Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[120])
108	385.504	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	311.33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
110	300.545	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
111	329.718	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
112	331.023	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
113	348.944	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
114	345.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
115	349.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
116	354.597	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
117	325.769	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
118	339.734	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
119	340.543	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
120	401.585	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
121	315.998	316.4237	303.5652	329.5489	0.4747	0	0.7766	0
122	312.327	312.3193	297.9841	326.9912	0.4996	0.3116	0.9421	0
123	362.217	352.1199	335.6522	368.9821	0.1203	1	0.9954	0
124	358.067	345.3353	326.3231	364.8857	0.1009	0.0453	0.9243	0
125	367.321	366.9418	346.0677	388.4272	0.4862	0.7909	0.9497	8e-04
126	360.372	358.876	336.798	381.6548	0.4488	0.2337	0.8724	1e-04
127	363.83	359.3416	335.6664	383.8236	0.3597	0.4671	0.7902	4e-04
128	364.525	367.3486	342.2187	393.3689	0.4158	0.6045	0.8316	0.005
129	347.945	339.1538	313.7942	365.4986	0.2565	0.0295	0.8403	0
130	357.404	348.0623	321.1749	376.0303	0.2563	0.5033	0.7203	1e-04
131	368.182	349.5585	321.5415	378.7458	0.1055	0.2992	0.7275	2e-04
132	429.343	404.9692	373.5983	437.6047	0.0716	0.9864	0.5805	0.5805

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
121	0.0212	-0.0013	0	0.1812	0	0
122	0.024	0	7e-04	1e-04	0.0906	0.3011
123	0.0244	0.0287	0.01	101.9504	34.0439	5.8347
124	0.0289	0.0369	0.0167	162.0973	66.0573	8.1276
125	0.0299	0.001	0.0136	0.1438	52.8746	7.2715
126	0.0324	0.0042	0.012	2.2381	44.4352	6.666
127	0.0348	0.0125	0.0121	20.1455	40.9652	6.4004
128	0.0361	-0.0077	0.0115	7.973	36.8412	6.0697
129	0.0396	0.0259	0.0131	77.2858	41.335	6.4292
130	0.041	0.0268	0.0145	87.2672	45.9282	6.777
131	0.0426	0.0533	0.018	346.833	73.2832	8.5606
132	0.0411	0.0602	0.0215	594.0805	116.683	10.802