Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 69731 | NA | NA | 1.05644 | NA |
2 | 68504 | NA | NA | 0.8803 | NA |
3 | 67277 | NA | NA | 0.869925 | NA |
4 | 64823 | NA | NA | 0.871723 | NA |
5 | 89654 | NA | NA | 1.1625 | NA |
6 | 88427 | NA | NA | 1.19204 | NA |
7 | 69731 | 67989.9 | 67270 | 1.0107 | 1.02561 |
8 | 57316 | 59585 | 65769.2 | 0.905972 | 0.96192 |
9 | 58542 | 61650.8 | 63801.7 | 0.966289 | 0.949574 |
10 | 58542 | 57212.6 | 61731.4 | 0.926798 | 1.02324 |
11 | 59770 | 62631.2 | 59712.8 | 1.04887 | 0.954316 |
12 | 62357 | 64064 | 57796.9 | 1.10843 | 0.973354 |
13 | 54862 | 59196.9 | 56034.4 | 1.05644 | 0.926771 |
14 | 47354 | 47455.2 | 53908 | 0.8803 | 0.997868 |
15 | 41207 | 45090.5 | 51832.7 | 0.869925 | 0.913873 |
16 | 41207 | 43736.5 | 50172.5 | 0.871723 | 0.942165 |
17 | 64823 | 56759.3 | 48825.1 | 1.1625 | 1.14207 |
18 | 67277 | 57090.1 | 47892.7 | 1.19204 | 1.17843 |
19 | 48581 | 47830.2 | 47323.7 | 1.0107 | 1.0157 |
20 | 27431 | 42404.9 | 46805.9 | 0.905972 | 0.646884 |
21 | 38620 | 45025.1 | 46595.9 | 0.966289 | 0.857744 |
22 | 38620 | 43375 | 46800.9 | 0.926798 | 0.890375 |
23 | 47354 | 49087.7 | 46800.4 | 1.04887 | 0.964681 |
24 | 52396 | 51414.5 | 46384.8 | 1.10843 | 1.01909 |
25 | 51168 | 48179.7 | 45605.8 | 1.05644 | 1.06202 |
26 | 38620 | 39646 | 45036.9 | 0.8803 | 0.974122 |
27 | 44900 | 39000.3 | 44831.8 | 0.869925 | 1.15127 |
28 | 42434 | 39130.3 | 44888.5 | 0.871723 | 1.08443 |
29 | 63584 | 52189.4 | 44894 | 1.1625 | 1.21833 |
30 | 58542 | 53265.1 | 44683.9 | 1.19204 | 1.09907 |
31 | 38620 | 44576.3 | 44104.3 | 1.0107 | 0.866379 |
32 | 23738 | 39251.5 | 43325.3 | 0.905972 | 0.604766 |
33 | 37392 | 41166.8 | 42603 | 0.966289 | 0.908304 |
34 | 41207 | 38857.7 | 41926.8 | 0.926798 | 1.06046 |
35 | 44900 | 43917.1 | 41870.7 | 1.04887 | 1.02238 |
36 | 49808 | 47098.2 | 42490.8 | 1.10843 | 1.05754 |
37 | 39846 | 45819.9 | 43372 | 1.05644 | 0.869623 |
38 | 31246 | 39457 | 44822.2 | 0.8803 | 0.791901 |
39 | 34939 | 40481.2 | 46534.1 | 0.869925 | 0.863093 |
40 | 36166 | 41561.2 | 47677 | 0.871723 | 0.870188 |
41 | 68504 | 56693.3 | 48768.3 | 1.1625 | 1.20833 |
42 | 68504 | 60119.1 | 50433.7 | 1.19204 | 1.13947 |
43 | 49808 | 53496.1 | 52929.7 | 1.0107 | 0.931058 |
44 | 47354 | 50348.4 | 55573.9 | 0.905972 | 0.940526 |
45 | 54862 | 55551.7 | 57489.7 | 0.966289 | 0.987585 |
46 | 51168 | 54482.3 | 58785.5 | 0.926798 | 0.939168 |
47 | 61130 | 62803.2 | 59876.7 | 1.04887 | 0.973358 |
48 | 73546 | 67755.8 | 61127.5 | 1.10843 | 1.08546 |
49 | 76012 | 66553.9 | 62998.3 | 1.05644 | 1.14211 |
50 | 58542 | 57880.1 | 65750.4 | 0.8803 | 1.01144 |
51 | 53622 | 59591.6 | 68502 | 0.869925 | 0.899826 |
52 | 48581 | 61567.9 | 70627.9 | 0.871723 | 0.789063 |
53 | 82280 | 84332.9 | 72544.3 | 1.1625 | 0.975657 |
54 | 84746 | 88821.9 | 74512.3 | 1.19204 | 0.954112 |
55 | 78466 | 77407.3 | 76587.6 | 1.0107 | 1.01368 |
56 | 84746 | 71456.7 | 78873 | 0.905972 | 1.18598 |
57 | 83507 | 78318.7 | 81051.1 | 0.966289 | 1.06625 |
58 | 73546 | 77426.5 | 83542 | 0.926798 | 0.949881 |
59 | 84746 | 90726.6 | 86499 | 1.04887 | 0.934081 |
60 | 97162 | 99439.4 | 89711.7 | 1.10843 | 0.977097 |
61 | 102203 | 98667.2 | 93396.1 | 1.05644 | 1.03584 |
62 | 87200 | 85549.9 | 97182.7 | 0.8803 | 1.01929 |
63 | 77238 | 87786.4 | 100913 | 0.869925 | 0.87984 |
64 | 84746 | 91130.7 | 104541 | 0.871723 | 0.929939 |
65 | 117084 | 126110 | 108482 | 1.1625 | 0.928428 |
66 | 127046 | 134140 | 112529 | 1.19204 | 0.947116 |
67 | 124592 | 117613 | 116367 | 1.0107 | 1.05934 |
68 | 129499 | 108712 | 119995 | 0.905972 | 1.19121 |
69 | 128273 | 119208 | 123367 | 0.966289 | 1.07605 |
70 | 115858 | 117603 | 126892 | 0.926798 | 0.985163 |
71 | 137008 | 136522 | 130160 | 1.04887 | 1.00356 |
72 | 142049 | 148017 | 133537 | 1.10843 | 0.95968 |
73 | 149423 | 145020 | 137272 | 1.05644 | 1.03036 |
74 | 127046 | 123854 | 140695 | 0.8803 | 1.02577 |
75 | 118312 | 125328 | 144067 | 0.869925 | 0.944022 |
76 | 128273 | 128798 | 147752 | 0.871723 | 0.995921 |
77 | 152010 | 176289 | 151646 | 1.1625 | 0.862278 |
78 | 173160 | 185222 | 155382 | 1.19204 | 0.934878 |
79 | 168119 | 160137 | 158442 | 1.0107 | 1.04984 |
80 | 168119 | 145939 | 161086 | 0.905972 | 1.15198 |
81 | 170585 | 158765 | 164304 | 0.966289 | 1.07445 |
82 | 161971 | 155454 | 167732 | 0.926798 | 1.04192 |
83 | 184361 | 178870 | 170535 | 1.04887 | 1.0307 |
84 | 184361 | 191787 | 173026 | 1.10843 | 0.961278 |
85 | 180546 | 184983 | 175101 | 1.05644 | 0.976012 |
86 | 159384 | 155878 | 177074 | 0.8803 | 1.02249 |
87 | 163199 | 155713 | 178995 | 0.869925 | 1.04808 |
88 | 165665 | 157571 | 180758 | 0.871723 | 1.05137 |
89 | 181895 | 212723 | 182987 | 1.1625 | 0.855079 |
90 | 203045 | 220785 | 185216 | 1.19204 | 0.91965 |
91 | 188041 | 188979 | 186978 | 1.0107 | 0.995037 |
92 | 195550 | 171137 | 188899 | 0.905972 | 1.14265 |
93 | 189269 | 185086 | 191544 | 0.966289 | 1.0226 |
94 | 185587 | 180452 | 194705 | 0.926798 | 1.02845 |
95 | 214246 | 207322 | 197662 | 1.04887 | 1.0334 |
96 | 207965 | 221452 | 199788 | 1.10843 | 0.939099 |
97 | 199230 | 213040 | 201658 | 1.05644 | 0.935178 |
98 | 186815 | 179301 | 203682 | 0.8803 | 1.04191 |
99 | 199230 | 178855 | 205598 | 0.869925 | 1.11392 |
100 | 205511 | 180940 | 207566 | 0.871723 | 1.13579 |
101 | 213006 | 243822 | 209739 | 1.1625 | 0.873613 |
102 | 222967 | 253170 | 212383 | 1.19204 | 0.880702 |
103 | 213006 | 217650 | 215346 | 1.0107 | 0.978662 |
104 | 219154 | 197544 | 218047 | 0.905972 | 1.10939 |
105 | 211657 | 213202 | 220640 | 0.966289 | 0.992755 |
106 | 210431 | 206987 | 223335 | 0.926798 | 1.01664 |
107 | 241542 | 237078 | 226031 | 1.04887 | 1.01883 |
108 | 244129 | 253585 | 228778 | 1.10843 | 0.962711 |
109 | 234168 | 244592 | 231525 | 1.05644 | 0.957383 |
110 | 216700 | 206279 | 234328 | 0.8803 | 1.05052 |
111 | 231581 | 206514 | 237393 | 0.869925 | 1.12138 |
112 | 237850 | 209295 | 240094 | 0.871723 | 1.13643 |
113 | 245357 | 281528 | 242174 | 1.1625 | 0.871519 |
114 | 256546 | 290911 | 244044 | 1.19204 | 0.88187 |
115 | 245357 | NA | NA | 1.0107 | NA |
116 | 254092 | NA | NA | 0.905972 | NA |
117 | 250277 | NA | NA | 0.966289 | NA |
118 | 236622 | NA | NA | 0.926798 | NA |
119 | 265279 | NA | NA | 1.04887 | NA |
120 | 265279 | NA | NA | 1.10843 | NA |