| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.999955974511879 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 1.3074 | 1.2999 | 0.00749999999999984 |
| 3 | 1.3242 | 1.30739966980884 | 0.016800330191161 |
| 4 | 1.3516 | 1.32419926035726 | 0.0274007396427371 |
| 5 | 1.3511 | 1.35159879366906 | -0.000498793669062358 |
| 6 | 1.3419 | 1.35110002195963 | -0.00920002195963465 |
| 7 | 1.3716 | 1.34190040503546 | 0.0296995949645424 |
| 8 | 1.3622 | 1.37159869246083 | -0.00939869246083447 |
| 9 | 1.3896 | 1.36220041378202 | 0.0273995862179766 |
| 10 | 1.4227 | 1.38959879371984 | 0.0331012062801577 |
| 11 | 1.4684 | 1.42269854270324 | 0.0457014572967638 |
| 12 | 1.457 | 1.46839798797103 | -0.0113979879710344 |
| 13 | 1.4718 | 1.45700050180198 | 0.014799498198016 |
| 14 | 1.4748 | 1.47179934844487 | 0.00300065155513218 |
| 15 | 1.5527 | 1.47479986789485 | 0.0779001321051493 |
| 16 | 1.5751 | 1.55269657040866 | 0.0224034295913407 |
| 17 | 1.5557 | 1.57509901367808 | -0.0193990136780766 |
| 18 | 1.5553 | 1.55570085405105 | -0.000400854051046506 |
| 19 | 1.577 | 1.5553000176478 | 0.0216999823522048 |
| 20 | 1.4975 | 1.57699904464768 | -0.0794990446476846 |
| 21 | 1.437 | 1.49750349998425 | -0.0605034999842458 |
| 22 | 1.3322 | 1.43700266369612 | -0.10480266369612 |
| 23 | 1.2732 | 1.33220461398843 | -0.0590046139884255 |
| 24 | 1.3449 | 1.27320259770693 | 0.0716974022930676 |
| 25 | 1.3239 | 1.34489684348687 | -0.020996843486867 |
| 26 | 1.2785 | 1.32390092439628 | -0.0454009243962836 |
| 27 | 1.305 | 1.27850199879786 | 0.0264980012021423 |
| 28 | 1.319 | 1.30499883341256 | 0.0140011665874371 |
| 29 | 1.365 | 1.31899938359181 | 0.0460006164081934 |
| 30 | 1.4016 | 1.36499797480041 | 0.0366020251995911 |
| 31 | 1.4088 | 1.40159838857797 | 0.00720161142202569 |
| 32 | 1.4268 | 1.40879968294554 | 0.018000317054458 |
| 33 | 1.4562 | 1.42679920752726 | 0.0294007924727446 |
| 34 | 1.4816 | 1.45619870561576 | 0.0254012943842399 |
| 35 | 1.4914 | 1.48159888169562 | 0.00980111830438424 |
| 36 | 1.4614 | 1.49139956850098 | -0.0299995685009826 |
| 37 | 1.4272 | 1.46140132074565 | -0.0342013207456466 |
| 38 | 1.3686 | 1.42720150572984 | -0.0586015057298401 |
| 39 | 1.3569 | 1.36860257995989 | -0.0117025799598944 |
| 40 | 1.3406 | 1.35690051521179 | -0.016300515211795 |
| 41 | 1.2565 | 1.34060071763814 | -0.084100717638139 |
| 42 | 1.2209 | 1.25650370257515 | -0.0356037025751452 |
| 43 | 1.277 | 1.22090156747038 | 0.056098432529615 |
| 44 | 1.2894 | 1.27699753023912 | 0.0124024697608751 |
| 45 | 1.3067 | 1.28939945397521 | 0.017300546024785 |
| 46 | 1.3898 | 1.30669923833502 | 0.0831007616649835 |
| 47 | 1.3661 | 1.3897963414484 | -0.0236963414484044 |
| 48 | 1.322 | 1.366101043243 | -0.0441010432429989 |
| 49 | 1.336 | 1.32200194156996 | 0.0139980584300445 |
| 50 | 1.3649 | 1.33599938372865 | 0.028900616271355 |
| 51 | 1.3999 | 1.36489872763626 | 0.0350012723637383 |
| 52 | 1.4442 | 1.3998984590519 | 0.0443015409481007 |
| 53 | 1.4349 | 1.44419804960304 | -0.00929804960303504 |
| 54 | 1.4388 | 1.43490040935117 | 0.00389959064882772 |
| 55 | 1.4264 | 1.43879982831862 | -0.0123998283186184 |
| 56 | 1.4343 | 1.42640054590849 | 0.00789945409150561 |
| 57 | 1.377 | 1.43429965222268 | -0.0572996522226776 |
| 58 | 1.3706 | 1.37700252264516 | -0.00640252264515828 |
| 59 | 1.3556 | 1.37060028187418 | -0.0150002818741848 |
| 60 | 1.3179 | 1.35560066039473 | -0.0377006603947314 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 1.31790165978998 | 1.24110753233377 | 1.39469578724618 |
| 62 | 1.31790165978998 | 1.20930075386106 | 1.42650256571889 |
| 63 | 1.31790165978998 | 1.18489423321009 | 1.45090908636986 |
| 64 | 1.31790165978998 | 1.16431847619807 | 1.47148484338188 |
| 65 | 1.31790165978998 | 1.14619081843438 | 1.48961250114557 |
| 66 | 1.31790165978998 | 1.12980213348577 | 1.50600118609418 |
| 67 | 1.31790165978998 | 1.11473116352468 | 1.52107215605528 |
| 68 | 1.31790165978998 | 1.1007034339466 | 1.53509988563335 |
| 69 | 1.31790165978998 | 1.08752829312983 | 1.54827502645012 |
| 70 | 1.31790165978998 | 1.075066928289 | 1.56073639129095 |
| 71 | 1.31790165978998 | 1.06321454668848 | 1.57258877289147 |
| 72 | 1.31790165978998 | 1.05188973461219 | 1.58391358496777 |
