Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
59964526-------
60850851-------
616831180-3158538.46393158538.46390.33580.29880.29880.2988
628472240-3158538.46393158538.46390.29950.33580.33580.2988
6310732560-3158538.46393158538.46390.25270.29950.29950.2988
6415143260-3158538.46393158538.46390.17370.25270.25270.2988
6515037340-3158538.46393158538.46390.17540.17370.17370.2988
6615077120-3158538.46393158538.46390.17470.17540.17540.2988
6728656980-3158538.46393158538.46390.03770.17470.17470.2988
6827881280-3158538.46393158538.46390.04180.03770.03770.2988
6913915960-3158538.46393158538.46390.19390.04180.04180.2988
7013663780-3158538.46393158538.46390.19820.19390.19390.2988
719462950-3158538.46393158538.46390.27850.19820.19820.2988
728596260-3158538.46393158538.46390.29690.27850.27850.2988


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
61InfInf046665020192400
62InfInfInf717788506176592219354050769557.8952
63InfInfInf1151878441536778772383212882480.8118
64InfInfInf229318323427611573750959781075813.6902
65InfInfInf22612159427561378143265333.61173943.4677
66InfInfInf227319547494415273186336021235847.3343
67InfInfInf82122250272042482305261259.431575533.326
68InfInfInf777365774438431437243216501773055.0814
69InfInfInf19365394272163009592666712.891734817.7618
70InfInfInf186698883888428953322839301701567.5961
71InfInfInf8954742270252713527006029.551647278.6668
72InfInfInf7389568598762548979493850.081596552.3774