Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	16	16.4372	-31.0135	63.888	0.4928	0.5565	0.1652	0.5565
70	17	16.4372	-34.2262	67.1007	0.4913	0.5067	0.3135	0.5529
71	9	16.4372	-37.2471	70.1216	0.393	0.4918	0.2264	0.5499
72	17	16.4372	-40.1068	72.9813	0.4922	0.6017	0.1154	0.5474
73	25	16.4372	-42.8286	75.7031	0.3885	0.4926	0.4531	0.5453
74	14	16.4372	-45.4308	78.3053	0.4692	0.3931	0.3571	0.5434
75	8	16.4372	-47.9279	80.8024	0.3986	0.5296	0.5417	0.5417
76	7	16.4372	-50.3317	83.2062	0.3909	0.5978	0.4351	0.5402
77	10	16.4372	-52.6519	85.5264	0.4275	0.6055	0.404	0.5388
78	7	16.4372	-54.8967	87.7712	0.3977	0.5702	0.5376	0.5376
79	10	16.4372	-57.0729	89.9474	0.4319	0.5993	0.5047	0.5365
80	3	16.4372	-59.1866	92.0611	0.3638	0.5663	0.5355	0.5355

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	1.4728	-0.0266	0	0.1912	0	0
70	1.5726	0.0342	0.0304	0.3167	0.2539	0.5039
71	1.6663	-0.4525	0.1711	55.3127	18.6068	4.3136
72	1.7551	0.0342	0.1369	0.3167	14.0343	3.7462
73	1.8396	0.5209	0.2137	73.3207	25.8916	5.0884
74	1.9204	-0.1483	0.2028	5.9402	22.5664	4.7504
75	1.9979	-0.5133	0.2471	71.1872	29.5122	5.4325
76	2.0725	-0.5741	0.288	89.0617	36.9559	6.0791
77	2.1445	-0.3916	0.2995	41.4382	37.4539	6.12
78	2.2142	-0.5741	0.327	89.0617	42.6147	6.528
79	2.2817	-0.3916	0.3329	41.4382	42.5077	6.5198
80	2.3473	-0.8175	0.3733	180.5597	54.0121	7.3493