Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 721 | 0 | 73 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 112.8 | 104.004059851371 | -2.0807890984791 | 123.676729247108 | -8.7959401486291 |
2 | 116.7 | 112.254318404285 | -3.44625576871267 | 124.591937364428 | -4.44568159571499 |
3 | 119.4 | 117.337908150898 | -4.04505363264473 | 125.507145481747 | -2.06209184910237 |
4 | 129.8 | 134.30481331464 | -0.933879554140565 | 126.2290662395 | 4.50481331464024 |
5 | 131.9 | 137.071718478383 | -0.222705475636347 | 126.950986997254 | 5.17171847838283 |
6 | 129.8 | 130.964110810867 | 1.13886564682003 | 127.497023542313 | 1.1641108108673 |
7 | 131.6 | 132.606503190782 | 2.55043672184628 | 128.043060087372 | 1.00650319078187 |
8 | 134.3 | 139.177898746104 | 1.01378113225029 | 128.408320121646 | 4.87789874610371 |
9 | 136.7 | 144.349292657174 | 0.277127186905867 | 128.77358015592 | 7.64929265717399 |
10 | 134.7 | 140.723835590168 | 0.878929430043742 | 127.797234979788 | 6.02383559016779 |
11 | 138.1 | 146.481713384806 | 2.89739681153747 | 126.820889803657 | 8.38171338480575 |
12 | 132.4 | 138.997546600664 | 1.97214466987569 | 123.830308729461 | 6.59754660066372 |
13 | 125 | 131.241061443215 | -2.0807890984791 | 120.839727655264 | 6.24106144321468 |
14 | 117.7 | 121.99371474829 | -3.44625576871267 | 116.852541020423 | 4.29371474828994 |
15 | 112 | 115.179699247064 | -4.04505363264473 | 112.865354385581 | 3.17969924706371 |
16 | 106.3 | 104.827933068397 | -0.933879554140565 | 108.705946485744 | -1.47206693160298 |
17 | 100.5 | 96.6761668897303 | -0.222705475636347 | 104.546538585906 | -3.82383311026973 |
18 | 95.6 | 88.8133897802563 | 1.13886564682003 | 101.247744572924 | -6.78661021974365 |
19 | 89.5 | 78.5006127182126 | 2.55043672184628 | 97.9489505599411 | -10.9993872817874 |
20 | 87.7 | 78.4763342254632 | 1.01378113225029 | 95.9098846422866 | -9.22366577453684 |
21 | 88.2 | 82.2520540884622 | 0.277127186905867 | 93.870818724632 | -5.94794591153783 |
22 | 88.7 | 83.6086107591331 | 0.878929430043742 | 92.9124598108232 | -5.09138924086689 |
23 | 91.4 | 87.9485022914482 | 2.89739681153747 | 91.9541008970143 | -3.4514977085518 |
24 | 95.7 | 97.5662039635207 | 1.97214466987569 | 91.8616513666036 | 1.86620396352075 |
25 | 96.8 | 103.911587262286 | -2.0807890984791 | 91.7692018361928 | 7.11158726228629 |
26 | 93.8 | 99.0933241781946 | -3.44625576871267 | 91.9529315905181 | 5.2933241781946 |
27 | 91 | 93.9083922878014 | -4.04505363264473 | 92.1366613448433 | 2.90839228780142 |
28 | 86.8 | 82.7878366080443 | -0.933879554140565 | 91.7460429460962 | -4.01216339195567 |
29 | 91.5 | 91.8672809282872 | -0.222705475636347 | 91.3554245473491 | 0.367280928287201 |
30 | 89.3 | 87.1382904709788 | 1.13886564682003 | 90.3228438822012 | -2.16170952902121 |
31 | 97.9 | 103.959300061101 | 2.55043672184628 | 89.2902632170532 | 6.05930006110052 |
32 | 95.7 | 101.990136394587 | 1.01378113225029 | 88.3960824731628 | 6.29013639458687 |
33 | 86.9 | 86.0209710838216 | 0.277127186905867 | 87.5019017292725 | -0.879028916178356 |
34 | 82 | 75.2854336585198 | 0.878929430043742 | 87.8356369114365 | -6.71456634148025 |
35 | 83.2 | 75.333231094862 | 2.89739681153747 | 88.1693720936005 | -7.86676890513799 |
36 | 85.7 | 79.5880644299409 | 1.97214466987569 | 89.8397909001834 | -6.11193557005906 |
37 | 77.8 | 66.1705793917129 | -2.0807890984791 | 91.5102097067662 | -11.6294206082871 |
38 | 79.4 | 68.2747440897624 | -3.44625576871267 | 93.9715116789503 | -11.1252559102377 |
39 | 83.4 | 74.4122399815103 | -4.04505363264473 | 96.4328136511344 | -8.98776001848969 |
40 | 102.8 | 107.316951821286 | -0.933879554140565 | 99.2169277328542 | 4.51695182128631 |
41 | 108.7 | 115.621663661062 | -0.222705475636347 | 102.001041814574 | 6.92166366106228 |
42 | 120.3 | 135.341169947313 | 1.13886564682003 | 104.119964405867 | 15.0411699473131 |
43 | 121.9 | 135.010676280994 | 2.55043672184628 | 106.23888699716 | 13.110676280994 |
44 | 112.7 | 117.648655071955 | 1.01378113225029 | 106.737563795794 | 4.94865507195533 |
45 | 113.1 | 118.686632218665 | 0.277127186905867 | 107.236240594429 | 5.5866322186651 |
46 | 115.7 | 124.962164082297 | 0.878929430043742 | 105.558906487659 | 9.26216408229676 |
47 | 113.5 | 120.221030807573 | 2.89739681153747 | 103.88157238089 | 6.72103080757253 |
48 | 103.1 | 103.67349265452 | 1.97214466987569 | 100.554362675604 | 0.573492654520038 |
49 | 95.9 | 96.6536361281606 | -2.0807890984791 | 97.2271529703185 | 0.753636128160565 |
50 | 88.5 | 87.0508275217752 | -3.44625576871267 | 93.3954282469374 | -1.44917247822477 |
51 | 86.2 | 86.8813501090884 | -4.04505363264473 | 89.5637035235563 | 0.681350109088399 |
52 | 83.8 | 82.529852985116 | -0.933879554140565 | 86.0040265690245 | -1.27014701488397 |
53 | 76.4 | 70.5783558611436 | -0.222705475636347 | 82.4443496144927 | -5.82164413885639 |
54 | 76 | 71.2167027905732 | 1.13886564682003 | 79.6444315626068 | -4.78329720942681 |
55 | 75.7 | 72.0050497674329 | 2.55043672184628 | 76.8445135107208 | -3.69495023256709 |
56 | 71.5 | 67.1074263523584 | 1.01378113225029 | 74.8787925153913 | -4.39257364764163 |
57 | 69.7 | 66.2098012930323 | 0.277127186905867 | 72.9130715200619 | -3.49019870696773 |
58 | 72.1 | 71.9216330987973 | 0.878929430043742 | 71.3994374711589 | -0.178366901202679 |
59 | 72.6 | 72.4167997662065 | 2.89739681153747 | 69.885803422256 | -0.183200233793499 |
60 | 70.2 | 69.7984182929526 | 1.97214466987569 | 68.6294370371717 | -0.401581707047356 |
61 | 69.4 | 73.5077184463918 | -2.0807890984791 | 67.3730706520873 | 4.10771844639177 |
62 | 68 | 73.182960078878 | -3.44625576871267 | 66.2632956898346 | 5.18296007887804 |
63 | 63.1 | 65.0915329050628 | -4.04505363264473 | 65.1535207275819 | 1.99153290506281 |
64 | 59.4 | 55.6001771853178 | -0.933879554140565 | 64.1337023688227 | -3.79982281468217 |
65 | 59.3 | 55.7088214655728 | -0.222705475636347 | 63.1138840100636 | -3.59117853442722 |
66 | 61.2 | 59.183961240611 | 1.13886564682003 | 62.077173112569 | -2.016038759389 |
67 | 59.8 | 56.0091010630793 | 2.55043672184628 | 61.0404622150744 | -3.79089893692066 |
68 | 61.3 | 61.5878918458264 | 1.01378113225029 | 59.9983270219233 | 0.287891845826373 |
69 | 60.2 | 61.1666809843219 | 0.277127186905867 | 58.9561918287723 | 0.966680984321854 |
70 | 59.7 | 60.5729024679654 | 0.878929430043742 | 57.9481681019908 | 0.872902467965432 |
71 | 60.7 | 61.5624588132532 | 2.89739681153747 | 56.9401443752094 | 0.862458813253149 |
72 | 59.8 | 61.6596753128482 | 1.97214466987569 | 55.9681800172762 | 1.85967531284815 |