Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 69731 | NA | NA | 4832.22 | NA |
2 | 68504 | NA | NA | -11842 | NA |
3 | 67277 | NA | NA | -12382.7 | NA |
4 | 64823 | NA | NA | -11183.2 | NA |
5 | 89654 | NA | NA | 9053.16 | NA |
6 | 88427 | NA | NA | 15305.6 | NA |
7 | 69731 | 69115.6 | 67270 | 1845.67 | 615.368 |
8 | 57316 | 63272.2 | 65769.2 | -2496.92 | -5956.24 |
9 | 58542 | 62058 | 63801.7 | -1743.68 | -3515.98 |
10 | 58542 | 54450.8 | 61731.4 | -7280.62 | 4091.21 |
11 | 59770 | 66257.7 | 59712.8 | 6544.92 | -6487.72 |
12 | 62357 | 67144.4 | 57796.9 | 9347.53 | -4787.44 |
13 | 54862 | 60866.6 | 56034.4 | 4832.22 | -6004.64 |
14 | 47354 | 42066 | 53908 | -11842 | 5288.01 |
15 | 41207 | 39449.9 | 51832.7 | -12382.7 | 1757.08 |
16 | 41207 | 38989.3 | 50172.5 | -11183.2 | 2217.68 |
17 | 64823 | 57878.2 | 48825.1 | 9053.16 | 6944.75 |
18 | 67277 | 63198.3 | 47892.7 | 15305.6 | 4078.68 |
19 | 48581 | 49169.4 | 47323.7 | 1845.67 | -588.424 |
20 | 27431 | 44309 | 46805.9 | -2496.92 | -16878 |
21 | 38620 | 44852.2 | 46595.9 | -1743.68 | -6232.19 |
22 | 38620 | 39520.3 | 46800.9 | -7280.62 | -900.252 |
23 | 47354 | 53345.3 | 46800.4 | 6544.92 | -5991.3 |
24 | 52396 | 55732.3 | 46384.8 | 9347.53 | -3336.32 |
25 | 51168 | 50438 | 45605.8 | 4832.22 | 729.984 |
26 | 38620 | 33194.9 | 45036.9 | -11842 | 5425.09 |
27 | 44900 | 32449.1 | 44831.8 | -12382.7 | 12450.9 |
28 | 42434 | 33705.3 | 44888.5 | -11183.2 | 8728.72 |
29 | 63584 | 53947.2 | 44894 | 9053.16 | 9636.84 |
30 | 58542 | 59989.5 | 44683.9 | 15305.6 | -1447.53 |
31 | 38620 | 45950 | 44104.3 | 1845.67 | -7330.01 |
32 | 23738 | 40828.4 | 43325.3 | -2496.92 | -17090.4 |
33 | 37392 | 40859.4 | 42603 | -1743.68 | -3467.36 |
34 | 41207 | 34646.2 | 41926.8 | -7280.62 | 6560.79 |
35 | 44900 | 48415.6 | 41870.7 | 6544.92 | -3515.59 |
36 | 49808 | 51838.3 | 42490.8 | 9347.53 | -2030.28 |
37 | 39846 | 48204.2 | 43372 | 4832.22 | -8358.22 |
38 | 31246 | 32980.2 | 44822.2 | -11842 | -1734.2 |
39 | 34939 | 34151.3 | 46534.1 | -12382.7 | 787.66 |
40 | 36166 | 36493.9 | 47677 | -11183.2 | -327.859 |
41 | 68504 | 57821.5 | 48768.3 | 9053.16 | 10682.5 |
42 | 68504 | 65739.3 | 50433.7 | 15305.6 | 2764.72 |
43 | 49808 | 54775.3 | 52929.7 | 1845.67 | -4967.34 |
44 | 47354 | 53077 | 55573.9 | -2496.92 | -5722.99 |
45 | 54862 | 55746 | 57489.7 | -1743.68 | -884.025 |
46 | 51168 | 51504.8 | 58785.5 | -7280.62 | -336.836 |
47 | 61130 | 66421.7 | 59876.7 | 6544.92 | -5291.67 |
48 | 73546 | 70475 | 61127.5 | 9347.53 | 3070.97 |
49 | 76012 | 67830.6 | 62998.3 | 4832.22 | 8181.44 |
50 | 58542 | 53908.4 | 65750.4 | -11842 | 4633.55 |
51 | 53622 | 56119.2 | 68502 | -12382.7 | -2497.22 |
52 | 48581 | 59444.7 | 70627.9 | -11183.2 | -10863.7 |
53 | 82280 | 81597.5 | 72544.3 | 9053.16 | 682.502 |
54 | 84746 | 89817.9 | 74512.3 | 15305.6 | -5071.95 |
55 | 78466 | 78433.3 | 76587.6 | 1845.67 | 32.7014 |
56 | 84746 | 76376.1 | 78873 | -2496.92 | 8369.92 |
57 | 83507 | 79307.4 | 81051.1 | -1743.68 | 4199.6 |
58 | 73546 | 76261.3 | 83542 | -7280.62 | -2715.34 |
59 | 84746 | 93043.9 | 86499 | 6544.92 | -8297.92 |
60 | 97162 | 99059.2 | 89711.7 | 9347.53 | -1897.19 |
61 | 102203 | 98228.3 | 93396.1 | 4832.22 | 3974.69 |
62 | 87200 | 85340.7 | 97182.7 | -11842 | 1859.26 |
63 | 77238 | 88529.9 | 100913 | -12382.7 | -11291.9 |
64 | 84746 | 93357.7 | 104541 | -11183.2 | -8611.73 |
65 | 117084 | 117535 | 108482 | 9053.16 | -450.664 |
66 | 127046 | 127835 | 112529 | 15305.6 | -788.988 |
67 | 124592 | 118213 | 116367 | 1845.67 | 6379.16 |
68 | 129499 | 117498 | 119995 | -2496.92 | 12001 |
69 | 128273 | 121623 | 123367 | -1743.68 | 6650.1 |
70 | 115858 | 119611 | 126892 | -7280.62 | -3753 |
71 | 137008 | 136705 | 130160 | 6544.92 | 302.576 |
72 | 142049 | 142885 | 133537 | 9347.53 | -835.692 |
73 | 149423 | 142104 | 137272 | 4832.22 | 7318.57 |
74 | 127046 | 128853 | 140695 | -11842 | -1807.03 |
75 | 118312 | 131684 | 144067 | -12382.7 | -13372.4 |
76 | 128273 | 136568 | 147752 | -11183.2 | -8295.36 |
77 | 152010 | 160699 | 151646 | 9053.16 | -8689.12 |
78 | 173160 | 170688 | 155382 | 15305.6 | 2472.39 |
79 | 168119 | 160287 | 158442 | 1845.67 | 7831.53 |
80 | 168119 | 158589 | 161086 | -2496.92 | 9529.92 |
81 | 170585 | 162560 | 164304 | -1743.68 | 8024.97 |
82 | 161971 | 160451 | 167732 | -7280.62 | 1519.62 |
83 | 184361 | 177080 | 170535 | 6544.92 | 7280.87 |
84 | 184361 | 182373 | 173026 | 9347.53 | 1987.85 |
85 | 180546 | 179933 | 175101 | 4832.22 | 612.859 |
86 | 159384 | 165232 | 177074 | -11842 | -5847.99 |
87 | 163199 | 166613 | 178995 | -12382.7 | -3413.67 |
88 | 165665 | 169575 | 180758 | -11183.2 | -3909.73 |
89 | 181895 | 192040 | 182987 | 9053.16 | -10145.3 |
90 | 203045 | 200521 | 185216 | 15305.6 | 2523.55 |
91 | 188041 | 188824 | 186978 | 1845.67 | -782.507 |
92 | 195550 | 186402 | 188899 | -2496.92 | 9147.63 |
93 | 189269 | 189800 | 191544 | -1743.68 | -530.859 |
94 | 185587 | 187424 | 194705 | -7280.62 | -1837.46 |
95 | 214246 | 204207 | 197662 | 6544.92 | 10039.5 |
96 | 207965 | 209136 | 199788 | 9347.53 | -1170.53 |
97 | 199230 | 206491 | 201658 | 4832.22 | -7260.52 |
98 | 186815 | 191840 | 203682 | -11842 | -5025.03 |
99 | 199230 | 193216 | 205598 | -12382.7 | 6014.41 |
100 | 205511 | 196383 | 207566 | -11183.2 | 9127.85 |
101 | 213006 | 218792 | 209739 | 9053.16 | -5786 |
102 | 222967 | 227689 | 212383 | 15305.6 | -4721.61 |
103 | 213006 | 217191 | 215346 | 1845.67 | -4185.26 |
104 | 219154 | 215550 | 218047 | -2496.92 | 3604.38 |
105 | 211657 | 218896 | 220640 | -1743.68 | -7239.03 |
106 | 210431 | 216055 | 223335 | -7280.62 | -5623.5 |
107 | 241542 | 232575 | 226031 | 6544.92 | 8966.53 |
108 | 244129 | 238125 | 228778 | 9347.53 | 6003.85 |
109 | 234168 | 236357 | 231525 | 4832.22 | -2188.93 |
110 | 216700 | 222486 | 234328 | -11842 | -5786.45 |
111 | 231581 | 225011 | 237393 | -12382.7 | 6570.41 |
112 | 237850 | 228911 | 240094 | -11183.2 | 8939.39 |
113 | 245357 | 251227 | 242174 | 9053.16 | -5870.29 |
114 | 256546 | 259350 | 244044 | 15305.6 | -2804.03 |
115 | 245357 | NA | NA | 1845.67 | NA |
116 | 254092 | NA | NA | -2496.92 | NA |
117 | 250277 | NA | NA | -1743.68 | NA |
118 | 236622 | NA | NA | -7280.62 | NA |
119 | 265279 | NA | NA | 6544.92 | NA |
120 | 265279 | NA | NA | 9347.53 | NA |