Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1441 | 0 | 145 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 9700 | 9759.10776976414 | 192.711147898592 | 9448.18108233727 | 59.1077697641358 |
2 | 9081 | 9286.3252067937 | -583.194377423452 | 9458.86917062975 | 205.325206793705 |
3 | 9084 | 8690.87604496876 | 7.56669610902437 | 9469.55725892222 | -393.123955031244 |
4 | 9743 | 10046.6473730093 | -39.3856546063184 | 9478.73828159703 | 303.647373009288 |
5 | 8587 | 8076.6687027275 | -390.588006999342 | 9487.91930427184 | -510.331297272498 |
6 | 9731 | 9898.36527415856 | 69.3434102226846 | 9494.29131561876 | 167.365274158557 |
7 | 9563 | 9456.56166759092 | 168.775005443401 | 9500.66332696568 | -106.43833240908 |
8 | 9998 | 10297.1002758631 | 193.305285656683 | 9505.59443848022 | 299.1002758631 |
9 | 9437 | 9308.55524637657 | 54.9192036286751 | 9510.52554999475 | -128.444753623429 |
10 | 10038 | 10190.6000796097 | 374.080101501933 | 9511.31981888833 | 152.600079609741 |
11 | 9918 | 10392.9780028911 | -69.0920906730163 | 9512.1140877819 | 474.978002891121 |
12 | 9252 | 8994.63017944466 | 21.5591920324284 | 9487.81062852292 | -257.369820555343 |
13 | 9737 | 9817.78168283748 | 192.711147898592 | 9463.50716926393 | 80.7816828374762 |
14 | 9035 | 9235.14323610953 | -583.194377423452 | 9418.05114131392 | 200.14323610953 |
15 | 9133 | 8885.83819052707 | 7.56669610902437 | 9372.59511336391 | -247.161809472933 |
16 | 9487 | 9675.47353888442 | -39.3856546063184 | 9337.91211572189 | 188.473538884424 |
17 | 8700 | 8487.35888891946 | -390.588006999342 | 9303.22911807988 | -212.641111080538 |
18 | 9627 | 9896.20118278892 | 69.3434102226846 | 9288.4554069884 | 269.201182788918 |
19 | 8947 | 8451.54329865968 | 168.775005443401 | 9273.68169589692 | -495.456701340318 |
20 | 9283 | 9102.645818309 | 193.305285656683 | 9270.04889603432 | -180.354181691004 |
21 | 8829 | 8336.6647001996 | 54.9192036286751 | 9266.41609617172 | -492.335299800399 |
22 | 9947 | 10252.7982029521 | 374.080101501933 | 9267.12169554601 | 305.798202952057 |
23 | 9628 | 10057.2647957527 | -69.0920906730163 | 9267.82729492029 | 429.264795752722 |
24 | 9318 | 9343.0693895208 | 21.5591920324284 | 9271.37141844677 | 25.0693895208005 |
25 | 9605 | 9742.37331012816 | 192.711147898592 | 9274.91554197325 | 137.373310128158 |
26 | 8640 | 8585.52142256189 | -583.194377423452 | 9277.67295486157 | -54.4785774381144 |
27 | 9214 | 9140.00293614109 | 7.56669610902437 | 9280.43036774988 | -73.9970638589075 |
28 | 9567 | 9889.84182958246 | -39.3856546063184 | 9283.54382502386 | 322.841829582456 |
29 | 8547 | 8197.9307247015 | -390.588006999342 | 9286.65728229784 | -349.0692752985 |
30 | 9185 | 9007.04146011564 | 69.3434102226846 | 9293.61512966168 | -177.958539884365 |
31 | 9470 | 9470.65201753108 | 168.775005443401 | 9300.57297702552 | 0.652017531076126 |
32 | 9123 | 8735.47439540954 | 193.305285656683 | 9317.22031893378 | -387.525604590463 |
33 | 9278 | 9167.21313552929 | 54.9192036286751 | 9333.86766084204 | -110.786864470712 |
34 | 10170 | 10605.8171415133 | 374.080101501933 | 9360.10275698473 | 435.817141513338 |
35 | 9434 | 9550.7542375456 | -69.0920906730163 | 9386.33785312742 | 116.754237545596 |
36 | 9655 | 9880.28370834545 | 21.5591920324284 | 9408.15709962212 | 225.283708345452 |
37 | 9429 | 9235.31250598459 | 192.711147898592 | 9429.97634611682 | -193.687494015412 |
38 | 8739 | 8624.86974975971 | -583.194377423452 | 9436.32462766374 | -114.130250240289 |
39 | 9552 | 9653.76039468032 | 7.56669610902437 | 9442.67290921066 | 101.760394680316 |
40 | 9687 | 9954.51455178543 | -39.3856546063184 | 9458.87110282089 | 267.514551785425 |
41 | 9019 | 8953.51871056822 | -390.588006999342 | 9475.06929643113 | -65.4812894317838 |
42 | 9672 | 9769.34312763896 | 69.3434102226846 | 9505.31346213835 | 97.343127638962 |
43 | 9206 | 8707.66736671102 | 168.775005443401 | 9535.55762784558 | -498.332633288983 |
44 | 9069 | 8375.79509687774 | 193.305285656683 | 9568.89961746558 | -693.204903122263 |
45 | 9788 | 9918.83918928575 | 54.9192036286751 | 9602.24160708558 | 130.839189285745 |
46 | 10312 | 10618.5082304015 | 374.080101501933 | 9631.41166809657 | 306.508230401496 |
47 | 10105 | 10618.5103615655 | -69.0920906730163 | 9660.58172910756 | 513.510361565453 |
48 | 9863 | 10010.1260996788 | 21.5591920324284 | 9694.31470828875 | 147.126099678824 |
49 | 9656 | 9391.24116463147 | 192.711147898592 | 9728.04768746993 | -264.758835368526 |
50 | 9295 | 9425.3328981734 | -583.194377423452 | 9747.86147925005 | 130.332898173398 |
51 | 9946 | 10116.7580328608 | 7.56669610902437 | 9767.67527103017 | 170.758032860802 |
52 | 9701 | 9668.40313799656 | -39.3856546063184 | 9772.98251660976 | -32.5968620034437 |
53 | 9049 | 8710.29824480999 | -390.588006999342 | 9778.28976218935 | -338.701755190006 |
54 | 10190 | 10517.8289583074 | 69.3434102226846 | 9792.82763146993 | 327.828958307391 |
55 | 9706 | 9435.8594938061 | 168.775005443401 | 9807.3655007505 | -270.140506193904 |
56 | 9765 | 9510.17156382043 | 193.305285656683 | 9826.52315052289 | -254.82843617957 |
57 | 9893 | 9885.39999607605 | 54.9192036286751 | 9845.68080029527 | -7.60000392394613 |
58 | 9994 | 9753.22521903892 | 374.080101501933 | 9860.69467945915 | -240.774780961083 |
59 | 10433 | 11059.38353205 | -69.0920906730163 | 9875.70855862303 | 626.383532049989 |
60 | 10073 | 10231.4828339853 | 21.5591920324284 | 9892.95797398232 | 158.482833985256 |
61 | 10112 | 10121.0814627598 | 192.711147898592 | 9910.2073893416 | 9.08146275980471 |
62 | 9266 | 9187.67492431301 | -583.194377423452 | 9927.51945311044 | -78.3250756869875 |
63 | 9820 | 9687.6017870117 | 7.56669610902437 | 9944.83151687928 | -132.398212988301 |
64 | 10097 | 10267.6654305185 | -39.3856546063184 | 9965.7202240878 | 170.665430518518 |
65 | 9115 | 8633.97907570302 | -390.588006999342 | 9986.60893129632 | -481.020924296981 |
66 | 10411 | 10731.1635851664 | 69.3434102226846 | 10021.4930046109 | 320.163585166376 |
67 | 9678 | 9130.84791663104 | 168.775005443401 | 10056.3770779256 | -547.152083368959 |
68 | 10408 | 10535.0848373005 | 193.305285656683 | 10087.6098770428 | 127.084837300488 |
69 | 10153 | 10132.2381202112 | 54.9192036286751 | 10118.8426761601 | -20.7618797887735 |
70 | 10368 | 10235.4826546281 | 374.080101501933 | 10126.4372438699 | -132.517345371862 |
71 | 10581 | 11097.0602790933 | -69.0920906730163 | 10134.0318115798 | 516.060279093257 |
72 | 10597 | 11052.4843143483 | 21.5591920324284 | 10119.9564936193 | 455.484314348289 |
73 | 10680 | 11061.4076764426 | 192.711147898592 | 10105.8811756588 | 381.407676442601 |
74 | 9738 | 9998.66191100459 | -583.194377423452 | 10060.5324664189 | 260.661911004594 |
75 | 9556 | 9089.24954671207 | 7.56669610902437 | 10015.1837571789 | -466.750453287932 |
76 | 9563 | 9237.90458316323 | -39.3856546063184 | 9927.48107144309 | -325.095416836768 |
77 | 9998 | 10546.8096212921 | -390.588006999342 | 9839.77838570726 | 548.809621292077 |
78 | 9437 | 9066.95878503504 | 69.3434102226846 | 9737.69780474228 | -370.041214964962 |
79 | 10038 | 10271.6077707793 | 168.775005443401 | 9635.61722377729 | 233.607770779308 |
80 | 9918 | 10080.5784815535 | 193.305285656683 | 9562.11623278981 | 162.578481553503 |
81 | 9252 | 8960.46555456899 | 54.9192036286751 | 9488.61524180234 | -291.534445431014 |
82 | 9737 | 9659.22951464742 | 374.080101501933 | 9440.69038385065 | -77.7704853525847 |
83 | 9035 | 8746.32656477405 | -69.0920906730163 | 9392.76552589896 | -288.673435225946 |
84 | 9133 | 8886.15775956405 | 21.5591920324284 | 9358.28304840353 | -246.842240435953 |
85 | 9487 | 9457.48828119332 | 192.711147898592 | 9323.80057090809 | -29.5117188066797 |
86 | 8700 | 8670.06622837918 | -583.194377423452 | 9313.12814904427 | -29.9337716208174 |
87 | 9627 | 9943.97757671053 | 7.56669610902437 | 9302.45572718045 | 316.977576710526 |
88 | 8947 | 8635.05588571816 | -39.3856546063184 | 9298.32976888816 | -311.944114281843 |
89 | 9283 | 9662.38419640347 | -390.588006999342 | 9294.20381059587 | 379.384196403469 |
90 | 8829 | 8303.85841919971 | 69.3434102226846 | 9284.7981705776 | -525.141580800288 |
91 | 9947 | 10449.8324639973 | 168.775005443401 | 9275.39253055933 | 502.832463997263 |
92 | 9628 | 9798.59174509095 | 193.305285656683 | 9264.10296925237 | 170.591745090946 |
93 | 9318 | 9328.26738842592 | 54.9192036286751 | 9252.81340794541 | 10.2673884259166 |
94 | 9605 | 9583.94312584375 | 374.080101501933 | 9251.97677265432 | -21.0568741562547 |
95 | 8640 | 8097.95195330978 | -69.0920906730163 | 9251.14013736323 | -542.048046690215 |
96 | 9214 | 9143.75499399411 | 21.5591920324284 | 9262.68581397346 | -70.2450060058891 |
97 | 9567 | 9667.05736151772 | 192.711147898592 | 9274.23149058369 | 100.057361517716 |
98 | 8547 | 8385.11367882668 | -583.194377423452 | 9292.08069859677 | -161.886321173319 |
99 | 9185 | 9052.50339728113 | 7.56669610902437 | 9309.92990660985 | -132.496602718873 |
100 | 9470 | 9654.22091849402 | -39.3856546063184 | 9325.1647361123 | 184.220918494022 |
101 | 9123 | 9296.1884413846 | -390.588006999342 | 9340.39956561474 | 173.188441384598 |
102 | 9278 | 9132.8108137333 | 69.3434102226846 | 9353.84577604401 | -145.189186266698 |
103 | 10170 | 10803.9330080833 | 168.775005443401 | 9367.29198647328 | 633.933008083313 |
104 | 9434 | 9293.93480733838 | 193.305285656683 | 9380.75990700494 | -140.065192661625 |
105 | 9655 | 9860.85296883473 | 54.9192036286751 | 9394.2278275366 | 205.852968834726 |
106 | 9429 | 9081.26727534465 | 374.080101501933 | 9402.65262315342 | -347.732724655352 |
107 | 8739 | 8136.01467190278 | -69.0920906730163 | 9411.07741877024 | -602.98532809722 |
108 | 9552 | 9653.85313773573 | 21.5591920324284 | 9428.58767023185 | 101.853137735727 |
109 | 9687 | 9735.19093040795 | 192.711147898592 | 9446.09792169345 | 48.1909304079545 |
110 | 9019 | 9137.79912120017 | -583.194377423452 | 9483.39525622328 | 118.799121200167 |
111 | 9672 | 9815.74071313786 | 7.56669610902437 | 9520.69259075312 | 143.740713137859 |
112 | 9206 | 8893.12027689698 | -39.3856546063184 | 9558.26537770934 | -312.879723103022 |
113 | 9069 | 8932.74984233378 | -390.588006999342 | 9595.83816466557 | -136.250157666223 |
114 | 9788 | 9888.94190375915 | 69.3434102226846 | 9617.71468601816 | 100.941903759152 |
115 | 10312 | 10815.6337871858 | 168.775005443401 | 9639.59120737076 | 503.633787185834 |
116 | 10105 | 10358.7654871864 | 193.305285656683 | 9657.92922715688 | 253.765487186436 |
117 | 9863 | 9994.81354942833 | 54.9192036286751 | 9676.267246943 | 131.813549428329 |
118 | 9656 | 9236.05056084788 | 374.080101501933 | 9701.86933765019 | -419.949439152122 |
119 | 9295 | 8931.62066231564 | -69.0920906730163 | 9727.47142835738 | -363.379337684364 |
120 | 9946 | 10124.306073041 | 21.5591920324284 | 9746.13473492661 | 178.306073040958 |
121 | 9701 | 9444.49081060556 | 192.711147898592 | 9764.79804149585 | -256.509189394441 |
122 | 9049 | 8894.87711919402 | -583.194377423452 | 9786.31725822943 | -154.12288080598 |
123 | 10190 | 10564.596828928 | 7.56669610902437 | 9807.83647496302 | 374.596828927959 |
124 | 9706 | 9620.89872601718 | -39.3856546063184 | 9830.48692858914 | -85.1012739828184 |
125 | 9765 | 10067.4506247841 | -390.588006999342 | 9853.13738221526 | 302.450624784084 |
126 | 9893 | 9855.47407788326 | 69.3434102226846 | 9861.18251189406 | -37.5259221167416 |
127 | 9994 | 9949.99735298374 | 168.775005443401 | 9869.22764157286 | -44.0026470162575 |
128 | 10433 | 10800.9395462366 | 193.305285656683 | 9871.75516810676 | 367.939546236559 |
129 | 10073 | 10216.7981017307 | 54.9192036286751 | 9874.28269464066 | 143.798101730665 |
130 | 10112 | 9962.10644096257 | 374.080101501933 | 9887.8134575355 | -149.893559037433 |
131 | 9266 | 8699.74787024268 | -69.0920906730163 | 9901.34422043034 | -566.252129757324 |
132 | 9820 | 9690.53622665383 | 21.5591920324284 | 9927.90458131374 | -129.463773346166 |
133 | 10097 | 10046.8239099043 | 192.711147898592 | 9954.46494219714 | -50.1760900957288 |
134 | 9115 | 8817.69076495961 | -583.194377423452 | 9995.50361246384 | -297.309235040388 |
135 | 10411 | 10777.8910211604 | 7.56669610902437 | 10036.5422827305 | 366.891021160434 |
136 | 9678 | 9334.34522783329 | -39.3856546063184 | 10061.040426773 | -343.654772166707 |
137 | 10408 | 11121.0494361838 | -390.588006999342 | 10085.5385708155 | 713.049436183834 |
138 | 10153 | 10140.3502102652 | 69.3434102226846 | 10096.3063795121 | -12.6497897347672 |
139 | 10368 | 10460.1508063479 | 168.775005443401 | 10107.0741882087 | 92.1508063479414 |
140 | 10581 | 10852.7273240897 | 193.305285656683 | 10115.9673902536 | 271.727324089736 |
141 | 10597 | 11014.2202040728 | 54.9192036286751 | 10124.8605922985 | 417.220204072819 |
142 | 10680 | 10856.2487931944 | 374.080101501933 | 10129.6711053037 | 176.24879319436 |
143 | 9738 | 9410.61047236411 | -69.0920906730163 | 10134.4816183089 | -327.389527635889 |
144 | 9556 | 8956.78391823918 | 21.5591920324284 | 10133.6568897284 | -599.216081760816 |