Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
werkloosheid[t] = + 325.715341598458 + 1.70352742826429chemie[t] + 0.808573772076509vm[t] -0.839705808073971textiel[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 325.715341598458 | 50.877069 | 6.402 | 0 | 0 |
chemie | 1.70352742826429 | 0.451435 | 3.7736 | 0.000254 | 0.000127 |
vm | 0.808573772076509 | 0.336969 | 2.3995 | 0.017994 | 0.008997 |
textiel | -0.839705808073971 | 0.266925 | -3.1458 | 0.0021 | 0.00105 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.530732354037242 |
R-squared | 0.281676831621912 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.263258288842987 |
F-TEST (value) | 15.2931116757081 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 3 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 117 |
p-value | 1.8510441179842e-08 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 40.4265283305566 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 191213.590564772 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 467 | 492.142798941124 | -25.1427989411238 |
2 | 460 | 486.667388524839 | -26.6673885248385 |
3 | 448 | 497.109077329599 | -49.1090773295995 |
4 | 443 | 493.235380418981 | -50.2353804189809 |
5 | 436 | 498.275590432984 | -62.2755904329844 |
6 | 431 | 497.85705257943 | -66.8570525794301 |
7 | 484 | 492.108079086668 | -8.10807908666787 |
8 | 510 | 518.077264707842 | -8.07726470784169 |
9 | 513 | 480.081525449041 | 32.9184745509586 |
10 | 503 | 491.00414878272 | 11.9958512172804 |
11 | 471 | 490.337337000288 | -19.3373370002884 |
12 | 471 | 499.039755894592 | -28.0397558945916 |
13 | 476 | 508.869693610765 | -32.8696936107649 |
14 | 475 | 504.332431348538 | -29.3324313485385 |
15 | 470 | 520.853759552579 | -50.8537595525794 |
16 | 461 | 523.548269123897 | -62.548269123897 |
17 | 455 | 526.450761297842 | -71.4507612978419 |
18 | 456 | 516.742671629606 | -60.7426716296062 |
19 | 517 | 531.259097626723 | -14.2590976267233 |
20 | 525 | 531.471029312759 | -6.47102931275859 |
21 | 523 | 504.421806124184 | 18.5781938758164 |
22 | 519 | 514.662890439003 | 4.33710956099647 |
23 | 509 | 501.126124974858 | 7.87387502514229 |
24 | 512 | 523.542850132786 | -11.5428501327857 |
25 | 519 | 527.807001778172 | -8.80700177817202 |
26 | 517 | 516.789191017108 | 0.210808982892334 |
27 | 510 | 538.1189369106 | -28.1189369106002 |
28 | 509 | 529.37311120854 | -20.3731112085399 |
29 | 501 | 521.321367188082 | -20.3213671880825 |
30 | 507 | 530.091759409213 | -23.0917594092133 |
31 | 569 | 537.071972277509 | 31.9280277224907 |
32 | 580 | 544.381055177114 | 35.6189448228864 |
33 | 578 | 532.897819700176 | 45.1021802998237 |
34 | 565 | 538.839697436017 | 26.1603025639832 |
35 | 547 | 527.849062169963 | 19.150937830037 |
36 | 555 | 557.609193519558 | -2.60919351955837 |
37 | 562 | 524.541539356425 | 37.458460643575 |
38 | 561 | 530.113452250579 | 30.8865477494208 |
39 | 555 | 548.730497633461 | 6.26950236653891 |
40 | 544 | 535.023871640754 | 8.9761283592458 |
41 | 537 | 534.442261851135 | 2.55773814886483 |
42 | 543 | 546.854605345315 | -3.85460534531507 |
43 | 594 | 557.63001746158 | 36.3699825384198 |
44 | 611 | 562.198025339239 | 48.8019746607613 |
45 | 613 | 570.050423091428 | 42.9495769085722 |
46 | 611 | 545.047110786254 | 65.9528892137456 |
47 | 594 | 547.553556876324 | 46.4464431236764 |
48 | 595 | 574.837151871474 | 20.1628481285264 |
49 | 591 | 543.986229739559 | 47.0137702604406 |
50 | 589 | 519.567545399588 | 69.4324546004121 |
51 | 584 | 542.572941603946 | 41.4270583960538 |
52 | 573 | 534.553686801136 | 38.4463131988643 |
53 | 567 | 542.735796674309 | 24.2642033256906 |
54 | 569 | 562.984452254891 | 6.0155477451092 |
55 | 621 | 543.835520145692 | 77.1644798543077 |
56 | 629 | 563.019541862072 | 65.9804581379282 |
57 | 628 | 536.164965894934 | 91.8350341050656 |
58 | 612 | 540.218833082142 | 71.7811669178581 |
59 | 595 | 543.58313731403 | 51.4168626859699 |
60 | 597 | 552.230050611062 | 44.7699493889378 |
61 | 593 | 550.072146788837 | 42.9278532111634 |
62 | 590 | 536.354639127318 | 53.6453608726815 |
63 | 580 | 555.072234001257 | 24.9277659987426 |
64 | 574 | 537.429382443057 | 36.5706175569435 |
65 | 573 | 550.703881383822 | 22.2961186161778 |
66 | 573 | 534.813716477839 | 38.186283522161 |
67 | 620 | 541.127198924274 | 78.872801075726 |
68 | 626 | 570.527255333769 | 55.4727446662313 |
69 | 620 | 539.046927797314 | 80.9530722026863 |
70 | 588 | 551.807826602928 | 36.1921733970718 |
71 | 566 | 539.844456555583 | 26.1555434444171 |
72 | 557 | 558.986408144685 | -1.98640814468488 |
73 | 561 | 546.248703354993 | 14.7512966450073 |
74 | 549 | 533.392391768515 | 15.607608231485 |
75 | 532 | 557.010926984738 | -25.0109269847383 |
76 | 526 | 546.901879252055 | -20.9018792520546 |
77 | 511 | 547.909440305358 | -36.9094403053576 |
78 | 499 | 539.711462255954 | -40.7114622559535 |
79 | 555 | 559.343026215643 | -4.34302621564281 |
80 | 565 | 568.072729924275 | -3.07272992427534 |
81 | 542 | 526.491037827818 | 15.508962172182 |
82 | 527 | 535.449892994354 | -8.4498929943536 |
83 | 510 | 547.554409325342 | -37.5544093253418 |
84 | 514 | 563.265494681938 | -49.2654946819384 |
85 | 517 | 564.838649423763 | -47.8386494237631 |
86 | 508 | 556.220370041276 | -48.2203700412756 |
87 | 493 | 553.495606444936 | -60.4956064449356 |
88 | 490 | 558.507581384695 | -68.5075813846953 |
89 | 469 | 547.884278581455 | -78.8842785814546 |
90 | 478 | 565.914568352893 | -87.9145683528925 |
91 | 528 | 567.182553367384 | -39.1825533673841 |
92 | 534 | 590.635853080002 | -56.6358530800017 |
93 | 518 | 558.652905006987 | -40.6529050069867 |
94 | 506 | 566.125325049392 | -60.125325049392 |
95 | 502 | 545.094005106152 | -43.0940051061519 |
96 | 516 | 555.696801447101 | -39.6968014471014 |
97 | 528 | 546.233893510284 | -18.2338935102843 |
98 | 533 | 528.050655020395 | 4.94934497960528 |
99 | 536 | 550.641325919279 | -14.6413259192787 |
100 | 537 | 537.062304322666 | -0.0623043226657736 |
101 | 524 | 544.02532257471 | -20.0253225747096 |
102 | 536 | 553.683652228147 | -17.6836522281472 |
103 | 587 | 548.600468513934 | 38.3995314860659 |
104 | 597 | 562.4995963838 | 34.5004036162003 |
105 | 581 | 537.223052871812 | 43.7769471281876 |
106 | 564 | 549.845035406737 | 14.1549645932625 |
107 | 558 | 535.844532307834 | 22.1554676921658 |
108 | 575 | 548.317691596303 | 26.6823084036972 |
109 | 580 | 541.134665231254 | 38.8653347687463 |
110 | 575 | 563.612810093593 | 11.3871899064072 |
111 | 563 | 587.38885260781 | -24.3888526078104 |
112 | 552 | 575.063855826866 | -23.063855826866 |
113 | 537 | 582.945636833167 | -45.9456368331667 |
114 | 545 | 585.395743724064 | -40.3957437240642 |
115 | 601 | 584.983952331839 | 16.0160476681605 |
116 | 604 | 594.192262626656 | 9.80773737334443 |
117 | 586 | 575.911544687945 | 10.0884553120547 |
118 | 564 | 585.139401449652 | -21.1394014496518 |
119 | 549 | 583.767114126596 | -34.7671141265963 |
120 | 551 | 588.300080114253 | -37.3000801142528 |
121 | 556 | 590.908416931674 | -34.9084169316741 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
7 | 0.0130720235622657 | 0.0261440471245314 | 0.986927976437734 |
8 | 0.0835218624002626 | 0.167043724800525 | 0.916478137599737 |
9 | 0.0388347179195348 | 0.0776694358390696 | 0.961165282080465 |
10 | 0.0148881338427186 | 0.0297762676854372 | 0.985111866157281 |
11 | 0.0219722672644444 | 0.0439445345288888 | 0.978027732735556 |
12 | 0.0263630818944476 | 0.0527261637888952 | 0.973636918105552 |
13 | 0.0223517916656512 | 0.0447035833313024 | 0.977648208334349 |
14 | 0.0164977929256014 | 0.0329955858512028 | 0.983502207074399 |
15 | 0.010163738711423 | 0.0203274774228459 | 0.989836261288577 |
16 | 0.00612868305312409 | 0.0122573661062482 | 0.993871316946876 |
17 | 0.00469580455866214 | 0.00939160911732427 | 0.995304195441338 |
18 | 0.00409077349899839 | 0.00818154699799679 | 0.995909226501002 |
19 | 0.0110650037035382 | 0.0221300074070763 | 0.988934996296462 |
20 | 0.00777077504445365 | 0.0155415500889073 | 0.992229224955546 |
21 | 0.00845907608358991 | 0.0169181521671798 | 0.99154092391641 |
22 | 0.00492103876879575 | 0.00984207753759151 | 0.995078961231204 |
23 | 0.00374896706580456 | 0.00749793413160911 | 0.996251032934195 |
24 | 0.00225382673194998 | 0.00450765346389997 | 0.99774617326805 |
25 | 0.00675872774219446 | 0.0135174554843889 | 0.993241272257806 |
26 | 0.0106475684998852 | 0.0212951369997704 | 0.989352431500115 |
27 | 0.0103842275208169 | 0.0207684550416338 | 0.989615772479183 |
28 | 0.00877890516401904 | 0.0175578103280381 | 0.991221094835981 |
29 | 0.00885262456825351 | 0.017705249136507 | 0.991147375431746 |
30 | 0.00759860494238062 | 0.0151972098847612 | 0.992401395057619 |
31 | 0.0128070683887422 | 0.0256141367774844 | 0.987192931611258 |
32 | 0.0151699652487713 | 0.0303399304975425 | 0.984830034751229 |
33 | 0.0290866007925173 | 0.0581732015850347 | 0.970913399207483 |
34 | 0.0201885171820189 | 0.0403770343640378 | 0.979811482817981 |
35 | 0.019189527056707 | 0.038379054113414 | 0.980810472943293 |
36 | 0.0136051160953797 | 0.0272102321907595 | 0.98639488390462 |
37 | 0.0289493803884954 | 0.0578987607769908 | 0.971050619611505 |
38 | 0.0567963792516002 | 0.1135927585032 | 0.9432036207484 |
39 | 0.0423113439615673 | 0.0846226879231347 | 0.957688656038433 |
40 | 0.0367033659346411 | 0.0734067318692821 | 0.963296634065359 |
41 | 0.0340548427816114 | 0.0681096855632228 | 0.965945157218389 |
42 | 0.029351795597726 | 0.0587035911954519 | 0.970648204402274 |
43 | 0.0298267269513704 | 0.0596534539027407 | 0.97017327304863 |
44 | 0.0276860814114216 | 0.0553721628228432 | 0.972313918588578 |
45 | 0.0261043024858835 | 0.052208604971767 | 0.973895697514117 |
46 | 0.0360508338016971 | 0.0721016676033942 | 0.963949166198303 |
47 | 0.0306110411323977 | 0.0612220822647954 | 0.969388958867602 |
48 | 0.0286709946172811 | 0.0573419892345622 | 0.971329005382719 |
49 | 0.030538738643634 | 0.061077477287268 | 0.969461261356366 |
50 | 0.0822396948288384 | 0.164479389657677 | 0.917760305171162 |
51 | 0.0675368624146647 | 0.135073724829329 | 0.932463137585335 |
52 | 0.0561426010034929 | 0.112285202006986 | 0.943857398996507 |
53 | 0.0429422495967886 | 0.0858844991935772 | 0.957057750403211 |
54 | 0.0406789247843959 | 0.0813578495687919 | 0.959321075215604 |
55 | 0.0773679718087145 | 0.154735943617429 | 0.922632028191286 |
56 | 0.0831150927470198 | 0.16623018549404 | 0.91688490725298 |
57 | 0.143688468903591 | 0.287376937807181 | 0.856311531096409 |
58 | 0.165924197270498 | 0.331848394540995 | 0.834075802729502 |
59 | 0.161233917215158 | 0.322467834430315 | 0.838766082784842 |
60 | 0.159466043695265 | 0.318932087390531 | 0.840533956304735 |
61 | 0.143342101061811 | 0.286684202123622 | 0.856657898938189 |
62 | 0.162299080600852 | 0.324598161201704 | 0.837700919399148 |
63 | 0.156251390807248 | 0.312502781614497 | 0.843748609192752 |
64 | 0.132964167648242 | 0.265928335296484 | 0.867035832351758 |
65 | 0.119125537076693 | 0.238251074153387 | 0.880874462923307 |
66 | 0.10867899394836 | 0.21735798789672 | 0.89132100605164 |
67 | 0.195608144447382 | 0.391216288894763 | 0.804391855552618 |
68 | 0.259738019339113 | 0.519476038678226 | 0.740261980660887 |
69 | 0.485238661677812 | 0.970477323355623 | 0.514761338322188 |
70 | 0.599166254879474 | 0.801667490241052 | 0.400833745120526 |
71 | 0.652885912811046 | 0.694228174377908 | 0.347114087188954 |
72 | 0.666325277252446 | 0.667349445495109 | 0.333674722747554 |
73 | 0.674300847428135 | 0.651398305143731 | 0.325699152571865 |
74 | 0.672268107627894 | 0.655463784744211 | 0.327731892372106 |
75 | 0.744160122793751 | 0.511679754412498 | 0.255839877206249 |
76 | 0.748716457450228 | 0.502567085099543 | 0.251283542549772 |
77 | 0.781736008417548 | 0.436527983164904 | 0.218263991582452 |
78 | 0.812164384294489 | 0.375671231411021 | 0.18783561570551 |
79 | 0.812923589244553 | 0.374152821510894 | 0.187076410755447 |
80 | 0.812514763984287 | 0.374970472031426 | 0.187485236015713 |
81 | 0.822298742821204 | 0.355402514357592 | 0.177701257178796 |
82 | 0.845286865320213 | 0.309426269359575 | 0.154713134679787 |
83 | 0.854288190229306 | 0.291423619541387 | 0.145711809770694 |
84 | 0.897547099336222 | 0.204905801327557 | 0.102452900663778 |
85 | 0.901779555964962 | 0.196440888070077 | 0.0982204440350385 |
86 | 0.89700015507815 | 0.205999689843699 | 0.10299984492185 |
87 | 0.904372270243225 | 0.19125545951355 | 0.0956277297567751 |
88 | 0.920861754698937 | 0.158276490602126 | 0.079138245301063 |
89 | 0.969707528489103 | 0.0605849430217946 | 0.0302924715108973 |
90 | 0.992381623506568 | 0.0152367529868644 | 0.00761837649343219 |
91 | 0.990984706288834 | 0.0180305874223319 | 0.00901529371116593 |
92 | 0.9949074086389 | 0.0101851827222005 | 0.00509259136110027 |
93 | 0.993355685846336 | 0.0132886283073271 | 0.00664431415366354 |
94 | 0.994495198006296 | 0.0110096039874078 | 0.00550480199370388 |
95 | 0.997051220247233 | 0.00589755950553343 | 0.00294877975276671 |
96 | 0.998263230901008 | 0.00347353819798434 | 0.00173676909899217 |
97 | 0.998244993091472 | 0.00351001381705613 | 0.00175500690852806 |
98 | 0.997904057991198 | 0.00419188401760344 | 0.00209594200880172 |
99 | 0.997131834330825 | 0.00573633133834908 | 0.00286816566917454 |
100 | 0.996350255693488 | 0.00729948861302324 | 0.00364974430651162 |
101 | 0.999049359387224 | 0.0019012812255519 | 0.00095064061277595 |
102 | 0.999335607589871 | 0.001328784820259 | 0.000664392410129499 |
103 | 0.998745609410501 | 0.00250878117899804 | 0.00125439058949902 |
104 | 0.997700631427935 | 0.00459873714412939 | 0.0022993685720647 |
105 | 0.996281339342083 | 0.00743732131583318 | 0.00371866065791659 |
106 | 0.99220022544923 | 0.0155995491015394 | 0.00779977455076971 |
107 | 0.985055788626367 | 0.0298884227472659 | 0.014944211373633 |
108 | 0.970408069278428 | 0.059183861443144 | 0.029591930721572 |
109 | 0.944777255464546 | 0.110445489070907 | 0.0552227445354535 |
110 | 0.901040177508801 | 0.197919644982399 | 0.0989598224911993 |
111 | 0.834048076239626 | 0.331903847520748 | 0.165951923760374 |
112 | 0.748945702819639 | 0.502108594360722 | 0.251054297180361 |
113 | 0.951389361714792 | 0.0972212765704165 | 0.0486106382852083 |
114 | 0.878317607827489 | 0.243364784345021 | 0.121682392172511 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 16 | 0.148148148148148 | NOK |
5% type I error level | 44 | 0.407407407407407 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 64 | 0.592592592592593 | NOK |