Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[120])
108	782	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	811	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
110	792	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
111	978	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
112	773	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
113	796	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
114	946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
115	594	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
116	438	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
117	1023	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
118	868	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
119	791	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
120	760	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
121	779	834.2344	720.8898	965.4	0.2046	0.8663	0.6358	0.8663
122	852	807.054	697.0693	934.3921	0.2445	0.6671	0.5916	0.7655
123	1001	924.8183	795.5899	1075.0374	0.1601	0.829	0.2439	0.9842
124	734	793.408	680.4296	925.1453	0.1884	0.001	0.6193	0.6904
125	996	815.8052	697.4265	954.2771	0.0054	0.8765	0.6104	0.7852
126	869	950.5865	810.1498	1115.3674	0.1659	0.2945	0.5218	0.9883
127	599	544.6124	462.7504	640.9561	0.1343	0	0.1575	0
128	426	431.1212	365.2316	508.8975	0.4487	0	0.4312	0
129	1138	993.9078	839.5518	1176.6431	0.0611	1	0.3775	0.9939
130	1091	926.8827	780.6934	1100.4468	0.0319	0.0086	0.747	0.9703
131	830	821.5263	690.0008	978.1227	0.4578	4e-04	0.6488	0.7794
132	909	843.3857	706.4231	1006.9029	0.2158	0.5637	0.8412	0.8412

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
121	0.0802	-0.0662	0	3050.8393	0	0
122	0.0805	0.0557	0.061	2020.1463	2535.4928	50.3537
123	0.0829	0.0824	0.0681	5803.6517	3624.8791	60.207
124	0.0847	-0.0749	0.0698	3529.3119	3600.9873	60.0082
125	0.0866	0.2209	0.1	32470.1725	9374.8243	96.8237
126	0.0884	-0.0858	0.0976	6656.361	8921.7471	94.455
127	0.0903	0.0999	0.098	2958.0089	8069.7845	89.832
128	0.092	-0.0119	0.0872	26.2263	7064.3397	84.0496
129	0.0938	0.145	0.0936	20762.5567	8586.3638	92.6626
130	0.0955	0.1771	0.102	26934.4883	10421.1763	102.0842
131	0.0973	0.0103	0.0936	71.8039	9480.3243	97.367
132	0.0989	0.0778	0.0923	4305.2322	9049.0666	95.1266