| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0.0154924408479368 |
| gamma | 0 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 1.4718 | 1.36922168803419 | 0.102578311965812 |
| 14 | 1.4748 | 1.47308688656561 | 0.00171311343439018 |
| 15 | 1.5527 | 1.55759676020749 | -0.00489676020749075 |
| 16 | 1.5751 | 1.58932923077296 | -0.0142292307729635 |
| 17 | 1.5557 | 1.57981711859024 | -0.0241171185902351 |
| 18 | 1.5553 | 1.57994348555705 | -0.0246434855570534 |
| 19 | 1.577 | 1.48053253114811 | 0.0964674688518932 |
| 20 | 1.4975 | 1.56641454770304 | -0.0689145477030444 |
| 21 | 1.437 | 1.52028855981586 | -0.0832885598158597 |
| 22 | 1.3322 | 1.4618607167296 | -0.129660716729603 |
| 23 | 1.2732 | 1.3686477890787 | -0.0954477890787013 |
| 24 | 1.3449 | 1.25148990318567 | 0.093410096814333 |
| 25 | 1.3239 | 1.35080372025183 | -0.0269037202518294 |
| 26 | 1.2785 | 1.32084108262391 | -0.0423410826239057 |
| 27 | 1.305 | 1.35626844923925 | -0.0512684492392497 |
| 28 | 1.319 | 1.33588250915538 | -0.016882509155379 |
| 29 | 1.365 | 1.31792929121426 | 0.0470707087857418 |
| 30 | 1.4016 | 1.38455853138579 | 0.0170414686142084 |
| 31 | 1.4088 | 1.32279337866359 | 0.0860066213364075 |
| 32 | 1.4268 | 1.39401333115718 | 0.0327866688428229 |
| 33 | 1.4562 | 1.44696294335149 | 0.00923705664850738 |
| 34 | 1.4816 | 1.47986854790523 | 0.0017314520947711 |
| 35 | 1.4914 | 1.51889120565772 | -0.0274912056577208 |
| 36 | 1.4614 | 1.47158613311356 | -0.010186133113564 |
| 37 | 1.4272 | 1.4675949917155 | -0.0403949917154993 |
| 38 | 1.3686 | 1.42422334136246 | -0.0556233413624612 |
| 39 | 1.3569 | 1.44624493336997 | -0.089344933369971 |
| 40 | 1.3406 | 1.38706909560801 | -0.0464690956080078 |
| 41 | 1.2565 | 1.33835750922638 | -0.0818575092263774 |
| 42 | 1.2209 | 1.27288933660673 | -0.0519893366067279 |
| 43 | 1.277 | 1.13785472821796 | 0.139145271782042 |
| 44 | 1.2894 | 1.25879792811031 | 0.0306020718896893 |
| 45 | 1.3067 | 1.30611369556555 | 0.000586304434446738 |
| 46 | 1.3898 | 1.32678527885232 | 0.0630147211476766 |
| 47 | 1.3661 | 1.42445736402559 | -0.0583573640255854 |
| 48 | 1.322 | 1.34317409934871 | -0.0211740993487115 |
| 49 | 1.336 | 1.32491272753371 | 0.0110872724662903 |
| 50 | 1.3649 | 1.33053866311323 | 0.0343613368867743 |
| 51 | 1.3999 | 1.44145433742573 | -0.0415543374257326 |
| 52 | 1.4442 | 1.42971889264452 | 0.0144811073554769 |
| 53 | 1.4349 | 1.44255157367697 | -0.00765157367697378 |
| 54 | 1.4388 | 1.45303303212439 | -0.0142330321243895 |
| 55 | 1.4264 | 1.35808336104945 | 0.0683166389505505 |
| 56 | 1.4343 | 1.40942925253732 | 0.0248707474626801 |
| 57 | 1.377 | 1.4521562277879 | -0.0751562277878961 |
| 58 | 1.3706 | 1.39705437437454 | -0.0264543743745389 |
| 59 | 1.3556 | 1.4038403648777 | -0.0482403648777048 |
| 60 | 1.3179 | 1.33141383721169 | -0.0135138372116876 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 1.31967114155472 | 1.20845310510302 | 1.43088917800643 |
| 62 | 1.31289644977611 | 1.15438733924082 | 1.47140556031141 |
| 63 | 1.38760509133084 | 1.1919702345253 | 1.58323994813637 |
| 64 | 1.41622206621889 | 1.18858426930935 | 1.64385986312843 |
| 65 | 1.41314737444028 | 1.15669273127317 | 1.6696020176074 |
| 66 | 1.42997268266167 | 1.14690204274379 | 1.71304332257956 |
| 67 | 1.3481688242164 | 1.04010241278497 | 1.65623523564782 |
| 68 | 1.32905246577112 | 0.997235194168392 | 1.66086973737385 |
| 69 | 1.34437777399251 | 0.989795923703727 | 1.6989596242813 |
| 70 | 1.3630655822139 | 0.986518623603141 | 1.73961254082466 |
| 71 | 1.39534922376863 | 0.997496726083828 | 1.79320172145342 |
| 72 | 1.37095369865668 | 0.952347415969675 | 1.78955998134369 |
