Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 14.544 | NA | NA | 1.01723828144572 | NA |
2 | 14.931 | NA | NA | 1.04860598243148 | NA |
3 | 14.886 | NA | NA | 1.02837551267981 | NA |
4 | 16.005 | NA | NA | 0.996842500751492 | NA |
5 | 17.064 | NA | NA | 1.00637983785653 | NA |
6 | 15.168 | NA | NA | 0.99847879521782 | NA |
7 | 16.05 | 15.3660420704159 | 15.5040416666667 | 0.991099121169966 | 1.04451100201664 |
8 | 15.839 | 15.076943798417 | 15.6062083333333 | 0.96608628286822 | 1.05054447451499 |
9 | 15.137 | 15.2252331662445 | 15.7086666666667 | 0.969225045595502 | 0.994204806896477 |
10 | 14.954 | 15.4001098614314 | 15.759 | 0.977226338056437 | 0.971032033833171 |
11 | 15.648 | 15.6951593134624 | 15.7189583333333 | 0.998485967112688 | 0.996995295650046 |
12 | 15.305 | 15.7254124376467 | 15.6947083333333 | 1.00195633481434 | 0.973265411046377 |
13 | 15.579 | 15.9690303914188 | 15.6984166666667 | 1.01723828144572 | 0.975575825090271 |
14 | 16.348 | 16.4347141788167 | 15.6729166666667 | 1.04860598243148 | 0.994723718473393 |
15 | 15.928 | 16.166705794022 | 15.720625 | 1.02837551267981 | 0.985234728888909 |
16 | 16.171 | 15.8113342554614 | 15.8614166666667 | 0.996842500751492 | 1.022747336735 |
17 | 15.937 | 16.1356234002998 | 16.0333333333333 | 1.00637983785653 | 0.987690379517901 |
18 | 15.713 | 16.1956588846981 | 16.2203333333333 | 0.99847879521782 | 0.97019825570949 |
19 | 15.594 | 16.3342633202055 | 16.4809583333333 | 0.991099121169966 | 0.954680336315517 |
20 | 15.683 | 16.2285589011911 | 16.79825 | 0.96608628286822 | 0.966382788236913 |
21 | 16.438 | 16.6035519498352 | 17.13075 | 0.969225045595502 | 0.990029124470755 |
22 | 17.032 | 17.0090723092772 | 17.4054583333333 | 0.977226338056437 | 1.00134796832572 |
23 | 17.696 | 17.5836707095101 | 17.6103333333333 | 0.998485967112688 | 1.00638827309414 |
24 | 17.745 | 17.861124113484 | 17.82625 | 1.00195633481434 | 0.993498499156815 |
25 | 19.394 | 18.3989583362222 | 18.0871666666667 | 1.01723828144572 | 1.05408141295797 |
26 | 20.148 | 19.2275888291911 | 18.3363333333333 | 1.04860598243148 | 1.04786929754871 |
27 | 20.108 | 19.04692851116 | 18.521375 | 1.02837551267981 | 1.05570827276526 |
28 | 18.584 | 18.6563227526061 | 18.7154166666667 | 0.996842500751492 | 0.99612341866266 |
29 | 18.441 | 19.0072024701436 | 18.8867083333333 | 1.00637983785653 | 0.970211162266881 |
30 | 18.391 | 18.9995953580854 | 19.0285416666667 | 0.99847879521782 | 0.967967983179893 |
31 | 19.178 | 18.9971401798056 | 19.16775 | 0.991099121169966 | 1.00952037088123 |
32 | 18.079 | 18.7142586534159 | 19.3712083333333 | 0.96608628286822 | 0.966054832030446 |
33 | 18.483 | 19.0285126295382 | 19.6327083333333 | 0.969225045595502 | 0.971331830282342 |
34 | 19.644 | 19.4323086033086 | 19.8851666666667 | 0.977226338056437 | 1.01089378524255 |
35 | 19.195 | 20.1345111304093 | 20.1650416666667 | 0.998485967112688 | 0.953338269584784 |
36 | 19.65 | 20.4914264850942 | 20.4514166666667 | 1.00195633481434 | 0.958937632491997 |
37 | 20.83 | 21.0409380777787 | 20.684375 | 1.01723828144572 | 0.989974872935846 |
38 | 23.595 | 21.9341282536787 | 20.9174166666667 | 1.04860598243148 | 1.07572089153089 |
39 | 22.937 | 21.8090594402585 | 21.2072916666667 | 1.02837551267981 | 1.05171889979168 |
40 | 21.814 | 21.4146690223939 | 21.4825 | 0.996842500751492 | 1.01864754375557 |
41 | 21.928 | 21.9617659441175 | 21.8225416666667 | 1.00637983785653 | 0.998462512340612 |
42 | 21.777 | 22.2241826272414 | 22.2580416666667 | 0.99847879521782 | 0.979878556852155 |
43 | 21.383 | 22.4605360587341 | 22.66225 | 0.991099121169966 | 0.952025363245279 |
44 | 21.467 | 22.1560617969193 | 22.9338333333333 | 0.96608628286822 | 0.968899626511464 |
45 | 22.052 | 22.4558539282715 | 23.168875 | 0.969225045595502 | 0.982015650370657 |
46 | 22.68 | 23.0161640448383 | 23.5525416666667 | 0.977226338056437 | 0.985394436528023 |
47 | 24.32 | 24.1192190036643 | 24.1557916666667 | 0.998485967112688 | 1.00832452312429 |
48 | 24.977 | 25.014048639543 | 24.9652083333333 | 1.00195633481434 | 0.998518886723343 |
49 | 25.204 | 26.2193590891917 | 25.7750416666667 | 1.01723828144572 | 0.961274450464722 |
50 | 25.739 | 27.7944812460767 | 26.506125 | 1.04860598243148 | 0.926047144831429 |
51 | 26.434 | 28.0299600103368 | 27.2565416666667 | 1.02837551267981 | 0.943062351507163 |
52 | 27.525 | 27.9030753246812 | 27.9914583333333 | 0.996842500751492 | 0.986450406620708 |
53 | 30.695 | 28.8536647362252 | 28.67075 | 1.00637983785653 | 1.06381633947049 |
54 | 32.436 | 29.325821454945 | 29.3705 | 0.99847879521782 | 1.10605597356696 |
55 | 30.16 | 29.7902096093466 | 30.05775 | 0.991099121169966 | 1.0124131516865 |
56 | 30.236 | 29.6063179424234 | 30.645625 | 0.96608628286822 | 1.02126850285136 |
57 | 31.293 | 30.2181753965614 | 31.1776666666667 | 0.969225045595502 | 1.03556881212494 |
58 | 31.077 | 30.9383343786414 | 31.6593333333333 | 0.977226338056437 | 1.0044820002157 |
59 | 32.226 | 31.9669442729323 | 32.0154166666667 | 0.998485967112688 | 1.00810386269191 |
60 | 33.865 | 32.2852875094712 | 32.22225 | 1.00195633481434 | 1.04892979472663 |
61 | 32.81 | 33.0664747314596 | 32.506125 | 1.01723828144572 | 0.992243662696356 |
62 | 32.242 | 34.7140136645623 | 33.1049166666667 | 1.04860598243148 | 0.928789171760744 |
63 | 32.7 | 34.8827544839772 | 33.92025 | 1.02837551267981 | 0.93742597119216 |
64 | 32.819 | 34.5761051651285 | 34.685625 | 0.996842500751492 | 0.949181518371232 |
65 | 33.947 | 35.6223239306888 | 35.3965 | 1.00637983785653 | 0.952969830549278 |
66 | 34.148 | 35.9812650710356 | 36.0360833333333 | 0.99847879521782 | 0.949049454836668 |
67 | 35.261 | NA | NA | 0.991099121169966 | NA |
68 | 39.506 | NA | NA | 0.96608628286822 | NA |
69 | 41.591 | NA | NA | 0.969225045595502 | NA |
70 | 39.148 | NA | NA | 0.977226338056437 | NA |
71 | 41.216 | NA | NA | 0.998485967112688 | NA |
72 | 40.225 | NA | NA | 1.00195633481434 | NA |