| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1278 | 0.1664 | 0.2475 | -1 | -0.6699 | -0.3901 | 0.0853 |
| (p-val) | (0.3408 ) | (0.2108 ) | (0.0666 ) | (0 ) | (0.2388 ) | (0.1584 ) | (0.8931 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1253 | 0.1685 | 0.2421 | -1 | -0.5953 | -0.3584 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.3458 ) | (0.2018 ) | (0.0604 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0302 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1808 | 0.2315 | -1 | -0.6021 | -0.3979 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1802 ) | (0.0778 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0115 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.2026 | -1 | -0.6168 | -0.4459 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1171 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0027 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0258 | -0.6204 | -0.444 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0029 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -3.9898338648733 |
| 13.0279292231206 |
| -6.22707532449634 |
| -3.72730894780151 |
| 1.5585141095607 |
| 1.32306700998597 |
| 63.0688988529017 |
| -64.3516189601053 |
| -3.32470755728135 |
| 9.97002401814913 |
| 11.1034523742709 |
| -47.114073762366 |
| -10.4457621930095 |
| -27.0251168112375 |
| 23.8034696611814 |
| 31.3829460811648 |
| -74.8518880062366 |
| 50.3827235509266 |
| -60.9814102868335 |
| 68.4263210530077 |
| 42.3846754609647 |
| 35.1134443643868 |
| 21.8672875391578 |
| 36.9164686467202 |
| 7.72960748398196 |
| -18.1147924998075 |
| -37.8850453029597 |
| -25.0333984353671 |
| -53.6331100961335 |
| -30.3418410776034 |
| -34.6622704392921 |
| 22.121127450073 |
| 18.7782021442512 |
| 2.51088284013234 |
| -19.3279077322041 |
| -9.03224052308595 |
| -30.3369467193787 |
| 33.1680951044527 |
| 20.0070595934947 |
| -70.104230755446 |
| 25.3910269168754 |
| -18.3824731978279 |
| -26.2596047854895 |
| 55.7677820918004 |
| 14.7805195930055 |
| 7.59857957507187 |
| -8.12188930029129 |
| 0.791849650044597 |
| 15.6739602135742 |
| -28.3500169047047 |
| -36.6587999834385 |
| -15.6523413349362 |
| -11.8292330580171 |
| -15.9848277952891 |
| -12.0274766670857 |
| 21.8290069346026 |
| -11.653095703483 |
| -4.44706567492024 |
| -22.6175657323224 |
| -13.5066920751923 |
