| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -1.1091 | -0.678 | -0.2082 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0975 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -1.0069 | -0.4618 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -4777.31144338673 |
| 27214.1044014153 |
| -8717.46325721489 |
| -20534.5458214745 |
| 9283.16461529736 |
| 10501.2018154024 |
| 300746.3271962 |
| -199867.250790873 |
| -163878.057723928 |
| 28318.5260836924 |
| 54417.6909116324 |
| -86972.1171863567 |
| -58392.0193977464 |
| -54351.0904557357 |
| 72157.9847331257 |
| 151407.881343363 |
| -205804.733400038 |
| 72834.569960104 |
| -283820.071490026 |
| 267703.576002899 |
| 307267.44897299 |
| 74111.1501105567 |
| -31694.1937938503 |
| 24928.9695886913 |
| -12689.0053311288 |
| -70435.6548550518 |
| -160980.018891682 |
| -160446.207745582 |
| 2127.79479922072 |
| -115405.966453189 |
| -21487.0535404504 |
| 46202.2902208561 |
| 32319.1352340517 |
| -7972.66451811714 |
| -45696.7358371915 |
| -13411.3544896853 |
| -9842.16188402001 |
| 139597.701473982 |
| 150169.799408951 |
| -147229.047873032 |
| 112967.775434793 |
| 58593.0090918673 |
| 31996.6279333043 |
| 54680.7902279667 |
| -41535.6221880059 |
| -34846.1012397956 |
| -24551.611047331 |
| -51740.3769399747 |
| 27974.4496178125 |
| -109441.422173034 |
| -117934.668484201 |
| 128831.832956525 |
| -69215.3330611754 |
| 9230.46227061906 |
| -19008.4586514626 |
| 51789.9987716734 |
| 35848.0510676149 |
| 11497.062676282 |
| -6795.4169201142 |
| 13090.9744874757 |
