917563 | 1.0207212913783 | -2.79086079220267 | -0.229860499175626 |
70 | -2 | -1.63343112871783 | 0.176216368609357 | -2.54278523989153 | 0.366568871282173 |
71 | -2 | -2.20367102573933 | 0.498380713319718 | -2.29470968758038 | -0.203671025739334 |
72 | -2 | -2.91712734140434 | 0.867438365050751 | -1.95031102364641 | -0.91712734140434 |
73 | 2 | 6.33329157959755 | -0.727379219885117 | -1.60591235971244 | 4.33329157959755 |
74 | 1 | 4.84185486371438 | -1.62725205786349 | -1.21460280585089 | 3.84185486371438 |
75 | -8 | -13.7329128388776 | -1.44379390913309 | -0.823293251989341 | -5.73291283887757 |
76 | -1 | -1.4547528063052 | 0.119750196569831 | -0.664997390264634 | -0.454752806305197 |
77 | 1 | 2.32340766833194 | 0.183293860207987 | -0.506701528539928 | 1.32340766833194 |
78 | -1 | -1.45547646023153 | 0.0388836862925999 | -0.583407226061066 | -0.455476460231534 |
79 | 2 | 4.01563683618108 | 0.644476087401124 | -0.660112923582203 | 2.01563683618108 |
80 | 2 | 4.63753336652353 | 0.24926406670111 | -0.886797433224643 | 2.63753336652353 |
81 | 1 | 2.09276065148878 | 1.0207212913783 | -1.11348194286708 | 1.09276065148878 |
82 | -1 | -0.767997540139007 | 0.176216368609357 | -1.40821882847035 | 0.232002459860993 |
83 | -2 | -2.7954249992461 | 0.498380713319718 | -1.70295571407362 | -0.795424999246102 |
84 | -2 | -2.66889808864222 | 0.867438365050751 | -2.19854027640854 | -0.668898088642215 |
85 | -1 | 1.42150405862857 | -0.727379219885117 | -2.69412483874345 | 2.42150405862857 |
86 | -8 | -10.9419576021822 | -1.62725205786349 | -3.43079033995434 | -2.94195760218217 |
87 | -4 | -2.38875024970168 | -1.44379390913309 | -4.16745584116523 | 1.61124975029832 |
88 | -6 | -7.08226493524054 | 0.119750196569831 | -5.03748526132929 | -1.08226493524054 |
89 | -3 | -0.275779178714634 | 0.183293860207987 | -5.90751468149335 | 2.72422082128537 |
90 | -3 | 0.83378034618859 | 0.0388836862925999 | -6.87266403248119 | 3.83378034618859 |
91 | -7 | -6.8066627039321 | 0.644476087401124 | -7.83781338346903 | 0.193337296067903 |
92 | -9 | -9.1496680361812 | 0.24926406670111 | -9.09959603051991 | -0.1496680361812 |
93 | -11 | -12.6593426138075 | 1.0207212913783 | -10.3613786775708 | -1.6593426138075 |
94 | -13 | -14.2837490058539 | 0.176216368609357 | -11.8924673627555 | -1.28374900585388 |
95 | -11 | -9.07482466537956 | 0.498380713319718 | -13.4235560479402 | 1.92517533462044 |
96 | -9 | -3.95115153265147 | 0.867438365050751 | -14.9162868323993 | 5.04884846734853 |
97 | -17 | -16.8636031632565 | -0.727379219885117 | -16.4090176168584 | 0.136396836743515 |
98 | -22 | -24.9073180201857 | -1.62725205786349 | -17.4654299219508 | -2.90731802018569 |
99 | -25 | -30.0343638638237 | -1.44379390913309 | -18.5218422270432 | -5.03436386382367 |
100 | -20 | -21.1248787481076 | 0.119750196569831 | -18.9948714484622 | -1.12487874810765 |
101 | -24 | -28.7153931903268 | 0.183293860207987 | -19.4679006698811 | -4.71539319032685 |
102 | -24 | -28.7623459134168 | 0.0388836862925999 | -19.2765377728758 | -4.76234591341685 |
103 | -22 | -25.5593012115308 | 0.644476087401124 | -19.0851748758704 | -3.55930121153076 |
104 | -19 | -19.9431842511601 | 0.24926406670111 | -18.3060798155411 | -0.943184251160051 |
105 | -18 | -19.4937365361666 | 1.0207212913783 | -17.5269847552117 | -1.49373653616655 |
106 | -17 | -17.5568327818856 | 0.176216368609357 | -16.6193835867237 | -0.55683278188565 |
107 | -11 | -6.78659829508405 | 0.498380713319718 | -15.7117824182357 | 4.21340170491595 |
108 | -11 | -7.99387680085266 | 0.867438365050751 | -14.8735615641981 | 3.00612319914734 |
109 | -12 | -9.23728006995436 | -0.727379219885117 | -14.0353407101605 | 2.76271993004564 |
110 | -10 | -5.01121632306042 | -1.62725205786349 | -13.3615316190761 | 4.98878367693958 |
111 | -15 | -15.8684835628753 | -1.44379390913309 | -12.6877225279916 | -0.868483562875259 |
112 | -15 | -17.9962448060709 | 0.119750196569831 | -12.123505390499 | -2.99624480607088 |
113 | -15 | -18.6240056072017 | 0.183293860207987 | -11.5592882530063 | -3.62400560720173 |
114 | -13 | -15.1433500824135 | 0.0388836862925999 | -10.8955336038791 | -2.14335008241348 |
115 | -8 | -6.41269713264914 | 0.644476087401124 | -10.231778954752 | 1.58730286735086 |
116 | -13 | -16.9983298531086 | 0.24926406670111 | -9.25093421359248 | -3.99832985310863 |
117 | -9 | -10.7506318189453 | 1.0207212913783 | -8.27008947243298 | -1.75063181894532 |
118 | -7 | -7.06824969221188 | 0.176216368609357 | -7.10796667639748 | -0.0682496922118769 |
119 | -4 | -2.55253683295774 | 0.498380713319718 | -5.94584388036198 | 1.44746316704226 |
120 | -4 | -3.96547738773493 | 0.867438365050751 | -4.90196097731582 | 0.0345226122650661 |
121 | -2 | 0.585457294154769 | -0.727379219885117 | -3.85807807426965 | 2.58545729415477 |
122 | 0 | 4.75297399067648 | -1.62725205786349 | -3.12572193281299 | 4.75297399067648 |
123 | -2 | -0.162840299510574 | -1.44379390913309 | -2.39336579135633 | 1.83715970048943 |
124 | -3 | -3.89926834787595 | 0.119750196569831 | -2.22048184869388 | -0.899268347875946 |
125 | 1 | 3.86430404582345 | 0.183293860207987 | -2.04759790603144 | 2.86430404582345 |
126 | -2 | -1.55339450837727 | 0.0388836862925999 | -2.48548917791533 | 0.446605491622729 |
127 | -1 | 0.278904362398097 | 0.644476087401124 | -2.92338044979922 | 1.2789043623981 |
128 | 1 | 5.53539259761925 | 0.24926406670111 | -3.78465666432036 | 4.53539259761925 |
129 | -3 | -2.3747884125368 | 1.0207212913783 | -4.6459328788415 | 0.625211587463203 |
130 | -4 | -2.36030986457124 | 0.176216368609357 | -5.81590650403812 | 1.63969013542876 |
131 | -9 | -11.512500584085 | 0.498380713319718 | -6.98588012923473 | -2.51250058408499 |
132 | -9 | -10.6787015341465 | 0.867438365050751 | -8.18873683090424 | -1.67870153414651 |
133 | -7 | -3.88102724754113 | -0.727379219885117 | -9.39159353257375 | 3.11897275245887 |
134 | -14 | -16.2296520346493 | -1.62725205786349 | -10.1430959074872 | -2.22965203464928 |
135 | -12 | -11.6616078084662 | -1.44379390913309 | -10.8945982824007 | 0.338392191533805 |
136 | -16 | -20.6626937680472 | 0.119750196569831 | -11.4570564285227 | -4.66269376804718 |
137 | -20 | -28.1637792855634 | 0.183293860207987 | -12.0195145746446 | -8.16377928556338 |
138 | -12 | -11.4478195330118 | 0.0388836862925999 | -12.5910641532808 | 0.552180466988244 |
139 | -12 | -11.481862355484 | 0.644476087401124 | -13.1626137319171 | 0.51813764451596 |
140 | -10 | -6.58201336482096 | 0.24926406670111 | -13.6672507018801 | 3.41798663517904 |
141 | -10 | -6.84883361953509 | 1.0207212913783 | -14.1718876718432 | 3.15116638046491 |
142 | -13 | -11.5727317758217 | 0.176216368609357 | -14.6034845927877 | 1.42726822417835 |
143 | -16 | -17.4632991995875 | 0.498380713319718 | -15.0350815137322 | -1.46329919958752 |